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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 2 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 6Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 9:31 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

ES pick: Holmen, 88.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 HolmenES 89%8 MiltonES pick: Beaver Dam, 68.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Beaver DamES 68%5 River FallsES pick: Kaukauna, 83.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 KaukaunaES 83%6 AshwaubenonES pick: Notre Dame, 91.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Notre DameES 91%7 SlingerES pick: Holmen, 59.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 HolmenES 59%4 Beaver Dam3 KaukaunaES pick: Notre Dame, 81.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Notre DameES 82%1 HolmenES pick: Notre Dame, 74.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Notre DameES 75%ES pick: New Richmond, 97.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New RichmondES 97%8 Oregon4 West Bend WestES pick: La Crosse Central, 52.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 La Crosse Ce…ES 52%ES pick: Menasha, 56.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 MenashaES 57%6 GraftonES pick: Pulaski, 95.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 PulaskiES 95%7 Wausau EastES pick: New Richmond, 85.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New RichmondES 85%5 La Crosse Central3 MenashaES pick: Pulaski, 74.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 PulaskiES 74%ES pick: New Richmond, 82.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New RichmondES 83%2 PulaskiES pick: Monona Grove, 98.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Monona GroveES 99%8 Westosha Central4 Waukesha SouthES pick: Brookfield Central, 76.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 Brookfield C…ES 77%ES pick: Marshfield, 88.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 MarshfieldES 88%6 Oshkosh NorthES pick: Elkhorn, 80.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 ElkhornES 81%7 Waukesha WestES pick: Monona Grove, 84.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Monona GroveES 84%5 Brookfield Central3 MarshfieldES pick: Elkhorn, 63.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 ElkhornES 63%ES pick: Monona Grove, 86.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Monona GroveES 87%2 ElkhornES pick: Union Grove, 99.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Union GroveES 100%8 Racine Horlick4 Wauwatosa EastES pick: Greenfield, 57.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 GreenfieldES 58%3 Menomonee FallsES pick: Burlington, 53.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 BurlingtonES 54%ES pick: Homestead, 88.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 HomesteadES 88%7 GermantownES pick: Union Grove, 94.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Union GroveES 95%5 Greenfield6 BurlingtonES pick: Homestead, 95.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 HomesteadES 95%1 Union GroveES pick: Homestead, 50.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 HomesteadES 50%2 Notre DameES pick: New Richmond, 60.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 New RichmondES 60%State semifinalES pick: Monona Grove, 63.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 Monona GroveES 63%2 HomesteadState semifinal1 New RichmondES pick: Monona Grove, 50.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 Monona GroveES 50%State final · ES pick: Monona GroveRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 2 · Week 6 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 6. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 6. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 5: the same teams are in the field. Biggest climbs: Brookfield Central ▲10, Marshfield ▲9, Greenfield ▲8. Biggest drops: River Falls ▼7, Slinger ▼7, Burlington ▼6.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–New Richmond checkNew Richmond36.081-B1 – · 1-B
2▲1Union Grove checkUnion Grove31.581-D3 ▼1 · 1-D
3▲1Monona Grove checkMonona29.381-C4 ▼1 · 1-A
4▼2Holmen checkHolmen28.881-A9 ▼5 · 3-B
5▲2Elkhorn checkElkhorn24.082-C5 – · 2-A
6▲4Homestead checkMequon24.042-D6 – · 2-D
7▲1Notre Dame checkGreen Bay23.542-A2 ▲5 · 1-C
8▼3Pulaski checkPulaski19.882-B10 ▼2 · 3-C
9▼3Menomonee Falls checkMenomonee Falls19.543-D20 ▼11 · 5-C
10▲9Marshfield checkMarshfield19.173-C18 ▼8 · 5-A
11▲2Menasha checkMenasha19.173-B15 ▼4 · 4-C
12▲2Kaukauna checkKaukauna18.633-A8 ▲4 · 2-C
13▲2Beaver Dam checkBeaver Dam17.544-A7 ▲6 · 2-B
14▼5Wauwatosa East checkWauwatosa17.214-D17 ▼3 · 5-D
15▲7West Bend West checkWest Bend16.884-B11 ▲4 · 3-D
16▼5Waukesha South checkWaukesha16.134-C13 ▲3 · 4-D
17▲10Brookfield Central checkBrookfield15.585-C26 ▼9 · 7-B
18▲8Greenfield checkGreenfield14.885-D12 ▲6 · 3-A
19▼7River Falls checkRiver Falls14.295-A21 ▼2 · 6-B
20▲5La Crosse Central checkLa Crosse13.585-B14 ▲6 · 4-B
21▼1Ashwaubenon checkAshwaubenon13.176-A22 ▼1 · 6-C
22▼6Burlington checkBurlington12.466-D28 ▼6 · 7-A
23▼6Grafton checkGrafton12.256-B24 ▼1 · 6-A
24▼6Oshkosh North checkOshkosh11.886-C25 ▼1 · 7-C
25▼2Wausau East checkWausau11.677-B16 ▲9 · 4-A
26▼2Germantown checkGermantown10.927-D29 ▼3 · 8-C
27▲4Waukesha West checkWaukesha10.837-C19 ▲8 · 5-B
28▼7Slinger checkSlinger10.637-A23 ▲5 · 6-D
29▲1Milton checkMilton10.338-A31 ▼2 · 8-A
30▼1Westosha Central checkSalem9.388-C27 ▲3 · 7-D
31▲1Oregon checkOregon8.588-B33 ▼2 · Out projected out
32▼4Racine Horlick checkRacine7.968-D35 ▼3 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▲12Hartford Union checkBelow cut lineHartford6.88Below cut line38 ▼5 · Out
34–Milwaukee King checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee6.58Below cut line30 ▲4 · 8-D projected in
35▼2Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln checkBelow cut lineWisconsin Rapids5.33Below cut line39 ▼4 · Out
36▼1DeForest checkBelow cut lineDeForest5.25Below cut line32 ▲4 · 8-B projected in
37▲6Menomonie checkBelow cut lineMenomonie5.25Below cut line34 ▲3 · Out
38–Green Bay Southwest checkBelow cut lineGreen Bay5.13Below cut line41 ▼3 · Out
39▲1West Allis Central checkBelow cut lineWest Allis3.88Below cut line42 ▼3 · Out
40▼3Superior checkBelow cut lineSuperior3.79Below cut line37 ▲3 · Out
41▼5West Allis Hale checkBelow cut lineWest Allis3.63Below cut line46 ▼5 · Out
42▼1Nicolet checkBelow cut lineGlendale3.21Below cut line36 ▲6 · Out
43▼4Watertown checkBelow cut lineWatertown2.71Below cut line43 – · Out
44▼2Sheboygan South checkBelow cut lineSheboygan2.08Below cut line40 ▲4 · Out
45▼2Cedarburg checkBelow cut lineCedarburg1.00Below cut line45 – · Out
46T▼1Beloit Memorial checkBelow cut lineBeloit0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T▼1Green Bay East checkBelow cut lineGreen Bay0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T▼1Kettle Moraine checkBelow cut lineWales0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T▼1Milwaukee Marshall checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee0.00Below cut lineExcluded
46T▼1Racine Park checkBelow cut lineRacine0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T▼1Rice Lake checkBelow cut lineRice Lake0.00Below cut line44 ▲2 · Out
—Milwaukee South checkMilwaukee0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 6 (games through Saturday 2026-09-26). 32 of 51 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: New Richmond (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-20Eau Claire MemorialW6.5 (D1)6.500.006yes
2026-08-27Stevens Point Area Senior HighW6.5 (D1)6.5031.006yes
2026-09-04SuperiorW6 (D2)6.0013.006yes
2026-09-11Chippewa FallsW6.5 (D1)6.5025.006yes
2026-09-18HudsonW6.5 (D1)6.5031.006yes
2026-09-25River FallsW6 (D2)6.0019.006yes

Tier 1 AVG = 38.00 ÷ 6 = 6.333. Tier 2 points = 0.00 + 31.00 + 13.00 + 25.00 + 31.00 + 19.00 = 119.00; opponents’ games = 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 = 36; Tier 2 AVG = 119.00 ÷ 36 = 3.306. Total = 6.333 + 9 × 3.306 = 36.08 (Tier 3 tie-break 8.06).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

WIAA Football Playoff Brackets: Official and Projected | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports