Ewert projection through week 8Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 9:31 AM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 2 · Week 8 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 8. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 8. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 7: in Milwaukee King (36 → 30), DeForest (35 → 32) · out Racine Horlick (31 → 34), Menomonie (32 → 33). Biggest climbs: La Crosse Central ▲8, Milwaukee King ▲6, Greenfield ▲5. Biggest drops: Menomonee Falls ▼6, Oshkosh North ▼6, Brookfield Central ▼6.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ▲2 | Notre Dame check | Green Bay | Notre Dame · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-0 | 31.94 | Notre Dame · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 48.50 ÷ 8 = 6.063 | Notre Dame · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 184.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 2.875 | Notre Dame · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 30 | 1-D | 2 ▼1 · 1-C |
| 2 | – | New Richmond check | New Richmond | New Richmond · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-0 | 31.56 | New Richmond · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 50.00 ÷ 8 = 6.250 | New Richmond · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 180.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 2.813 | New Richmond · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 29 | 1-B | 1 ▲1 · 1-B |
| 3 | ▼2 | Union Grove check | Union Grove | Union Grove · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-0 | 30.35 | Union Grove · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 46.50 ÷ 8 = 5.813 | Union Grove · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 174.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 2.727 | Union Grove · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 30 | 1-A | 3 – · 1-D |
| 4 | – | Elkhorn check | Elkhorn | Elkhorn · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 26.37 | Elkhorn · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 40.50 ÷ 8 = 5.063 | Elkhorn · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 151.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 2.367 | Elkhorn · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 27 | 1-C | 5 ▼1 · 2-A |
| 5 | ▲1 | Monona Grove check | Monona | Monona Grove · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 23.71 | Monona Grove · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 44.00 ÷ 8 = 5.500 | Monona Grove · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 129.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 2.023 | Monona Grove · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 21 | 2-C | 4 ▲1 · 1-A |
| 6 | ▼1 | Holmen check | Holmen | Holmen · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 23.16 | Holmen · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 38.50 ÷ 8 = 4.813 | Holmen · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 130.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 2.039 | Holmen · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 24 | 2-B | 9 ▼3 · 3-B |
| 7 | ▲4 | Beaver Dam check | Beaver Dam | Beaver Dam · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 22.81 | Beaver Dam · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 38.50 ÷ 8 = 4.813 | Beaver Dam · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 128.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 2.000 | Beaver Dam · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 23 | 2-D | 7 – · 2-B |
| 8 | ▲1 | Homestead check | Mequon | Homestead · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 21.99 | Homestead · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 41.50 ÷ 8 = 5.188 | Homestead · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 119.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.867 | Homestead · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 20 | 2-A | 6 ▲2 · 2-D |
| 9 | ▼1 | Kaukauna check | Kaukauna | Kaukauna · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-2 | 21.90 | Kaukauna · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 38.50 ÷ 8 = 4.813 | Kaukauna · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 121.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.898 | Kaukauna · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 19 | 3-D | 8 ▲1 · 2-C |
| 10 | – | Pulaski check | Pulaski | Pulaski · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-2 | 21.55 | Pulaski · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 38.00 ÷ 8 = 4.750 | Pulaski · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 119.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.867 | Pulaski · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 19 | 3-B | 10 – · 3-C |
| 11 | ▼4 | West Bend West check | West Bend | West Bend West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-2 | 19.82 | West Bend West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.00 ÷ 8 = 4.000 | West Bend West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 112.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.758 | West Bend West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 21 | 3-C | 11 – · 3-D |
| 12 | ▲5 | Greenfield check | Greenfield | Greenfield · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-2 | 19.25 | Greenfield · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.50 ÷ 8 = 4.063 | Greenfield · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 108.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.688 | Greenfield · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 19 | 3-A | 12 – · 3-A |
| 13 | – | Menasha check | Menasha | Menasha · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-2 | 18.57 | Menasha · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 35.50 ÷ 8 = 4.438 | Menasha · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 100.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.570 | Menasha · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 17 | 4-D | 15 ▼2 · 4-C |
| 14 | ▲1 | Wauwatosa East check | Wauwatosa | Wauwatosa East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 17.25 | Wauwatosa East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 30.00 ÷ 8 = 3.750 | Wauwatosa East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 96.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.500 | Wauwatosa East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 17 | 4-A | 17 ▼3 · 5-D |
| 15 | ▲8 | La Crosse Central check | La Crosse | La Crosse Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-2 | 16.57 | La Crosse Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 33.00 ÷ 8 = 4.125 | La Crosse Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 88.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.383 | La Crosse Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 17 | 4-B | 14 ▲1 · 4-B |
| 16 | ▼2 | Marshfield check | Marshfield | Marshfield · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-2 | 16.08 | Marshfield · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 37.50 ÷ 8 = 4.688 | Marshfield · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 81.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.266 | Marshfield · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 13 | 4-C | 18 ▼2 · 5-A |
| 17 | ▲2 | Ashwaubenon check | Ashwaubenon | Ashwaubenon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 15.89 | Ashwaubenon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.50 ÷ 8 = 3.938 | Ashwaubenon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 85.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.328 | Ashwaubenon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 5-D | 22 ▼5 · 6-C |
| 18 | ▼6 | Menomonee Falls check | Menomonee Falls | Menomonee Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 15.66 | Menomonee Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 8 = 2.938 | Menomonee Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 90.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.414 | Menomonee Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 5-C | 20 ▼2 · 5-C |
| 19 | ▼3 | Slinger check | Slinger | Slinger · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 15.56 | Slinger · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 30.00 ÷ 8 = 3.750 | Slinger · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 84.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.313 | Slinger · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 5-B | 23 ▼4 · 6-D |
| 20 | ▼2 | Waukesha South check | Waukesha | Waukesha South · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 14.47 | Waukesha South · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.00 ÷ 8 = 3.500 | Waukesha South · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 78.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.219 | Waukesha South · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 5-A | 13 ▲7 · 4-D |
| 21 | ▲1 | Grafton check | Grafton | Grafton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 14.47 | Grafton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.00 ÷ 8 = 3.500 | Grafton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 78.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.219 | Grafton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 6-C | 24 ▼3 · 6-A |
| 22 | ▲4 | Wausau East check | Wausau | Wausau East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-2 | 13.78 | Wausau East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.50 ÷ 8 = 3.938 | Wausau East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 70.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.094 | Wausau East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 13 | 6-B | 16 ▲6 · 4-A |
| 23 | ▲4 | Waukesha West check | Waukesha | Waukesha West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 12.42 | Waukesha West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.00 ÷ 8 = 3.000 | Waukesha West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 67.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.047 | Waukesha West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 6-A | 19 ▲4 · 5-B |
| 24 | – | River Falls check | River Falls | River Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 11.98 | River Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 8 = 3.125 | River Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 63.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.984 | River Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 6-D | 21 ▲3 · 6-B |
| 25 | ▲3 | Westosha Central check | Salem | Westosha Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 11.44 | Westosha Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.00 ÷ 8 = 3.000 | Westosha Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 60.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.938 | Westosha Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 7-D | 27 ▼2 · 7-D |
| 26 | ▼6 | Oshkosh North check | Oshkosh | Oshkosh North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 11.23 | Oshkosh North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.00 ÷ 8 = 3.000 | Oshkosh North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 58.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.914 | Oshkosh North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 7-B | 25 ▲1 · 7-C |
| 27 | ▼6 | Brookfield Central check | Brookfield | Brookfield Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 11.03 | Brookfield Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 8 = 2.313 | Brookfield Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 62.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.969 | Brookfield Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 7-A | 26 ▲1 · 7-B |
| 28 | ▼3 | Burlington check | Burlington | Burlington · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 10.45 | Burlington · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 8 = 3.063 | Burlington · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 52.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.820 | Burlington · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 7-C | 28 – · 7-A |
| 29 | – | Milton check | Milton | Milton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 9.81 | Milton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 8 = 3.063 | Milton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 48.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.750 | Milton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 8-C | 31 ▼2 · 8-A |
| 30 | ▲6 | Milwaukee King check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee King · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 8.22 | Milwaukee King · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 8 = 2.313 | Milwaukee King · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 42.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.656 | Milwaukee King · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 8-A in | 30 – · 8-D |
| 31 | ▼1 | Germantown check | Germantown | Germantown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 6.73 | Germantown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 8 = 2.375 | Germantown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.484 | Germantown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 8-D | 29 ▲2 · 8-C |
| 32 | ▲3 | DeForest check | DeForest | DeForest · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 6.46 | DeForest · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 8 = 2.313 | DeForest · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 29.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.461 | DeForest · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 8-B in | 32 – · 8-B |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▼1 | Menomonie checkBelow cut line | Menomonie | Menomonie · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 5.84 | Menomonie · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 8 = 2.250 | Menomonie · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.398 | Menomonie · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line dropped | 34 ▼1 · Out |
| 34 | ▼3 | Racine Horlick checkBelow cut line | Racine | Racine Horlick · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 5.78 | Racine Horlick · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 8 = 1.563 | Racine Horlick · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 30.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.469 | Racine Horlick · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line dropped | 35 ▼1 · Out |
| 35 | ▼2 | Oregon checkBelow cut line | Oregon | Oregon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 5.36 | Oregon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 8 = 2.125 | Oregon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.359 | Oregon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 33 ▲2 · Out |
| 36 | ▼2 | Nicolet checkBelow cut line | Glendale | Nicolet · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 4.95 | Nicolet · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 8 = 2.063 | Nicolet · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 20.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.320 | Nicolet · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 36 – · Out |
| 37 | – | Hartford Union checkBelow cut line | Hartford | Hartford Union · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-7 | 4.05 | Hartford Union · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 8 = 0.750 | Hartford Union · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.367 | Hartford Union · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 38 ▼1 · Out |
| 38 | – | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln checkBelow cut line | Wisconsin Rapids | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 3.39 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 8 = 1.563 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 13.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.203 | Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 39 ▼1 · Out |
| 39 | ▲2 | Superior checkBelow cut line | Superior | Superior · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 3.38 | Superior · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 8 = 1.625 | Superior · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.195 | Superior · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 37 ▲2 · Out |
| 40 | ▲2 | Sheboygan South checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan | Sheboygan South · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 3.32 | Sheboygan South · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 8 = 1.563 | Sheboygan South · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.195 | Sheboygan South · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 40 – · Out |
| 41 | ▼2 | Green Bay Southwest checkBelow cut line | Green Bay | Green Bay Southwest · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 3.26 | Green Bay Southwest · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 8 = 1.500 | Green Bay Southwest · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.195 | Green Bay Southwest · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 41 – · Out |
| 42 | ▼2 | West Allis Central checkBelow cut line | West Allis | West Allis Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 3.21 | West Allis Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 8 = 1.313 | West Allis Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 13.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.211 | West Allis Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | Below cut line | 42 – · Out |
| 43 | – | Cedarburg checkBelow cut line | Cedarburg | Cedarburg · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 2.34 | Cedarburg · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 8 = 1.500 | Cedarburg · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.094 | Cedarburg · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 45 ▼2 · Out |
| 44 | – | West Allis Hale checkBelow cut line | West Allis | West Allis Hale · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-7 | 2.23 | West Allis Hale · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 8 = 0.750 | West Allis Hale · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.164 | West Allis Hale · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 46 ▼2 · Out |
| 45 | – | Watertown checkBelow cut line | Watertown | Watertown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-7 | 1.73 | Watertown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 8 = 0.813 | Watertown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.102 | Watertown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 43 ▲2 · Out |
| 46T | – | Beloit Memorial checkBelow cut line | Beloit | Beloit Memorial · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-8 | 0.00 | Beloit Memorial · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 8 = 0.000 | Beloit Memorial · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 57 = 0.000 | Beloit Memorial · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼1 · Out |
| 46T | – | Green Bay East checkBelow cut line | Green Bay | Green Bay East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-8 | 0.00 | Green Bay East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 8 = 0.000 | Green Bay East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.000 | Green Bay East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼1 · Out |
| 46T | – | Kettle Moraine checkBelow cut line | Wales | Kettle Moraine · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-8 | 0.00 | Kettle Moraine · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 8 = 0.000 | Kettle Moraine · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.000 | Kettle Moraine · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼1 · Out |
| 46T | – | Racine Park checkBelow cut line | Racine | Racine Park · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-8 | 0.00 | Racine Park · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 8 = 0.000 | Racine Park · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.000 | Racine Park · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47T ▼1 · Out |
| 46T | – | Rice Lake checkBelow cut line | Rice Lake | Rice Lake · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-8 | 0.00 | Rice Lake · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 8 = 0.000 | Rice Lake · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.000 | Rice Lake · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 44 ▲2 · Out |
| — | Milwaukee South check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee South · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.00 | Milwaukee South · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 5 = 1.000 | Milwaukee South · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 28 = 0.000 | Milwaukee South · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Milwaukee Marshall check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Marshall · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-6 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Marshall · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 6 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Marshall · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 48 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Marshall · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 8 (games through Saturday 2026-10-10). 32 of 50 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Notre Dame (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Neenah | W | 6.5 (D1) | 6.50 | 32.50 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Kaukauna | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 38.50 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Manitowoc Lincoln | W | 6.5 (D1) | 6.50 | 12.50 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Sheboygan South | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 12.50 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-09-17 | Green Bay East | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 0.00 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-09-25 | Oshkosh North | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 24.00 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-10-02 | Menasha | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 35.50 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-10-09 | Green Bay West | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 28.50 | 8 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 48.50 ÷ 8 = 6.063. Tier 2 points = 32.50 + 38.50 + 12.50 + 12.50 + 0.00 + 24.00 + 35.50 + 28.50 = 184.00; opponents’ games = 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 = 64; Tier 2 AVG = 184.00 ÷ 64 = 2.875. Total = 6.063 + 9 × 2.875 = 31.94 (Tier 3 tie-break 7.75).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
