Playoff Bracket · Football Division 4 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 1Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 10:34 AM CDT

Full board Region A Region B Region C Region D Final fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

Unresolved ties: Denmark and Jefferson and Lodi and Oconto Falls and West Salem (rank 1, seed #1); Freedom and Lakeside Lutheran and Little Chute and Marinette and Milwaukee School of Languages and Platteville and Seymour and Stratford (rank 6, seed #2); Big Foot and Edgerton and Evansville and Northwestern and Osceola and Racine St. Catherine's and Saint Francis and Somerset (rank 14, seed #4); Altoona and Ashland and Berlin and Black River Falls and Brown Deer and Campbellsport and Delavan-Darien and Edgewood and Ellsworth and Fuller Collegiate Academy and Kewaskum and Lake Mills and Mauston and Mosinee and North Fond du Lac and Saint Croix Central and Saint Thomas More and Sheboygan Falls and Shoreland Lutheran and Turner and Two Rivers and Waupun and Wisconsin Dells and Wrightstown and Xavier (rank 26, seed #7). Tied at rank 1, across the #1/#2 seed line: placement waits for WIAA's tie-break (Tier 3, then its own procedure). Their slots are left empty.

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 4 · Week 1 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 1. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 1. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank	Team	City	W-L	Total	Tier 1 AVG	Tier 2 AVG	Tier 2 Wins	Projected Seed	Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial
1T	Denmark check	Denmark	Denmark · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21New LondonW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.50	Denmark · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21New LondonW5.50 Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 1 = 5.500 Full worked example	Denmark · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21New LondonW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Denmark · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21New London0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#1	31 ▼30 · 8-A
1T	Jefferson check	Jefferson	Jefferson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Fort AtkinsonW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.50	Jefferson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Fort AtkinsonW5.50 Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 1 = 5.500 Full worked example	Jefferson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Fort AtkinsonW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Jefferson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Fort Atkinson0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#1	40 ▼39 · Out projected out
1T	Lodi check	Lodi	Lodi · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21MonroeW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.50	Lodi · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21MonroeW5.50 Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 1 = 5.500 Full worked example	Lodi · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21MonroeW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Lodi · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Monroe0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#1	13 ▼12 · 4-A
1T	Oconto Falls check	Oconto Falls	Oconto Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21WaupacaW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.50	Oconto Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21WaupacaW5.50 Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 1 = 5.500 Full worked example	Oconto Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21WaupacaW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Oconto Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Waupaca0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#1	34 ▼33 · Out projected out
1T	West Salem check	West Salem	West Salem · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21OnalaskaW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.50	West Salem · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21OnalaskaW5.50 Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 1 = 5.500 Full worked example	West Salem · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21OnalaskaW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	West Salem · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Onalaska0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#1	5 ▼4 · 2-C
6T	Freedom check	Freedom	Freedom · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Lake MillsW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.00	Freedom · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Lake MillsW5.00 Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 1 = 5.000 Full worked example	Freedom · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Lake MillsW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Freedom · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Lake Mills0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#2	1 ▲5 · 1-A
6T	Lakeside Lutheran check	Lake Mills	Lakeside Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Saint Croix CentralW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.00	Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Saint Croix CentralW5.00 Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 1 = 5.000 Full worked example	Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Saint Croix CentralW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Saint Croix Central0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#2	16 ▼10 · 4-C
6T	Little Chute check	Little Chute	Little Chute · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21XavierW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.00	Little Chute · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21XavierW5.00 Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 1 = 5.000 Full worked example	Little Chute · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21XavierW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Little Chute · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Xavier0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#2	4 ▲2 · 1-B
6T	Marinette check	Marinette	Marinette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Two RiversW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.00	Marinette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Two RiversW5.00 Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 1 = 5.000 Full worked example	Marinette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Two RiversW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Marinette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Two Rivers0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#2	38 ▼32 · Out projected out
6T	Milwaukee School of Languages check	Milwaukee	Milwaukee School of Languages · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21North Fond du LacW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.00	Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21North Fond du LacW5.00 Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 1 = 5.000 Full worked example	Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21North Fond du LacW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21North Fond du Lac0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#2	46 ▼40 · Out projected out
6T	Platteville check	Platteville	Platteville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21MaustonW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.00	Platteville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21MaustonW5.00 Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 1 = 5.000 Full worked example	Platteville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21MaustonW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Platteville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Mauston0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#2	15 ▼9 · 4-B
6T	Seymour check	Seymour	Seymour · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21WaupunW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.00	Seymour · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21WaupunW5.00 Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 1 = 5.000 Full worked example	Seymour · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21WaupunW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Seymour · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Waupun0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#2	25 ▼19 · 7-B
6T	Stratford check	Stratford	Stratford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21MosineeW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	5.00	Stratford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21MosineeW5.00 Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 1 = 5.000 Full worked example	Stratford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21MosineeW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Stratford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Mosinee0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#2	7 ▼1 · 2-B
14T	Big Foot check	Walworth	Big Foot · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Parkview/AlbanyW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	4.50	Big Foot · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Parkview/AlbanyW4.50 Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 1 = 4.500 Full worked example	Big Foot · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Parkview/AlbanyW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Big Foot · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Parkview/Albany0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#4	43 ▼29 · Out projected out
14T	Edgerton check	Edgerton	Edgerton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Brodhead/JudaW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	4.50	Edgerton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Brodhead/JudaW4.50 Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 1 = 4.500 Full worked example	Edgerton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Brodhead/JudaW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Edgerton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Brodhead/Juda0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#4	29 ▼15 · 8-C
14T	Evansville check	Evansville	Evansville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21River ValleyW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	4.50	Evansville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21River ValleyW4.50 Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 1 = 4.500 Full worked example	Evansville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21River ValleyW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Evansville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21River Valley0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#4	17 ▼3 · 5-B
14T	Northwestern check	Maple	Northwestern · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21PrescottW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	4.50	Northwestern · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21PrescottW4.50 Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 1 = 4.500 Full worked example	Northwestern · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21PrescottW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Northwestern · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Prescott0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#4	6 ▲8 · 2-A
14T	Osceola check	Osceola	Osceola · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 20ColumbusW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	4.50	Osceola · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 20ColumbusW4.50 Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 1 = 4.500 Full worked example	Osceola · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 20ColumbusW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Osceola · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 20Columbus0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#4	9 ▲5 · 3-A
14T	Racine St. Catherine's check	Racine	Racine St. Catherine's · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Milwaukee Academy of ScienceW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	4.50	Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Milwaukee Academy of ScienceW4.50 Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 1 = 4.500 Full worked example	Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Milwaukee Academy of ScienceW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Milwaukee Academy of Science0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#4	3 ▲11 · 1-D
14T	Saint Francis check	Saint Francis	Saint Francis · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Brookfield AcademyW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	4.50	Saint Francis · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Brookfield AcademyW4.50 Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 1 = 4.500 Full worked example	Saint Francis · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Brookfield AcademyW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Saint Francis · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Brookfield Academy0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#4	14 – · 4-D
14T	Somerset check	Somerset	Somerset · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21BloomerW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	4.50	Somerset · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21BloomerW4.50 Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 1 = 4.500 Full worked example	Somerset · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21BloomerW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Somerset · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Bloomer0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#4	27 ▼13 · 7-A
22T	Aquinas check	La Crosse	Aquinas · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Prairie du ChienW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	4.00	Aquinas · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Prairie du ChienW4.00 Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 1 = 4.000 Full worked example	Aquinas · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Prairie du ChienW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Aquinas · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Prairie du Chien0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	6-A	10 ▲12 · 3-C
22T	Ripon check	Ripon	Ripon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 20LaconiaW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	4.00	Ripon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 20LaconiaW4.00 Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 1 = 4.000 Full worked example	Ripon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 20LaconiaW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Ripon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 20Laconia0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	6-B	26 ▼4 · 7-D
24T	Kohler check	Kohler	Kohler · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21ReedsvilleW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	3.50	Kohler · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21ReedsvilleW3.50 Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 1 = 3.500 Full worked example	Kohler · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21ReedsvilleW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Kohler · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 21Reedsville0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	6-C	39 ▼15 · Out projected out
24T	Whitewater check	Whitewater	Whitewater · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 22DodgelandW Counted: 1-0 Full worked example	3.50	Whitewater · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 22DodgelandW3.50 Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 1 = 3.500 Full worked example	Whitewater · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 22DodgelandW0.00 · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Whitewater · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins Aug 22Dodgeland0 Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	6-D	45 ▼21 · Out projected out
26T	Altoona check	Altoona	Altoona · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Fall CreekL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Altoona · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Fall CreekL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Altoona · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Fall CreekL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Altoona · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	37 ▼11 · Out projected out
26T	Ashland check	Ashland	Ashland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21RhinelanderL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Ashland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21RhinelanderL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Ashland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21RhinelanderL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Ashland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	22 ▲4 · 6-A
26T	Berlin check	Berlin	Berlin · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Weyauwega-FremontL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Berlin · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Weyauwega-FremontL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Berlin · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Weyauwega-FremontL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Berlin · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	18 ▲8 · 5-C
26T	Black River Falls check	Black River Falls	Black River Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21SpartaL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Black River Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21SpartaL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Black River Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21SpartaL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Black River Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	32 ▼6 · 8-B
26T	Brown Deer check	Brown Deer	Brown Deer · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Pius XI CatholicL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Brown Deer · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Pius XI CatholicL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Brown Deer · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Pius XI CatholicL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Brown Deer · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	41 ▼15 · Out projected out
26T	Campbellsport check	Campbellsport	Campbellsport · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Kettle Moraine LutheranL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Campbellsport · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Kettle Moraine LutheranL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Campbellsport · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Kettle Moraine LutheranL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Campbellsport · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	24 ▲2 · 6-D
26T	Delavan-Darien check	Delavan	Delavan-Darien · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21ElkhornL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Delavan-Darien · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21ElkhornL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21ElkhornL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	11 ▲15 · 3-D
26T	Edgewood check	Madison	Edgewood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21New Berlin EisenhowerL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Edgewood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21New Berlin EisenhowerL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Edgewood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21New Berlin EisenhowerL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Edgewood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	8 ▲18 · 2-D
26T	Ellsworth check	Ellsworth	Ellsworth · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21La Crosse LoganL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Ellsworth · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21La Crosse LoganL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Ellsworth · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21La Crosse LoganL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Ellsworth · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	48T ▼22 · Out projected out
26T	Fuller Collegiate Academy check	Milwaukee	Fuller Collegiate Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result No games counted yet. Counted: 0-0 Full worked example	0.00	Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned No games counted yet. Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 0 = 0.000 Full worked example	Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games No games counted yet. Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 0 = 0.000 Full worked example	Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	12 ▲14 · 3-B
26T	Kewaskum check	Kewaskum	Kewaskum · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Luxemburg-CascoL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Kewaskum · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Luxemburg-CascoL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Kewaskum · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Luxemburg-CascoL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Kewaskum · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	33 ▼7 · Out projected out
26T	Lake Mills check	Lake Mills	Lake Mills · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21FreedomL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Lake Mills · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21FreedomL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Lake Mills · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21FreedomL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Lake Mills · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	2 ▲24 · 1-C
26T	Mauston check	Mauston	Mauston · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21PlattevilleL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Mauston · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21PlattevilleL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Mauston · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21PlattevilleL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Mauston · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	20 ▲6 · 5-A
26T	Mosinee check	Mosinee	Mosinee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21StratfordL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Mosinee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21StratfordL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Mosinee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21StratfordL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Mosinee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	47 ▼21 · Out projected out
26T	North Fond du Lac check	North Fond du Lac	North Fond du Lac · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Milwaukee School of LanguagesL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	North Fond du Lac · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Milwaukee School of LanguagesL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Milwaukee School of LanguagesL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	48T ▼22 · Out projected out
26T	Saint Croix Central check	Hammond	Saint Croix Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Lakeside LutheranL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Saint Croix Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Lakeside LutheranL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Lakeside LutheranL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	42 ▼16 · Out projected out
26T	Saint Thomas More check	Milwaukee	Saint Thomas More · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 20West Allis CentralL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Saint Thomas More · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 20West Allis CentralL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 20West Allis CentralL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	35 ▼9 · Out projected out
26T	Sheboygan Falls check	Sheboygan Falls	Sheboygan Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21OostburgL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Sheboygan Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21OostburgL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21OostburgL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	48T ▼22 · Out projected out
26T	Shoreland Lutheran check	Kenosha	Shoreland Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 20Kenosha St. Joseph CatholicL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 20Kenosha St. Joseph CatholicL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 20Kenosha St. Joseph CatholicL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	19 ▲7 · 5-D
26T	Turner check	Beloit	Turner · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21McFarlandL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Turner · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21McFarlandL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Turner · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21McFarlandL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Turner · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	30 ▼4 · 8-D
26T	Two Rivers check	Two Rivers	Two Rivers · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21MarinetteL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Two Rivers · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21MarinetteL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Two Rivers · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21MarinetteL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Two Rivers · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	44 ▼18 · Out projected out
26T	Waupun check	Waupun	Waupun · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21SeymourL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Waupun · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21SeymourL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Waupun · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21SeymourL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Waupun · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	36 ▼10 · Out projected out
26T	Wisconsin Dells check	Wisconsin Dells	Wisconsin Dells · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 20PortageL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Wisconsin Dells · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 20PortageL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 20PortageL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	28 ▼2 · 7-C
26T	Wrightstown check	Wrightstown	Wrightstown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21WinneconneL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Wrightstown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21WinneconneL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Wrightstown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21WinneconneL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Wrightstown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	23 ▲3 · 6-B
26T	Xavier check	Appleton	Xavier · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result Aug 21Little ChuteL Counted: 0-1 Full worked example	0.00	Xavier · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned Aug 21Little ChuteL0.00 Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Xavier · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games Aug 21Little ChuteL— · 1 Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 1 = 0.000 Full worked example	Xavier · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	#7	21 ▲5 · 6-C
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
—	Milwaukee Madison check	Milwaukee	Milwaukee Madison · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result No games counted yet. Counted: 0-0 Full worked example	0.00	Milwaukee Madison · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned No games counted yet. Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 0 = 0.000 Full worked example	Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games No games counted yet. Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 0 = 0.000 Full worked example	Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 Full worked example	Excluded	Excluded
—	Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified		0-0	—	—	—	—	Unverified	Unverified
—	Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified		0-0	—	—	—	—	Unverified	Unverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 1 (games through Saturday 2026-08-22). 50 of 50 in the field, 4 placed (46 waiting on a tie-break).

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Denmark (rank 1T, seed 1)

Date	Opponent	Result	Opponent’s value	Tier 1 earned	Opp. Tier 1 points	Opp. games	Counts?
2026-08-21	New London	W	5.5 (D3)	5.50	0.00	1	yes

Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 1 = 5.500. Tier 2 points = 0.00 = 0.00; opponents’ games = 1 = 1; Tier 2 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000. Total = 5.500 + 9 × 0.000 = 5.50.

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.