Ewert projection through week 7Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 10:33 AM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 5 · Week 7 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 7. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 7. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 6: in East Troy (35 → 31), Northland Pines (34 → 32) · out Columbus (31 → 35), Neillsville/Granton (32 → 33). Biggest climbs: Westfield ▲8, Elk Mound ▲5, Watertown Luther Prep ▲4. Biggest drops: Arcadia ▼6, Amery ▼5, New Holstein ▼4.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ▲3 | Racine Lutheran check | Racine | Racine Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-0 | 24.19 | Racine Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 35.00 ÷ 7 = 5.000 | Racine Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 104.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 2.133 | Racine Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 19 | 1-A | 1 – · 1-D |
| 2 | ▲3 | Darlington check | Darlington | Darlington · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-0 | 23.72 | Darlington · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.50 ÷ 7 = 4.071 | Darlington · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 107.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 2.184 | Darlington · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 22 | 1-C | 2 – · 1-B |
| 3 | – | Amherst check | Amherst | Amherst · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-0 | 22.33 | Amherst · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 29.00 ÷ 7 = 4.143 | Amherst · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 99.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 2.020 | Amherst · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 24 | 1-D | 3 – · 1-A |
| 4 | ▼3 | Durand-Arkansaw check | Durand | Durand-Arkansaw · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-0 | 21.22 | Durand-Arkansaw · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 29.00 ÷ 7 = 4.143 | Durand-Arkansaw · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 93.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.898 | Durand-Arkansaw · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 23 | 1-B | 5 ▼1 · 2-B |
| 5 | ▼3 | New Glarus check | New Glarus | New Glarus · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 21.11 | New Glarus · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 7 = 3.571 | New Glarus · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 95.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.949 | New Glarus · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 23 | 2-C | 4 ▲1 · 1-C |
| 6 | – | Saint Croix Falls check | Saint Croix Falls | Saint Croix Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 19.36 | Saint Croix Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 27.50 ÷ 7 = 3.929 | Saint Croix Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 84.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.714 | Saint Croix Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 20 | 2-B | 6 – · 2-C |
| 7 | ▲1 | Grantsburg check | Grantsburg | Grantsburg · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 17.96 | Grantsburg · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 7 = 3.357 | Grantsburg · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 79.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.622 | Grantsburg · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 20 | 2-D | 7 – · 2-A |
| 8 | ▼1 | Lake Country Lutheran check | Hartland | Lake Country Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 16.48 | Lake Country Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.00 ÷ 7 = 3.714 | Lake Country Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 69.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.418 | Lake Country Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 15 | 2-A | 8 – · 2-D |
| 9 | ▲1 | Brillion check | Brillion | Brillion · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 16.09 | Brillion · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.00 ÷ 7 = 3.714 | Brillion · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 66.00 ÷ opponents’ games 48 = 1.375 | Brillion · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 15 | 3-D | 9 – · 3-A |
| 10 | ▲3 | Chilton check | Chilton | Chilton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 13.68 | Chilton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 7 = 2.429 | Chilton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 60.00 ÷ opponents’ games 48 = 1.250 | Chilton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 3-B | 14 ▼4 · 4-A |
| 11 | ▲1 | Mayville check | Mayville | Mayville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 13.52 | Mayville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.00 ÷ 7 = 3.143 | Mayville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 56.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.153 | Mayville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 13 | 3-C | 12 ▼1 · 3-C |
| 12 | ▼3 | Kiel check | Kiel | Kiel · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 13.30 | Kiel · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 7 = 2.429 | Kiel · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 58.00 ÷ opponents’ games 48 = 1.208 | Kiel · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 13 | 3-A | 16 ▼4 · 4-D |
| 13 | ▲3 | Winnebago Lutheran check | Fond du Lac | Winnebago Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 13.27 | Winnebago Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 7 = 2.429 | Winnebago Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 59.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.204 | Winnebago Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 12 | 4-D | 18 ▼5 · 5-C |
| 14 | ▲4 | Watertown Luther Prep check | Watertown | Watertown Luther Prep · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 13.24 | Watertown Luther Prep · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.50 ÷ 7 = 3.786 | Watertown Luther Prep · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 51.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.051 | Watertown Luther Prep · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 4-C | 11 ▲3 · 3-B |
| 15 | ▲5 | Elk Mound check | Elk Mound | Elk Mound · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 12.99 | Elk Mound · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 21.50 ÷ 7 = 3.071 | Elk Mound · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 54.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 1.102 | Elk Mound · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 13 | 4-B | 13 ▲2 · 4-B |
| 16 | ▼1 | Milwaukee North/Milwaukee WI Conservatory of Lifelong Learning check | Milwaukee North/Milwaukee WI Conservatory of Lifelong Learning · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-0 | 12.60 | Milwaukee North/Milwaukee WI Conservatory of Lifelong Learning · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 3 = 5.333 | Milwaukee North/Milwaukee WI Conservatory of Lifelong Learning · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.50 ÷ opponents’ games 13 = 0.808 | Milwaukee North/Milwaukee WI Conservatory of Lifelong Learning · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 4-A | 10 ▲6 · 3-D | |
| 17 | ▼6 | Arcadia check | Arcadia | Arcadia · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 11.33 | Arcadia · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.50 ÷ 7 = 2.786 | Arcadia · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 46.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.949 | Arcadia · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 12 | 5-B | 23 ▼6 · 6-B |
| 18 | ▼4 | New Holstein check | New Holstein | New Holstein · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 10.60 | New Holstein · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 7 = 2.429 | New Holstein · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 44.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.908 | New Holstein · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 5-D | 15 ▲3 · 4-C |
| 19 | ▲4 | Ozaukee/Random Lake check | Ozaukee/Random Lake · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 10.37 | Ozaukee/Random Lake · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 7 = 2.286 | Ozaukee/Random Lake · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 44.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.898 | Ozaukee/Random Lake · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 5-A | 26 ▼7 · 7-B | |
| 20 | ▲8 | Westfield check | Westfield | Westfield · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 10.28 | Westfield · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 7 = 2.286 | Westfield · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.888 | Westfield · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 5-C | 17 ▲3 · 5-B |
| 21 | ▼2 | University School of Milwaukee check | Milwaukee | University School of Milwaukee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-2 | 9.68 | University School of Milwaukee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 7 = 3.357 | University School of Milwaukee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 33.00 ÷ opponents’ games 47 = 0.702 | University School of Milwaukee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 6-C | 22 ▼1 · 6-D |
| 22 | ▼5 | Amery check | Amery | Amery · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 9.23 | Amery · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 7 = 2.714 | Amery · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 35.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.724 | Amery · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 6-B | 21 ▲1 · 6-C |
| 23 | ▲3 | Oostburg check | Oostburg | Oostburg · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-3 | 8.31 | Oostburg · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 7 = 2.429 | Oostburg · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.653 | Oostburg · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 6-A | 28 ▼5 · 7-C |
| 24 | ▼3 | Tomahawk check | Tomahawk | Tomahawk · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 8.14 | Tomahawk · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 7 = 2.357 | Tomahawk · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.643 | Tomahawk · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 6-D | 24 – · 6-A |
| 25 | ▲2 | Milwaukee Academy of Science check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Academy of Science · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 7.72 | Milwaukee Academy of Science · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 7 = 2.214 | Milwaukee Academy of Science · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 30.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.612 | Milwaukee Academy of Science · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 7-C | 19 ▲6 · 5-D |
| 26 | ▼4 | Brookfield Academy check | Brookfield | Brookfield Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 7.00 | Brookfield Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 7 = 1.214 | Brookfield Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.643 | Brookfield Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 7-A | 27 ▼1 · 7-D |
| 27 | ▼2 | Spencer/Columbus Catholic check | Spencer/Columbus Catholic · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 6.88 | Spencer/Columbus Catholic · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 7 = 1.643 | Spencer/Columbus Catholic · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 28.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.582 | Spencer/Columbus Catholic · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 7-D | 25 ▲2 · 7-A | |
| 28 | ▼4 | Wittenberg-Birnamwood check | Wittenberg | Wittenberg-Birnamwood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 6.43 | Wittenberg-Birnamwood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 7 = 1.286 | Wittenberg-Birnamwood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 28.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.571 | Wittenberg-Birnamwood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 7-B | 31 ▼3 · 8-A |
| 29 | – | Peshtigo check | Peshtigo | Peshtigo · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 6.34 | Peshtigo · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.50 ÷ 7 = 1.929 | Peshtigo · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.490 | Peshtigo · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 8-A | 20 ▲9 · 5-A |
| 30 | – | Bloomer check | Bloomer | Bloomer · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 5.05 | Bloomer · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.50 ÷ 7 = 1.929 | Bloomer · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.347 | Bloomer · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 8-B | 30 – · 8-C |
| 31 | ▲4 | East Troy check | East Troy | East Troy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 4.55 | East Troy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 7 = 1.429 | East Troy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.347 | East Troy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 8-C in | 38 ▼7 · Out projected out |
| 32 | ▲2 | Northland Pines check | Eagle River | Northland Pines · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 4.22 | Northland Pines · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.50 ÷ 7 = 1.929 | Northland Pines · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.255 | Northland Pines · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 8-D in | 35 ▼3 · Out projected out |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▼1 | Neillsville/Granton checkBelow cut line | Neillsville/Granton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 3.83 | Neillsville/Granton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.50 ÷ 7 = 1.071 | Neillsville/Granton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.306 | Neillsville/Granton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line dropped | 36 ▼3 · Out | |
| 34 | ▼1 | Wautoma checkBelow cut line | Wautoma | Wautoma · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 3.58 | Wautoma · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 7 = 0.643 | Wautoma · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 16.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.327 | Wautoma · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 37 ▼3 · Out |
| 35 | ▼4 | Columbus checkBelow cut line | Columbus | Columbus · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 3.47 | Columbus · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 7 = 0.714 | Columbus · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.306 | Columbus · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | Below cut line dropped | 32 ▲3 · 8-D projected in |
| 36 | ▲9 | Parkview/Albany checkBelow cut line | Parkview/Albany · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 2.93 | Parkview/Albany · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 7 = 1.000 | Parkview/Albany · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.214 | Parkview/Albany · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | Below cut line | 40 ▼4 · Out | |
| 37 | ▲1 | Kingdom Prep Lutheran checkBelow cut line | Wauwatosa | Kingdom Prep Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-4 | 2.86 | Kingdom Prep Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 7 = 2.214 | Kingdom Prep Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.071 | Kingdom Prep Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 41 ▼4 · Out |
| 38 | – | Obama SCTE checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Obama SCTE · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 2.75 | Obama SCTE · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 4 = 2.750 | Obama SCTE · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 18 = 0.000 | Obama SCTE · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 34 ▲4 · Out |
| 39 | ▼3 | Spooner checkBelow cut line | Spooner | Spooner · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 2.04 | Spooner · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 7 = 0.571 | Spooner · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.163 | Spooner · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 43 ▼4 · Out |
| 40 | ▼3 | Gale-Ettrick-Trempealeau checkBelow cut line | Galesville | Gale-Ettrick-Trempealeau · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 2.04 | Gale-Ettrick-Trempealeau · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 7 = 0.571 | Gale-Ettrick-Trempealeau · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.163 | Gale-Ettrick-Trempealeau · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 33 ▲7 · Out |
| 41T | ▼1 | Dodgeville checkBelow cut line | Dodgeville | Dodgeville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 1.29 | Dodgeville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 7 = 1.286 | Dodgeville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Dodgeville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 29 ▲12 · 8-B projected in |
| 41T | ▲2 | Richland Center checkBelow cut line | Richland Center | Richland Center · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-5 | 1.29 | Richland Center · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 7 = 1.286 | Richland Center · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Richland Center · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 42 ▼1 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | Omro checkBelow cut line | Omro | Omro · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 0.71 | Omro · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 7 = 0.714 | Omro · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Omro · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 44T ▼1 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | Prescott checkBelow cut line | Prescott | Prescott · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 0.71 | Prescott · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 7 = 0.714 | Prescott · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Prescott · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 44T ▼1 · Out |
| 45 | ▼2 | Sturgeon Bay checkBelow cut line | Sturgeon Bay | Sturgeon Bay · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-6 | 0.64 | Sturgeon Bay · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 7 = 0.643 | Sturgeon Bay · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Sturgeon Bay · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46T ▼1 · Out |
| 46T | – | Adams-Friendship checkBelow cut line | Adams | Adams-Friendship · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-7 | 0.00 | Adams-Friendship · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 7 = 0.000 | Adams-Friendship · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Adams-Friendship · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼2 · Out |
| 46T | – | Brodhead/Juda checkBelow cut line | Brodhead/Juda · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-7 | 0.00 | Brodhead/Juda · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 7 = 0.000 | Brodhead/Juda · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Brodhead/Juda · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46T – · Out | |
| 46T | – | Clintonville checkBelow cut line | Clintonville | Clintonville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-7 | 0.00 | Clintonville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 7 = 0.000 | Clintonville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Clintonville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼2 · Out |
| 46T | – | River Valley checkBelow cut line | Spring Green | River Valley · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-7 | 0.00 | River Valley · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 7 = 0.000 | River Valley · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | River Valley · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼2 · Out |
| 46T | – | Southwestern/East Dubuque (IL) checkBelow cut line | Southwestern/East Dubuque (IL) · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-7 | 0.00 | Southwestern/East Dubuque (IL) · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 7 = 0.000 | Southwestern/East Dubuque (IL) · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 43 = 0.000 | Southwestern/East Dubuque (IL) · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 39 ▲7 · Out | |
| 46T | – | Viroqua checkBelow cut line | Viroqua | Viroqua · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-7 | 0.00 | Viroqua · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 7 = 0.000 | Viroqua · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 49 = 0.000 | Viroqua · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼2 · Out |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 7 (games through Saturday 2026-10-03). 32 of 51 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Racine Lutheran (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Marmion Academy, IL | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 16.50 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Martin Luther | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 10.50 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Saint Francis | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 27.00 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-09-10 | Milwaukee Academy of Science | W | 4.5 (D5) | 4.50 | 15.50 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Cudahy | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 3.50 | 7 | yes |
| 2026-09-25 | Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life | W (Seeding Only) | 4 (D6) | 4.00 | 8.00 | 7 | yes. Replacement win counted instead of the forfeit win over Catholic Central that week (more favorable, regulations 3h). |
| 2026-09-25 | Catholic Central | W (forfeit) | 3.5 (D7) | — | — | — | Not counted: this forfeit win was replaced by the more favorable win on 2026-09-25 (regulations 3h). |
| 2026-10-02 | University School of Milwaukee | W | 4.5 (D5) | 4.50 | 23.50 | 7 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 35.00 ÷ 7 = 5.000. Tier 2 points = 16.50 + 10.50 + 27.00 + 15.50 + 3.50 + 8.00 + 23.50 = 104.50; opponents’ games = 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 = 49; Tier 2 AVG = 104.50 ÷ 49 = 2.133. Total = 5.000 + 9 × 2.133 = 24.19 (Tier 3 tie-break pending verification).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
