Ewert projection through week 9Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 9:31 AM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 6 · Week 9 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 9. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 9. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 8: in Lancaster (39 → 31), Living Word Lutheran (34 → 32) · out Colby (30 → 33), Markesan (31 → 34). Biggest climbs: Lancaster ▲8, Nekoosa ▲7, Saint Mary Catholic ▲6. Biggest drops: Mineral Point ▼7, Randolph/Cambria-Friesland ▼7, Belleville ▼3.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ▲2 | Mondovi check | Mondovi | Mondovi · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 23.89 | Mondovi · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 35.00 ÷ 9 = 3.889 | Mondovi · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 180.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 2.222 | Mondovi · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 42 | 1-C | 1 – · 1-C |
| 2 | ▼1 | Bonduel check | Bonduel | Bonduel · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 9-0 | 21.61 | Bonduel · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 39.00 ÷ 9 = 4.333 | Bonduel · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 155.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.920 | Bonduel · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 35 | 1-A | 2 – · 1-A |
| 3 | ▲1 | Edgar check | Edgar | Edgar · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 20.94 | Edgar · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.50 ÷ 9 = 3.611 | Edgar · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 156.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.926 | Edgar · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 37 | 1-B | 3 – · 1-B |
| 4 | ▼2 | Manitowoc Lutheran check | Manitowoc | Manitowoc Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 9-0 | 20.56 | Manitowoc Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 36.00 ÷ 9 = 4.000 | Manitowoc Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 149.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.840 | Manitowoc Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 36 | 1-D | 4 – · 1-D |
| 5 | – | Lomira check | Lomira | Lomira · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 9-0 | 20.33 | Lomira · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 41.50 ÷ 9 = 4.611 | Lomira · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 141.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.747 | Lomira · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 30 | 2-B | 5 – · 2-B |
| 6 | ▲1 | Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic check | Kenosha | Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 17.73 | Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.00 ÷ 9 = 3.556 | Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 126.00 ÷ opponents’ games 80 = 1.575 | Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 27 | 2-C | 6 – · 2-C |
| 7 | ▲6 | Saint Mary Catholic check | Neenah | Saint Mary Catholic · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 17.45 | Saint Mary Catholic · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 30.00 ÷ 9 = 3.333 | Saint Mary Catholic · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 125.50 ÷ opponents’ games 80 = 1.569 | Saint Mary Catholic · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 29 | 2-A | 7 – · 2-A |
| 8 | ▲4 | Kewaunee check | Kewaunee | Kewaunee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 16.56 | Kewaunee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.50 ÷ 9 = 3.611 | Kewaunee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 116.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.438 | Kewaunee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 25 | 2-D | 8 – · 2-D |
| 9 | ▲1 | Cambridge check | Cambridge | Cambridge · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 15.89 | Cambridge · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.50 ÷ 9 = 3.167 | Cambridge · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 114.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.414 | Cambridge · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 28 | 3-B | 9 – · 3-B |
| 10 | ▼1 | Cedar Grove-Belgium check | Cedar Grove | Cedar Grove-Belgium · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 15.72 | Cedar Grove-Belgium · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.00 ÷ 9 = 3.111 | Cedar Grove-Belgium · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 113.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.401 | Cedar Grove-Belgium · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 27 | 3-D | 10 – · 3-D |
| 11 | ▲3 | Regis check | Eau Claire | Regis · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 15.44 | Regis · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 29.00 ÷ 9 = 3.222 | Regis · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 110.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.358 | Regis · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 27 | 3-A | 11 – · 3-A |
| 12 | ▲3 | Cuba City check | Cuba City | Cuba City · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-3 | 15.11 | Cuba City · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 9 = 2.722 | Cuba City · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 111.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.377 | Cuba City · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 27 | 3-C | 12 – · 3-C |
| 13 | ▼7 | Mineral Point check | Mineral Point | Mineral Point · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-3 | 14.72 | Mineral Point · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.00 ÷ 9 = 2.889 | Mineral Point · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 106.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.315 | Mineral Point · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 25 | 4-C | 13 – · 4-C |
| 14 | ▼3 | Belleville check | Belleville | Belleville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 14.72 | Belleville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 27.50 ÷ 9 = 3.056 | Belleville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 105.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.296 | Belleville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 26 | 4-B | 14 – · 4-B |
| 15 | ▼7 | Randolph/Cambria-Friesland check | Randolph/Cambria-Friesland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 14.58 | Randolph/Cambria-Friesland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.00 ÷ 9 = 3.444 | Randolph/Cambria-Friesland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 99.00 ÷ opponents’ games 80 = 1.238 | Randolph/Cambria-Friesland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 26 | 4-D | 15 – · 4-D | |
| 16 | ▲1 | Pardeeville check | Pardeeville | Pardeeville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-1 | 14.33 | Pardeeville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.50 ÷ 9 = 3.611 | Pardeeville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 96.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.191 | Pardeeville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 24 | 4-A | 16 – · 4-A |
| 17 | ▼1 | Potosi/Cassville check | Potosi/Cassville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-2 | 13.18 | Potosi/Cassville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 9 = 2.833 | Potosi/Cassville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 92.00 ÷ opponents’ games 80 = 1.150 | Potosi/Cassville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 25 | 5-C | 17 – · 5-C | |
| 18 | ▲3 | Weyauwega-Fremont check | Weyauwega | Weyauwega-Fremont · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 12.11 | Weyauwega-Fremont · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.00 ÷ 9 = 2.444 | Weyauwega-Fremont · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 87.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.074 | Weyauwega-Fremont · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 20 | 5-D | 18 – · 5-D |
| 19 | – | Saint Mary's Springs check | Fond du Lac | Saint Mary's Springs · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 11.67 | Saint Mary's Springs · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 9 = 2.611 | Saint Mary's Springs · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 81.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 1.006 | Saint Mary's Springs · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 17 | 5-B | 19 – · 5-B |
| 20 | ▲7 | Nekoosa check | Nekoosa | Nekoosa · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-3 | 11.28 | Nekoosa · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 27.50 ÷ 9 = 3.056 | Nekoosa · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 74.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.914 | Nekoosa · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 5-A | 20 – · 5-A |
| 21 | ▼3 | Luther check | Onalaska | Luther · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-3 | 11.11 | Luther · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.00 ÷ 9 = 2.889 | Luther · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 74.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.914 | Luther · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 17 | 6-B | 21 – · 6-B |
| 22 | ▲2 | Marathon check | Marathon | Marathon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-3 | 11.00 | Marathon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 9 = 2.722 | Marathon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 74.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.920 | Marathon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 19 | 6-A | 22 – · 6-A |
| 23 | ▼3 | Valders check | Valders | Valders · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 10.19 | Valders · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 8 = 2.125 | Valders · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 64.50 ÷ opponents’ games 72 = 0.896 | Valders · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 15 | 6-D | 23 – · 6-D |
| 24 | ▼2 | Benton check | Benton | Benton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 9.56 | Benton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.50 ÷ 9 = 2.278 | Benton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 65.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.809 | Benton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 6-C | 24 – · 6-C |
| 25 | ▼2 | Fall River/Rio check | Fall River/Rio · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-3 | 9.11 | Fall River/Rio · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.50 ÷ 9 = 2.500 | Fall River/Rio · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 59.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.735 | Fall River/Rio · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 7-B | 25 – · 7-B | |
| 26 | ▼1 | Loyal/Greenwood check | Loyal/Greenwood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 9.00 | Loyal/Greenwood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 9 = 2.056 | Loyal/Greenwood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 62.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.772 | Loyal/Greenwood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 7-D | 26 – · 7-D | |
| 27 | ▲2 | Fall Creek check | Fall Creek | Fall Creek · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 8.89 | Fall Creek · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 21.00 ÷ 9 = 2.333 | Fall Creek · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 59.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.728 | Fall Creek · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 7-A | 27 – · 7-A |
| 28 | ▼2 | Poynette check | Poynette | Poynette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 8.72 | Poynette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.00 ÷ 9 = 2.222 | Poynette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 58.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.722 | Poynette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 15 | 7-C | 28 – · 7-C |
| 29 | ▲3 | Unity check | Balsam Lake | Unity · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 8.00 | Unity · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 9 = 2.111 | Unity · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 53.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.654 | Unity · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 8-C | 29 – · 8-C |
| 30 | ▼2 | Prairie du Chien check | Prairie du Chien | Prairie du Chien · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-4 | 7.00 | Prairie du Chien · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 22.50 ÷ 9 = 2.500 | Prairie du Chien · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 40.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.500 | Prairie du Chien · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 8-B | 30 – · 8-B |
| 31 | ▲8 | Lancaster check | Lancaster | Lancaster · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-5 | 6.44 | Lancaster · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 9 = 1.944 | Lancaster · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 40.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.500 | Lancaster · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 8-A in | 31 – · 8-A |
| 32 | ▲2 | Living Word Lutheran check | Jackson | Living Word Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-5 | 5.69 | Living Word Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 9 = 1.833 | Living Word Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 33.00 ÷ opponents’ games 77 = 0.429 | Living Word Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 8-D in | 32 – · 8-D |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▼3 | Colby checkBelow cut line | Colby | Colby · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-5 | 5.39 | Colby · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 9 = 1.833 | Colby · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.395 | Colby · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | Below cut line dropped | 33 – · Out |
| 34 | ▼3 | Markesan checkBelow cut line | Markesan | Markesan · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 5.17 | Markesan · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 9 = 1.333 | Markesan · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 34.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.426 | Markesan · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | Below cut line dropped | 34 – · Out |
| 35 | ▼2 | Oconto checkBelow cut line | Oconto | Oconto · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-5 | 5.11 | Oconto · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 9 = 1.944 | Oconto · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 28.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.352 | Oconto · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | Below cut line | 35 – · Out |
| 36 | ▼1 | Fennimore checkBelow cut line | Fennimore | Fennimore · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 4.17 | Fennimore · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 9 = 1.278 | Fennimore · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 26.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.321 | Fennimore · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | Below cut line | 36 – · Out |
| 37 | ▼1 | Marshall checkBelow cut line | Marshall | Marshall · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 4.11 | Marshall · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 9 = 1.167 | Marshall · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 26.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.327 | Marshall · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | Below cut line | 37 – · Out |
| 38 | ▼1 | Laconia checkBelow cut line | Rosendale | Laconia · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 3.39 | Laconia · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.50 ÷ 9 = 1.500 | Laconia · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.210 | Laconia · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 38 – · Out |
| 39 | ▼1 | Stanley-Boyd checkBelow cut line | Stanley | Stanley-Boyd · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 3.33 | Stanley-Boyd · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 9 = 0.944 | Stanley-Boyd · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 21.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.265 | Stanley-Boyd · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | Below cut line | 39 – · Out |
| 40 | ▲3 | Southern Door checkBelow cut line | Brussels | Southern Door · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 3.17 | Southern Door · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 9 = 1.056 | Southern Door · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.235 | Southern Door · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 40 – · Out |
| 41 | – | Auburndale checkBelow cut line | Auburndale | Auburndale · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 3.17 | Auburndale · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 9 = 1.167 | Auburndale · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.222 | Auburndale · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line | 41 – · Out |
| 42 | ▲4 | Clinton checkBelow cut line | Clinton | Clinton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 3.11 | Clinton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 9 = 1.056 | Clinton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.228 | Clinton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 42 – · Out |
| 43 | ▼3 | Howards Grove checkBelow cut line | Howards Grove | Howards Grove · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 2.80 | Howards Grove · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 9 = 0.889 | Howards Grove · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.00 ÷ opponents’ games 80 = 0.212 | Howards Grove · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 43 – · Out |
| 44 | ▼2 | Cameron checkBelow cut line | Cameron | Cameron · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-6 | 2.72 | Cameron · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 9 = 1.333 | Cameron · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.154 | Cameron · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | Below cut line | 44 – · Out |
| 45 | ▼1 | Chetek-Weyerhaeuser checkBelow cut line | Chetek | Chetek-Weyerhaeuser · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 1.78 | Chetek-Weyerhaeuser · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 9 = 0.889 | Chetek-Weyerhaeuser · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.099 | Chetek-Weyerhaeuser · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 45 – · Out |
| 46 | ▼1 | Horicon/Hustisford checkBelow cut line | Horicon/Hustisford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-8 | 1.61 | Horicon/Hustisford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 9 = 0.444 | Horicon/Hustisford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.130 | Horicon/Hustisford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | Below cut line | 46 – · Out | |
| 47 | – | Cumberland checkBelow cut line | Cumberland | Cumberland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 1.39 | Cumberland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 9 = 0.889 | Cumberland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.056 | Cumberland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 47 – · Out |
| 48 | – | Barron checkBelow cut line | Barron | Barron · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-8 | 0.94 | Barron · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 9 = 0.500 | Barron · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.049 | Barron · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 48 – · Out |
| 49 | – | Westby checkBelow cut line | Westby | Westby · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 0.89 | Westby · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 9 = 0.889 | Westby · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.000 | Westby · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 49 – · Out |
| 50T | – | Ladysmith checkBelow cut line | Ladysmith | Ladysmith · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-9 | 0.00 | Ladysmith · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 9 = 0.000 | Ladysmith · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.000 | Ladysmith · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 50T – · Out |
| 50T | – | Mishicot checkBelow cut line | Mishicot | Mishicot · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-9 | 0.00 | Mishicot · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 9 = 0.000 | Mishicot · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 81 = 0.000 | Mishicot · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 50T – · Out |
| — | Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life check | Burlington | Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-7 | 3.23 | Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 9 = 0.889 | Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 73 = 0.260 | Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 9 (games dated Friday 2026-10-16 or earlier; WIAA deadline: completion before 11:59 p.m. Central; stored dates do not establish finish times). 32 of 51 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Mondovi (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Gale-Ettrick-Trempealeau | W | 4.5 (D5) | 4.50 | 13.00 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Osceola | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 39.00 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Fall Creek | W | 4 (D6) | 4.00 | 21.00 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Edgar | L | 4 (D6) | 0.00 | — | 9 | yes |
| 2026-09-17 | Stanley-Boyd | W | 4 (D6) | 4.00 | 8.50 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-09-25 | Neillsville/Granton | W | 4.5 (D5) | 4.50 | 11.00 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-10-02 | Regis | W | 4 (D6) | 4.00 | 29.00 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-10-09 | Elk Mound | W | 4.5 (D5) | 4.50 | 25.50 | 9 | yes |
| 2026-10-16 | Durand-Arkansaw | W | 4.5 (D5) | 4.50 | 33.00 | 9 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 35.00 ÷ 9 = 3.889. Tier 2 points = 13.00 + 39.00 + 21.00 + 8.50 + 11.00 + 29.00 + 25.50 + 33.00 = 180.00; opponents’ games = 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 = 81; Tier 2 AVG = 180.00 ÷ 81 = 2.222. Total = 3.889 + 9 × 2.222 = 23.89 (Tier 3 tie-break 8.17).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
