Ewert projection through week 7Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Thu, Oct 22 · 12:18 PM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 4 · Week 7 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 7. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 7. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 6: in Wisconsin Dells (34 → 26), Somerset (35 → 28), Saint Thomas More (36 → 32) · out Oconto Falls (26 → 34), Turner (31 → 33), Wrightstown (32 → 36). Biggest climbs: Wisconsin Dells ▲8, Lodi ▲7, Somerset ▲7. Biggest drops: Edgerton ▼6, Campbellsport ▼6, Shoreland Lutheran ▼5.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | Freedom check | Freedom | Freedom · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-0 | 32.26 | Freedom · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 35.50 ÷ 7 = 5.071 | Freedom · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 148.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 3.020 | Freedom · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 29 | 1-A | 1 – · 1-A |
| 2 | ▲4 | Little Chute check | Little Chute | Little Chute · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 24.17 | Little Chute · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.00 ÷ 7 = 4.429 | Little Chute · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 107.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 2.194 | Little Chute · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 21 | 1-D | 4 ▼2 · 1-B |
| 3 | ▼1 | West Salem check | West Salem | West Salem · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-0 | 23.50 | West Salem · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 34.00 ÷ 7 = 4.857 | West Salem · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 101.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 2.071 | West Salem · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 23 | 1-C | 5 ▼2 · 2-C |
| 4 | ▼1 | Stratford check | Stratford | Stratford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-0 | 22.84 | Stratford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 30.00 ÷ 7 = 4.286 | Stratford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 101.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 2.061 | Stratford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 24 | 1-B | 7 ▼3 · 2-B |
| 5 | ▼1 | Lake Mills check | Lake Mills | Lake Mills · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 22.65 | Lake Mills · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 30.00 ÷ 7 = 4.286 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 100.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 2.041 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 20 | 2-B | 2 ▲3 · 1-C |
| 6 | ▼1 | Edgewood check | Madison | Edgewood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 21.27 | Edgewood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.50 ÷ 7 = 4.643 | Edgewood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 90.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.847 | Edgewood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 17 | 2-C | 8 ▼2 · 2-D |
| 7 | ▲2 | Racine St. Catherine's check | Racine | Racine St. Catherine's · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 20.19 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 29.50 ÷ 7 = 4.214 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 87.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.776 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 17 | 2-A | 3 ▲4 · 1-D |
| 8 | ▼1 | Delavan-Darien check | Delavan | Delavan-Darien · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 17.39 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.00 ÷ 7 = 3.429 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 76.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.551 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 2-D | 11 ▼3 · 3-D |
| 9 | ▼1 | Northwestern check | Maple | Northwestern · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-0 | 16.97 | Northwestern · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.00 ÷ 7 = 4.571 | Northwestern · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 67.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.378 | Northwestern · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 15 | 3-D | 6 ▲3 · 2-A |
| 10 | ▲2 | Aquinas check | La Crosse | Aquinas · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 16.60 | Aquinas · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 27.50 ÷ 7 = 3.929 | Aquinas · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 69.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.408 | Aquinas · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 3-C | 10 – · 3-C |
| 11 | – | Saint Francis check | Saint Francis | Saint Francis · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 15.35 | Saint Francis · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 27.00 ÷ 7 = 3.857 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 60.00 ÷ opponents’ games 47 = 1.277 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 13 | 3-A | 14 ▼3 · 4-D |
| 12 | ▲6 | Lakeside Lutheran check | Lake Mills | Lakeside Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 14.47 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 7 = 3.357 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 60.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.235 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 12 | 3-B | 16 ▼4 · 4-C |
| 13 | ▲4 | Evansville check | Evansville | Evansville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 13.69 | Evansville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 29.00 ÷ 7 = 4.143 | Evansville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 52.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.061 | Evansville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 4-A | 17 ▼4 · 5-B |
| 14 | ▼4 | Berlin check | Berlin | Berlin · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 13.39 | Berlin · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 7 = 2.643 | Berlin · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 58.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.194 | Berlin · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 13 | 4-D | 18 ▼4 · 5-C |
| 15 | ▲4 | Platteville check | Platteville | Platteville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 12.95 | Platteville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 27.00 ÷ 7 = 3.857 | Platteville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 49.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.010 | Platteville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 4-C | 15 – · 4-B |
| 16 | ▲7 | Lodi check | Lodi | Lodi · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 12.94 | Lodi · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.50 ÷ 7 = 2.929 | Lodi · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 54.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.112 | Lodi · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 4-B | 13 ▲3 · 4-A |
| 17 | ▲3 | Osceola check | Osceola | Osceola · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 12.04 | Osceola · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 29.00 ÷ 7 = 4.143 | Osceola · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.878 | Osceola · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 5-C | 9 ▲8 · 3-A |
| 18 | ▼5 | Shoreland Lutheran check | Kenosha | Shoreland Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 11.58 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.00 ÷ 7 = 2.857 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 47.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.969 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 5-A | 19 ▼1 · 5-D |
| 19 | ▼5 | Denmark check | Denmark | Denmark · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 11.22 | Denmark · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.50 ÷ 7 = 3.786 | Denmark · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 40.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.827 | Denmark · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 5-D | 31 ▼12 · 8-A |
| 20 | ▼4 | Ripon check | Ripon | Ripon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 11.09 | Ripon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 7 = 2.643 | Ripon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 46.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.939 | Ripon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 5-B | 26 ▼6 · 7-D |
| 21 | ▼6 | Edgerton check | Edgerton | Edgerton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 10.85 | Edgerton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.00 ÷ 7 = 2.857 | Edgerton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.888 | Edgerton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 6-B | 29 ▼8 · 8-C |
| 22 | ▲2 | Xavier check | Appleton | Xavier · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 10.71 | Xavier · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 21.00 ÷ 7 = 3.000 | Xavier · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 42.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.857 | Xavier · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 6-C | 21 ▲1 · 6-C |
| 23 | ▼1 | Ashland check | Ashland | Ashland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 10.63 | Ashland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 7 = 3.286 | Ashland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 40.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.816 | Ashland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 6-D | 22 ▲1 · 6-A |
| 24 | ▲1 | Fuller Collegiate Academy check | Milwaukee | Fuller Collegiate Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-1 | 10.23 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.50 ÷ 6 = 4.417 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.50 ÷ opponents’ games 24 = 0.646 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 6-A | 12 ▲12 · 3-B |
| 25 | ▲5 | Mauston check | Mauston | Mauston · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 10.01 | Mauston · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 7 = 2.571 | Mauston · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 40.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.827 | Mauston · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 7-D | 20 ▲5 · 5-A |
| 26 | ▲8 | Wisconsin Dells check | Wisconsin Dells | Wisconsin Dells · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 9.23 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 7 = 3.357 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.653 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 7-B in | 28 ▼2 · 7-C |
| 27 | ▼6 | Campbellsport check | Campbellsport | Campbellsport · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 9.16 | Campbellsport · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 7 = 2.000 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 39.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.796 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 7-A | 24 ▲3 · 6-D |
| 28 | ▲7 | Somerset check | Somerset | Somerset · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 7.05 | Somerset · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 7 = 2.000 | Somerset · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.561 | Somerset · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 7-C in | 27 ▲1 · 7-A |
| 29 | ▼1 | Jefferson check | Jefferson | Jefferson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 6.73 | Jefferson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 7 = 2.143 | Jefferson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.510 | Jefferson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 8-C | 40 ▼11 · Out projected out |
| 30 | ▼3 | Kohler check | Kohler | Kohler · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 6.45 | Kohler · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 7 = 1.857 | Kohler · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.510 | Kohler · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 8-A | 39 ▼9 · Out projected out |
| 31 | ▼2 | Seymour check | Seymour | Seymour · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 6.44 | Seymour · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 7 = 2.214 | Seymour · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.469 | Seymour · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 8-B | 25 ▲6 · 7-B |
| 32 | ▲4 | Saint Thomas More check | Milwaukee | Saint Thomas More · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 6.40 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 7 = 1.429 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 26.50 ÷ opponents’ games 48 = 0.552 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 8-D in | 35 ▼3 · Out projected out |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▼2 | Turner checkBelow cut line | Beloit | Turner · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 6.24 | Turner · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.50 ÷ 7 = 1.929 | Turner · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.480 | Turner · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line dropped | 30 ▲3 · 8-D projected in |
| 34 | ▼8 | Oconto Falls checkBelow cut line | Oconto Falls | Oconto Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 6.04 | Oconto Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 7 = 2.000 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 22.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.449 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line dropped | 34 – · Out |
| 35 | ▲9 | Altoona checkBelow cut line | Altoona | Altoona · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 5.69 | Altoona · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 7 = 1.286 | Altoona · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.490 | Altoona · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line | 37 ▼2 · Out |
| 36 | ▼4 | Wrightstown checkBelow cut line | Wrightstown | Wrightstown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 5.19 | Wrightstown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 7 = 1.429 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 20.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.418 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line dropped | 23 ▲13 · 6-B projected in |
| 37 | ▲6 | Marinette checkBelow cut line | Marinette | Marinette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 4.99 | Marinette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 7 = 1.429 | Marinette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 48 = 0.396 | Marinette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 38 ▼1 · Out |
| 38 | ▼1 | Brown Deer checkBelow cut line | Brown Deer | Brown Deer · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 4.56 | Brown Deer · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 7 = 0.714 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 20.50 ÷ opponents’ games 48 = 0.427 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 41 ▼3 · Out |
| 39 | ▼6 | Two Rivers checkBelow cut line | Two Rivers | Two Rivers · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 4.18 | Two Rivers · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 7 = 0.714 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 48 = 0.385 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 44 ▼5 · Out |
| 40 | ▼1 | Kewaskum checkBelow cut line | Kewaskum | Kewaskum · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 4.07 | Kewaskum · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 7 = 1.500 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.286 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | Below cut line | 33 ▲7 · Out |
| 41 | ▼3 | Black River Falls checkBelow cut line | Black River Falls | Black River Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 4.06 | Black River Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 7 = 1.857 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.245 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | Below cut line | 32 ▲9 · 8-B projected in |
| 42 | – | Big Foot checkBelow cut line | Walworth | Big Foot · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 3.42 | Big Foot · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 7 = 1.214 | Big Foot · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.245 | Big Foot · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | Below cut line | 43 ▼1 · Out |
| 43 | ▼2 | Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut line | Hammond | Saint Croix Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 3.08 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 7 = 1.429 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 9.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.184 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 42 ▲1 · Out |
| 44 | ▼4 | Whitewater checkBelow cut line | Whitewater | Whitewater · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 2.78 | Whitewater · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 7 = 1.214 | Whitewater · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.173 | Whitewater · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 45 ▼1 · Out |
| 45 | ▲2 | Waupun checkBelow cut line | Waupun | Waupun · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 2.11 | Waupun · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 7 = 1.286 | Waupun · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.092 | Waupun · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 36 ▲9 · Out |
| 46 | ▼1 | Mosinee checkBelow cut line | Mosinee | Mosinee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 0.79 | Mosinee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 7 = 0.786 | Mosinee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Mosinee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47 ▼1 · Out |
| 47 | ▼1 | Milwaukee School of Languages checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee School of Languages · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 0.71 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 7 = 0.714 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46 ▲1 · Out |
| 48T | – | Ellsworth checkBelow cut line | Ellsworth | Ellsworth · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-7 | 0.00 | Ellsworth · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 7 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T – · Out |
| 48T | – | North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut line | North Fond du Lac | North Fond du Lac · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-7 | 0.00 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 7 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T – · Out |
| 48T | – | Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan Falls | Sheboygan Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-7 | 0.00 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 7 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T – · Out |
| — | Milwaukee Madison check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Madison · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 13 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 7 (games through Saturday 2026-10-03). 32 of 50 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Freedom (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Lake Mills | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 30.00 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Xavier | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 21.00 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | New London | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 16.50 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Denmark | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 26.50 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Kohler | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 13.00 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-09-25 | Little Chute | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 31.00 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-10-02 | Wrightstown | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 10.00 | 7 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 35.50 ÷ 7 = 5.071. Tier 2 points = 30.00 + 21.00 + 16.50 + 26.50 + 13.00 + 31.00 + 10.00 = 148.00; opponents’ games = 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 = 49; Tier 2 AVG = 148.00 ÷ 49 = 3.020. Total = 5.071 + 9 × 3.020 = 32.26 (Tier 3 tie-break 9.09).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
