Ewert projection through week 3Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 9:31 AM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Unresolved tie: Jefferson and Lake Mills (rank 8, seed #2). Tied at rank 8, across the #2/#3 seed line: placement waits for WIAA's tie-break (Tier 3, then its own procedure). Their slots are left empty.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 4 · Week 3 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 3. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 3. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 2: in Berlin (35 → 25), Black River Falls (35 → 26), Mauston (35 → 26) · out Kewaskum (23 → 37), Lakeside Lutheran (23 → 37), Milwaukee School of Languages (23 → 37), Big Foot (27 → 33). Biggest climbs: Stratford ▲13, Racine St. Catherine's ▲11, Little Chute ▲10. Biggest drops: Marinette ▼14, Denmark ▼12, Evansville ▼8.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ▲4 | Freedom check | Freedom | Freedom · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-0 | 26.67 | Freedom · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 3 = 5.167 | Freedom · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 21.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 2.389 | Freedom · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 1-A | 1 – · 1-A |
| 2 | ▲10 | Little Chute check | Little Chute | Little Chute · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-0 | 24.67 | Little Chute · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 3 = 5.167 | Little Chute · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 2.167 | Little Chute · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 1-D | 4 ▼2 · 1-B |
| 3 | ▲13 | Stratford check | Stratford | Stratford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-0 | 24.50 | Stratford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.50 ÷ 3 = 4.500 | Stratford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 20.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 2.222 | Stratford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 1-C | 7 ▼4 · 2-B |
| 4 | ▲4 | Northwestern check | Maple | Northwestern · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-0 | 22.67 | Northwestern · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 3 = 4.667 | Northwestern · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 2.000 | Northwestern · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 1-B | 6 ▼2 · 2-A |
| 5 | ▼3 | West Salem check | West Salem | West Salem · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-0 | 19.83 | West Salem · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 3 = 5.333 | West Salem · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 1.611 | West Salem · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 2-C | 5 – · 2-C |
| 6 | ▲1 | Kohler check | Kohler | Kohler · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 16.17 | Kohler · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 3 = 2.667 | Kohler · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 13.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 1.500 | Kohler · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 2-A | 39 ▼33 · Out projected out |
| 7 | ▲7 | Edgewood check | Madison | Edgewood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 14.50 | Edgewood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 3 = 3.500 | Edgewood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 1.222 | Edgewood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 2-D | 8 ▼1 · 2-D |
| 8T | ▼7 | Jefferson check | Jefferson | Jefferson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 13.50 | Jefferson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 3 = 3.500 | Jefferson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 1.111 | Jefferson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | #2 | 40 ▼32 · Out projected out |
| 8T | ▲5 | Lake Mills check | Lake Mills | Lake Mills · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 13.50 | Lake Mills · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 3 = 3.500 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 1.111 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | #2 | 2 ▲6 · 1-C |
| 10 | ▼4 | Seymour check | Seymour | Seymour · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 12.83 | Seymour · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 3 = 3.333 | Seymour · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 9.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 1.056 | Seymour · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 3-A | 25 ▼15 · 7-B |
| 11 | ▲4 | Delavan-Darien check | Delavan | Delavan-Darien · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 12.83 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 3 = 3.333 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 9.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 1.056 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 3-D | 11 – · 3-D |
| 12 | ▼2 | Aquinas check | La Crosse | Aquinas · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 12.00 | Aquinas · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 3 = 3.000 | Aquinas · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 9.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 1.000 | Aquinas · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 3-C | 10 ▲2 · 3-C |
| 13 | ▼5 | Wrightstown check | Wrightstown | Wrightstown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 11.67 | Wrightstown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 3 = 1.667 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 1.111 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 4-A | 23 ▼10 · 6-B |
| 14 | ▼12 | Denmark check | Denmark | Denmark · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-0 | 10.83 | Denmark · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 3 = 5.333 | Denmark · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.611 | Denmark · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 4-B | 31 ▼17 · 8-A |
| 15 | ▲2 | Two Rivers check | Two Rivers | Two Rivers · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 10.17 | Two Rivers · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 3 = 1.667 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.944 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 4-D | 44 ▼29 · Out projected out |
| 16 | ▲11 | Racine St. Catherine's check | Racine | Racine St. Catherine's · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 8.67 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 3 = 3.167 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.611 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 4-C | 3 ▲13 · 1-D |
| 17 | ▼7 | Ashland check | Ashland | Ashland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 8.50 | Ashland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 3 = 3.000 | Ashland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.611 | Ashland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 5-A | 22 ▼5 · 6-A |
| 18 | ▼14 | Marinette check | Marinette | Marinette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 8.10 | Marinette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 3 = 1.667 | Marinette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 7 = 0.714 | Marinette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 5-D | 38 ▼20 · Out projected out |
| 19 | – | Saint Francis check | Saint Francis | Saint Francis · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 7.67 | Saint Francis · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 3 = 3.167 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.500 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 5-C | 14 ▲5 · 4-D |
| 20 | ▲1 | Oconto Falls check | Oconto Falls | Oconto Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 7.17 | Oconto Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 3 = 3.167 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.444 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 5-B | 34 ▼14 · Out projected out |
| 21 | ▲2 | Platteville check | Platteville | Platteville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 7.00 | Platteville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 3 = 3.000 | Platteville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.444 | Platteville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-C | 15 ▲6 · 4-B |
| 22 | ▼4 | Ripon check | Ripon | Ripon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 6.83 | Ripon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 3 = 2.833 | Ripon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.444 | Ripon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-A | 26 ▼4 · 7-D |
| 23 | ▲4 | Edgerton check | Edgerton | Edgerton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 6.67 | Edgerton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 3 = 3.167 | Edgerton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.389 | Edgerton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-D | 29 ▼6 · 8-C |
| 24 | ▲3 | Shoreland Lutheran check | Kenosha | Shoreland Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 6.00 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 3 = 1.500 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.500 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-B | 19 ▲5 · 5-D |
| 25 | ▲10 | Berlin check | Berlin | Berlin · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 6.00 | Berlin · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 3 = 1.500 | Berlin · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.500 | Berlin · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-A in | 18 ▲7 · 5-C |
| 26T | ▲9 | Black River Falls check | Black River Falls | Black River Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 4.83 | Black River Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 3 = 1.333 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.389 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-C in | 32 ▼6 · 8-B |
| 26T | ▲9 | Mauston check | Mauston | Mauston · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 4.83 | Mauston · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 3 = 1.333 | Mauston · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.389 | Mauston · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-D in | 20 ▲6 · 5-A |
| 28 | ▼8 | Evansville check | Evansville | Evansville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-0 | 4.50 | Evansville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.50 ÷ 3 = 4.500 | Evansville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Evansville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | 7-B | 17 ▲11 · 5-B |
| 29 | ▼8 | Lodi check | Lodi | Lodi · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 3.33 | Lodi · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 3 = 3.333 | Lodi · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Lodi · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | 8-A | 13 ▲16 · 4-A |
| 30T | ▼3 | Osceola check | Osceola | Osceola · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 3.17 | Osceola · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 3 = 3.167 | Osceola · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Osceola · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | 8-B | 9 ▲21 · 3-A |
| 30T | ▼3 | Somerset check | Somerset | Somerset · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 3.17 | Somerset · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 3 = 3.167 | Somerset · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Somerset · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | 8-C | 27 ▲3 · 7-A |
| 30T | ▼3 | Wisconsin Dells check | Wisconsin Dells | Wisconsin Dells · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 3.17 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 3 = 3.167 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | 8-D | 28 ▲2 · 7-C |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▼6 | Big Foot checkBelow cut line | Walworth | Big Foot · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 2.83 | Big Foot · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 3 = 2.833 | Big Foot · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 7 = 0.000 | Big Foot · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line dropped | 43 ▼10 · Out |
| 34 | ▲1 | Fuller Collegiate Academy checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Fuller Collegiate Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-1 | 2.25 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 2 = 2.250 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 4 = 0.000 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 12 ▲22 · 3-B projected in |
| 35T | – | Mosinee checkBelow cut line | Mosinee | Mosinee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 1.83 | Mosinee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 3 = 1.833 | Mosinee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Mosinee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47 ▼12 · Out |
| 35T | – | Xavier checkBelow cut line | Appleton | Xavier · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 1.83 | Xavier · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 3 = 1.833 | Xavier · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Xavier · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 21 ▲14 · 6-C projected in |
| 37T | ▼14 | Kewaskum checkBelow cut line | Kewaskum | Kewaskum · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 1.67 | Kewaskum · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 3 = 1.667 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line dropped | 33 ▲4 · Out |
| 37T | ▼14 | Lakeside Lutheran checkBelow cut line | Lake Mills | Lakeside Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 1.67 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 3 = 1.667 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line dropped | 16 ▲21 · 4-C projected in |
| 37T | ▼14 | Milwaukee School of Languages checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee School of Languages · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 1.67 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 3 = 1.667 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line dropped | 46 ▼9 · Out |
| 40 | ▼6 | Whitewater checkBelow cut line | Whitewater | Whitewater · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-2 | 1.17 | Whitewater · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 3 = 1.167 | Whitewater · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Whitewater · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45 ▼5 · Out |
| 41T | ▼6 | Altoona checkBelow cut line | Altoona | Altoona · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Altoona · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Altoona · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Altoona · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 37 ▲4 · Out |
| 41T | ▼6 | Brown Deer checkBelow cut line | Brown Deer | Brown Deer · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Brown Deer · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 41 – · Out |
| 41T | ▼6 | Campbellsport checkBelow cut line | Campbellsport | Campbellsport · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Campbellsport · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 24 ▲17 · 6-D projected in |
| 41T | ▼6 | Ellsworth checkBelow cut line | Ellsworth | Ellsworth · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Ellsworth · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼7 · Out |
| 41T | ▼6 | North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut line | North Fond du Lac | North Fond du Lac · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼7 · Out |
| 41T | ▼6 | Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut line | Hammond | Saint Croix Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 42 ▼1 · Out |
| 41T | ▼6 | Saint Thomas More checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Saint Thomas More · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 35 ▲6 · Out |
| 41T | ▼6 | Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan Falls | Sheboygan Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼7 · Out |
| 41T | ▼6 | Turner checkBelow cut line | Beloit | Turner · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Turner · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Turner · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Turner · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 30 ▲11 · 8-D projected in |
| 41T | ▼6 | Waupun checkBelow cut line | Waupun | Waupun · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Waupun · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Waupun · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 9 = 0.000 | Waupun · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 36 ▲5 · Out |
| — | Milwaukee Madison check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Madison · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result No games counted yet. Counted: 0-0 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned No games counted yet. Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 0 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games No games counted yet. Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 0 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 3 (games through Saturday 2026-09-05). 32 of 50 in the field, 30 placed (2 waiting on a tie-break).
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Freedom (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Lake Mills | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 10.50 | 3 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Xavier | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 5.50 | 3 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | New London | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 5.50 | 3 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 3 = 5.167. Tier 2 points = 10.50 + 5.50 + 5.50 = 21.50; opponents’ games = 3 + 3 + 3 = 9; Tier 2 AVG = 21.50 ÷ 9 = 2.389. Total = 5.167 + 9 × 2.389 = 26.67 (Tier 3 tie-break 3.33).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
