Menu

Playoff Matrix · Football UNOFFICIAL

Last calculated Wed, Oct 21 · 11:49 AM CDT

Division 4 · 32 in the field · 53 Wisconsin programs

The table uses reported Week 8 results. Projected Final is today’s forecast based on reported Week 9 results and the remaining ES picks, not a saved forecast from Week 8. See the projected final order →

Since week 7: in Wrightstown (36 → 24), Kewaskum (40 → 30), Turner (33 → 32) · out Jefferson (29 → 35), Kohler (30 → 36), Saint Thomas More (32 → 34). Biggest climbs: Wrightstown ▲12, Kewaskum ▲10, Mauston ▲7. Biggest drops: Denmark ▼7, Ripon ▼7, Lakeside Lutheran ▼5.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Freedom checkFreedom32.341-A1 – · 1-A
2–Little Chute checkLittle Chute23.701-C4 ▼2 · 1-B
3▲4Racine St. Catherine's checkRacine23.161-D3 – · 1-D
4▲1Lake Mills checkLake Mills21.811-B2 ▲2 · 1-C
5▼2West Salem checkWest Salem21.762-B5 – · 2-C
6▼2Stratford checkStratford19.712-C7 ▼1 · 2-B
7▲2Northwestern checkMaple19.182-A6 ▲1 · 2-A
8▼2Edgewood checkMadison19.112-D8 – · 2-D
9▼1Delavan-Darien checkDelavan16.923-D11 ▼2 · 3-D
10–Aquinas checkLa Crosse16.033-A10 – · 3-C
11–Saint Francis checkSaint Francis15.903-C14 ▼3 · 4-D
12▲3Platteville checkPlatteville15.903-B15 ▼3 · 4-B
13▲3Lodi checkLodi15.004-B13 – · 4-A
14▲3Osceola checkOsceola14.954-A9 ▲5 · 3-A
15▼1Berlin checkBerlin14.474-C18 ▼3 · 5-C
16▼3Evansville checkEvansville13.554-D17 ▼1 · 5-B
17▼5Lakeside Lutheran checkLake Mills13.485-B16 ▲1 · 4-C
18▲7Mauston checkMauston13.215-A20 ▼2 · 5-A
19▼1Shoreland Lutheran checkKenosha12.695-D19 – · 5-D
20▲2Xavier checkAppleton12.245-C21 ▼1 · 6-C
21▲3Fuller Collegiate Academy checkMilwaukee11.616-C12 ▲9 · 3-B
22▲1Ashland checkAshland10.196-A22 – · 6-A
23▼2Edgerton checkEdgerton9.326-D29 ▼6 · 8-C
24▲12Wrightstown checkWrightstown9.196-B in23 ▲1 · 6-B
25▲2Campbellsport checkCampbellsport9.067-D24 ▲1 · 6-D
26▼7Denmark checkDenmark9.017-A31 ▼5 · 8-A
27▼7Ripon checkRipon8.787-C26 ▲1 · 7-D
28▼2Wisconsin Dells checkWisconsin Dells8.777-B28 – · 7-C
29▲2Seymour checkSeymour8.748-A25 ▲4 · 7-B
30▲10Kewaskum checkKewaskum6.988-D in33 ▼3 · Out projected out
31▼3Somerset checkSomerset6.888-C27 ▲4 · 7-A
32▲1Turner checkBeloit6.818-B in30 ▲2 · 8-D
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▲1Oconto Falls checkBelow cut lineOconto Falls6.68Below cut line34 ▼1 · Out
34▼2Saint Thomas More checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee5.75Below cut line dropped35 ▼1 · Out
35▼6Jefferson checkBelow cut lineJefferson5.39Below cut line dropped40 ▼5 · Out
36▼6Kohler checkBelow cut lineKohler5.14Below cut line dropped39 ▼3 · Out
37–Marinette checkBelow cut lineMarinette4.54Below cut line38 ▼1 · Out
38▼3Altoona checkBelow cut lineAltoona4.50Below cut line37 ▲1 · Out
39▼1Brown Deer checkBelow cut lineBrown Deer4.27Below cut line41 ▼2 · Out
40▲1Black River Falls checkBelow cut lineBlack River Falls3.95Below cut line32 ▲8 · 8-B projected in
41▲2Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut lineHammond3.78Below cut line42 ▼1 · Out
42▼3Two Rivers checkBelow cut lineTwo Rivers3.27Below cut line44 ▼2 · Out
43▼1Big Foot checkBelow cut lineWalworth2.75Below cut line43 – · Out
44▲1Waupun checkBelow cut lineWaupun2.39Below cut line36 ▲8 · Out
45▼1Whitewater checkBelow cut lineWhitewater2.26Below cut line45 – · Out
46▲1Milwaukee School of Languages checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee1.38Below cut line46 – · Out
47▼1Mosinee checkBelow cut lineMosinee0.69Below cut line47 – · Out
48T–Ellsworth checkBelow cut lineEllsworth0.00Below cut line48T – · Out
48T–North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut lineNorth Fond du Lac0.00Below cut line48T – · Out
48T–Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut lineSheboygan Falls0.00Below cut line48T – · Out
—Milwaukee Madison checkMilwaukee0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About these numbers

Unofficial. These are WIAA’s playoff qualifying scores (PQS) recomputed by Ewert Sports from the results we hold, using the formula in the 2026 football tournament regulations. WIAA’s weekly standings are the official ones; where ours differ, a missing or disputed result is the reason, and the row says so. How it is computed, with a worked example ↓

Through week 8 (games through Saturday 2026-10-10; the week’s cutoff is Wednesday 2026-10-14) · 1434 results counted, 39 forfeits · top 32 qualify in Division 4 · seeds: ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, … 29–32 the #8 seeds.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Freedom (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21Lake MillsW5 (D4)5.0035.008yes
2026-08-28XavierW5 (D4)5.0026.508yes
2026-09-04New LondonW5.5 (D3)5.5016.508yes
2026-09-11DenmarkW5 (D4)5.0026.508yes
2026-09-18KohlerW5 (D4)5.0013.008yes
2026-09-25Little ChuteW5 (D4)5.0036.008yes
2026-10-02WrightstownW5 (D4)5.0015.008yes
2026-10-09Luxemburg-CascoW5.5 (D3)5.5025.008yes

Tier 1 AVG = 41.00 ÷ 8 = 5.125. Tier 2 points = 35.00 + 26.50 + 16.50 + 26.50 + 13.00 + 36.00 + 15.00 + 25.00 = 193.50; opponents’ games = 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 = 64; Tier 2 AVG = 193.50 ÷ 64 = 3.023. Total = 5.125 + 9 × 3.023 = 32.34 (Tier 3 tie-break 9.11).

To check another team, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above.

Unofficial WIAA Football Playoff Matrix | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports