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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 2 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 8Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 9:31 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

ES pick: Union Grove, 98.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Union GroveES 98%8 Milwaukee King4 Wauwatosa EastES pick: Waukesha South, 69.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 Waukesha Sou…ES 70%3 GreenfieldES pick: Waukesha West, 56.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 Waukesha WestES 57%ES pick: Homestead, 76.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 HomesteadES 76%7 Brookfield CentralES pick: Union Grove, 91.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Union GroveES 91%5 Waukesha South6 Waukesha WestES pick: Homestead, 93.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 HomesteadES 93%1 Union GroveES pick: Homestead, 50.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 HomesteadES 50%ES pick: New Richmond, 98.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New RichmondES 98%8 DeForestES pick: La Crosse Central, 76.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 La Crosse Ce…ES 76%5 SlingerES pick: Pulaski, 95.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 PulaskiES 95%6 Wausau EastES pick: Holmen, 91.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 HolmenES 92%7 Oshkosh NorthES pick: New Richmond, 85.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New RichmondES 85%4 La Crosse CentralES pick: Pulaski, 52.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 PulaskiES 53%2 HolmenES pick: New Richmond, 82.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New RichmondES 83%3 PulaskiES pick: Elkhorn, 88.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 ElkhornES 88%8 MiltonES pick: Marshfield, 85.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 MarshfieldES 85%5 Menomonee FallsES pick: West Bend West, 67.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 West Bend We…ES 67%6 GraftonES pick: Monona Grove, 97.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Monona GroveES 97%7 BurlingtonES pick: Elkhorn, 63.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 ElkhornES 63%4 Marshfield3 West Bend WestES pick: Monona Grove, 88.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Monona GroveES 89%1 ElkhornES pick: Monona Grove, 82.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Monona GroveES 82%ES pick: Notre Dame, 89.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Notre DameES 89%8 GermantownES pick: Menasha, 73.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 MenashaES 74%5 AshwaubenonES pick: Kaukauna, 71.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 KaukaunaES 71%6 River FallsES pick: Beaver Dam, 91.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Beaver DamES 91%7 Westosha CentralES pick: Notre Dame, 88.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Notre DameES 89%4 Menasha3 KaukaunaES pick: Beaver Dam, 50.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Beaver DamES 50%ES pick: Notre Dame, 83.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Notre DameES 84%2 Beaver Dam2 HomesteadES pick: New Richmond, 62.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 New RichmondES 63%State semifinalES pick: Monona Grove, 60.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.2 Monona GroveES 61%1 Notre DameState semifinal1 New RichmondES pick: Monona Grove, 50.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.2 Monona GroveES 50%State final · ES pick: Monona GroveRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 2 · Week 8 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 8. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 8. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 7: in Milwaukee King (36 → 30), DeForest (35 → 32) · out Racine Horlick (31 → 34), Menomonie (32 → 33). Biggest climbs: La Crosse Central ▲8, Milwaukee King ▲6, Greenfield ▲5. Biggest drops: Menomonee Falls ▼6, Oshkosh North ▼6, Brookfield Central ▼6.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1▲2Notre Dame checkGreen Bay31.941-D2 ▼1 · 1-C
2–New Richmond checkNew Richmond31.561-B1 ▲1 · 1-B
3▼2Union Grove checkUnion Grove30.351-A3 – · 1-D
4–Elkhorn checkElkhorn26.371-C5 ▼1 · 2-A
5▲1Monona Grove checkMonona23.712-C4 ▲1 · 1-A
6▼1Holmen checkHolmen23.162-B9 ▼3 · 3-B
7▲4Beaver Dam checkBeaver Dam22.812-D7 – · 2-B
8▲1Homestead checkMequon21.992-A6 ▲2 · 2-D
9▼1Kaukauna checkKaukauna21.903-D8 ▲1 · 2-C
10–Pulaski checkPulaski21.553-B10 – · 3-C
11▼4West Bend West checkWest Bend19.823-C11 – · 3-D
12▲5Greenfield checkGreenfield19.253-A12 – · 3-A
13–Menasha checkMenasha18.574-D15 ▼2 · 4-C
14▲1Wauwatosa East checkWauwatosa17.254-A17 ▼3 · 5-D
15▲8La Crosse Central checkLa Crosse16.574-B14 ▲1 · 4-B
16▼2Marshfield checkMarshfield16.084-C18 ▼2 · 5-A
17▲2Ashwaubenon checkAshwaubenon15.895-D22 ▼5 · 6-C
18▼6Menomonee Falls checkMenomonee Falls15.665-C20 ▼2 · 5-C
19▼3Slinger checkSlinger15.565-B23 ▼4 · 6-D
20▼2Waukesha South checkWaukesha14.475-A13 ▲7 · 4-D
21▲1Grafton checkGrafton14.476-C24 ▼3 · 6-A
22▲4Wausau East checkWausau13.786-B16 ▲6 · 4-A
23▲4Waukesha West checkWaukesha12.426-A19 ▲4 · 5-B
24–River Falls checkRiver Falls11.986-D21 ▲3 · 6-B
25▲3Westosha Central checkSalem11.447-D27 ▼2 · 7-D
26▼6Oshkosh North checkOshkosh11.237-B25 ▲1 · 7-C
27▼6Brookfield Central checkBrookfield11.037-A26 ▲1 · 7-B
28▼3Burlington checkBurlington10.457-C28 – · 7-A
29–Milton checkMilton9.818-C31 ▼2 · 8-A
30▲6Milwaukee King checkMilwaukee8.228-A in30 – · 8-D
31▼1Germantown checkGermantown6.738-D29 ▲2 · 8-C
32▲3DeForest checkDeForest6.468-B in32 – · 8-B
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼1Menomonie checkBelow cut lineMenomonie5.84Below cut line dropped34 ▼1 · Out
34▼3Racine Horlick checkBelow cut lineRacine5.78Below cut line dropped35 ▼1 · Out
35▼2Oregon checkBelow cut lineOregon5.36Below cut line33 ▲2 · Out
36▼2Nicolet checkBelow cut lineGlendale4.95Below cut line36 – · Out
37–Hartford Union checkBelow cut lineHartford4.05Below cut line38 ▼1 · Out
38–Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln checkBelow cut lineWisconsin Rapids3.39Below cut line39 ▼1 · Out
39▲2Superior checkBelow cut lineSuperior3.38Below cut line37 ▲2 · Out
40▲2Sheboygan South checkBelow cut lineSheboygan3.32Below cut line40 – · Out
41▼2Green Bay Southwest checkBelow cut lineGreen Bay3.26Below cut line41 – · Out
42▼2West Allis Central checkBelow cut lineWest Allis3.21Below cut line42 – · Out
43–Cedarburg checkBelow cut lineCedarburg2.34Below cut line45 ▼2 · Out
44–West Allis Hale checkBelow cut lineWest Allis2.23Below cut line46 ▼2 · Out
45–Watertown checkBelow cut lineWatertown1.73Below cut line43 ▲2 · Out
46T–Beloit Memorial checkBelow cut lineBeloit0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T–Green Bay East checkBelow cut lineGreen Bay0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T–Kettle Moraine checkBelow cut lineWales0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T–Racine Park checkBelow cut lineRacine0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T–Rice Lake checkBelow cut lineRice Lake0.00Below cut line44 ▲2 · Out
—Milwaukee South checkMilwaukee1.00ExcludedExcluded
—Milwaukee Marshall checkMilwaukee0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 8 (games through Saturday 2026-10-10). 32 of 50 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Notre Dame (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21NeenahW6.5 (D1)6.5032.508yes
2026-08-28KaukaunaW6 (D2)6.0038.508yes
2026-09-04Manitowoc LincolnW6.5 (D1)6.5012.508yes
2026-09-11Sheboygan SouthW6 (D2)6.0012.508yes
2026-09-17Green Bay EastW6 (D2)6.000.008yes
2026-09-25Oshkosh NorthW6 (D2)6.0024.008yes
2026-10-02MenashaW6 (D2)6.0035.508yes
2026-10-09Green Bay WestW5.5 (D3)5.5028.508yes

Tier 1 AVG = 48.50 ÷ 8 = 6.063. Tier 2 points = 32.50 + 38.50 + 12.50 + 12.50 + 0.00 + 24.00 + 35.50 + 28.50 = 184.00; opponents’ games = 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 = 64; Tier 2 AVG = 184.00 ÷ 64 = 2.875. Total = 6.063 + 9 × 2.875 = 31.94 (Tier 3 tie-break 7.75).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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