Ewert projection through week 5Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 9:31 AM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 2 · Week 5 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 5. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 5. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 4: in Germantown (34 → 24), Milton (38 → 30) · out Milwaukee King (30 → 34), DeForest (32 → 35). Biggest climbs: River Falls ▲13, Menasha ▲11, Germantown ▲10. Biggest drops: Racine Horlick ▼10, Westosha Central ▼9, West Bend West ▼7.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ▲1 | New Richmond check | New Richmond | New Richmond · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 35.56 | New Richmond · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.00 ÷ 5 = 6.400 | New Richmond · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 81.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 3.240 | New Richmond · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 13 | 1-B | 1 – · 1-B |
| 2 | ▲1 | Holmen check | Holmen | Holmen · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 35.20 | Holmen · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 27.50 ÷ 5 = 5.500 | Holmen · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 82.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 3.300 | Holmen · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 15 | 1-C | 9 ▼7 · 3-B |
| 3 | ▼2 | Union Grove check | Union Grove | Union Grove · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 34.42 | Union Grove · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 29.00 ÷ 5 = 5.800 | Union Grove · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 79.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 3.180 | Union Grove · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 1-D | 3 – · 1-D |
| 4 | – | Monona Grove check | Monona | Monona Grove · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 26.18 | Monona Grove · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.00 ÷ 5 = 6.200 | Monona Grove · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 55.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.220 | Monona Grove · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 1-A | 4 – · 1-A |
| 5 | ▲6 | Pulaski check | Pulaski | Pulaski · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 23.10 | Pulaski · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 5 = 5.100 | Pulaski · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 50.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.000 | Pulaski · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 2-B | 10 ▼5 · 3-C |
| 6 | ▲2 | Menomonee Falls check | Menomonee Falls | Menomonee Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 21.08 | Menomonee Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 5 = 4.700 | Menomonee Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 45.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.820 | Menomonee Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 2-D | 20 ▼14 · 5-C |
| 7 | ▼2 | Elkhorn check | Elkhorn | Elkhorn · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 20.18 | Elkhorn · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 5 = 4.700 | Elkhorn · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.720 | Elkhorn · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 2-A | 5 ▲2 · 2-A |
| 8 | ▼1 | Notre Dame check | Green Bay | Notre Dame · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 20.06 | Notre Dame · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.00 ÷ 5 = 6.200 | Notre Dame · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 38.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.540 | Notre Dame · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 2-C | 2 ▲6 · 1-C |
| 9 | – | Wauwatosa East check | Wauwatosa | Wauwatosa East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 19.54 | Wauwatosa East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 5 = 3.700 | Wauwatosa East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 44.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.760 | Wauwatosa East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 3-D | 17 ▼8 · 5-D |
| 10 | ▲3 | Homestead check | Mequon | Homestead · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 19.50 | Homestead · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 30.00 ÷ 5 = 6.000 | Homestead · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 37.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.500 | Homestead · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 3-C | 6 ▲4 · 2-D |
| 11 | ▼5 | Waukesha South check | Waukesha | Waukesha South · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 18.36 | Waukesha South · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.50 ÷ 5 = 4.500 | Waukesha South · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 38.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.540 | Waukesha South · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 3-A | 13 ▼2 · 4-D |
| 12 | ▲13 | River Falls check | River Falls | River Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 17.66 | River Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 5 = 3.800 | River Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 38.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.540 | River Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 3-B | 21 ▼9 · 6-B |
| 13 | ▲11 | Menasha check | Menasha | Menasha · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 16.48 | Menasha · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 5 = 4.600 | Menasha · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 33.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.320 | Menasha · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 4-C | 15 ▼2 · 4-C |
| 14 | – | Kaukauna check | Kaukauna | Kaukauna · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 15.32 | Kaukauna · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 5 = 3.800 | Kaukauna · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.280 | Kaukauna · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 4-B | 8 ▲6 · 2-C |
| 15 | ▲1 | Beaver Dam check | Beaver Dam | Beaver Dam · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 15.30 | Beaver Dam · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.50 ÷ 5 = 4.500 | Beaver Dam · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 30.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.200 | Beaver Dam · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 4-A | 7 ▲8 · 2-B |
| 16 | ▼6 | Burlington check | Burlington | Burlington · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 14.80 | Burlington · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 5 = 4.900 | Burlington · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.100 | Burlington · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 4-D | 28 ▼12 · 7-A |
| 17 | ▼5 | Grafton check | Grafton | Grafton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 14.76 | Grafton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.50 ÷ 5 = 4.500 | Grafton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 28.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.140 | Grafton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 5-D | 24 ▼7 · 6-A |
| 18 | ▲9 | Oshkosh North check | Oshkosh | Oshkosh North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 14.28 | Oshkosh North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 5 = 2.400 | Oshkosh North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 33.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.320 | Oshkosh North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 5-A | 25 ▼7 · 7-C |
| 19 | ▲3 | Marshfield check | Marshfield | Marshfield · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 13.90 | Marshfield · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 5 = 4.900 | Marshfield · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.000 | Marshfield · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 5-C | 18 ▲1 · 5-A |
| 20 | ▲3 | Ashwaubenon check | Ashwaubenon | Ashwaubenon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 12.44 | Ashwaubenon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 5 = 3.800 | Ashwaubenon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.960 | Ashwaubenon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 5-B | 22 ▼2 · 6-C |
| 21 | ▼4 | Slinger check | Slinger | Slinger · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 12.42 | Slinger · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 5 = 3.600 | Slinger · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.980 | Slinger · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 6-A | 23 ▼2 · 6-D |
| 22 | ▼7 | West Bend West check | West Bend | West Bend West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 12.18 | West Bend West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 5 = 3.000 | West Bend West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.020 | West Bend West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 6-C | 11 ▲11 · 3-D |
| 23 | ▼4 | Wausau East check | Wausau | Wausau East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 11.02 | Wausau East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 5 = 3.100 | Wausau East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 22.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.880 | Wausau East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 6-B | 16 ▲7 · 4-A |
| 24 | ▲10 | Germantown check | Germantown | Germantown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 10.64 | Germantown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 5 = 3.800 | Germantown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.760 | Germantown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 6-D in | 29 ▼5 · 8-C |
| 25 | ▼4 | La Crosse Central check | La Crosse | La Crosse Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 10.22 | La Crosse Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 5 = 3.200 | La Crosse Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.780 | La Crosse Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 7-B | 14 ▲11 · 4-B |
| 26 | ▲2 | Greenfield check | Greenfield | Greenfield · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 9.58 | Greenfield · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 5 = 3.100 | Greenfield · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.720 | Greenfield · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-C | 12 ▲14 · 3-A |
| 27 | ▼1 | Brookfield Central check | Brookfield | Brookfield Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 9.16 | Brookfield Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 5 = 2.500 | Brookfield Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.740 | Brookfield Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-D | 26 ▲1 · 7-B |
| 28 | ▼10 | Racine Horlick check | Racine | Racine Horlick · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 9.16 | Racine Horlick · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 5 = 2.500 | Racine Horlick · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.740 | Racine Horlick · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-A | 35 ▼7 · Out projected out |
| 29 | ▼9 | Westosha Central check | Salem | Westosha Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 8.70 | Westosha Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 5 = 2.400 | Westosha Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.700 | Westosha Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 8-D | 27 ▲2 · 7-D |
| 30 | ▲8 | Milton check | Milton | Milton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 8.62 | Milton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 5 = 2.500 | Milton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.680 | Milton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 8-A in | 31 ▼1 · 8-A |
| 31 | – | Waukesha West check | Waukesha | Waukesha West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 7.00 | Waukesha West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 5 = 2.500 | Waukesha West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.500 | Waukesha West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-C | 19 ▲12 · 5-B |
| 32 | ▼3 | Oregon check | Oregon | Oregon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 6.16 | Oregon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 5 = 2.200 | Oregon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.440 | Oregon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-B | 33 ▼1 · Out projected out |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▲4 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln checkBelow cut line | Wisconsin Rapids | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 5.88 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 5 = 1.200 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 13.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.520 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 39 ▼6 · Out |
| 34 | ▼4 | Milwaukee King checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee King · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 5.80 | Milwaukee King · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 5 = 1.300 | Milwaukee King · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.500 | Milwaukee King · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line dropped | 30 ▲4 · 8-D projected in |
| 35 | ▼3 | DeForest checkBelow cut line | DeForest | DeForest · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 5.16 | DeForest · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 5 = 1.200 | DeForest · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.440 | DeForest · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line dropped | 32 ▲3 · 8-B projected in |
| 36 | ▼3 | West Allis Hale checkBelow cut line | West Allis | West Allis Hale · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 4.98 | West Allis Hale · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 5 = 1.200 | West Allis Hale · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.420 | West Allis Hale · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 46 ▼10 · Out |
| 37 | ▼1 | Superior checkBelow cut line | Superior | Superior · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 4.94 | Superior · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 5 = 2.600 | Superior · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.260 | Superior · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 37 – · Out |
| 38 | ▲3 | Green Bay Southwest checkBelow cut line | Green Bay | Green Bay Southwest · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 4.74 | Green Bay Southwest · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 5 = 2.400 | Green Bay Southwest · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.260 | Green Bay Southwest · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 41 ▼3 · Out |
| 39 | ▼4 | Watertown checkBelow cut line | Watertown | Watertown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 3.64 | Watertown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 5 = 1.300 | Watertown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.260 | Watertown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 43 ▼4 · Out |
| 40 | ▼1 | West Allis Central checkBelow cut line | West Allis | West Allis Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 3.36 | West Allis Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 5 = 2.100 | West Allis Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.140 | West Allis Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 42 ▼2 · Out |
| 41 | ▼1 | Nicolet checkBelow cut line | Glendale | Nicolet · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 3.08 | Nicolet · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 5 = 1.100 | Nicolet · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.220 | Nicolet · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 36 ▲5 · Out |
| 42 | ▲1 | Sheboygan South checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan | Sheboygan South · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.30 | Sheboygan South · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 5 = 1.300 | Sheboygan South · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Sheboygan South · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 40 ▲2 · Out |
| 43T | ▼1 | Cedarburg checkBelow cut line | Cedarburg | Cedarburg · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.20 | Cedarburg · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 5 = 1.200 | Cedarburg · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Cedarburg · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45 ▼2 · Out |
| 43T | – | Menomonie checkBelow cut line | Menomonie | Menomonie · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.20 | Menomonie · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 5 = 1.200 | Menomonie · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Menomonie · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 34 ▲9 · Out |
| 45T | ▼2 | Beloit Memorial checkBelow cut line | Beloit | Beloit Memorial · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Beloit Memorial · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Beloit Memorial · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 21 = 0.000 | Beloit Memorial · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼2 · Out |
| 45T | ▼2 | Green Bay East checkBelow cut line | Green Bay | Green Bay East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Green Bay East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Green Bay East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Green Bay East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼2 · Out |
| 45T | ▼2 | Hartford Union checkBelow cut line | Hartford | Hartford Union · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Hartford Union · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Hartford Union · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Hartford Union · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 38 ▲7 · Out |
| 45T | ▼2 | Kettle Moraine checkBelow cut line | Wales | Kettle Moraine · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Kettle Moraine · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Kettle Moraine · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Kettle Moraine · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼2 · Out |
| 45T | ▼2 | Milwaukee Marshall checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Marshall · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Marshall · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Marshall · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 15 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Marshall · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | Excluded |
| 45T | ▼2 | Racine Park checkBelow cut line | Racine | Racine Park · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Racine Park · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Racine Park · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Racine Park · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼2 · Out |
| 45T | ▼2 | Rice Lake checkBelow cut line | Rice Lake | Rice Lake · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Rice Lake · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Rice Lake · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Rice Lake · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 44 ▲1 · Out |
| — | Milwaukee South check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee South · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-2 | 0.00 | Milwaukee South · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 2 = 0.000 | Milwaukee South · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Milwaukee South · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 5 (games through Saturday 2026-09-19). 32 of 51 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: New Richmond (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Eau Claire Memorial | W | 6.5 (D1) | 6.50 | 0.00 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-08-27 | Stevens Point Area Senior High | W | 6.5 (D1) | 6.50 | 24.50 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Superior | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 13.00 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Chippewa Falls | W | 6.5 (D1) | 6.50 | 19.00 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Hudson | W | 6.5 (D1) | 6.50 | 24.50 | 5 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 32.00 ÷ 5 = 6.400. Tier 2 points = 0.00 + 24.50 + 13.00 + 19.00 + 24.50 = 81.00; opponents’ games = 5 + 5 + 5 + 5 + 5 = 25; Tier 2 AVG = 81.00 ÷ 25 = 3.240. Total = 6.400 + 9 × 3.240 = 35.56 (Tier 3 tie-break 7.13).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
