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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 7 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 2Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 7:51 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

Unresolved ties: Pepin/Alma and Webster (rank 8, seed #2); Cashton and Colfax and Melrose-Mindoro (rank 16, seed #4); Black Hawk/Warren, IL and Brookwood and Coleman and Crivitz and Iowa-Grant and McDonell Central Catholic and Waterloo (rank 19, seed #5); Elmwood/Plum City and Hillsboro and Johnson Creek and Osseo-Fairchild and Whitehall (rank 29, seed #8). Tied at rank 8, across the #2/#3 seed line: placement waits for WIAA's tie-break (Tier 3, then its own procedure). Their slots are left empty.

1 Shiocton8 tie unresolved4 Lourdes Acad.5 tie unresolved2 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 Ithaca/Weston8 tie unresolved4 Pacelli5 tie unresolved3 HilbertES pick: Riverdale, 63.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 RiverdaleES 63%7 RoncalliTBDTBDTBD2 RiverdaleTBDTBD1 Cochrane-Fountain City8 tie unresolved4 Glenwood City5 tie unresolved3 Spring ValleyES pick: Boyceville, 54.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 BoycevilleES 55%7 CadottTBDTBDTBD2 BoycevilleTBDTBD1 Pecatonica/Argyle8 tie unresolved4 tie unresolved5 tie unresolved3 RoyallES pick: River Ridge, 96.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 River RidgeES 97%7 AbbotsfordTBDTBDTBD2 River RidgeTBDTBDTBDTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState finalRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 7 · Week 2 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 2. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 2. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 1: out Augusta (24 → 34), Bangor (24 → 34), Blair-Taylor (24 → 34), Boscobel (24 → 34), Crandon (24 → 34), Deerfield (24 → 34), Dodgeland (24 → 34), Eleva-Strum (24 → 34), Independence/Gilmanton (24 → 34), Manawa (24 → 34), Necedah (24 → 34), New Lisbon (24 → 34), Pittsville (24 → 34), Reedsville (24 → 34), Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca (24 → 34). Biggest climbs: Riverdale ▲18, Spring Valley ▲14, Cochrane-Fountain City ▲10. Biggest drops: Abbotsford ▼21, Black Hawk/Warren, IL ▼18, Coleman ▼18.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1▲10Cochrane-Fountain City checkFountain City22.631-C1 – · 1-A
2▲9Ithaca/Weston check19.251-B2 – · 1-C
3▼2Shiocton checkShiocton15.501-A6 ▼3 · 2-D
4▲7Pecatonica/Argyle check13.631-D28 ▼24 · 7-B
5–Boyceville checkBoyceville13.002-C12 ▼7 · 3-D
6▲18Riverdale checkMuscoda12.252-B25 ▼19 · 7-C
7▼2River Ridge checkPatch Grove11.632-D7 – · 2-A
8T▲3Pepin/Alma check11.38#29 ▼1 · 3-A
8T▲3Webster checkWebster11.38#216 ▼8 · 4-B
10▲14Spring Valley checkSpring Valley11.003-C11 ▼1 · 3-C
11T▼6Hilbert checkHilbert9.883-B10 ▲1 · 3-B
11T▼6Royall checkElroy9.883-D18 ▼7 · 5-A
13▼2Glenwood City checkGlenwood City4.254-C4 ▲9 · 1-B
14▼3Pacelli checkStevens Point4.004-B20 ▼6 · 5-D
15▼10Lourdes Academy checkOshkosh3.754-A5 ▲10 · 2-B
16T▼5Cashton checkCashton3.50#414 ▲2 · 4-C
16T▼5Colfax checkColfax3.50#433 ▼17 · Out projected out
16T▼5Melrose-Mindoro checkMelrose3.50#417 ▼1 · 5-B
19T▼18Black Hawk/Warren, IL check2.25#519 – · 5-C
19T▲5Brookwood checkOntario2.25#529 ▼10 · 8-B
19T▼18Coleman checkColeman2.25#53 ▲16 · 1-D
19T▲5Crivitz checkCrivitz2.25#513 ▲6 · 4-D
19T▲5Iowa-Grant checkLivingston2.25#58 ▲11 · 2-C
19T▲5McDonell Central Catholic checkChippewa Falls2.25#522 ▼3 · 6-D
19T▼18Waterloo checkWaterloo2.25#532 ▼13 · 8-C
26T▼21Abbotsford checkAbbotsford2.007-D21 ▲5 · 6-B
26T▼2Cadott checkCadott2.007-C15 ▲11 · 4-A
26T▼2Roncalli checkManitowoc2.007-B37 ▼11 · Out projected out
29T▼5Elmwood/Plum City check1.75#826 ▲3 · 7-A
29T▼18Hillsboro checkHillsboro1.75#830 ▼1 · 8-A
29T▼5Johnson Creek checkJohnson Creek1.75#838 ▼9 · Out projected out
29T▼18Osseo-Fairchild checkOsseo1.75#827 ▲2 · 7-D
29T▼18Whitehall checkWhitehall1.75#823 ▲6 · 6-C
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
34T▼10Augusta checkBelow cut lineAugusta0.00Below cut line dropped34 – · Out
34T▼10Bangor checkBelow cut lineBangor0.00Below cut line dropped24 ▲10 · 6-A projected in
34T▼10Blair-Taylor checkBelow cut lineBlair0.00Below cut line dropped43T ▼9 · Out
34T▼10Boscobel checkBelow cut lineBoscobel0.00Below cut line dropped46T ▼12 · Out
34T▼10Crandon checkBelow cut lineCrandon0.00Below cut line dropped41 ▼7 · Out
34T▼10Deerfield checkBelow cut lineDeerfield0.00Below cut line dropped43T ▼9 · Out
34T▼10Dodgeland checkBelow cut lineJuneau0.00Below cut line dropped46T ▼12 · Out
34T▼10Eleva-Strum checkBelow cut lineStrum0.00Below cut line dropped39 ▼5 · Out
34T▼10Independence/Gilmanton checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line dropped46T ▼12 · Out
34T▼10Manawa checkBelow cut lineManawa0.00Below cut line dropped31 ▲3 · 8-D projected in
34T▼10Necedah checkBelow cut lineNecedah0.00Below cut line dropped36 ▼2 · Out
34T▼10New Lisbon checkBelow cut lineNew Lisbon0.00Below cut line dropped40 ▼6 · Out
34T▼10Pittsville checkBelow cut linePittsville0.00Below cut line dropped43T ▼9 · Out
34T▼10Reedsville checkBelow cut lineReedsville0.00Below cut line dropped35 ▼1 · Out
34T▼10Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line dropped42 ▼8 · Out
—Catholic Central checkBurlington0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Iola-Scandinavia checkIola0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Kenosha Christian Life checkKenosha0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 2 (games through Saturday 2026-08-29). 33 of 48 in the field, 16 placed (17 waiting on a tie-break).

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Abbotsford (rank 26T, seed 7)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21MarkesanW4 (D6)4.000.002yes
2026-08-28ColbyL4 (D6)0.00—2yes

Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 2 = 2.000. Tier 2 points = 0.00 = 0.00; opponents’ games = 2 + 2 = 4; Tier 2 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000. Total = 2.000 + 9 × 0.000 = 2.00.

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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