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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 6 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 1Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Thu, Oct 22 · 12:59 PM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

Unresolved ties: Bonduel and Luther and Mineral Point and Mondovi and Pardeeville (rank 4, seed #1); Belleville and Cameron and Chetek-Weyerhaeuser and Colby and Cuba City and Howards Grove and Lomira and Marathon and Oconto and Poynette and Randolph/Cambria-Friesland (rank 9, seed #3); Edgar and Fennimore and Manitowoc Lutheran and Marshall and Nekoosa and Regis (rank 20, seed #5); Auburndale and Barron and Benton and Cambridge and Cedar Grove-Belgium and Clinton and Cumberland and Fall River/Rio and Horicon/Hustisford and Kewaunee and Laconia and Ladysmith and Lancaster and Living Word Lutheran and Loyal/Greenwood and Markesan and Mishicot and Potosi/Cassville and Prairie du Chien and Saint Mary Catholic and Saint Mary's Springs and Southern Door and Stanley-Boyd and Unity and Valders and Westby (rank 26, seed #7). Tied at rank 4, across the #1/#2 seed line: placement waits for WIAA's tie-break (Tier 3, then its own procedure). Their slots are left empty.

1 Fall Creek5 tie unresolved3 tie unresolved7 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 Kenosha St. Joseph Ca…5 tie unresolved3 tie unresolved7 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 Weyauwega-Fremont5 tie unresolved3 tie unresolved7 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 tie unresolved5 tie unresolved3 tie unresolved7 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState finalRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 6 · Week 1 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 1. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 1. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

RankTeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1TFall Creek checkFall Creek5.001-A27 ▼26 · 7-A
1TKenosha St. Joseph Catholic checkKenosha5.001-B6 ▼5 · 2-C
1TWeyauwega-Fremont checkWeyauwega5.001-C18 ▼17 · 5-D
4TBonduel checkBonduel4.50#12 ▲2 · 1-A
4TLuther checkOnalaska4.50#121 ▼17 · 6-B
4TMineral Point checkMineral Point4.50#113 ▼9 · 4-C
4TMondovi checkMondovi4.50#11 ▲3 · 1-C
4TPardeeville checkPardeeville4.50#116 ▼12 · 4-A
9TBelleville checkBelleville4.00#314 ▼5 · 4-B
9TCameron checkCameron4.00#344 ▼35 · Out projected out
9TChetek-Weyerhaeuser checkChetek4.00#345 ▼36 · Out projected out
9TColby checkColby4.00#333 ▼24 · Out projected out
9TCuba City checkCuba City4.00#312 ▼3 · 3-C
9THowards Grove checkHowards Grove4.00#343 ▼34 · Out projected out
9TLomira checkLomira4.00#35 ▲4 · 2-B
9TMarathon checkMarathon4.00#322 ▼13 · 6-A
9TOconto checkOconto4.00#335 ▼26 · Out projected out
9TPoynette checkPoynette4.00#328 ▼19 · 7-C
9TRandolph/Cambria-Friesland check4.00#315 ▼6 · 4-D
20TEdgar checkEdgar3.50#53 ▲17 · 1-B
20TFennimore checkFennimore3.50#536 ▼16 · Out projected out
20TManitowoc Lutheran checkManitowoc3.50#54 ▲16 · 1-D
20TMarshall checkMarshall3.50#537 ▼17 · Out projected out
20TNekoosa checkNekoosa3.50#520 – · 5-A
20TRegis checkEau Claire3.50#511 ▲9 · 3-A
26TAuburndale checkAuburndale0.00#741 ▼15 · Out projected out
26TBarron checkBarron0.00#748 ▼22 · Out projected out
26TBenton checkBenton0.00#724 ▲2 · 6-C
26TCambridge checkCambridge0.00#79 ▲17 · 3-B
26TCedar Grove-Belgium checkCedar Grove0.00#710 ▲16 · 3-D
26TClinton checkClinton0.00#742 ▼16 · Out projected out
26TCumberland checkCumberland0.00#747 ▼21 · Out projected out
26TFall River/Rio check0.00#725 ▲1 · 7-B
26THoricon/Hustisford check0.00#746 ▼20 · Out projected out
26TKewaunee checkKewaunee0.00#78 ▲18 · 2-D
26TLaconia checkRosendale0.00#738 ▼12 · Out projected out
26TLadysmith checkLadysmith0.00#750T ▼24 · Out projected out
26TLancaster checkLancaster0.00#731 ▼5 · 8-A
26TLiving Word Lutheran checkJackson0.00#732 ▼6 · 8-D
26TLoyal/Greenwood check0.00#726 – · 7-D
26TMarkesan checkMarkesan0.00#734 ▼8 · Out projected out
26TMishicot checkMishicot0.00#750T ▼24 · Out projected out
26TPotosi/Cassville check0.00#717 ▲9 · 5-C
26TPrairie du Chien checkPrairie du Chien0.00#730 ▼4 · 8-B
26TSaint Mary Catholic checkNeenah0.00#77 ▲19 · 2-A
26TSaint Mary's Springs checkFond du Lac0.00#719 ▲7 · 5-B
26TSouthern Door checkBrussels0.00#740 ▼14 · Out projected out
26TStanley-Boyd checkStanley0.00#739 ▼13 · Out projected out
26TUnity checkBalsam Lake0.00#729 ▼3 · 8-C
26TValders checkValders0.00#723 ▲3 · 6-D
26TWestby checkWestby0.00#749 ▼23 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
—Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life checkBurlington0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 1 (games through Saturday 2026-08-22). 51 of 51 in the field, 3 placed (48 waiting on a tie-break).

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Fall Creek (rank 1T, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21AltoonaW5 (D4)5.000.001yes

Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 1 = 5.000. Tier 2 points = 0.00 = 0.00; opponents’ games = 1 = 1; Tier 2 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000. Total = 5.000 + 9 × 0.000 = 5.00.

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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