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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 1 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 1Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Thu, Oct 22 · 10:04 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

Unresolved ties: Appleton North and Arrowhead and Bay Port and Chippewa Falls and De Pere and Hamilton and Kenosha Bradford and Madison Memorial and Madison West and Muskego and Racine Case and Verona and West De Pere (rank 1, seed #1); Appleton West and Fond du Lac and Green Bay Preble and Hortonville and Hudson and Indian Trail High School & Academy and Madison La Follette and Oconomowoc and Stevens Point Area Senior High and Wausau West (rank 14, seed #4); Appleton East and Badger and Brookfield East and D.C. Everest and Eau Claire Memorial and Eau Claire North and Franklin and Janesville Craig and Janesville Parker and Kenosha Tremper and Kimberly and Madison East and Manitowoc Lincoln and Marquette and Middleton and Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts and Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology and Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate and Milwaukee Reagan and Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir and Mukwonago and Neenah and Oak Creek and Oshkosh West and Sheboygan North and Sun Prairie East and Sun Prairie West and Waunakee (rank 24, seed #6). Tied at rank 1, across the #1/#2 seed line: placement waits for WIAA's tie-break (Tier 3, then its own procedure). Their slots are left empty.

1 tie unresolved4 tie unresolved6 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 tie unresolved4 tie unresolved6 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 tie unresolved4 tie unresolved6 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 tie unresolved4 tie unresolved6 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState finalRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 1 · Week 1 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 1. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 1. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

RankTeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1TAppleton North checkAppleton6.50#122 ▼21 · 6-A
1TArrowhead checkHartland6.50#15 ▼4 · 2-B
1TBay Port checkGreen Bay6.50#13 ▼2 · 1-A
1TChippewa Falls checkChippewa Falls6.50#123 ▼22 · 6-D
1TDe Pere checkDe Pere6.50#118 ▼17 · 5-A
1THamilton checkSussex6.50#12 ▼1 · 1-B
1TKenosha Bradford checkKenosha6.50#114 ▼13 · 4-C
1TMadison Memorial checkMadison6.50#119 ▼18 · 5-D
1TMadison West checkMadison6.50#143 ▼42 · Out projected out
1TMuskego checkMuskego6.50#14 ▼3 · 1-C
1TRacine Case checkRacine6.50#17 ▼6 · 2-C
1TVerona checkVerona6.50#18 ▼7 · 2-D
1TWest De Pere checkDe Pere6.50#11 – · 1-D
14TAppleton West checkAppleton6.00#441 ▼27 · Out projected out
14TFond du Lac checkFond du Lac6.00#436 ▼22 · Out projected out
14TGreen Bay Preble checkGreen Bay6.00#435 ▼21 · Out projected out
14THortonville checkHortonville6.00#433 ▼19 · Out projected out
14THudson checkHudson6.00#410 ▲4 · 3-D
14TIndian Trail High School & Academy checkKenosha6.00#412 ▲2 · 3-C
14TMadison La Follette checkMadison6.00#438 ▼24 · Out projected out
14TOconomowoc checkOconomowoc6.00#411 ▲3 · 3-B
14TStevens Point Area Senior High checkStevens Point6.00#49 ▲5 · 3-A
14TWausau West checkWausau6.00#430 ▼16 · 8-A
24TAppleton East checkAppleton0.00#646 ▼22 · Out projected out
24TBadger checkLake Geneva0.00#642 ▼18 · Out projected out
24TBrookfield East checkBrookfield0.00#640 ▼16 · Out projected out
24TD.C. Everest checkSchofield0.00#628 ▼4 · 7-A
24TEau Claire Memorial checkEau Claire0.00#650T ▼26 · Out projected out
24TEau Claire North checkEau Claire0.00#639 ▼15 · Out projected out
24TFranklin checkFranklin0.00#620 ▲4 · 5-C
24TJanesville Craig checkJanesville0.00#634 ▼10 · Out projected out
24TJanesville Parker checkJanesville0.00#631 ▼7 · 8-B
24TKenosha Tremper checkKenosha0.00#647 ▼23 · Out projected out
24TKimberly checkKimberly0.00#629 ▼5 · 8-D
24TMadison East checkMadison0.00#650T ▼26 · Out projected out
24TManitowoc Lincoln checkManitowoc0.00#644 ▼20 · Out projected out
24TMarquette checkMilwaukee0.00#616 ▲8 · 4-D
24TMiddleton checkMiddleton0.00#621 ▲3 · 6-B
24TMilwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts check0.00#624 – · 6-C
24TMilwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology check0.00#632 ▼8 · 8-C
24TMilwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate check0.00#617 ▲7 · 5-B
24TMilwaukee Reagan checkMilwaukee0.00#615 ▲9 · 4-B
24TMilwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir check0.00#625 ▼1 · 7-C
24TMukwonago checkMukwonago0.00#648 ▼24 · Out projected out
24TNeenah checkNeenah0.00#613 ▲11 · 4-A
24TOak Creek checkOak Creek0.00#637 ▼13 · Out projected out
24TOshkosh West checkOshkosh0.00#627 ▼3 · 7-B
24TSheboygan North checkSheboygan0.00#645 ▼21 · Out projected out
24TSun Prairie East checkSun Prairie0.00#626 ▼2 · 7-D
24TSun Prairie West checkSun Prairie0.00#649 ▼25 · Out projected out
24TWaunakee checkWaunakee0.00#66 ▲18 · 2-A
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
—Shorewood checkShorewood0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 1 (games through Saturday 2026-08-22). 51 of 51 in the field, 0 placed (51 waiting on a tie-break).

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Appleton North (rank 1T, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-20MukwonagoW6.5 (D1)6.500.001yes

Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 1 = 6.500. Tier 2 points = 0.00 = 0.00; opponents’ games = 1 = 1; Tier 2 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000. Total = 6.500 + 9 × 0.000 = 6.50.

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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