Ewert projection through week 9Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 9:31 AM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 4 · Week 9 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 9. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 9. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 8: in Black River Falls (40 → 32) · out Kewaskum (30 → 33). Biggest climbs: Fuller Collegiate Academy ▲9, Black River Falls ▲8, Osceola ▲5. Biggest drops: Edgerton ▼6, Denmark ▼5, Saint Francis ▼3.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | Freedom check | Freedom | Freedom · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 9-0 | 28.94 | Freedom · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 46.00 ÷ 9 = 5.111 | Freedom · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 214.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 2.648 | Freedom · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 42 | 1-A | 1 – · 1-A |
| 2 | ▲2 | Lake Mills check | Lake Mills | Lake Mills · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 22.17 | Lake Mills · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 40.50 ÷ 9 = 4.500 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 159.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.963 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 32 | 1-C | 2 – · 1-C |
| 3 | – | Racine St. Catherine's check | Racine | Racine St. Catherine's · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 21.61 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 40.50 ÷ 9 = 4.500 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 154.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.901 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 30 | 1-D | 3 – · 1-D |
| 4 | ▼2 | Little Chute check | Little Chute | Little Chute · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 21.44 | Little Chute · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 41.50 ÷ 9 = 4.611 | Little Chute · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 151.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.870 | Little Chute · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 30 | 1-B | 4 – · 1-B |
| 5 | – | West Salem check | West Salem | West Salem · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 9-0 | 20.44 | West Salem · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 42.50 ÷ 9 = 4.722 | West Salem · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 141.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.747 | West Salem · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 32 | 2-C | 5 – · 2-C |
| 6 | ▲1 | Northwestern check | Maple | Northwestern · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 9-0 | 20.06 | Northwestern · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 41.50 ÷ 9 = 4.611 | Northwestern · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 139.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.716 | Northwestern · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 31 | 2-A | 6 – · 2-A |
| 7 | ▼1 | Stratford check | Stratford | Stratford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 19.67 | Stratford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 34.50 ÷ 9 = 3.833 | Stratford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 142.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.759 | Stratford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 34 | 2-B | 7 – · 2-B |
| 8 | – | Edgewood check | Madison | Edgewood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 19.11 | Edgewood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 38.00 ÷ 9 = 4.222 | Edgewood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 134.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.654 | Edgewood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 25 | 2-D | 8 – · 2-D |
| 9 | ▲5 | Osceola check | Osceola | Osceola · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 18.28 | Osceola · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 39.00 ÷ 9 = 4.333 | Osceola · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 125.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.549 | Osceola · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 26 | 3-A | 9 – · 3-A |
| 10 | – | Aquinas check | La Crosse | Aquinas · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 17.39 | Aquinas · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 35.50 ÷ 9 = 3.944 | Aquinas · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 121.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.494 | Aquinas · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 28 | 3-C | 10 – · 3-C |
| 11 | ▼2 | Delavan-Darien check | Delavan | Delavan-Darien · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 16.78 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 33.50 ÷ 9 = 3.722 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 117.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.451 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 25 | 3-D | 11 – · 3-D |
| 12 | ▲9 | Fuller Collegiate Academy check | Milwaukee | Fuller Collegiate Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 16.07 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 36.00 ÷ 8 = 4.500 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 63.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.286 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 12 | 3-B | 12 – · 3-B |
| 13 | – | Lodi check | Lodi | Lodi · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-3 | 15.50 | Lodi · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 30.50 ÷ 9 = 3.389 | Lodi · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 109.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.346 | Lodi · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 22 | 4-A | 13 – · 4-A |
| 14 | ▼3 | Saint Francis check | Saint Francis | Saint Francis · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 15.10 | Saint Francis · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 36.50 ÷ 9 = 4.056 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 94.50 ÷ opponents’ games 77 = 1.227 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 21 | 4-D | 14 – · 4-D |
| 15 | ▼3 | Platteville check | Platteville | Platteville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 14.39 | Platteville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.00 ÷ 9 = 3.444 | Platteville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 98.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.216 | Platteville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 22 | 4-B | 15 – · 4-B |
| 16 | ▲1 | Lakeside Lutheran check | Lake Mills | Lakeside Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-3 | 14.22 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.50 ÷ 9 = 3.167 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 99.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.228 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 20 | 4-C | 16 – · 4-C |
| 17 | ▼1 | Evansville check | Evansville | Evansville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 14.11 | Evansville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 38.00 ÷ 9 = 4.222 | Evansville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 89.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.099 | Evansville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 19 | 5-B | 17 – · 5-B |
| 18 | ▼3 | Berlin check | Berlin | Berlin · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-3 | 13.83 | Berlin · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.00 ÷ 9 = 3.111 | Berlin · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 96.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.191 | Berlin · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 21 | 5-C | 18 – · 5-C |
| 19 | – | Shoreland Lutheran check | Kenosha | Shoreland Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 12.00 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 9 = 2.778 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 83.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.025 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 17 | 5-D | 19 – · 5-D |
| 20 | ▼2 | Mauston check | Mauston | Mauston · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 11.78 | Mauston · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 9 = 2.556 | Mauston · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 83.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.025 | Mauston · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 18 | 5-A | 20 – · 5-A |
| 21 | ▼1 | Xavier check | Appleton | Xavier · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 11.17 | Xavier · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.50 ÷ 9 = 2.944 | Xavier · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 74.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.914 | Xavier · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 6-C | 21 – · 6-C |
| 22 | – | Ashland check | Ashland | Ashland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-3 | 10.11 | Ashland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 27.00 ÷ 9 = 3.000 | Ashland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 64.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.790 | Ashland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 15 | 6-A | 22 – · 6-A |
| 23 | ▲1 | Wrightstown check | Wrightstown | Wrightstown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-5 | 10.00 | Wrightstown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.00 ÷ 9 = 2.222 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 70.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.864 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 6-B | 23 – · 6-B |
| 24 | ▲1 | Campbellsport check | Campbellsport | Campbellsport · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 9.89 | Campbellsport · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.50 ÷ 9 = 2.500 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 66.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.821 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 15 | 6-D | 24 – · 6-D |
| 25 | ▲4 | Seymour check | Seymour | Seymour · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 9.56 | Seymour · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.50 ÷ 9 = 2.944 | Seymour · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 59.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.735 | Seymour · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 12 | 7-B | 25 – · 7-B |
| 26 | ▲1 | Ripon check | Ripon | Ripon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 9.22 | Ripon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 9 = 2.556 | Ripon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 60.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.741 | Ripon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 13 | 7-D | 26 – · 7-D |
| 27 | ▲4 | Somerset check | Somerset | Somerset · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 8.39 | Somerset · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.00 ÷ 9 = 2.667 | Somerset · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 51.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.636 | Somerset · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 7-A | 27 – · 7-A |
| 28 | – | Wisconsin Dells check | Wisconsin Dells | Wisconsin Dells · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 8.28 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 9 = 2.611 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 51.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.630 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 7-C | 28 – · 7-C |
| 29 | ▼6 | Edgerton check | Edgerton | Edgerton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-5 | 8.11 | Edgerton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.00 ÷ 9 = 2.222 | Edgerton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 53.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.654 | Edgerton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 8-C | 29 – · 8-C |
| 30 | ▲2 | Turner check | Beloit | Turner · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 7.72 | Turner · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 9 = 2.556 | Turner · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 46.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.574 | Turner · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 8-D | 30 – · 8-D |
| 31 | ▼5 | Denmark check | Denmark | Denmark · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 7.44 | Denmark · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.50 ÷ 9 = 2.944 | Denmark · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 40.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.500 | Denmark · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 8-A | 31 – · 8-A |
| 32 | ▲8 | Black River Falls check | Black River Falls | Black River Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-5 | 6.44 | Black River Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 9 = 1.944 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 40.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.500 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 8-B in | 32 – · 8-B |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▼3 | Kewaskum checkBelow cut line | Kewaskum | Kewaskum · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 6.17 | Kewaskum · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 9 = 1.833 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 39.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.481 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | Below cut line dropped | 33 – · Out |
| 34 | ▼1 | Oconto Falls checkBelow cut line | Oconto Falls | Oconto Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-5 | 5.50 | Oconto Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 9 = 2.000 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.389 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | Below cut line | 34 – · Out |
| 35 | ▼1 | Saint Thomas More checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Saint Thomas More · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 5.16 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 9 = 1.111 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 36.00 ÷ opponents’ games 80 = 0.450 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | Below cut line | 35 – · Out |
| 36 | ▲8 | Waupun checkBelow cut line | Waupun | Waupun · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 5.11 | Waupun · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 9 = 1.556 | Waupun · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.395 | Waupun · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | Below cut line | 36 – · Out |
| 37 | ▲1 | Altoona checkBelow cut line | Altoona | Altoona · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 4.72 | Altoona · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 9 = 1.556 | Altoona · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 28.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.352 | Altoona · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | Below cut line | 37 – · Out |
| 38 | ▼1 | Marinette checkBelow cut line | Marinette | Marinette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 4.70 | Marinette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 9 = 1.611 | Marinette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.50 ÷ opponents’ games 80 = 0.344 | Marinette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | Below cut line | 38 – · Out |
| 39 | ▼3 | Kohler checkBelow cut line | Kohler | Kohler · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 4.67 | Kohler · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 9 = 1.444 | Kohler · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 29.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.358 | Kohler · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | Below cut line | 39 – · Out |
| 40 | ▼5 | Jefferson checkBelow cut line | Jefferson | Jefferson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 4.44 | Jefferson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 9 = 1.667 | Jefferson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.309 | Jefferson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line | 40 – · Out |
| 41 | ▼2 | Brown Deer checkBelow cut line | Brown Deer | Brown Deer · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-8 | 3.93 | Brown Deer · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 9 = 0.556 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 30.00 ÷ opponents’ games 80 = 0.375 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | Below cut line | 41 – · Out |
| 42 | ▼1 | Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut line | Hammond | Saint Croix Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 3.72 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 9 = 1.611 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.235 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 42 – · Out |
| 43 | – | Big Foot checkBelow cut line | Walworth | Big Foot · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 3.17 | Big Foot · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 9 = 0.944 | Big Foot · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 20.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.247 | Big Foot · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line | 43 – · Out |
| 44 | ▼2 | Two Rivers checkBelow cut line | Two Rivers | Two Rivers · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-8 | 3.14 | Two Rivers · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 9 = 0.556 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.00 ÷ opponents’ games 80 = 0.287 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line | 44 – · Out |
| 45 | – | Whitewater checkBelow cut line | Whitewater | Whitewater · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 1.89 | Whitewater · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 9 = 0.944 | Whitewater · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.105 | Whitewater · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 45 – · Out |
| 46 | – | Milwaukee School of Languages checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee School of Languages · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 1.22 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 9 = 1.222 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 79 = 0.000 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46 – · Out |
| 47 | – | Mosinee checkBelow cut line | Mosinee | Mosinee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-8 | 0.61 | Mosinee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 9 = 0.611 | Mosinee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.000 | Mosinee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47 – · Out |
| 48T | – | Ellsworth checkBelow cut line | Ellsworth | Ellsworth · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-9 | 0.00 | Ellsworth · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 9 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T – · Out |
| 48T | – | North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut line | North Fond du Lac | North Fond du Lac · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-9 | 0.00 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 9 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T – · Out |
| 48T | – | Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan Falls | Sheboygan Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-9 | 0.00 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 9 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T – · Out |
| — | Milwaukee Madison check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Madison · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 31 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 9 (games dated Friday 2026-10-16 or earlier; WIAA deadline: completion before 11:59 p.m. Central; stored dates do not establish finish times). 32 of 50 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Freedom (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Lake Mills | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 40.50 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Xavier | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 26.50 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | New London | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 16.50 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Denmark | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 26.50 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Kohler | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 13.00 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-09-25 | Little Chute | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 41.50 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-10-02 | Wrightstown | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 20.00 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-10-09 | Luxemburg-Casco | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 30.00 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-10-16 | Sheboygan Falls | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 0.00 | 9 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 46.00 ÷ 9 = 5.111. Tier 2 points = 40.50 + 26.50 + 16.50 + 26.50 + 13.00 + 41.50 + 20.00 + 30.00 + 0.00 = 214.50; opponents’ games = 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 = 81; Tier 2 AVG = 214.50 ÷ 81 = 2.648. Total = 5.111 + 9 × 2.648 = 28.94 (Tier 3 tie-break 7.87).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
