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Playoff Matrix · Football UNOFFICIAL

Last calculated Wed, Oct 21 · 10:42 AM CDT

Division 4 · 32 in the field · 53 Wisconsin programs

The table uses reported Week 9 results. Projected Final is today’s forecast based on reported Week 9 results and the remaining ES picks, not a saved forecast from Week 9. See the projected final order →

Since week 8: in Black River Falls (40 → 32) · out Kewaskum (30 → 33). Biggest climbs: Fuller Collegiate Academy ▲9, Black River Falls ▲8, Osceola ▲5. Biggest drops: Edgerton ▼6, Denmark ▼5, Saint Francis ▼3.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Freedom checkFreedom28.941-A1 – · 1-A
2▲2Lake Mills checkLake Mills22.171-C2 – · 1-C
3–Racine St. Catherine's checkRacine21.611-D3 – · 1-D
4▼2Little Chute checkLittle Chute21.441-B4 – · 1-B
5–West Salem checkWest Salem20.442-C5 – · 2-C
6▲1Northwestern checkMaple20.062-A6 – · 2-A
7▼1Stratford checkStratford19.672-B7 – · 2-B
8–Edgewood checkMadison19.112-D8 – · 2-D
9▲5Osceola checkOsceola18.283-A9 – · 3-A
10–Aquinas checkLa Crosse17.393-C10 – · 3-C
11▼2Delavan-Darien checkDelavan16.783-D11 – · 3-D
12▲9Fuller Collegiate Academy checkMilwaukee16.073-B12 – · 3-B
13–Lodi checkLodi15.504-A13 – · 4-A
14▼3Saint Francis checkSaint Francis15.104-D14 – · 4-D
15▼3Platteville checkPlatteville14.394-B15 – · 4-B
16▲1Lakeside Lutheran checkLake Mills14.224-C16 – · 4-C
17▼1Evansville checkEvansville14.115-B17 – · 5-B
18▼3Berlin checkBerlin13.835-C18 – · 5-C
19–Shoreland Lutheran checkKenosha12.005-D19 – · 5-D
20▼2Mauston checkMauston11.785-A20 – · 5-A
21▼1Xavier checkAppleton11.176-C21 – · 6-C
22–Ashland checkAshland10.116-A22 – · 6-A
23▲1Wrightstown checkWrightstown10.006-B23 – · 6-B
24▲1Campbellsport checkCampbellsport9.896-D24 – · 6-D
25▲4Seymour checkSeymour9.567-B25 – · 7-B
26▲1Ripon checkRipon9.227-D26 – · 7-D
27▲4Somerset checkSomerset8.397-A27 – · 7-A
28–Wisconsin Dells checkWisconsin Dells8.287-C28 – · 7-C
29▼6Edgerton checkEdgerton8.118-C29 – · 8-C
30▲2Turner checkBeloit7.728-D30 – · 8-D
31▼5Denmark checkDenmark7.448-A31 – · 8-A
32▲8Black River Falls checkBlack River Falls6.448-B in32 – · 8-B
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼3Kewaskum checkBelow cut lineKewaskum6.17Below cut line dropped33 – · Out
34▼1Oconto Falls checkBelow cut lineOconto Falls5.50Below cut line34 – · Out
35▼1Saint Thomas More checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee5.16Below cut line35 – · Out
36▲8Waupun checkBelow cut lineWaupun5.11Below cut line36 – · Out
37▲1Altoona checkBelow cut lineAltoona4.72Below cut line37 – · Out
38▼1Marinette checkBelow cut lineMarinette4.70Below cut line38 – · Out
39▼3Kohler checkBelow cut lineKohler4.67Below cut line39 – · Out
40▼5Jefferson checkBelow cut lineJefferson4.44Below cut line40 – · Out
41▼2Brown Deer checkBelow cut lineBrown Deer3.93Below cut line41 – · Out
42▼1Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut lineHammond3.72Below cut line42 – · Out
43–Big Foot checkBelow cut lineWalworth3.17Below cut line43 – · Out
44▼2Two Rivers checkBelow cut lineTwo Rivers3.14Below cut line44 – · Out
45–Whitewater checkBelow cut lineWhitewater1.89Below cut line45 – · Out
46–Milwaukee School of Languages checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee1.22Below cut line46 – · Out
47–Mosinee checkBelow cut lineMosinee0.61Below cut line47 – · Out
48T–Ellsworth checkBelow cut lineEllsworth0.00Below cut line48T – · Out
48T–North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut lineNorth Fond du Lac0.00Below cut line48T – · Out
48T–Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut lineSheboygan Falls0.00Below cut line48T – · Out
—Milwaukee Madison checkMilwaukee0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About these numbers

Unofficial. These are WIAA’s playoff qualifying scores (PQS) recomputed by Ewert Sports from the results we hold, using the formula in the 2026 football tournament regulations. WIAA’s weekly standings are the official ones; where ours differ, a missing or disputed result is the reason, and the row says so. How it is computed, with a worked example ↓

Through week 9 (games dated Friday 2026-10-16 or earlier; WIAA deadline: completion before 11:59 p.m. Central; stored dates do not establish finish times) · 1614 results counted, 46 forfeits · top 32 qualify in Division 4 · seeds: ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, … 29–32 the #8 seeds.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Freedom (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21Lake MillsW5 (D4)5.0040.509yes
2026-08-28XavierW5 (D4)5.0026.509yes
2026-09-04New LondonW5.5 (D3)5.5016.509yes
2026-09-11DenmarkW5 (D4)5.0026.509yes
2026-09-18KohlerW5 (D4)5.0013.009yes
2026-09-25Little ChuteW5 (D4)5.0041.509yes
2026-10-02WrightstownW5 (D4)5.0020.009yes
2026-10-09Luxemburg-CascoW5.5 (D3)5.5030.009yes
2026-10-16Sheboygan FallsW5 (D4)5.000.009yes

Tier 1 AVG = 46.00 ÷ 9 = 5.111. Tier 2 points = 40.50 + 26.50 + 16.50 + 26.50 + 13.00 + 41.50 + 20.00 + 30.00 + 0.00 = 214.50; opponents’ games = 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 = 81; Tier 2 AVG = 214.50 ÷ 81 = 2.648. Total = 5.111 + 9 × 2.648 = 28.94 (Tier 3 tie-break 7.87).

To check another team, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above.

Unofficial WIAA Football Playoff Matrix | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports