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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 7 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 1Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 10:34 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

Unresolved ties: Abbotsford and Boyceville and Hilbert and Lourdes Academy and River Ridge and Royall (rank 5, seed #2); Cashton and Cochrane-Fountain City and Colfax and Glenwood City and Hillsboro and Ithaca/Weston and Melrose-Mindoro and Osseo-Fairchild and Pacelli and Pecatonica/Argyle and Pepin/Alma and Webster and Whitehall (rank 11, seed #3); Augusta and Bangor and Blair-Taylor and Boscobel and Brookwood and Cadott and Crandon and Crivitz and Deerfield and Dodgeland and Eleva-Strum and Elmwood/Plum City and Independence/Gilmanton and Iowa-Grant and Johnson Creek and Manawa and McDonell Central Catholic and Necedah and New Lisbon and Pittsville and Reedsville and Riverdale and Roncalli and Spring Valley and Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca (rank 24, seed #6). Tied at rank 5, across the #2/#3 seed line: placement waits for WIAA's tie-break (Tier 3, then its own procedure). Their slots are left empty.

1 Coleman3 tie unresolved6 tie unresolved2 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 Shiocton3 tie unresolved6 tie unresolved2 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 Black Hawk/Warren, IL3 tie unresolved6 tie unresolved2 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 Waterloo3 tie unresolved6 tie unresolved2 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState finalRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 7 · Week 1 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 1. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 1. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

RankTeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1TBlack Hawk/Warren, IL check4.501-C19 ▼18 · 5-C
1TColeman checkColeman4.501-A3 ▼2 · 1-D
1TShiocton checkShiocton4.501-B6 ▼5 · 2-D
1TWaterloo checkWaterloo4.501-D32 ▼31 · 8-C
5TAbbotsford checkAbbotsford4.00#221 ▼16 · 6-B
5TBoyceville checkBoyceville4.00#212 ▼7 · 3-D
5THilbert checkHilbert4.00#210 ▼5 · 3-B
5TLourdes Academy checkOshkosh4.00#25 – · 2-B
5TRiver Ridge checkPatch Grove4.00#27 ▼2 · 2-A
5TRoyall checkElroy4.00#218 ▼13 · 5-A
11TCashton checkCashton3.50#314 ▼3 · 4-C
11TCochrane-Fountain City checkFountain City3.50#31 ▲10 · 1-A
11TColfax checkColfax3.50#333 ▼22 · Out projected out
11TGlenwood City checkGlenwood City3.50#34 ▲7 · 1-B
11THillsboro checkHillsboro3.50#330 ▼19 · 8-A
11TIthaca/Weston check3.50#32 ▲9 · 1-C
11TMelrose-Mindoro checkMelrose3.50#317 ▼6 · 5-B
11TOsseo-Fairchild checkOsseo3.50#327 ▼16 · 7-D
11TPacelli checkStevens Point3.50#320 ▼9 · 5-D
11TPecatonica/Argyle check3.50#328 ▼17 · 7-B
11TPepin/Alma check3.50#39 ▲2 · 3-A
11TWebster checkWebster3.50#316 ▼5 · 4-B
11TWhitehall checkWhitehall3.50#323 ▼12 · 6-C
24TAugusta checkAugusta0.00#634 ▼10 · Out projected out
24TBangor checkBangor0.00#624 – · 6-A
24TBlair-Taylor checkBlair0.00#643T ▼19 · Out projected out
24TBoscobel checkBoscobel0.00#646T ▼22 · Out projected out
24TBrookwood checkOntario0.00#629 ▼5 · 8-B
24TCadott checkCadott0.00#615 ▲9 · 4-A
24TCrandon checkCrandon0.00#641 ▼17 · Out projected out
24TCrivitz checkCrivitz0.00#613 ▲11 · 4-D
24TDeerfield checkDeerfield0.00#643T ▼19 · Out projected out
24TDodgeland checkJuneau0.00#646T ▼22 · Out projected out
24TEleva-Strum checkStrum0.00#639 ▼15 · Out projected out
24TElmwood/Plum City check0.00#626 ▼2 · 7-A
24TIndependence/Gilmanton check0.00#646T ▼22 · Out projected out
24TIowa-Grant checkLivingston0.00#68 ▲16 · 2-C
24TJohnson Creek checkJohnson Creek0.00#638 ▼14 · Out projected out
24TManawa checkManawa0.00#631 ▼7 · 8-D
24TMcDonell Central Catholic checkChippewa Falls0.00#622 ▲2 · 6-D
24TNecedah checkNecedah0.00#636 ▼12 · Out projected out
24TNew Lisbon checkNew Lisbon0.00#640 ▼16 · Out projected out
24TPittsville checkPittsville0.00#643T ▼19 · Out projected out
24TReedsville checkReedsville0.00#635 ▼11 · Out projected out
24TRiverdale checkMuscoda0.00#625 ▼1 · 7-C
24TRoncalli checkManitowoc0.00#637 ▼13 · Out projected out
24TSpring Valley checkSpring Valley0.00#611 ▲13 · 3-C
24TWauzeka-Steuben/Seneca check0.00#642 ▼18 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
—Catholic Central checkBurlington0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Iola-Scandinavia checkIola0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Kenosha Christian Life checkKenosha0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 1 (games through Saturday 2026-08-22). 48 of 48 in the field, 4 placed (44 waiting on a tie-break).

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Abbotsford (rank 5T, seed 2)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21MarkesanW4 (D6)4.000.001yes

Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 1 = 4.000. Tier 2 points = 0.00 = 0.00; opponents’ games = 1 = 1; Tier 2 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 1 = 0.000. Total = 4.000 + 9 × 0.000 = 4.00.

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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