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Playoff Matrix · Football UNOFFICIAL

Last calculated Thu, Oct 22 · 8:34 PM CDT

Division 4 · 32 in the field · 53 Wisconsin programs

The table uses reported Week 6 results. Projected Final is today’s forecast based on reported Week 9 results and the remaining ES picks, not a saved forecast from Week 6. See the projected final order →

Since week 5: in Lodi (37 → 23), Wrightstown (34 → 32) · out Two Rivers (28 → 33), Somerset (31 → 35). Biggest climbs: Lodi ▲14, Saint Francis ▲11, Berlin ▲7. Biggest drops: Kohler ▼11, Xavier ▼9, Edgerton ▼6.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Freedom checkFreedom35.711-D1 – · 1-A
2▲3West Salem checkWest Salem24.671-B5 ▼3 · 2-C
3▼1Stratford checkStratford23.711-A7 ▼4 · 2-B
4▲4Lake Mills checkLake Mills21.541-C2 ▲2 · 1-C
5▼2Edgewood checkMadison21.502-B8 ▼3 · 2-D
6▼2Little Chute checkLittle Chute20.712-D4 ▲2 · 1-B
7–Delavan-Darien checkDelavan20.502-C11 ▼4 · 3-D
8▼2Northwestern checkMaple18.332-A6 ▲2 · 2-A
9▲4Racine St. Catherine's checkRacine16.833-C3 ▲6 · 1-D
10▲7Berlin checkBerlin15.333-D18 ▼8 · 5-C
11▲11Saint Francis checkSaint Francis15.083-B14 ▼3 · 4-D
12–Aquinas checkLa Crosse15.083-A10 ▲2 · 3-C
13▼2Shoreland Lutheran checkKenosha14.214-C19 ▼6 · 5-D
14▲4Denmark checkDenmark13.174-D31 ▼17 · 8-A
15▼6Edgerton checkEdgerton13.084-B29 ▼14 · 8-C
16▼6Ripon checkRipon12.214-A26 ▼10 · 7-D
17▼3Evansville checkEvansville11.255-B17 – · 5-B
18▲7Lakeside Lutheran checkLake Mills10.715-C16 ▲2 · 4-C
19–Platteville checkPlatteville10.385-D15 ▲4 · 4-B
20▲3Osceola checkOsceola10.005-A9 ▲11 · 3-A
21▼1Campbellsport checkCampbellsport9.966-B24 ▼3 · 6-D
22▼1Ashland checkAshland9.676-A22 – · 6-A
23▲14Lodi checkLodi9.086-C in13 ▲10 · 4-A
24▼9Xavier checkAppleton8.966-D21 ▲3 · 6-C
25▲2Fuller Collegiate Academy checkMilwaukee8.957-C12 ▲13 · 3-B
26▲3Oconto Falls checkOconto Falls7.837-A34 ▼8 · Out projected out
27▼11Kohler checkKohler7.547-D39 ▼12 · Out projected out
28▼4Jefferson checkJefferson7.507-B40 ▼12 · Out projected out
29▼3Seymour checkSeymour7.218-A25 ▲4 · 7-B
30–Mauston checkMauston6.548-B20 ▲10 · 5-A
31▲1Turner checkBeloit5.638-C30 ▲1 · 8-D
32▲2Wrightstown checkWrightstown5.548-D in23 ▲9 · 6-B
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼5Two Rivers checkBelow cut lineTwo Rivers5.46Below cut line dropped44 ▼11 · Out
34▲1Wisconsin Dells checkBelow cut lineWisconsin Dells5.33Below cut line28 ▲6 · 7-C projected in
35▼4Somerset checkBelow cut lineSomerset5.08Below cut line dropped27 ▲8 · 7-A projected in
36▲11Saint Thomas More checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee4.95Below cut line35 ▲1 · Out
37▼4Brown Deer checkBelow cut lineBrown Deer4.69Below cut line41 ▼4 · Out
38–Black River Falls checkBelow cut lineBlack River Falls4.42Below cut line32 ▲6 · 8-B projected in
39▼3Kewaskum checkBelow cut lineKewaskum4.33Below cut line33 ▲6 · Out
40▲6Whitewater checkBelow cut lineWhitewater3.54Below cut line45 ▼5 · Out
41▲2Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut lineHammond2.79Below cut line42 ▼1 · Out
42▼3Big Foot checkBelow cut lineWalworth2.43Below cut line43 ▼1 · Out
43▼3Marinette checkBelow cut lineMarinette2.28Below cut line38 ▲5 · Out
44▼3Altoona checkBelow cut lineAltoona2.00Below cut line37 ▲7 · Out
45▼3Mosinee checkBelow cut lineMosinee0.92Below cut line47 ▼2 · Out
46▼3Milwaukee School of Languages checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee0.83Below cut line46 – · Out
47▼2Waupun checkBelow cut lineWaupun0.75Below cut line36 ▲11 · Out
48T▼1Ellsworth checkBelow cut lineEllsworth0.00Below cut line48T – · Out
48T▼1North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut lineNorth Fond du Lac0.00Below cut line48T – · Out
48T▼1Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut lineSheboygan Falls0.00Below cut line48T – · Out
—Milwaukee Madison checkMilwaukee0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About these numbers

Unofficial. These are WIAA’s playoff qualifying scores (PQS) recomputed by Ewert Sports from the results we hold, using the formula in the 2026 football tournament regulations. WIAA’s weekly standings are the official ones; where ours differ, a missing or disputed result is the reason, and the row says so. How it is computed, with a worked example ↓

Through week 6 (games through Saturday 2026-09-26; the week’s cutoff is Wednesday 2026-09-30) · 1073 results counted, 28 forfeits · top 32 qualify in Division 4 · seeds: ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, … 29–32 the #8 seeds.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Freedom (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21Lake MillsW5 (D4)5.0025.006yes
2026-08-28XavierW5 (D4)5.0015.506yes
2026-09-04New LondonW5.5 (D3)5.5016.506yes
2026-09-11DenmarkW5 (D4)5.0026.506yes
2026-09-18KohlerW5 (D4)5.0013.006yes
2026-09-25Little ChuteW5 (D4)5.0026.006yes

Tier 1 AVG = 30.50 ÷ 6 = 5.083. Tier 2 points = 25.00 + 15.50 + 16.50 + 26.50 + 13.00 + 26.00 = 122.50; opponents’ games = 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 = 36; Tier 2 AVG = 122.50 ÷ 36 = 3.403. Total = 5.083 + 9 × 3.403 = 35.71 (Tier 3 tie-break 9.27).

To check another team, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above.

Unofficial WIAA Football Playoff Matrix | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports