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Playoff Matrix · Football UNOFFICIAL

Last calculated Thu, Oct 22 · 11:16 AM CDT

Division 7 · 34 in the field · 53 Wisconsin programs

The table uses reported Week 4 results. Projected Final is today’s forecast based on reported Week 9 results and the remaining ES picks, not a saved forecast from Week 4. See the projected final order →

Since week 3: in Hillsboro (34 → 25), Johnson Creek (34 → 28) · out Reedsville (32 → 35). Biggest climbs: McDonell Central Catholic ▲11, Roncalli ▲10, Hillsboro ▲9. Biggest drops: Abbotsford ▼8, Black Hawk/Warren, IL ▼7, Cochrane-Fountain City ▼6.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Shiocton checkShiocton19.591-A6 ▼5 · 2-D
2▲2Iowa-Grant checkLivingston18.341-D8 ▼6 · 2-C
3▲4Glenwood City checkGlenwood City17.091-C4 ▼1 · 1-B
4▲8Pepin/Alma check15.311-B9 ▼5 · 3-A
5–Ithaca/Weston check14.002-A2 ▲3 · 1-C
6▲7River Ridge checkPatch Grove13.442-D7 ▼1 · 2-A
7▲1Webster checkWebster12.342-C16 ▼9 · 4-B
8▼6Cochrane-Fountain City checkFountain City12.222-B1 ▲7 · 1-A
9▼6Hilbert checkHilbert11.563-A10 ▼1 · 3-B
10▼4Coleman checkColeman11.003-B3 ▲7 · 1-D
11▲6Cashton checkCashton10.703-D14 ▼3 · 4-C
12▼2Spring Valley checkSpring Valley9.633-C11 ▲1 · 3-C
13▼2Boyceville checkBoyceville9.344-C12 ▲1 · 3-D
14▲6Crivitz checkCrivitz9.314-A13 ▲1 · 4-D
15▼6Lourdes Academy checkOshkosh8.944-D5 ▲10 · 2-B
16–Pacelli checkStevens Point8.884-B20 ▼4 · 5-D
17▲11McDonell Central Catholic checkChippewa Falls8.195-A22 ▼5 · 6-D
18▼3Elmwood/Plum City check7.665-C26 ▼8 · 7-A
19▼5Pecatonica/Argyle check7.425-D28 ▼9 · 7-B
20▼1Riverdale checkMuscoda6.255-B25 ▼5 · 7-C
21▲2Bangor checkBangor5.086-D24 ▼3 · 6-A
22▲10Roncalli checkManitowoc5.066-A37 ▼15 · Out projected out
23▼5Melrose-Mindoro checkMelrose4.596-B17 ▲6 · 5-B
24▲2Whitehall checkWhitehall4.596-C23 ▲1 · 6-C
25▲9Hillsboro checkHillsboro4.287-D in30 ▼5 · 8-A
26▼2Cadott checkCadott4.257-B15 ▲11 · 4-A
27▼6Royall checkElroy3.847-A18 ▲9 · 5-A
28T▼2Colfax checkColfax3.72#733 ▼5 · Out projected out
28T▲6Johnson Creek checkJohnson Creek3.72#7 in38 ▼10 · Out projected out
30▼8Abbotsford checkAbbotsford3.258-A21 ▲9 · 6-B
31▼7Black Hawk/Warren, IL check2.008-D19 ▲12 · 5-C
32T▼4Brookwood checkOntario1.13#829 ▲3 · 8-B
32T▼4Manawa checkManawa1.13#831 ▲1 · 8-D
32T▼4Waterloo checkWaterloo1.13#832 – · 8-C
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
35▼3Reedsville checkBelow cut lineReedsville1.00Below cut line dropped35 – · Out
36T▲2Augusta checkBelow cut lineAugusta0.88Below cut line34 ▲2 · Out
36T▼2Deerfield checkBelow cut lineDeerfield0.88Below cut line43T ▼7 · Out
36T▲2New Lisbon checkBelow cut lineNew Lisbon0.88Below cut line40 ▼4 · Out
36T▼2Osseo-Fairchild checkBelow cut lineOsseo0.88Below cut line27 ▲9 · 7-D projected in
36T▲2Pittsville checkBelow cut linePittsville0.88Below cut line43T ▼7 · Out
41T▼3Blair-Taylor checkBelow cut lineBlair0.00Below cut line43T ▼2 · Out
41T▼3Boscobel checkBelow cut lineBoscobel0.00Below cut line46T ▼5 · Out
41T▼3Crandon checkBelow cut lineCrandon0.00Below cut line41 – · Out
41T▼3Dodgeland checkBelow cut lineJuneau0.00Below cut line46T ▼5 · Out
41T▼3Eleva-Strum checkBelow cut lineStrum0.00Below cut line39 ▲2 · Out
41T▼3Independence/Gilmanton checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line46T ▼5 · Out
41T▼3Necedah checkBelow cut lineNecedah0.00Below cut line36 ▲5 · Out
41T▼3Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line42 ▼1 · Out
—Catholic Central checkBurlington0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Iola-Scandinavia checkIola0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Kenosha Christian Life checkKenosha0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About these numbers

Unofficial. These are WIAA’s playoff qualifying scores (PQS) recomputed by Ewert Sports from the results we hold, using the formula in the 2026 football tournament regulations. WIAA’s weekly standings are the official ones; where ours differ, a missing or disputed result is the reason, and the row says so. How it is computed, with a worked example ↓

Through week 4 (games through Saturday 2026-09-12; the week’s cutoff is Wednesday 2026-09-16) · 713 results counted, 18 forfeits · top 32 qualify in Division 7 · seeds: ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, … 29–32 the #8 seeds.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Abbotsford (rank 30, seed 8)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21MarkesanW4 (D6)4.004.004yes
2026-08-28ColbyL4 (D6)0.00—4yes
2026-09-04RegisL4 (D6)0.00—4yes
2026-09-11Loyal/GreenwoodL4 (D6)0.00—4yes

Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 4 = 1.000. Tier 2 points = 4.00 = 4.00; opponents’ games = 4 + 4 + 4 + 4 = 16; Tier 2 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 16 = 0.250. Total = 1.000 + 9 × 0.250 = 3.25.

To check another team, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above.

Unofficial WIAA Football Playoff Matrix | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports