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Playoff Matrix · Football UNOFFICIAL

Last calculated Thu, Oct 22 · 5:52 PM CDT

Division 4 · 33 in the field · 53 Wisconsin programs

The table uses reported Week 2 results. Projected Final is today’s forecast based on reported Week 9 results and the remaining ES picks, not a saved forecast from Week 2. See the projected final order →

Since week 1: out Whitewater (24 → 34), Altoona (26 → 35), Berlin (26 → 35), Black River Falls (26 → 35), Brown Deer (26 → 35), Campbellsport (26 → 35), Ellsworth (26 → 35), Fuller Collegiate Academy (26 → 35), Mauston (26 → 35), Mosinee (26 → 35), North Fond du Lac (26 → 35), Saint Croix Central (26 → 35), Saint Thomas More (26 → 35), Sheboygan Falls (26 → 35), Turner (26 → 35), Waupun (26 → 35), Xavier (26 → 35). Biggest climbs: Wrightstown ▲18, Kohler ▲17, Ashland ▲16. Biggest drops: Lodi ▼20, Oconto Falls ▼20, Lakeside Lutheran ▼17.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Jefferson checkJefferson27.751-C40 ▼39 · Out projected out
2T▼1Denmark checkDenmark17.881-A31 ▼29 · 8-A
2T▼1West Salem checkWest Salem17.881-B5 ▼3 · 2-C
4▲2Marinette checkMarinette17.501-D38 ▼34 · Out projected out
5▲1Freedom checkFreedom17.382-A1 ▲4 · 1-A
6–Seymour checkSeymour17.382-D25 ▼19 · 7-B
7▲17Kohler checkKohler15.252-C39 ▼32 · Out projected out
8T▲6Northwestern checkMaple14.88#26 ▲2 · 2-A
8T▲18Wrightstown checkWrightstown14.88#223 ▼15 · 6-B
10T▲12Aquinas checkLa Crosse14.633-C10 – · 3-C
10T▲16Ashland checkAshland14.633-D22 ▼12 · 6-A
12▼6Little Chute checkLittle Chute14.253-A4 ▲8 · 1-B
13▲13Lake Mills checkLake Mills14.004-A2 ▲11 · 1-C
14▲12Edgewood checkMadison13.754-B8 ▲6 · 2-D
15▲11Delavan-Darien checkDelavan12.634-C11 ▲4 · 3-D
16▼10Stratford checkStratford12.384-D7 ▲9 · 2-B
17▲9Two Rivers checkTwo Rivers11.505-A44 ▼27 · Out projected out
18▲4Ripon checkRipon11.005-D26 ▼8 · 7-D
19▼5Saint Francis checkSaint Francis4.755-C14 ▲5 · 4-D
20▼6Evansville checkEvansville4.505-B17 ▲3 · 5-B
21T▼20Lodi checkLodi2.756-C13 ▲8 · 4-A
21T▼20Oconto Falls checkOconto Falls2.756-A34 ▼13 · Out projected out
23T▲3Kewaskum checkKewaskum2.50#633 ▼10 · Out projected out
23T▼17Lakeside Lutheran checkLake Mills2.50#616 ▲7 · 4-C
23T▼17Milwaukee School of Languages checkMilwaukee2.50#646 ▼23 · Out projected out
23T▼17Platteville checkPlatteville2.50#615 ▲8 · 4-B
27T▼13Big Foot checkWalworth2.25#743 ▼16 · Out projected out
27T▼13Edgerton checkEdgerton2.25#729 ▼2 · 8-C
27T▼13Osceola checkOsceola2.25#79 ▲18 · 3-A
27T▼13Racine St. Catherine's checkRacine2.25#73 ▲24 · 1-D
27T▼1Shoreland Lutheran checkKenosha2.25#719 ▲8 · 5-D
27T▼13Somerset checkSomerset2.25#727 – · 7-A
27T▼1Wisconsin Dells checkWisconsin Dells2.25#728 ▼1 · 7-C
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
34▼10Whitewater checkBelow cut lineWhitewater1.75Below cut line dropped45 ▼11 · Out
35T▼9Altoona checkBelow cut lineAltoona0.00Below cut line dropped37 ▼2 · Out
35T▼9Berlin checkBelow cut lineBerlin0.00Below cut line dropped18 ▲17 · 5-C projected in
35T▼9Black River Falls checkBelow cut lineBlack River Falls0.00Below cut line dropped32 ▲3 · 8-B projected in
35T▼9Brown Deer checkBelow cut lineBrown Deer0.00Below cut line dropped41 ▼6 · Out
35T▼9Campbellsport checkBelow cut lineCampbellsport0.00Below cut line dropped24 ▲11 · 6-D projected in
35T▼9Ellsworth checkBelow cut lineEllsworth0.00Below cut line dropped48T ▼13 · Out
35T▼9Fuller Collegiate Academy checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee0.00Below cut line dropped12 ▲23 · 3-B projected in
35T▼9Mauston checkBelow cut lineMauston0.00Below cut line dropped20 ▲15 · 5-A projected in
35T▼9Mosinee checkBelow cut lineMosinee0.00Below cut line dropped47 ▼12 · Out
35T▼9North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut lineNorth Fond du Lac0.00Below cut line dropped48T ▼13 · Out
35T▼9Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut lineHammond0.00Below cut line dropped42 ▼7 · Out
35T▼9Saint Thomas More checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee0.00Below cut line dropped35 – · Out
35T▼9Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut lineSheboygan Falls0.00Below cut line dropped48T ▼13 · Out
35T▼9Turner checkBelow cut lineBeloit0.00Below cut line dropped30 ▲5 · 8-D projected in
35T▼9Waupun checkBelow cut lineWaupun0.00Below cut line dropped36 ▼1 · Out
35T▼9Xavier checkBelow cut lineAppleton0.00Below cut line dropped21 ▲14 · 6-C projected in
—Milwaukee Madison checkMilwaukee0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About these numbers

Unofficial. These are WIAA’s playoff qualifying scores (PQS) recomputed by Ewert Sports from the results we hold, using the formula in the 2026 football tournament regulations. WIAA’s weekly standings are the official ones; where ours differ, a missing or disputed result is the reason, and the row says so. How it is computed, with a worked example ↓

Through week 2 (games through Saturday 2026-08-29; the week’s cutoff is Wednesday 2026-09-02) · 357 results counted, 6 forfeits · top 32 qualify in Division 4 · seeds: ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, … 29–32 the #8 seeds.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Jefferson (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21Fort AtkinsonW5.5 (D3)5.506.502yes
2026-08-28WhitewaterW5 (D4)5.003.502yes

Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 2 = 5.250. Tier 2 points = 6.50 + 3.50 = 10.00; opponents’ games = 2 + 2 = 4; Tier 2 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 4 = 2.500. Total = 5.250 + 9 × 2.500 = 27.75.

To check another team, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above.

Unofficial WIAA Football Playoff Matrix | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports