Menu

Playoff Bracket · Football Division 3 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 8Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 10:33 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

ES pick: Pewaukee, 99.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 PewaukeeES 100%8 Pius XI Catholic4 Mount Horeb/BarneveldES pick: Waterford, 59.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 WaterfordES 59%3 New Berlin EisenhowerES pick: Catholic Memorial, 79.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 Catholic Mem…ES 79%ES pick: Reedsburg, 97.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 ReedsburgES 98%7 McFarlandES pick: Pewaukee, 85.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 PewaukeeES 85%5 Waterford6 Catholic MemorialES pick: Reedsburg, 54.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 ReedsburgES 55%ES pick: Pewaukee, 77.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 PewaukeeES 78%2 ReedsburgES pick: La Crosse Logan, 97.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 La Crosse Lo…ES 97%8 Wauwatosa WestES pick: Baldwin-Woodville, 96.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Baldwin-Wood…ES 96%5 MerrillES pick: Fox Valley Lutheran, 63.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Fox Valley L…ES 64%6 OnalaskaES pick: Medford, 97.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 MedfordES 97%7 RhinelanderES pick: La Crosse Logan, 61.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 La Crosse Lo…ES 62%4 Baldwin-WoodvilleES pick: Fox Valley Lutheran, 53.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Fox Valley L…ES 54%2 MedfordES pick: La Crosse Logan, 65.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 La Crosse Lo…ES 66%3 Fox Valley LutheranES pick: New Berlin West, 99.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New Berlin W…ES 100%8 South Milwaukee4 Milwaukee Bay ViewES pick: Greendale, 98.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 GreendaleES 99%ES pick: Wisconsin Lutheran, 82.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Wisconsin Lu…ES 82%6 Milwaukee LutheranES pick: Whitefish Bay, 88.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Whitefish BayES 88%7 Kettle Moraine Luther…ES pick: New Berlin West, 92.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New Berlin W…ES 92%5 Greendale3 Wisconsin LutheranES pick: Whitefish Bay, 75.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Whitefish BayES 75%ES pick: New Berlin West, 75.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New Berlin W…ES 75%2 Whitefish BayES pick: Port Washington, 99.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Port Washing…ES 100%8 Milwaukee Washington4 PortageES pick: Luxemburg-Casco, 89.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 Luxemburg-Ca…ES 89%ES pick: Plymouth, 86.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 PlymouthES 87%6 Sauk PrairieES pick: Winneconne, 97.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 WinneconneES 98%7 Green Bay WestES pick: Port Washington, 71.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Port Washing…ES 71%5 Luxemburg-CascoES pick: Plymouth, 58.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 PlymouthES 58%2 WinneconneES pick: Port Washington, 60.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Port Washing…ES 60%3 PlymouthES pick: Pewaukee, 65.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 PewaukeeES 66%1 La Crosse LoganState semifinalES pick: New Berlin West, 61.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 New Berlin W…ES 62%1 Port WashingtonState semifinalES pick: Pewaukee, 62.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 PewaukeeES 63%1 New Berlin WestState final · ES pick: PewaukeeRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 3 · Week 8 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 8. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 8. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 7: in Milwaukee Washington (35 → 29) · out Wilmot Union (29 → 33). Biggest climbs: Milwaukee Washington ▲6, Portage ▲5, McFarland ▲5. Biggest drops: South Milwaukee ▼5, Greendale ▼4, Kettle Moraine Lutheran ▼3.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Port Washington checkPort Washington31.981-D2 ▼1 · 1-A
2–Pewaukee checkPewaukee29.801-A1 ▲1 · 1-C
3–La Crosse Logan checkLa Crosse25.391-B3 – · 1-B
4–New Berlin West checkNew Berlin25.241-C4 – · 1-D
5▲1Reedsburg checkReedsburg23.162-A7 ▼2 · 2-C
6▲1Whitefish Bay checkWhitefish Bay21.882-C5 ▲1 · 2-D
7▼2Medford checkMedford20.882-B8 ▼1 · 2-B
8–Winneconne checkWinneconne20.452-D6 ▲2 · 2-A
9–New Berlin Eisenhower checkNew Berlin18.273-A9 – · 3-C
10–Wisconsin Lutheran checkMilwaukee17.983-C12 ▼2 · 3-D
11–Fox Valley Lutheran checkAppleton16.473-B11 – · 3-B
12–Plymouth checkPlymouth15.873-D10 ▲2 · 3-A
13–Milwaukee Bay View checkMilwaukee14.324-CExcluded
14▲5Portage checkPortage14.024-D18 ▼4 · 5-C
15▲1Mount Horeb/Barneveld check13.774-A14 ▲1 · 4-B
16▼1Baldwin-Woodville checkBaldwin13.664-B17 ▼1 · 5-B
17▲1Waterford checkWaterford13.325-A13 ▲4 · 4-C
18▼4Greendale checkGreendale12.495-C16 ▲2 · 4-D
19▼2Luxemburg-Casco checkLuxemburg12.345-D15 ▲4 · 4-A
20▲3Merrill checkMerrill11.985-B19 ▲1 · 5-A
21▼1Milwaukee Lutheran checkMilwaukee11.526-C21 – · 6-D
22▼1Catholic Memorial checkWaukesha11.486-A20 ▲2 · 5-D
23▼1Onalaska checkOnalaska10.136-B24 ▼1 · 6-A
24▲4Sauk Prairie checkPrairie du Sac8.876-D25 ▼1 · 7-C
25▲5McFarland checkMcFarland8.527-A28 ▼3 · 7-A
26–Green Bay West checkGreen Bay8.487-D27 ▼1 · 7-B
27▼3Kettle Moraine Lutheran checkJackson8.207-C22 ▲5 · 6-C
28▼1Rhinelander checkRhinelander7.837-B23 ▲5 · 6-B
29▲6Milwaukee Washington checkMilwaukee7.508-D inExcluded
30▼5South Milwaukee checkSouth Milwaukee7.508-C31 ▼1 · 8-A
31▲1Pius XI Catholic checkMilwaukee6.508-A32 ▼1 · 8-C
32▼1Wauwatosa West checkWauwatosa6.438-B33 ▼1 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼4Wilmot Union checkBelow cut lineWilmot6.42Below cut line dropped26 ▲7 · 7-D projected in
34▲7Whitnall checkBelow cut lineGreenfield6.29Below cut line30 ▲4 · 8-D projected in
35▼2Martin Luther checkBelow cut lineGreendale5.15Below cut line34 ▲1 · Out
36▼2Sparta checkBelow cut lineSparta4.90Below cut line35 ▲1 · Out
37▼1Waukesha North checkBelow cut lineWaukesha4.63Below cut line29 ▲8 · 8-B projected in
38▲2Lakeland checkBelow cut lineMinocqua3.97Below cut line36 ▲2 · Out
39–Shawano checkBelow cut lineShawano3.63Below cut line39 – · Out
40▼3New London checkBelow cut lineNew London3.61Below cut line38 ▲2 · Out
41▼3Stoughton checkBelow cut lineStoughton3.06Below cut line41 – · Out
42▲1Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles checkBelow cut line2.75Below cut line37 ▲5 · Out
43▼1Monroe checkBelow cut lineMonroe1.60Below cut line42 ▲1 · Out
44–Fort Atkinson checkBelow cut lineFort Atkinson0.81Below cut line43 ▲1 · Out
45–Baraboo checkBelow cut lineBaraboo0.69Below cut line40 ▲5 · Out
46–Cudahy checkBelow cut lineCudahy0.44Below cut line44 ▲2 · Out
47T–Antigo checkBelow cut lineAntigo0.00Below cut line45T ▲2 · Out
47T–Milwaukee Vincent checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee0.00Below cut line45T ▲2 · Out
47T–Tomah checkBelow cut lineTomah0.00Below cut line45T ▲2 · Out
47T–Waupaca checkBelow cut lineWaupaca0.00Below cut line45T ▲2 · Out
47T–West Bend East checkBelow cut lineWest Bend0.00Below cut line45T ▲2 · Out
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 8 (games through Saturday 2026-10-10). 32 of 51 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Port Washington (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21Sheboygan NorthW6.5 (D1)6.5017.508yes
2026-08-28Mount Horeb/BarneveldW5.5 (D3)5.5028.008yes
2026-09-04NicoletW6 (D2)6.0016.508yes
2026-09-11KewaskumW5 (D4)5.0016.508yes
2026-09-18West Bend WestW6 (D2)6.0032.008yes
2026-09-25Kettle Moraine LutheranW5.5 (D3)5.5015.008yes
2026-10-02GraftonW6 (D2)6.0028.008yes
2026-10-09PlymouthW5.5 (D3)5.5033.008yes

Tier 1 AVG = 46.00 ÷ 8 = 5.750. Tier 2 points = 17.50 + 28.00 + 16.50 + 16.50 + 32.00 + 15.00 + 28.00 + 33.00 = 186.50; opponents’ games = 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 = 64; Tier 2 AVG = 186.50 ÷ 64 = 2.914. Total = 5.750 + 9 × 2.914 = 31.98 (Tier 3 tie-break 8.09).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

WIAA Football Playoff Brackets: Official and Projected | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports