Ewert projection through week 4Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 8:47 AM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 2 · Week 4 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 4. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 4. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 3: in Kaukauna (34 → 14), River Falls (36 → 25), Oshkosh North (40 → 27) · out Watertown (30 → 35), Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln (31 → 37), Nicolet (32 → 40). Biggest climbs: Kaukauna ▲20, Oshkosh North ▲13, Homestead ▲11. Biggest drops: Waukesha West ▼14, Brookfield Central ▼13, Greenfield ▼12.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ▲1 | Union Grove check | Union Grove | Union Grove · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 35.41 | Union Grove · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 4 = 5.875 | Union Grove · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 52.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 3.281 | Union Grove · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 1-D | 3 ▼2 · 1-D |
| 2 | ▲4 | New Richmond check | New Richmond | New Richmond · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 30.84 | New Richmond · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 4 = 6.375 | New Richmond · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.719 | New Richmond · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 1-B | 1 ▲1 · 1-B |
| 3 | – | Holmen check | Holmen | Holmen · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 29.41 | Holmen · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.00 ÷ 4 = 5.500 | Holmen · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 42.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.656 | Holmen · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 1-A | 9 ▼6 · 3-B |
| 4 | ▲5 | Monona Grove check | Monona | Monona Grove · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 26.78 | Monona Grove · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 4 = 6.250 | Monona Grove · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 36.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.281 | Monona Grove · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 1-C | 4 – · 1-A |
| 5 | ▲3 | Elkhorn check | Elkhorn | Elkhorn · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 22.25 | Elkhorn · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 4 = 4.250 | Elkhorn · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.000 | Elkhorn · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 2-C | 5 – · 2-A |
| 6 | ▲4 | Waukesha South check | Waukesha | Waukesha South · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 20.81 | Waukesha South · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.50 ÷ 4 = 5.625 | Waukesha South · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.688 | Waukesha South · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 2-D | 13 ▼7 · 4-D |
| 7 | ▼2 | Notre Dame check | Green Bay | Notre Dame · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 20.59 | Notre Dame · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 4 = 6.250 | Notre Dame · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.594 | Notre Dame · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 2-B | 2 ▲5 · 1-C |
| 8 | ▼7 | Menomonee Falls check | Menomonee Falls | Menomonee Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 20.53 | Menomonee Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 4 = 4.500 | Menomonee Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 28.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.781 | Menomonee Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 2-A | 20 ▼12 · 5-C |
| 9 | ▼2 | Wauwatosa East check | Wauwatosa | Wauwatosa East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 20.09 | Wauwatosa East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 4 = 4.625 | Wauwatosa East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.719 | Wauwatosa East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 3-D | 17 ▼8 · 5-D |
| 10 | ▼6 | Burlington check | Burlington | Burlington · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 20.09 | Burlington · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 4 = 4.625 | Burlington · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.719 | Burlington · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 3-C | 28 ▼18 · 7-A |
| 11 | – | Pulaski check | Pulaski | Pulaski · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 18.94 | Pulaski · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.50 ÷ 4 = 4.875 | Pulaski · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.563 | Pulaski · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 3-B | 10 ▲1 · 3-C |
| 12 | ▲3 | Grafton check | Grafton | Grafton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 17.59 | Grafton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 4 = 4.375 | Grafton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.469 | Grafton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 3-A | 24 ▼12 · 6-A |
| 13 | ▲11 | Homestead check | Mequon | Homestead · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 16.69 | Homestead · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.00 ÷ 4 = 6.000 | Homestead · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.188 | Homestead · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-D | 6 ▲7 · 2-D |
| 14 | ▲20 | Kaukauna check | Kaukauna | Kaukauna · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 15.44 | Kaukauna · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 4 = 4.750 | Kaukauna · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.188 | Kaukauna · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-B in | 8 ▲6 · 2-C |
| 15 | ▲4 | West Bend West check | West Bend | West Bend West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 15.00 | West Bend West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 4 = 3.750 | West Bend West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 20.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.250 | West Bend West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 4-C | 11 ▲4 · 3-D |
| 16 | ▼4 | Beaver Dam check | Beaver Dam | Beaver Dam · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 14.94 | Beaver Dam · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 4 = 4.250 | Beaver Dam · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.188 | Beaver Dam · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-A | 7 ▲9 · 2-B |
| 17 | ▼3 | Slinger check | Slinger | Slinger · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 14.91 | Slinger · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 4 = 4.500 | Slinger · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.156 | Slinger · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-C | 23 ▼6 · 6-D |
| 18 | – | Racine Horlick check | Racine | Racine Horlick · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 13.53 | Racine Horlick · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Racine Horlick · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.156 | Racine Horlick · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-D | 35 ▼17 · Out projected out |
| 19 | ▲9 | Wausau East check | Wausau | Wausau East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 13.16 | Wausau East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 4 = 3.875 | Wausau East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 16.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.031 | Wausau East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-B | 16 ▲3 · 4-A |
| 20 | ▲5 | Westosha Central check | Salem | Westosha Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 12.84 | Westosha Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 4 = 3.000 | Westosha Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.094 | Westosha Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-A | 27 ▼7 · 7-D |
| 21 | ▲1 | La Crosse Central check | La Crosse | La Crosse Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 12.16 | La Crosse Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 4 = 4.000 | La Crosse Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.906 | La Crosse Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 6-C | 14 ▲7 · 4-B |
| 22 | ▼1 | Marshfield check | Marshfield | Marshfield · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 11.66 | Marshfield · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 4 = 4.625 | Marshfield · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.781 | Marshfield · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-D | 18 ▲4 · 5-A |
| 23 | – | Ashwaubenon check | Ashwaubenon | Ashwaubenon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 11.22 | Ashwaubenon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 4 = 4.750 | Ashwaubenon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.719 | Ashwaubenon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-B | 22 ▲1 · 6-C |
| 24 | ▲2 | Menasha check | Menasha | Menasha · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 10.56 | Menasha · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 4 = 4.375 | Menasha · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.688 | Menasha · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-A | 15 ▲9 · 4-C |
| 25 | ▲11 | River Falls check | River Falls | River Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 10.44 | River Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | River Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 13.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.813 | River Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-B in | 21 ▲4 · 6-B |
| 26 | ▼13 | Brookfield Central check | Brookfield | Brookfield Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 10.16 | Brookfield Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Brookfield Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.781 | Brookfield Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-D | 26 – · 7-B |
| 27 | ▲13 | Oshkosh North check | Oshkosh | Oshkosh North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 10.09 | Oshkosh North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Oshkosh North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.969 | Oshkosh North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-A in | 25 ▲2 · 7-C |
| 28 | ▼12 | Greenfield check | Greenfield | Greenfield · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 9.25 | Greenfield · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 4 = 2.500 | Greenfield · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.750 | Greenfield · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-C | 12 ▲16 · 3-A |
| 29 | ▼3 | Oregon check | Oregon | Oregon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 8.94 | Oregon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 4 = 2.750 | Oregon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.688 | Oregon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-A | 33 ▼4 · Out projected out |
| 30 | ▼1 | Milwaukee King check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee King · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 8.66 | Milwaukee King · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Milwaukee King · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.781 | Milwaukee King · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-D | 30 – · 8-D |
| 31 | ▼14 | Waukesha West check | Waukesha | Waukesha West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 8.66 | Waukesha West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Waukesha West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.781 | Waukesha West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-C | 19 ▲12 · 5-B |
| 32 | ▼12 | DeForest check | DeForest | DeForest · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 7.69 | DeForest · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | DeForest · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.688 | DeForest · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-B | 32 – · 8-B |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▲7 | West Allis Hale checkBelow cut line | West Allis | West Allis Hale · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 7.41 | West Allis Hale · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | West Allis Hale · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.656 | West Allis Hale · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 46 ▼13 · Out |
| 34 | ▲4 | Germantown checkBelow cut line | Germantown | Germantown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.78 | Germantown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Germantown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.406 | Germantown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 29 ▲5 · 8-C projected in |
| 35 | ▼5 | Watertown checkBelow cut line | Watertown | Watertown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.28 | Watertown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Watertown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.406 | Watertown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 43 ▼8 · Out |
| 36 | – | Superior checkBelow cut line | Superior | Superior · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.28 | Superior · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Superior · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.406 | Superior · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 37 ▼1 · Out |
| 37 | ▼6 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln checkBelow cut line | Wisconsin Rapids | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.16 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.406 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 39 ▼2 · Out |
| 38 | ▲2 | Milton checkBelow cut line | Milton | Milton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.00 | Milton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Milton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.375 | Milton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 31 ▲7 · 8-A projected in |
| 39 | ▼6 | West Allis Central checkBelow cut line | West Allis | West Allis Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 4.59 | West Allis Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625 | West Allis Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | West Allis Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 42 ▼3 · Out |
| 40 | ▼8 | Nicolet checkBelow cut line | Glendale | Nicolet · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 4.47 | Nicolet · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Nicolet · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.344 | Nicolet · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 36 ▲4 · Out |
| 41 | ▼6 | Green Bay Southwest checkBelow cut line | Green Bay | Green Bay Southwest · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 3.00 | Green Bay Southwest · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 4 = 3.000 | Green Bay Southwest · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Green Bay Southwest · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 41 – · Out |
| 42 | ▼4 | Cedarburg checkBelow cut line | Cedarburg | Cedarburg · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.50 | Cedarburg · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Cedarburg · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Cedarburg · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45 ▼3 · Out |
| 43T | ▼3 | Beloit Memorial checkBelow cut line | Beloit | Beloit Memorial · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Beloit Memorial · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Beloit Memorial · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 13 = 0.000 | Beloit Memorial · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼4 · Out |
| 43T | ▼3 | Green Bay East checkBelow cut line | Green Bay | Green Bay East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Green Bay East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Green Bay East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Green Bay East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼4 · Out |
| 43T | ▼3 | Hartford Union checkBelow cut line | Hartford | Hartford Union · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Hartford Union · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Hartford Union · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Hartford Union · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 38 ▲5 · Out |
| 43T | ▼3 | Kettle Moraine checkBelow cut line | Wales | Kettle Moraine · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Kettle Moraine · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Kettle Moraine · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Kettle Moraine · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼4 · Out |
| 43T | ▼3 | Menomonie checkBelow cut line | Menomonie | Menomonie · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Menomonie · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Menomonie · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Menomonie · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 34 ▲9 · Out |
| 43T | ▼3 | Milwaukee Marshall checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Marshall · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-2 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Marshall · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 2 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Marshall · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 8 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Marshall · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | Excluded |
| 43T | ▼3 | Racine Park checkBelow cut line | Racine | Racine Park · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Racine Park · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Racine Park · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Racine Park · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼4 · Out |
| 43T | ▼3 | Rice Lake checkBelow cut line | Rice Lake | Rice Lake · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Rice Lake · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Rice Lake · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Rice Lake · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 44 ▼1 · Out |
| 43T | ▼3 | Sheboygan South checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan | Sheboygan South · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Sheboygan South · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Sheboygan South · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Sheboygan South · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 40 ▲3 · Out |
| — | Milwaukee South check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee South · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-1 | 0.00 | Milwaukee South · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 | Milwaukee South · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 4 = 0.000 | Milwaukee South · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 4 (games through Saturday 2026-09-12). 32 of 51 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Union Grove (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Kettle Moraine | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 0.00 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Whitefish Bay | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 17.00 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Elkhorn | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 17.00 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Burlington | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 18.50 | 4 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 4 = 5.875. Tier 2 points = 0.00 + 17.00 + 17.00 + 18.50 = 52.50; opponents’ games = 4 + 4 + 4 + 4 = 16; Tier 2 AVG = 52.50 ÷ 16 = 3.281. Total = 5.875 + 9 × 3.281 = 35.41 (Tier 3 tie-break 12.52).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
