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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 6 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 8Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 10:34 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

ES pick: Bonduel, 94.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 BonduelES 94%8 ColbyES pick: Saint Mary Catholic, 87.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Saint Mary C…ES 88%5 ValdersES pick: Kewaunee, 82.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 KewauneeES 83%6 MarathonES pick: Lomira, 92.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 LomiraES 92%7 NekoosaES pick: Bonduel, 79.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 BonduelES 80%4 Saint Mary CatholicES pick: Kewaunee, 51.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 KewauneeES 52%2 LomiraES pick: Bonduel, 60.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 BonduelES 61%3 KewauneeES pick: Edgar, 90.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 EdgarES 90%8 Fall CreekES pick: Potosi/Cassville, 64.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Potosi/Cassv…ES 65%5 PardeevilleES pick: Cambridge, 87.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 CambridgeES 87%6 Fall River/Rio2 Randolph/Cambria-Frie…ES pick: Loyal/Greenwood, 58.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.7 Loyal/Greenw…ES 59%ES pick: Edgar, 89.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 EdgarES 89%4 Potosi/CassvilleES pick: Cambridge, 61.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 CambridgeES 62%7 Loyal/GreenwoodES pick: Edgar, 87.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 EdgarES 88%3 CambridgeES pick: Mondovi, 97.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MondoviES 97%8 UnityES pick: Regis, 72.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 RegisES 72%5 LutherES pick: Belleville, 75.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 BellevilleES 76%6 BentonES pick: Mineral Point, 52.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Mineral PointES 52%7 Prairie du ChienES pick: Mondovi, 83.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MondoviES 84%4 RegisES pick: Belleville, 57.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 BellevilleES 57%2 Mineral PointES pick: Mondovi, 87.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MondoviES 87%3 BellevilleES pick: Manitowoc Lutheran, 97.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Manitowoc Lu…ES 98%8 MarkesanES pick: Cuba City, 58.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Cuba CityES 58%5 Saint Mary's SpringsES pick: Cedar Grove-Belgium, 77.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Cedar Grove-…ES 78%6 Weyauwega-FremontES pick: Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic, 94.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Kenosha St.…ES 95%7 PoynetteES pick: Manitowoc Lutheran, 79.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Manitowoc Lu…ES 79%4 Cuba City3 Cedar Grove-BelgiumES pick: Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic, 51.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Kenosha St.…ES 51%ES pick: Manitowoc Lutheran, 75.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Manitowoc Lu…ES 76%2 Kenosha St. Joseph Ca…1 BonduelES pick: Edgar, 57.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 EdgarES 58%State semifinalES pick: Mondovi, 73.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 MondoviES 74%1 Manitowoc LutheranState semifinal1 EdgarES pick: Mondovi, 62.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 MondoviES 62%State final · ES pick: MondoviRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 6 · Week 8 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 8. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 8. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 7: in Nekoosa (35 → 27), Unity (41 → 32) · out Oconto (30 → 33), Living Word Lutheran (32 → 34). Biggest climbs: Unity ▲9, Mineral Point ▲8, Nekoosa ▲8. Biggest drops: Regis ▼5, Belleville ▼4, Weyauwega-Fremont ▼4.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Bonduel checkBonduel22.521-A2 ▼1 · 1-A
2–Manitowoc Lutheran checkManitowoc22.141-D4 ▼2 · 1-D
3▲1Mondovi checkMondovi21.391-C1 ▲2 · 1-C
4▼1Edgar checkEdgar20.641-B3 ▲1 · 1-B
5▲3Lomira checkLomira18.052-A5 – · 2-B
6▲8Mineral Point checkMineral Point16.472-C13 ▼7 · 4-C
7▼2Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic checkKenosha16.382-D6 ▲1 · 2-C
8▲2Randolph/Cambria-Friesland check16.182-B15 ▼7 · 4-D
9▼3Cedar Grove-Belgium checkCedar Grove16.073-D10 ▼1 · 3-D
10▲3Cambridge checkCambridge16.003-B9 ▲1 · 3-B
11▼4Belleville checkBelleville15.953-C14 ▼3 · 4-B
12▼1Kewaunee checkKewaunee15.453-A8 ▲4 · 2-D
13▲2Saint Mary Catholic checkNeenah14.974-A7 ▲6 · 2-A
14▼5Regis checkEau Claire14.734-C11 ▲3 · 3-A
15▼3Cuba City checkCuba City12.974-D12 ▲3 · 3-C
16▲5Potosi/Cassville check12.894-B17 ▼1 · 5-C
17▲1Pardeeville checkPardeeville12.145-B16 ▲1 · 4-A
18▲5Luther checkOnalaska11.695-C21 ▼3 · 6-B
19▼3Saint Mary's Springs checkFond du Lac11.665-D19 – · 5-B
20▼1Valders checkValders11.515-A23 ▼3 · 6-D
21▼4Weyauwega-Fremont checkWeyauwega10.906-D18 ▲3 · 5-D
22▼2Benton checkBenton10.026-C24 ▼2 · 6-C
23▼1Fall River/Rio check9.696-B25 ▼2 · 7-B
24▲1Marathon checkMarathon9.186-A22 ▲2 · 6-A
25▲6Loyal/Greenwood check9.127-B26 ▼1 · 7-D
26▼2Poynette checkPoynette8.617-D28 ▼2 · 7-C
27▲8Nekoosa checkNekoosa7.957-A in20 ▲7 · 5-A
28–Prairie du Chien checkPrairie du Chien7.247-C30 ▼2 · 8-B
29▼3Fall Creek checkFall Creek6.838-B27 ▲2 · 7-A
30▼3Colby checkColby6.568-A33 ▼3 · Out projected out
31▼2Markesan checkMarkesan5.798-D34 ▼3 · Out projected out
32▲9Unity checkBalsam Lake5.738-C in29 ▲3 · 8-C
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼3Oconto checkBelow cut lineOconto5.56Below cut line dropped35 ▼2 · Out
34▼2Living Word Lutheran checkBelow cut lineJackson5.10Below cut line dropped32 ▲2 · 8-D projected in
35▼2Fennimore checkBelow cut lineFennimore4.60Below cut line36 ▼1 · Out
36–Marshall checkBelow cut lineMarshall4.48Below cut line37 ▼1 · Out
37▼3Laconia checkBelow cut lineRosendale4.08Below cut line38 ▼1 · Out
38–Stanley-Boyd checkBelow cut lineStanley3.59Below cut line39 ▼1 · Out
39▲3Lancaster checkBelow cut lineLancaster3.59Below cut line31 ▲8 · 8-A projected in
40▼1Howards Grove checkBelow cut lineHowards Grove3.43Below cut line43 ▼3 · Out
41▼1Auburndale checkBelow cut lineAuburndale3.41Below cut line41 – · Out
42▲1Cameron checkBelow cut lineCameron3.26Below cut line44 ▼2 · Out
43▼6Southern Door checkBelow cut lineBrussels3.23Below cut line40 ▲3 · Out
44▲2Chetek-Weyerhaeuser checkBelow cut lineChetek2.13Below cut line45 ▼1 · Out
45▼1Horicon/Hustisford checkBelow cut line1.98Below cut line46 ▼1 · Out
46▼1Clinton checkBelow cut lineClinton1.82Below cut line42 ▲4 · Out
47–Cumberland checkBelow cut lineCumberland1.63Below cut line47 – · Out
48–Barron checkBelow cut lineBarron1.13Below cut line48 – · Out
49–Westby checkBelow cut lineWestby1.00Below cut line49 – · Out
50T–Ladysmith checkBelow cut lineLadysmith0.00Below cut line50T – · Out
50T–Mishicot checkBelow cut lineMishicot0.00Below cut line50T – · Out
—Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life checkBurlington4.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 8 (games through Saturday 2026-10-10). 32 of 51 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Bonduel (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21Wittenberg-BirnamwoodW4.5 (D5)4.509.008yes
2026-08-27ColemanW3.5 (D7)3.5024.008yes
2026-09-04KewauneeW4 (D6)4.0028.508yes
2026-09-11MarinetteW5 (D4)5.0010.008yes
2026-09-18Oconto FallsW5 (D4)5.0018.008yes
2026-09-25PeshtigoW4.5 (D5)4.5017.508yes
2026-10-02OcontoW4 (D6)4.0017.508yes
2026-10-08Sturgeon BayW4.5 (D5)4.504.508yes

Tier 1 AVG = 35.00 ÷ 8 = 4.375. Tier 2 points = 9.00 + 24.00 + 28.50 + 10.00 + 18.00 + 17.50 + 17.50 + 4.50 = 129.00; opponents’ games = 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 = 64; Tier 2 AVG = 129.00 ÷ 64 = 2.016. Total = 4.375 + 9 × 2.016 = 22.52 (Tier 3 tie-break 5.50).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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