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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 2 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 2Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 8:47 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

Unresolved ties: Green Bay Southwest and Marshfield (rank 24, seed #6); Cedarburg and Germantown and Kaukauna and Slinger (rank 31, seed #8). Tied at rank 24, across the #6/#7 seed line: placement waits for WIAA's tie-break (Tier 3, then its own procedure). Their slots are left empty.

ES pick: Pulaski, 95.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 PulaskiES 96%8 Superior4 Wisconsin Rapids Linc…ES pick: Wausau East, 70.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 Wausau EastES 70%ES pick: Homestead, 94.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 HomesteadES 94%6 AshwaubenonES pick: Notre Dame, 93.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Notre DameES 93%7 Waukesha SouthES pick: Pulaski, 95.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 PulaskiES 95%5 Wausau East3 HomesteadES pick: Notre Dame, 56.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Notre DameES 57%1 PulaskiES pick: Notre Dame, 69.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Notre DameES 70%1 Elkhorn8 tie unresolvedES pick: Beaver Dam, 95.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Beaver DamES 96%5 Nicolet3 Watertown6 tie unresolvedES pick: Monona Grove, 97.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Monona GroveES 97%7 OregonTBD4 Beaver DamTBD2 Monona GroveTBDTBD1 Menomonee Falls8 tie unresolvedES pick: Grafton, 98.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 GraftonES 98%5 Racine HorlickES pick: Holmen, 52.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 HolmenES 53%6 La Crosse Central2 New RichmondTBD4 Grafton3 HolmenTBDTBDTBDES pick: Brookfield Central, 96.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Brookfield C…ES 96%8 Milwaukee KingES pick: Waukesha West, 78.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Waukesha WestES 78%5 Westosha CentralES pick: Union Grove, 94.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Union GroveES 94%6 BurlingtonES pick: Wauwatosa East, 98.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Wauwatosa Ea…ES 99%7 West Allis CentralES pick: Brookfield Central, 83.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Brookfield C…ES 83%4 Waukesha WestES pick: Union Grove, 95.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Union GroveES 95%2 Wauwatosa East1 Brookfield CentralES pick: Union Grove, 66.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Union GroveES 66%2 Notre DameTBDState semifinalTBD3 Union GroveState semifinalTBDTBDState finalRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 2 · Week 2 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 2. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 2. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 1: out Menasha (29 → 35), Greenfield (29 → 36), West Bend West (29 → 36), Beloit Memorial (29 → 38), DeForest (29 → 38), Green Bay East (29 → 38), Hartford Union (29 → 38), Kettle Moraine (29 → 38), Menomonie (29 → 38), Milton (29 → 38), Milwaukee Marshall (29 → 38), Oshkosh North (29 → 38), Racine Park (29 → 38), Rice Lake (29 → 38), River Falls (29 → 38), Sheboygan South (29 → 38), West Allis Hale (29 → 38). Biggest climbs: Elkhorn ▲23, Watertown ▲18, Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln ▲15. Biggest drops: Milwaukee King ▼28, Superior ▼28, Burlington ▼21.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Pulaski checkPulaski34.631-A10 ▼9 · 3-C
2▼1Brookfield Central checkBrookfield34.381-D26 ▼24 · 7-B
3▲9Menomonee Falls checkMenomonee Falls31.881-C20 ▼17 · 5-C
4▲23Elkhorn checkElkhorn30.251-B5 ▼1 · 2-A
5T▼4Monona Grove checkMonona20.002-B4 ▲1 · 1-A
5T▼4New Richmond checkNew Richmond20.002-C1 ▲4 · 1-B
5T▼4Wauwatosa East checkWauwatosa20.002-D17 ▼12 · 5-D
8▼7Notre Dame checkGreen Bay19.752-A2 ▲6 · 1-C
9▲3Homestead checkMequon19.503-A6 ▲3 · 2-D
10▲2Union Grove checkUnion Grove18.133-D3 ▲7 · 1-D
11T▲11Holmen checkHolmen17.883-C9 ▲2 · 3-B
11T▲18Watertown checkWatertown17.883-B43 ▼32 · Out projected out
13▼1Beaver Dam checkBeaver Dam17.634-B7 ▲6 · 2-B
14▲15Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln checkWisconsin Rapids17.634-A39 ▼25 · Out projected out
15▼14Waukesha West checkWaukesha16.754-D19 ▼4 · 5-B
16▲13Grafton checkGrafton16.504-C24 ▼8 · 6-A
17▼16Racine Horlick checkRacine15.635-C35 ▼18 · Out projected out
18T▲4Wausau East checkWausau15.135-A16 ▲2 · 4-A
18T▲11Westosha Central checkSalem15.135-D27 ▼9 · 7-D
20▲9Nicolet checkGlendale15.135-B36 ▼16 · Out projected out
21▲1La Crosse Central checkLa Crosse13.136-C14 ▲7 · 4-B
22▼21Burlington checkBurlington6.506-D28 ▼6 · 7-A
23▼11Ashwaubenon checkAshwaubenon6.256-A22 ▲1 · 6-C
24T▼12Green Bay Southwest checkGreen Bay6.00#641 ▼17 · Out projected out
24T▼12Marshfield checkMarshfield6.00#618 ▲6 · 5-A
26T▼4Oregon checkOregon5.507-B33 ▼7 · Out projected out
26T▼4Waukesha South checkWaukesha5.507-A13 ▲13 · 4-D
28▼1West Allis Central checkWest Allis5.257-D42 ▼14 · Out projected out
29T▼28Milwaukee King checkMilwaukee3.258-D30 ▼1 · 8-D
29T▼28Superior checkSuperior3.258-A37 ▼8 · Out projected out
31T▼19Cedarburg checkCedarburg3.00#845 ▼14 · Out projected out
31T▼2Germantown checkGermantown3.00#829 ▲2 · 8-C
31T▼19Kaukauna checkKaukauna3.00#88 ▲23 · 2-C
31T▼19Slinger checkSlinger3.00#823 ▲8 · 6-D
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
35▼6Menasha checkBelow cut lineMenasha2.50Below cut line dropped15 ▲20 · 4-C projected in
36T▼7Greenfield checkBelow cut lineGreenfield2.25Below cut line dropped12 ▲24 · 3-A projected in
36T▼7West Bend West checkBelow cut lineWest Bend2.25Below cut line dropped11 ▲25 · 3-D projected in
38T▼9Beloit Memorial checkBelow cut lineBeloit0.00Below cut line dropped47T ▼9 · Out
38T▼9DeForest checkBelow cut lineDeForest0.00Below cut line dropped32 ▲6 · 8-B projected in
38T▼9Green Bay East checkBelow cut lineGreen Bay0.00Below cut line dropped47T ▼9 · Out
38T▼9Hartford Union checkBelow cut lineHartford0.00Below cut line dropped38 – · Out
38T▼9Kettle Moraine checkBelow cut lineWales0.00Below cut line dropped47T ▼9 · Out
38T▼9Menomonie checkBelow cut lineMenomonie0.00Below cut line dropped34 ▲4 · Out
38T▼9Milton checkBelow cut lineMilton0.00Below cut line dropped31 ▲7 · 8-A projected in
38T▼9Milwaukee Marshall checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee0.00Below cut line droppedExcluded
38T▼9Oshkosh North checkBelow cut lineOshkosh0.00Below cut line dropped25 ▲13 · 7-C projected in
38T▼9Racine Park checkBelow cut lineRacine0.00Below cut line dropped47T ▼9 · Out
38T▼9Rice Lake checkBelow cut lineRice Lake0.00Below cut line dropped44 ▼6 · Out
38T▼9River Falls checkBelow cut lineRiver Falls0.00Below cut line dropped21 ▲17 · 6-B projected in
38T▼9Sheboygan South checkBelow cut lineSheboygan0.00Below cut line dropped40 ▼2 · Out
38T▼9West Allis Hale checkBelow cut lineWest Allis0.00Below cut line dropped46 ▼8 · Out
—Milwaukee South checkMilwaukee0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 2 (games through Saturday 2026-08-29). 34 of 51 in the field, 28 placed (6 waiting on a tie-break).

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Pulaski (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21Appleton EastW6.5 (D1)6.506.502yes
2026-08-28HortonvilleW6.5 (D1)6.506.002yes

Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 2 = 6.500. Tier 2 points = 6.50 + 6.00 = 12.50; opponents’ games = 2 + 2 = 4; Tier 2 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125. Total = 6.500 + 9 × 3.125 = 34.63 (Tier 3 tie-break 11.81).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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