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Playoff Matrix · Football UNOFFICIAL

Last calculated Thu, Oct 22 · 2:01 PM CDT

Division 4 · 32 in the field · 53 Wisconsin programs

The table uses reported Week 4 results. Projected Final is today’s forecast based on reported Week 9 results and the remaining ES picks, not a saved forecast from Week 4. See the projected final order →

Since week 3: in Lakeside Lutheran (37 → 21), Turner (41 → 28), Xavier (35 → 30), Big Foot (33 → 32) · out Black River Falls (26 → 38), Osceola (30 → 35), Wisconsin Dells (30 → 36), Somerset (30 → 39). Biggest climbs: Evansville ▲22, Lakeside Lutheran ▲16, Shoreland Lutheran ▲13. Biggest drops: Marinette ▼13, Jefferson ▼11, Wrightstown ▼10.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Freedom checkFreedom34.661-D1 – · 1-A
2–Little Chute checkLittle Chute24.661-A4 ▼2 · 1-B
3▲1Northwestern checkMaple22.881-B6 ▼3 · 2-A
4▼1Stratford checkStratford22.781-C7 ▼3 · 2-B
5–West Salem checkWest Salem22.562-B5 – · 2-C
6▲22Evansville checkEvansville16.282-A17 ▼11 · 5-B
7–Edgewood checkMadison15.812-C8 ▼1 · 2-D
8▲3Delavan-Darien checkDelavan14.472-D11 ▼3 · 3-D
9▲3Aquinas checkLa Crosse13.343-B10 ▼1 · 3-C
10▼4Kohler checkKohler13.093-C39 ▼29 · Out projected out
11▲13Shoreland Lutheran checkKenosha12.503-D19 ▼8 · 5-D
12▼4Lake Mills checkLake Mills12.193-A2 ▲10 · 1-C
13▲10Edgerton checkEdgerton11.504-C29 ▼16 · 8-C
14▲7Platteville checkPlatteville10.694-B15 ▼1 · 4-B
15▼1Denmark checkDenmark10.194-D31 ▼16 · 8-A
16▼6Seymour checkSeymour9.224-A25 ▼9 · 7-B
17▼2Two Rivers checkTwo Rivers8.845-D44 ▼27 · Out projected out
18▲1Saint Francis checkSaint Francis8.715-C14 ▲4 · 4-D
19▼11Jefferson checkJefferson8.255-B40 ▼21 · Out projected out
20▲2Ripon checkRipon8.165-A26 ▼6 · 7-D
21▲16Lakeside Lutheran checkLake Mills8.136-A in16 ▲5 · 4-C
22▼2Oconto Falls checkOconto Falls7.166-B34 ▼12 · Out projected out
23▼10Wrightstown checkWrightstown6.886-C23 – · 6-B
24▼8Racine St. Catherine's checkRacine6.726-D3 ▲21 · 1-D
25T–Berlin checkBerlin6.637-A18 ▲7 · 5-C
25T▲1Mauston checkMauston6.637-C20 ▲5 · 5-A
27▼10Ashland checkAshland6.347-B22 ▲5 · 6-A
28▲13Turner checkBeloit6.037-D in30 ▼2 · 8-D
29–Lodi checkLodi5.598-C13 ▲16 · 4-A
30▲5Xavier checkAppleton5.448-A in21 ▲9 · 6-C
31▼13Marinette checkMarinette4.718-B38 ▼7 · Out projected out
32▲1Big Foot checkWalworth4.558-D in43 ▼11 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▲4Kewaskum checkBelow cut lineKewaskum3.78Below cut line33 – · Out
34▲7Campbellsport checkBelow cut lineCampbellsport3.66Below cut line24 ▲10 · 6-D projected in
35▼5Osceola checkBelow cut lineOsceola3.63Below cut line dropped9 ▲26 · 3-A projected in
36▼6Wisconsin Dells checkBelow cut lineWisconsin Dells3.50Below cut line dropped28 ▲8 · 7-C projected in
37▼3Fuller Collegiate Academy checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee3.33Below cut line12 ▲25 · 3-B projected in
38▼12Black River Falls checkBelow cut lineBlack River Falls2.97Below cut line dropped32 ▲6 · 8-B projected in
39▼9Somerset checkBelow cut lineSomerset2.38Below cut line dropped27 ▲12 · 7-A projected in
40▼5Mosinee checkBelow cut lineMosinee1.38Below cut line47 ▼7 · Out
41▼4Milwaukee School of Languages checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee1.25Below cut line46 ▼5 · Out
42▼2Whitewater checkBelow cut lineWhitewater0.88Below cut line45 ▼3 · Out
43T▼2Altoona checkBelow cut lineAltoona0.00Below cut line37 ▲6 · Out
43T▼2Brown Deer checkBelow cut lineBrown Deer0.00Below cut line41 ▲2 · Out
43T▼2Ellsworth checkBelow cut lineEllsworth0.00Below cut line48T ▼5 · Out
43T▼2North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut lineNorth Fond du Lac0.00Below cut line48T ▼5 · Out
43T▼2Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut lineHammond0.00Below cut line42 ▲1 · Out
43T▼2Saint Thomas More checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee0.00Below cut line35 ▲8 · Out
43T▼2Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut lineSheboygan Falls0.00Below cut line48T ▼5 · Out
43T▼2Waupun checkBelow cut lineWaupun0.00Below cut line36 ▲7 · Out
—Milwaukee Madison checkMilwaukee0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About these numbers

Unofficial. These are WIAA’s playoff qualifying scores (PQS) recomputed by Ewert Sports from the results we hold, using the formula in the 2026 football tournament regulations. WIAA’s weekly standings are the official ones; where ours differ, a missing or disputed result is the reason, and the row says so. How it is computed, with a worked example ↓

Through week 4 (games through Saturday 2026-09-12; the week’s cutoff is Wednesday 2026-09-16) · 713 results counted, 18 forfeits · top 32 qualify in Division 4 · seeds: ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, … 29–32 the #8 seeds.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Freedom (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21Lake MillsW5 (D4)5.0015.004yes
2026-08-28XavierW5 (D4)5.0010.504yes
2026-09-04New LondonW5.5 (D3)5.5011.004yes
2026-09-11DenmarkW5 (D4)5.0016.004yes

Tier 1 AVG = 20.50 ÷ 4 = 5.125. Tier 2 points = 15.00 + 10.50 + 11.00 + 16.00 = 52.50; opponents’ games = 4 + 4 + 4 + 4 = 16; Tier 2 AVG = 52.50 ÷ 16 = 3.281. Total = 5.125 + 9 × 3.281 = 34.66 (Tier 3 tie-break 5.13).

To check another team, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above.

Unofficial WIAA Football Playoff Matrix | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports