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Playoff Matrix · Football UNOFFICIAL

Last calculated Wed, Oct 21 · 10:42 AM CDT

Division 6 · 32 in the field · 54 Wisconsin programs

The table uses reported Week 4 results. Projected Final is today’s forecast based on reported Week 9 results and the remaining ES picks, not a saved forecast from Week 4. See the projected final order →

Since week 3: in Fall River/Rio (34 → 24), Oconto (34 → 31), Loyal/Greenwood (34 → 32) · out Southern Door (26 → 33), Fall Creek (30 → 35), Cameron (31 → 36), Cumberland (31 → 36). Biggest climbs: Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic ▲13, Benton ▲12, Edgar ▲11. Biggest drops: Weyauwega-Fremont ▼11, Chetek-Weyerhaeuser ▼10, Fennimore ▼9.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1▲1Bonduel checkBonduel22.531-B2 ▼1 · 1-A
2▼1Randolph/Cambria-Friesland check22.001-D15 ▼13 · 4-D
3–Mondovi checkMondovi21.091-C1 ▲2 · 1-C
4–Manitowoc Lutheran checkManitowoc20.591-A4 – · 1-D
5▲5Regis checkEau Claire18.472-C11 ▼6 · 3-A
6–Poynette checkPoynette17.222-D28 ▼22 · 7-C
7▲11Edgar checkEdgar16.812-B3 ▲4 · 1-B
8▼1Mineral Point checkMineral Point16.032-A13 ▼5 · 4-C
9▲5Lomira checkLomira16.003-D5 ▲4 · 2-B
10▼2Saint Mary's Springs checkFond du Lac15.193-C19 ▼9 · 5-B
11▲13Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic checkKenosha14.343-A6 ▲5 · 2-C
12▲5Cedar Grove-Belgium checkCedar Grove13.973-B10 ▲2 · 3-D
13▼1Kewaunee checkKewaunee13.594-A8 ▲5 · 2-D
14▲1Pardeeville checkPardeeville13.414-D16 ▼2 · 4-A
15▼4Saint Mary Catholic checkNeenah12.814-B7 ▲8 · 2-A
16▼11Weyauwega-Fremont checkWeyauwega12.784-C18 ▼2 · 5-D
17▼8Potosi/Cassville check11.595-D17 – · 5-C
18▲5Luther checkOnalaska11.565-C21 ▼3 · 6-B
19▲12Benton checkBenton10.965-B24 ▼5 · 6-C
20▲2Belleville checkBelleville10.315-A14 ▲6 · 4-B
21▼5Cuba City checkCuba City9.596-A12 ▲9 · 3-C
22▼9Fennimore checkFennimore9.346-D36 ▼14 · Out projected out
23▲2Prairie du Chien checkPrairie du Chien8.726-C30 ▼7 · 8-B
24▲10Fall River/Rio check8.066-B in25 ▼1 · 7-B
25▼6Marshall checkMarshall7.667-D37 ▼12 · Out projected out
26▲3Laconia checkRosendale7.197-B38 ▼12 · Out projected out
27▼6Marathon checkMarathon7.097-C22 ▲5 · 6-A
28–Cambridge checkCambridge7.037-A9 ▲19 · 3-B
29▼10Chetek-Weyerhaeuser checkChetek5.508-C45 ▼16 · Out projected out
30▼3Colby checkColby5.258-B33 ▼3 · Out projected out
31▲3Oconto checkOconto4.668-A in35 ▼4 · Out projected out
32▲2Loyal/Greenwood check4.138-D in26 ▲6 · 7-D
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼7Southern Door checkBelow cut lineBrussels4.06Below cut line dropped40 ▼7 · Out
34▲7Unity checkBelow cut lineBalsam Lake3.25Below cut line29 ▲5 · 8-C projected in
35▼5Fall Creek checkBelow cut lineFall Creek3.25Below cut line dropped27 ▲8 · 7-A projected in
36T▼5Cameron checkBelow cut lineCameron2.00Below cut line dropped44 ▼8 · Out
36T▼5Cumberland checkBelow cut lineCumberland2.00Below cut line dropped47 ▼11 · Out
38T▼4Howards Grove checkBelow cut lineHowards Grove1.00Below cut line43 ▼5 · Out
38T▼4Markesan checkBelow cut lineMarkesan1.00Below cut line34 ▲4 · Out
40T▼1Nekoosa checkBelow cut lineNekoosa0.88Below cut line20 ▲20 · 5-A projected in
40T▼1Westby checkBelow cut lineWestby0.88Below cut line49 ▼9 · Out
42T▼1Auburndale checkBelow cut lineAuburndale0.00Below cut line41 ▲1 · Out
42T▼1Barron checkBelow cut lineBarron0.00Below cut line48 ▼6 · Out
42T▼1Clinton checkBelow cut lineClinton0.00Below cut line42 – · Out
42T▼1Horicon/Hustisford checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line46 ▼4 · Out
42T▼1Ladysmith checkBelow cut lineLadysmith0.00Below cut line50T ▼8 · Out
42T▼1Lancaster checkBelow cut lineLancaster0.00Below cut line31 ▲11 · 8-A projected in
42T▼1Living Word Lutheran checkBelow cut lineJackson0.00Below cut line32 ▲10 · 8-D projected in
42T▼1Mishicot checkBelow cut lineMishicot0.00Below cut line50T ▼8 · Out
42T▼1Stanley-Boyd checkBelow cut lineStanley0.00Below cut line39 ▲3 · Out
42T▼1Valders checkBelow cut lineValders0.00Below cut line23 ▲19 · 6-D projected in
—Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life checkBurlington7.63ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About these numbers

Unofficial. These are WIAA’s playoff qualifying scores (PQS) recomputed by Ewert Sports from the results we hold, using the formula in the 2026 football tournament regulations. WIAA’s weekly standings are the official ones; where ours differ, a missing or disputed result is the reason, and the row says so. How it is computed, with a worked example ↓

Through week 4 (games through Saturday 2026-09-12; the week’s cutoff is Wednesday 2026-09-16) · 713 results counted, 18 forfeits · top 32 qualify in Division 6 · seeds: ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, … 29–32 the #8 seeds.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Bonduel (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21Wittenberg-BirnamwoodW4.5 (D5)4.504.504yes
2026-08-27ColemanW3.5 (D7)3.5012.504yes
2026-09-04KewauneeW4 (D6)4.0010.504yes
2026-09-11MarinetteW5 (D4)5.005.004yes

Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 4 = 4.250. Tier 2 points = 4.50 + 12.50 + 10.50 + 5.00 = 32.50; opponents’ games = 4 + 4 + 4 + 4 = 16; Tier 2 AVG = 32.50 ÷ 16 = 2.031. Total = 4.250 + 9 × 2.031 = 22.53 (Tier 3 tie-break pending verification).

To check another team, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above.

Unofficial WIAA Football Playoff Matrix | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports