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Playoff Matrix · Football UNOFFICIAL

Last calculated Wed, Oct 21 · 10:41 AM CDT

Division 6 · 33 in the field · 54 Wisconsin programs

The table uses reported Week 3 results. Projected Final is today’s forecast based on reported Week 9 results and the remaining ES picks, not a saved forecast from Week 3. See the projected final order →

Since week 2: in Saint Mary Catholic (34 → 11), Southern Door (38 → 26), Benton (34 → 31) · out Fall River/Rio (27 → 34), Howards Grove (27 → 34), Oconto (27 → 34). Biggest climbs: Saint Mary Catholic ▲23, Weyauwega-Fremont ▲15, Southern Door ▲12. Biggest drops: Colby ▼14, Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic ▼10, Lomira ▼9.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1▲3Randolph/Cambria-Friesland check23.831-C15 ▼14 · 4-D
2▼1Bonduel checkBonduel23.001-A2 – · 1-A
3▲4Mondovi checkMondovi23.001-B1 ▲2 · 1-C
4▼1Manitowoc Lutheran checkManitowoc20.501-D4 – · 1-D
5▲15Weyauwega-Fremont checkWeyauwega17.172-A18 ▼13 · 5-D
6▼4Poynette checkPoynette17.002-C28 ▼22 · 7-C
7▼1Mineral Point checkMineral Point16.672-B13 ▼6 · 4-C
8▲6Saint Mary's Springs checkFond du Lac16.502-D19 ▼11 · 5-B
9▲7Potosi/Cassville check14.673-B17 ▼8 · 5-C
10▼2Regis checkEau Claire12.503-C11 ▼1 · 3-A
11▲23Saint Mary Catholic checkNeenah12.333-A in7 ▲4 · 2-A
12▼2Kewaunee checkKewaunee11.833-D8 ▲4 · 2-D
13▼2Fennimore checkFennimore11.834-B36 ▼23 · Out projected out
14▼9Lomira checkLomira11.504-D5 ▲9 · 2-B
15▲6Pardeeville checkPardeeville11.334-A16 ▼1 · 4-A
16▼7Cuba City checkCuba City10.674-C12 ▲4 · 3-C
17▼5Cedar Grove-Belgium checkCedar Grove10.335-D10 ▲7 · 3-D
18▲1Edgar checkEdgar10.335-A3 ▲15 · 1-B
19T▼2Marshall checkMarshall9.335-C37 ▼18 · Out projected out
19T▼1Chetek-Weyerhaeuser checkChetek9.335-B45 ▼26 · Out projected out
21▲2Marathon checkMarathon7.836-A22 ▼1 · 6-A
22▲5Belleville checkBelleville7.676-B14 ▲8 · 4-B
23–Luther checkOnalaska7.676-C21 ▲2 · 6-B
24▼10Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic checkKenosha7.506-D6 ▲18 · 2-C
25▲1Prairie du Chien checkPrairie du Chien7.507-B30 ▼5 · 8-B
26▲12Southern Door checkBrussels6.677-D in40 ▼14 · Out projected out
27▼14Colby checkColby6.507-A33 ▼6 · Out projected out
28▼3Cambridge checkCambridge5.677-C9 ▲19 · 3-B
29▼2Laconia checkRosendale5.338-C38 ▼9 · Out projected out
30▼9Fall Creek checkFall Creek3.008-B27 ▲3 · 7-A
31T▲3Benton checkBenton2.67#8 in24 ▲7 · 6-C
31T▼4Cameron checkCameron2.67#844 ▼13 · Out projected out
31T▼4Cumberland checkCumberland2.67#847 ▼16 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
34T▼7Fall River/Rio checkBelow cut line1.33Below cut line dropped25 ▲9 · 7-B projected in
34T▼7Howards Grove checkBelow cut lineHowards Grove1.33Below cut line dropped43 ▼9 · Out
34T▲4Loyal/Greenwood checkBelow cut line1.33Below cut line26 ▲8 · 7-D projected in
34T▲4Markesan checkBelow cut lineMarkesan1.33Below cut line34 – · Out
34T▼7Oconto checkBelow cut lineOconto1.33Below cut line dropped35 ▼1 · Out
39T▼5Nekoosa checkBelow cut lineNekoosa1.17Below cut line20 ▲19 · 5-A projected in
39T▼5Westby checkBelow cut lineWestby1.17Below cut line49 ▼10 · Out
41T▼3Auburndale checkBelow cut lineAuburndale0.00Below cut line41 – · Out
41T▼3Barron checkBelow cut lineBarron0.00Below cut line48 ▼7 · Out
41T▼3Clinton checkBelow cut lineClinton0.00Below cut line42 ▼1 · Out
41T▼3Horicon/Hustisford checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line46 ▼5 · Out
41T▼3Ladysmith checkBelow cut lineLadysmith0.00Below cut line50T ▼9 · Out
41T▼3Lancaster checkBelow cut lineLancaster0.00Below cut line31 ▲10 · 8-A projected in
41T▼3Living Word Lutheran checkBelow cut lineJackson0.00Below cut line32 ▲9 · 8-D projected in
41T▼3Mishicot checkBelow cut lineMishicot0.00Below cut line50T ▼9 · Out
41T▼3Stanley-Boyd checkBelow cut lineStanley0.00Below cut line39 ▲2 · Out
41T▼3Unity checkBelow cut lineBalsam Lake0.00Below cut line29 ▲12 · 8-C projected in
41T▼3Valders checkBelow cut lineValders0.00Below cut line23 ▲18 · 6-D projected in
—Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life checkBurlington9.17ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About these numbers

Unofficial. These are WIAA’s playoff qualifying scores (PQS) recomputed by Ewert Sports from the results we hold, using the formula in the 2026 football tournament regulations. WIAA’s weekly standings are the official ones; where ours differ, a missing or disputed result is the reason, and the row says so. How it is computed, with a worked example ↓

Through week 3 (games through Saturday 2026-09-05; the week’s cutoff is Wednesday 2026-09-09) · 535 results counted, 11 forfeits · top 32 qualify in Division 6 · seeds: ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, … 29–32 the #8 seeds.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Randolph/Cambria-Friesland (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-20Catholic Central/Ken Ch LifeW (Seeding Only)4 (D6)4.008.003yes. Replacement win counted instead of the forfeit win over Catholic Central that week (more favorable, regulations 3h).
2026-08-20Catholic CentralW (forfeit)3.5 (D7)———Not counted: this forfeit win was replaced by the more favorable win on 2026-08-20 (regulations 3h).
2026-08-28HilbertW3.5 (D7)3.508.003yes
2026-09-04Fall River/RioW4 (D6)4.004.003yes

Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 3 = 3.833. Tier 2 points = 8.00 + 8.00 + 4.00 = 20.00; opponents’ games = 3 + 3 + 3 = 9; Tier 2 AVG = 20.00 ÷ 9 = 2.222. Total = 3.833 + 9 × 2.222 = 23.83 (Tier 3 tie-break 6.33).

To check another team, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above.

Unofficial WIAA Football Playoff Matrix | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports