Ewert projection through week 5Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 10:33 AM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 4 · Week 5 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 5. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 5. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 4: in Campbellsport (34 → 20), Osceola (35 → 23), Fuller Collegiate Academy (37 → 27), Somerset (39 → 31) · out Wrightstown (23 → 34), Lodi (29 → 37), Marinette (31 → 40), Big Foot (32 → 39). Biggest climbs: Xavier ▲15, Campbellsport ▲14, Osceola ▲12. Biggest drops: Two Rivers ▼11, Seymour ▼10, Evansville ▼8.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | Freedom check | Freedom | Freedom · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 34.26 | Freedom · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 5 = 5.100 | Freedom · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 81.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 3.240 | Freedom · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 1-A | 1 – · 1-A |
| 2 | ▲2 | Stratford check | Stratford | Stratford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 25.10 | Stratford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.00 ÷ 5 = 4.400 | Stratford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 57.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.300 | Stratford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 13 | 1-C | 7 ▼5 · 2-B |
| 3 | ▲4 | Edgewood check | Madison | Edgewood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 23.38 | Edgewood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 21.50 ÷ 5 = 4.300 | Edgewood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 53.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.120 | Edgewood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 1-D | 8 ▼5 · 2-D |
| 4 | ▼2 | Little Chute check | Little Chute | Little Chute · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 23.20 | Little Chute · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.00 ÷ 5 = 5.200 | Little Chute · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 50.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.000 | Little Chute · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 1-B | 4 – · 1-B |
| 5 | – | West Salem check | West Salem | West Salem · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 22.74 | West Salem · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 5 = 5.100 | West Salem · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 49.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.960 | West Salem · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 2-B | 5 – · 2-C |
| 6 | ▼3 | Northwestern check | Maple | Northwestern · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 20.90 | Northwestern · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 5 = 4.700 | Northwestern · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 45.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.800 | Northwestern · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 2-C | 6 – · 2-A |
| 7 | ▲1 | Delavan-Darien check | Delavan | Delavan-Darien · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 17.30 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 5 = 3.800 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 37.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.500 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 2-D | 11 ▼4 · 3-D |
| 8 | ▲4 | Lake Mills check | Lake Mills | Lake Mills · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 16.60 | Lake Mills · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.00 ÷ 5 = 4.000 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 35.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.400 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 2-A | 2 ▲6 · 1-C |
| 9 | ▲4 | Edgerton check | Edgerton | Edgerton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 16.24 | Edgerton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.00 ÷ 5 = 4.000 | Edgerton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 34.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.360 | Edgerton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 3-A | 29 ▼20 · 8-C |
| 10 | ▲10 | Ripon check | Ripon | Ripon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 15.22 | Ripon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 5 = 3.700 | Ripon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.280 | Ripon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 3-C | 26 ▼16 · 7-D |
| 11 | – | Shoreland Lutheran check | Kenosha | Shoreland Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 14.88 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 5 = 3.000 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 33.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.320 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 3-D | 19 ▼8 · 5-D |
| 12 | ▼3 | Aquinas check | La Crosse | Aquinas · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 14.86 | Aquinas · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 5 = 3.700 | Aquinas · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.240 | Aquinas · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 3-B | 10 ▲2 · 3-C |
| 13 | ▲11 | Racine St. Catherine's check | Racine | Racine St. Catherine's · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 14.60 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 5 = 3.800 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 30.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.200 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 4-C | 3 ▲10 · 1-D |
| 14 | ▼8 | Evansville check | Evansville | Evansville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 13.44 | Evansville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.00 ÷ 5 = 4.800 | Evansville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.960 | Evansville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 4-D | 17 ▼3 · 5-B |
| 15 | ▲15 | Xavier check | Appleton | Xavier · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 10.48 | Xavier · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 5 = 3.100 | Xavier · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 20.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.820 | Xavier · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 4-B | 21 ▼6 · 6-C |
| 16 | ▼6 | Kohler check | Kohler | Kohler · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 10.34 | Kohler · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 5 = 2.600 | Kohler · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 21.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.860 | Kohler · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 4-A | 39 ▼23 · Out projected out |
| 17 | ▲8 | Berlin check | Berlin | Berlin · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 10.26 | Berlin · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.50 ÷ 5 = 2.700 | Berlin · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 21.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.840 | Berlin · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 5-B | 18 ▼1 · 5-C |
| 18 | ▼3 | Denmark check | Denmark | Denmark · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 10.24 | Denmark · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 21.50 ÷ 5 = 4.300 | Denmark · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 16.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.660 | Denmark · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-A | 31 ▼13 · 8-A |
| 19 | ▼5 | Platteville check | Platteville | Platteville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 9.90 | Platteville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 5 = 3.600 | Platteville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.700 | Platteville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 5-D | 15 ▲4 · 4-B |
| 20 | ▲14 | Campbellsport check | Campbellsport | Campbellsport · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 9.72 | Campbellsport · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 5 = 1.800 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 22.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.880 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 5-C in | 24 ▼4 · 6-D |
| 21 | ▲6 | Ashland check | Ashland | Ashland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 9.44 | Ashland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 5 = 2.600 | Ashland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.760 | Ashland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 6-C | 22 ▼1 · 6-A |
| 22 | ▼4 | Saint Francis check | Saint Francis | Saint Francis · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 8.98 | Saint Francis · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 5 = 3.500 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.00 ÷ opponents’ games 23 = 0.609 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 6-D | 14 ▲8 · 4-D |
| 23 | ▲12 | Osceola check | Osceola | Osceola · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 8.94 | Osceola · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.50 ÷ 5 = 3.900 | Osceola · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.560 | Osceola · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 6-B in | 9 ▲14 · 3-A |
| 24 | ▼5 | Jefferson check | Jefferson | Jefferson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 8.40 | Jefferson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 5 = 3.000 | Jefferson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.600 | Jefferson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 6-A | 40 ▼16 · Out projected out |
| 25 | ▼4 | Lakeside Lutheran check | Lake Mills | Lakeside Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 8.30 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 5 = 2.900 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.600 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-A | 16 ▲9 · 4-C |
| 26 | ▼10 | Seymour check | Seymour | Seymour · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 8.14 | Seymour · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 5 = 3.100 | Seymour · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.560 | Seymour · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-C | 25 ▲1 · 7-B |
| 27 | ▲10 | Fuller Collegiate Academy check | Milwaukee | Fuller Collegiate Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 7.75 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 4 = 4.000 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 12 = 0.417 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-D in | 12 ▲15 · 3-B |
| 28 | ▼11 | Two Rivers check | Two Rivers | Two Rivers · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 7.66 | Two Rivers · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 5 = 1.000 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.740 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 7-B | 44 ▼16 · Out projected out |
| 29 | ▼7 | Oconto Falls check | Oconto Falls | Oconto Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 6.40 | Oconto Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 5 = 1.900 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.500 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 8-A | 34 ▼5 · Out projected out |
| 30 | ▼5 | Mauston check | Mauston | Mauston · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 6.20 | Mauston · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 5 = 1.700 | Mauston · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.500 | Mauston · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 8-B | 20 ▲10 · 5-A |
| 31 | ▲8 | Somerset check | Somerset | Somerset · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 5.50 | Somerset · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 5 = 1.900 | Somerset · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.400 | Somerset · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-C in | 27 ▲4 · 7-A |
| 32 | ▼4 | Turner check | Beloit | Turner · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 4.86 | Turner · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 5 = 1.800 | Turner · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.340 | Turner · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-D | 30 ▲2 · 8-D |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▲10 | Brown Deer checkBelow cut line | Brown Deer | Brown Deer · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 4.75 | Brown Deer · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 5 = 1.000 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.00 ÷ opponents’ games 24 = 0.417 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 41 ▼8 · Out |
| 34 | ▼11 | Wrightstown checkBelow cut line | Wrightstown | Wrightstown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 4.60 | Wrightstown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 5 = 1.000 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.400 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line dropped | 23 ▲11 · 6-B projected in |
| 35 | ▲1 | Wisconsin Dells checkBelow cut line | Wisconsin Dells | Wisconsin Dells · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 4.42 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 5 = 2.800 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.180 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 28 ▲7 · 7-C projected in |
| 36 | ▼3 | Kewaskum checkBelow cut line | Kewaskum | Kewaskum · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 4.24 | Kewaskum · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 5 = 1.000 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 9.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.360 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 33 ▲3 · Out |
| 37 | ▼8 | Lodi checkBelow cut line | Lodi | Lodi · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 3.98 | Lodi · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 5 = 2.000 | Lodi · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.220 | Lodi · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 13 ▲24 · 4-A projected in |
| 38 | – | Black River Falls checkBelow cut line | Black River Falls | Black River Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 3.68 | Black River Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 5 = 0.800 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.320 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 32 ▲6 · 8-B projected in |
| 39 | ▼7 | Big Foot checkBelow cut line | Walworth | Big Foot · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 3.20 | Big Foot · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 5 = 1.700 | Big Foot · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 21 = 0.167 | Big Foot · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 43 ▼4 · Out |
| 40 | ▼9 | Marinette checkBelow cut line | Marinette | Marinette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 3.14 | Marinette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 5 = 1.000 | Marinette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 21 = 0.238 | Marinette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 38 ▲2 · Out |
| 41 | ▲2 | Altoona checkBelow cut line | Altoona | Altoona · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 2.70 | Altoona · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 5 = 0.900 | Altoona · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.200 | Altoona · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 37 ▲4 · Out |
| 42 | ▼2 | Mosinee checkBelow cut line | Mosinee | Mosinee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.10 | Mosinee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 5 = 1.100 | Mosinee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Mosinee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47 ▼5 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | Milwaukee School of Languages checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee School of Languages · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.00 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 5 = 1.000 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46 ▼3 · Out |
| 43T | – | Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut line | Hammond | Saint Croix Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.00 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 5 = 1.000 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 42 ▲1 · Out |
| 45 | ▼2 | Waupun checkBelow cut line | Waupun | Waupun · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 0.90 | Waupun · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 5 = 0.900 | Waupun · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Waupun · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 36 ▲9 · Out |
| 46 | ▼4 | Whitewater checkBelow cut line | Whitewater | Whitewater · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 0.70 | Whitewater · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 5 = 0.700 | Whitewater · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Whitewater · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45 ▲1 · Out |
| 47T | ▼4 | Ellsworth checkBelow cut line | Ellsworth | Ellsworth · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Ellsworth · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼1 · Out |
| 47T | ▼4 | North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut line | North Fond du Lac | North Fond du Lac · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼1 · Out |
| 47T | ▼4 | Saint Thomas More checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Saint Thomas More · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 35 ▲12 · Out |
| 47T | ▼4 | Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan Falls | Sheboygan Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼1 · Out |
| — | Milwaukee Madison check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Madison · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-1 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 2 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 5 (games through Saturday 2026-09-19). 32 of 50 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Freedom (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Lake Mills | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 20.00 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Xavier | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 15.50 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | New London | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 11.00 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Denmark | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 21.50 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Kohler | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 13.00 | 5 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 5 = 5.100. Tier 2 points = 20.00 + 15.50 + 11.00 + 21.50 + 13.00 = 81.00; opponents’ games = 5 + 5 + 5 + 5 + 5 = 25; Tier 2 AVG = 81.00 ÷ 25 = 3.240. Total = 5.100 + 9 × 3.240 = 34.26 (Tier 3 tie-break 7.13).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
