Ewert projection through week 4Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 9:31 AM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 3 · Week 4 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 4. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 4. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 3: in Baldwin-Woodville (33 → 29), Greendale (36 → 30), New London (37 → 31) · out Shawano (27 → 36), Lakeland (30 → 38), Martin Luther (32 → 40). Biggest climbs: Whitefish Bay ▲20, Medford ▲8, Waterford ▲8. Biggest drops: Catholic Memorial ▼9, South Milwaukee ▼8, Merrill ▼7.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | Reedsburg check | Reedsburg | Reedsburg · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 31.06 | Reedsburg · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 4 = 5.750 | Reedsburg · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 45.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.813 | Reedsburg · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 1-B | 7 ▼6 · 2-C |
| 2 | ▲4 | Pewaukee check | Pewaukee | Pewaukee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 30.94 | Pewaukee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.50 ÷ 4 = 5.625 | Pewaukee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 45.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.813 | Pewaukee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 1-C | 1 ▲1 · 1-C |
| 3 | – | Port Washington check | Port Washington | Port Washington · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 24.88 | Port Washington · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 4 = 5.750 | Port Washington · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 34.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.125 | Port Washington · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 1-D | 2 ▲1 · 1-A |
| 4 | ▲20 | Whitefish Bay check | Whitefish Bay | Whitefish Bay · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 20.84 | Whitefish Bay · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 4 = 4.250 | Whitefish Bay · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 29.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.844 | Whitefish Bay · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 1-A | 5 ▼1 · 2-D |
| 5 | ▼3 | Portage check | Portage | Portage · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 20.75 | Portage · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 4 = 3.875 | Portage · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 30.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.875 | Portage · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 2-C | 18 ▼13 · 5-C |
| 6 | ▼2 | Plymouth check | Plymouth | Plymouth · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 20.69 | Plymouth · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.00 ÷ 4 = 5.500 | Plymouth · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.688 | Plymouth · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 2-D | 10 ▼4 · 3-A |
| 7 | ▼2 | La Crosse Logan check | La Crosse | La Crosse Logan · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 19.56 | La Crosse Logan · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.00 ÷ 4 = 5.500 | La Crosse Logan · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.563 | La Crosse Logan · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 2-B | 3 ▲4 · 1-B |
| 8 | – | Winneconne check | Winneconne | Winneconne · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 18.91 | Winneconne · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.50 ÷ 4 = 5.125 | Winneconne · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.531 | Winneconne · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 2-A | 6 ▲2 · 2-A |
| 9 | – | Fox Valley Lutheran check | Appleton | Fox Valley Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 16.88 | Fox Valley Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 4 = 2.250 | Fox Valley Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 26.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.625 | Fox Valley Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 3-A | 11 ▼2 · 3-B |
| 10 | – | Rhinelander check | Rhinelander | Rhinelander · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 16.81 | Rhinelander · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 4 = 3.875 | Rhinelander · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.438 | Rhinelander · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 3-C | 23 ▼13 · 6-B |
| 11 | ▲1 | Milwaukee Lutheran check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 16.78 | Milwaukee Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 4 = 4.125 | Milwaukee Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 22.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.406 | Milwaukee Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 3-D | 21 ▼10 · 6-D |
| 12 | ▲8 | Medford check | Medford | Medford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 16.53 | Medford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 4 = 2.750 | Medford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.531 | Medford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 3-B | 8 ▲4 · 2-B |
| 13 | ▲1 | New Berlin Eisenhower check | New Berlin | New Berlin Eisenhower · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 16.09 | New Berlin Eisenhower · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 4 = 4.000 | New Berlin Eisenhower · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 21.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.344 | New Berlin Eisenhower · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 4-D | 9 ▲4 · 3-C |
| 14 | ▲5 | Milwaukee Bay View check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Bay View · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 16.01 | Milwaukee Bay View · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.50 ÷ 4 = 5.625 | Milwaukee Bay View · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.00 ÷ opponents’ games 13 = 1.154 | Milwaukee Bay View · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-A | Excluded |
| 15 | ▼2 | Sauk Prairie check | Prairie du Sac | Sauk Prairie · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 13.13 | Sauk Prairie · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 4 = 4.125 | Sauk Prairie · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 16.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.000 | Sauk Prairie · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-B | 25 ▼10 · 7-C |
| 16 | ▼9 | Catholic Memorial check | Waukesha | Catholic Memorial · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 12.81 | Catholic Memorial · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 4 = 3.250 | Catholic Memorial · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.063 | Catholic Memorial · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-C | 20 ▼4 · 5-D |
| 17 | ▼6 | Luxemburg-Casco check | Luxemburg | Luxemburg-Casco · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 12.63 | Luxemburg-Casco · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 4 = 2.500 | Luxemburg-Casco · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.125 | Luxemburg-Casco · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 5-B | 15 ▲2 · 4-A |
| 18 | ▼1 | Wisconsin Lutheran check | Milwaukee | Wisconsin Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 12.44 | Wisconsin Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 4 = 2.875 | Wisconsin Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.063 | Wisconsin Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-A | 12 ▲6 · 3-D |
| 19 | ▲2 | New Berlin West check | New Berlin | New Berlin West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 11.41 | New Berlin West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 4 = 4.375 | New Berlin West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.781 | New Berlin West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 5-D | 4 ▲15 · 1-D |
| 20 | ▲3 | Kettle Moraine Lutheran check | Jackson | Kettle Moraine Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 11.38 | Kettle Moraine Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 4 = 2.375 | Kettle Moraine Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 16.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.000 | Kettle Moraine Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-C | 22 ▼2 · 6-C |
| 21 | ▼6 | Mount Horeb/Barneveld check | Mount Horeb/Barneveld · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 11.34 | Mount Horeb/Barneveld · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Mount Horeb/Barneveld · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.094 | Mount Horeb/Barneveld · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 6-B | 14 ▲7 · 4-B | |
| 22 | ▼4 | Waukesha North check | Waukesha | Waukesha North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 10.66 | Waukesha North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Waukesha North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 16.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.031 | Waukesha North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 6-C | 29 ▼7 · 8-B |
| 23 | ▲8 | Waterford check | Waterford | Waterford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 9.03 | Waterford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 4 = 4.250 | Waterford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.531 | Waterford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-A | 13 ▲10 · 4-C |
| 24 | ▼8 | South Milwaukee check | South Milwaukee | South Milwaukee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 8.34 | South Milwaukee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 4 = 3.000 | South Milwaukee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 9.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.594 | South Milwaukee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-D | 31 ▼7 · 8-A |
| 25 | ▲4 | Pius XI Catholic check | Milwaukee | Pius XI Catholic · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 7.84 | Pius XI Catholic · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 4 = 3.625 | Pius XI Catholic · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 7.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.469 | Pius XI Catholic · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-D | 32 ▼7 · 8-C |
| 26 | – | Onalaska check | Onalaska | Onalaska · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 7.56 | Onalaska · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Onalaska · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.688 | Onalaska · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-B | 24 ▲2 · 6-A |
| 27 | ▲1 | Sparta check | Sparta | Sparta · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.88 | Sparta · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 4 = 2.375 | Sparta · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.500 | Sparta · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-C | 35 ▼8 · Out projected out |
| 28 | ▼6 | Green Bay West check | Green Bay | Green Bay West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 6.69 | Green Bay West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 4 = 3.875 | Green Bay West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.313 | Green Bay West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-A | 27 ▲1 · 7-B |
| 29 | ▲4 | Baldwin-Woodville check | Baldwin | Baldwin-Woodville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 6.56 | Baldwin-Woodville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 4 = 3.750 | Baldwin-Woodville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.313 | Baldwin-Woodville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-B in | 17 ▲12 · 5-B |
| 30 | ▲6 | Greendale check | Greendale | Greendale · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.25 | Greendale · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 4 = 2.875 | Greendale · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.375 | Greendale · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-A in | 16 ▲14 · 4-D |
| 31 | ▲6 | New London check | New London | New London · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 5.84 | New London · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 4 = 2.750 | New London · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.344 | New London · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-C in | 38 ▼7 · Out projected out |
| 32 | ▼7 | Merrill check | Merrill | Merrill · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 5.34 | Merrill · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 4 = 2.250 | Merrill · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.344 | Merrill · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-D | 19 ▲13 · 5-A |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▲10 | Monroe checkBelow cut line | Monroe | Monroe · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.03 | Monroe · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Monroe · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.406 | Monroe · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 42 ▼9 · Out |
| 34 | – | Wilmot Union checkBelow cut line | Wilmot | Wilmot Union · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 4.94 | Wilmot Union · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 4 = 2.125 | Wilmot Union · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.313 | Wilmot Union · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 26 ▲8 · 7-D projected in |
| 35 | ▲2 | Stoughton checkBelow cut line | Stoughton | Stoughton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 4.47 | Stoughton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Stoughton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.344 | Stoughton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 41 ▼6 · Out |
| 36 | ▼9 | Shawano checkBelow cut line | Shawano | Shawano · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 4.47 | Shawano · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Shawano · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.344 | Shawano · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 39 ▼3 · Out |
| 37 | ▲3 | McFarland checkBelow cut line | McFarland | McFarland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 4.06 | McFarland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 4 = 1.250 | McFarland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.313 | McFarland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 28 ▲9 · 7-A projected in |
| 38 | ▼8 | Lakeland checkBelow cut line | Minocqua | Lakeland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 3.91 | Lakeland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Lakeland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.281 | Lakeland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 36 ▲2 · Out |
| 39 | ▲2 | Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles checkBelow cut line | Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 3.38 | Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 4 = 1.125 | Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.250 | Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 37 ▲2 · Out | |
| 40 | ▼8 | Martin Luther checkBelow cut line | Greendale | Martin Luther · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 2.63 | Martin Luther · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625 | Martin Luther · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Martin Luther · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line dropped | 34 ▲6 · Out |
| 41 | ▼6 | Fort Atkinson checkBelow cut line | Fort Atkinson | Fort Atkinson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.63 | Fort Atkinson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Fort Atkinson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Fort Atkinson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 43 ▼2 · Out |
| 42 | ▼5 | Baraboo checkBelow cut line | Baraboo | Baraboo · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.38 | Baraboo · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Baraboo · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Baraboo · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 40 ▲2 · Out |
| 43 | ▼1 | Cudahy checkBelow cut line | Cudahy | Cudahy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | Cudahy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Cudahy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 14 = 0.000 | Cudahy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 44 ▼1 · Out |
| 44T | ▼1 | Antigo checkBelow cut line | Antigo | Antigo · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Antigo · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Antigo · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Antigo · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45T ▼1 · Out |
| 44T | ▼1 | Milwaukee Vincent checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Vincent · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result No games counted yet. Counted: 0-0 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Vincent · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned No games counted yet. Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 0 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Vincent · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games No games counted yet. Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 0 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Vincent · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45T ▼1 · Out |
| 44T | ▼1 | Milwaukee Washington checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Washington · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-2 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Washington · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 2 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Washington · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 7 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Washington · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | Excluded |
| 44T | ▼1 | Tomah checkBelow cut line | Tomah | Tomah · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Tomah · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Tomah · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Tomah · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45T ▼1 · Out |
| 44T | ▼1 | Waupaca checkBelow cut line | Waupaca | Waupaca · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Waupaca · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Waupaca · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Waupaca · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45T ▼1 · Out |
| 44T | ▼1 | Wauwatosa West checkBelow cut line | Wauwatosa | Wauwatosa West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Wauwatosa West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Wauwatosa West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Wauwatosa West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 33 ▲11 · Out |
| 44T | ▼1 | West Bend East checkBelow cut line | West Bend | West Bend East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | West Bend East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | West Bend East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | West Bend East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45T ▼1 · Out |
| 44T | ▼1 | Whitnall checkBelow cut line | Greenfield | Whitnall · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Whitnall · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Whitnall · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Whitnall · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 30 ▲14 · 8-D projected in |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 4 (games through Saturday 2026-09-12). 32 of 51 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Reedsburg (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | New Berlin West | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 17.50 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | DeForest | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 6.00 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | La Crosse Central | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 16.00 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Onalaska | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 5.50 | 4 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 4 = 5.750. Tier 2 points = 17.50 + 6.00 + 16.00 + 5.50 = 45.00; opponents’ games = 4 + 4 + 4 + 4 = 16; Tier 2 AVG = 45.00 ÷ 16 = 2.813. Total = 5.750 + 9 × 2.813 = 31.06 (Tier 3 tie-break 6.89).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
