Ewert projection through week 4Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 7:51 AM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Unresolved ties: Colfax and Johnson Creek (rank 28, seed #7); Brookwood and Manawa and Waterloo (rank 32, seed #8). Tied at rank 28, across the #7/#8 seed line: placement waits for WIAA's tie-break (Tier 3, then its own procedure). Their slots are left empty.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 7 · Week 4 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 4. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 4. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 3: in Hillsboro (34 → 25), Johnson Creek (34 → 28) · out Reedsville (32 → 35). Biggest climbs: McDonell Central Catholic ▲11, Roncalli ▲10, Hillsboro ▲9. Biggest drops: Abbotsford ▼8, Black Hawk/Warren, IL ▼7, Cochrane-Fountain City ▼6.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | Shiocton check | Shiocton | Shiocton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 19.59 | Shiocton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 4 = 4.125 | Shiocton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.719 | Shiocton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 1-A | 6 ▼5 · 2-D |
| 2 | ▲2 | Iowa-Grant check | Livingston | Iowa-Grant · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 18.34 | Iowa-Grant · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 4 = 2.875 | Iowa-Grant · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.719 | Iowa-Grant · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 1-D | 8 ▼6 · 2-C |
| 3 | ▲4 | Glenwood City check | Glenwood City | Glenwood City · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 17.09 | Glenwood City · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 4 = 3.875 | Glenwood City · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.469 | Glenwood City · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 1-C | 4 ▼1 · 1-B |
| 4 | ▲8 | Pepin/Alma check | Pepin/Alma · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 15.31 | Pepin/Alma · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 4 = 3.500 | Pepin/Alma · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 21.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.313 | Pepin/Alma · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 1-B | 9 ▼5 · 3-A | |
| 5 | – | Ithaca/Weston check | Ithaca/Weston · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-0 | 14.00 | Ithaca/Weston · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 3 = 3.500 | Ithaca/Weston · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.00 ÷ opponents’ games 12 = 1.167 | Ithaca/Weston · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 2-A | 2 ▲3 · 1-C | |
| 6 | ▲7 | River Ridge check | Patch Grove | River Ridge · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 13.44 | River Ridge · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 4 = 2.750 | River Ridge · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.188 | River Ridge · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 2-D | 7 ▼1 · 2-A |
| 7 | ▲1 | Webster check | Webster | Webster · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 12.34 | Webster · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 4 = 3.625 | Webster · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.969 | Webster · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 2-C | 16 ▼9 · 4-B |
| 8 | ▼6 | Cochrane-Fountain City check | Fountain City | Cochrane-Fountain City · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 12.22 | Cochrane-Fountain City · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 4 = 3.500 | Cochrane-Fountain City · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.969 | Cochrane-Fountain City · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 2-B | 1 ▲7 · 1-A |
| 9 | ▼6 | Hilbert check | Hilbert | Hilbert · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 11.56 | Hilbert · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 4 = 2.000 | Hilbert · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.063 | Hilbert · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 3-A | 10 ▼1 · 3-B |
| 10 | ▼4 | Coleman check | Coleman | Coleman · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 11.00 | Coleman · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Coleman · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.875 | Coleman · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 3-B | 3 ▲7 · 1-D |
| 11 | ▲6 | Cashton check | Cashton | Cashton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 10.70 | Cashton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 4 = 3.500 | Cashton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 15 = 0.800 | Cashton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 3-D | 14 ▼3 · 4-C |
| 12 | ▼2 | Spring Valley check | Spring Valley | Spring Valley · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 9.63 | Spring Valley · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 4 = 2.875 | Spring Valley · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.750 | Spring Valley · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 3-C | 11 ▲1 · 3-C |
| 13 | ▼2 | Boyceville check | Boyceville | Boyceville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 9.34 | Boyceville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 4 = 2.875 | Boyceville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.719 | Boyceville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-C | 12 ▲1 · 3-D |
| 14 | ▲6 | Crivitz check | Crivitz | Crivitz · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 9.31 | Crivitz · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 4 = 2.000 | Crivitz · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 13.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.813 | Crivitz · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-A | 13 ▲1 · 4-D |
| 15 | ▼6 | Lourdes Academy check | Oshkosh | Lourdes Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 8.94 | Lourdes Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 4 = 2.750 | Lourdes Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.688 | Lourdes Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-D | 5 ▲10 · 2-B |
| 16 | – | Pacelli check | Stevens Point | Pacelli · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 8.88 | Pacelli · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 4 = 4.375 | Pacelli · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.500 | Pacelli · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 4-B | 20 ▼4 · 5-D |
| 17 | ▲11 | McDonell Central Catholic check | Chippewa Falls | McDonell Central Catholic · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 8.19 | McDonell Central Catholic · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 4 = 2.000 | McDonell Central Catholic · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.688 | McDonell Central Catholic · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-A | 22 ▼5 · 6-D |
| 18 | ▼3 | Elmwood/Plum City check | Elmwood/Plum City · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 7.66 | Elmwood/Plum City · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 4 = 1.750 | Elmwood/Plum City · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.656 | Elmwood/Plum City · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-C | 26 ▼8 · 7-A | |
| 19 | ▼5 | Pecatonica/Argyle check | Pecatonica/Argyle · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 7.42 | Pecatonica/Argyle · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625 | Pecatonica/Argyle · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 15 = 0.533 | Pecatonica/Argyle · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 5-D | 28 ▼9 · 7-B | |
| 20 | ▼1 | Riverdale check | Muscoda | Riverdale · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.25 | Riverdale · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 4 = 1.750 | Riverdale · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 7.00 ÷ opponents’ games 14 = 0.500 | Riverdale · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 5-B | 25 ▼5 · 7-C |
| 21 | ▲2 | Bangor check | Bangor | Bangor · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.08 | Bangor · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Bangor · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 7.00 ÷ opponents’ games 15 = 0.467 | Bangor · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-D | 24 ▼3 · 6-A |
| 22 | ▲10 | Roncalli check | Manitowoc | Roncalli · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 5.06 | Roncalli · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 4 = 2.250 | Roncalli · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.313 | Roncalli · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-A | 37 ▼15 · Out projected out |
| 23 | ▼5 | Melrose-Mindoro check | Melrose | Melrose-Mindoro · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 4.59 | Melrose-Mindoro · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625 | Melrose-Mindoro · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Melrose-Mindoro · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-B | 17 ▲6 · 5-B |
| 24 | ▲2 | Whitehall check | Whitehall | Whitehall · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 4.59 | Whitehall · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625 | Whitehall · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Whitehall · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-C | 23 ▲1 · 6-C |
| 25 | ▲9 | Hillsboro check | Hillsboro | Hillsboro · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 4.28 | Hillsboro · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 4 = 1.750 | Hillsboro · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.281 | Hillsboro · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-D in | 30 ▼5 · 8-A |
| 26 | ▼2 | Cadott check | Cadott | Cadott · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 4.25 | Cadott · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 4 = 2.000 | Cadott · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.250 | Cadott · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-B | 15 ▲11 · 4-A |
| 27 | ▼6 | Royall check | Elroy | Royall · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 3.84 | Royall · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.50 ÷ 4 = 1.875 | Royall · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Royall · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-A | 18 ▲9 · 5-A |
| 28T | ▼2 | Colfax check | Colfax | Colfax · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 3.72 | Colfax · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 4 = 1.750 | Colfax · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Colfax · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | #7 | 33 ▼5 · Out projected out |
| 28T | ▲6 | Johnson Creek check | Johnson Creek | Johnson Creek · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 3.72 | Johnson Creek · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 4 = 1.750 | Johnson Creek · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Johnson Creek · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | #7 in | 38 ▼10 · Out projected out |
| 30 | ▼8 | Abbotsford check | Abbotsford | Abbotsford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 3.25 | Abbotsford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 4 = 1.000 | Abbotsford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.250 | Abbotsford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-A | 21 ▲9 · 6-B |
| 31 | ▼7 | Black Hawk/Warren, IL check | Black Hawk/Warren, IL · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 2.00 | Black Hawk/Warren, IL · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 4 = 2.000 | Black Hawk/Warren, IL · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 13 = 0.000 | Black Hawk/Warren, IL · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | 8-D | 19 ▲12 · 5-C | |
| 32T | ▼4 | Brookwood check | Ontario | Brookwood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.13 | Brookwood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 4 = 1.125 | Brookwood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Brookwood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | #8 | 29 ▲3 · 8-B |
| 32T | ▼4 | Manawa check | Manawa | Manawa · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.13 | Manawa · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 4 = 1.125 | Manawa · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Manawa · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | #8 | 31 ▲1 · 8-D |
| 32T | ▼4 | Waterloo check | Waterloo | Waterloo · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.13 | Waterloo · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 4 = 1.125 | Waterloo · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Waterloo · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | #8 | 32 – · 8-C |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 35 | ▼3 | Reedsville checkBelow cut line | Reedsville | Reedsville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.00 | Reedsville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 4 = 1.000 | Reedsville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Reedsville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line dropped | 35 – · Out |
| 36T | ▲2 | Augusta checkBelow cut line | Augusta | Augusta · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | Augusta · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Augusta · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Augusta · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 34 ▲2 · Out |
| 36T | ▼2 | Deerfield checkBelow cut line | Deerfield | Deerfield · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | Deerfield · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Deerfield · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Deerfield · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 43T ▼7 · Out |
| 36T | ▲2 | New Lisbon checkBelow cut line | New Lisbon | New Lisbon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | New Lisbon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | New Lisbon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 15 = 0.000 | New Lisbon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 40 ▼4 · Out |
| 36T | ▼2 | Osseo-Fairchild checkBelow cut line | Osseo | Osseo-Fairchild · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | Osseo-Fairchild · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Osseo-Fairchild · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Osseo-Fairchild · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 27 ▲9 · 7-D projected in |
| 36T | ▲2 | Pittsville checkBelow cut line | Pittsville | Pittsville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | Pittsville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Pittsville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Pittsville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 43T ▼7 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Blair-Taylor checkBelow cut line | Blair | Blair-Taylor · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Blair-Taylor · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Blair-Taylor · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Blair-Taylor · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 43T ▼2 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Boscobel checkBelow cut line | Boscobel | Boscobel · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Boscobel · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Boscobel · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Boscobel · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46T ▼5 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Crandon checkBelow cut line | Crandon | Crandon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Crandon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Crandon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Crandon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 41 – · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Dodgeland checkBelow cut line | Juneau | Dodgeland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Dodgeland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Dodgeland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Dodgeland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46T ▼5 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Eleva-Strum checkBelow cut line | Strum | Eleva-Strum · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Eleva-Strum · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Eleva-Strum · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Eleva-Strum · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 39 ▲2 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Independence/Gilmanton checkBelow cut line | Independence/Gilmanton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Independence/Gilmanton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Independence/Gilmanton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Independence/Gilmanton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46T ▼5 · Out | |
| 41T | ▼3 | Necedah checkBelow cut line | Necedah | Necedah · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Necedah · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Necedah · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Necedah · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 36 ▲5 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca checkBelow cut line | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 12 = 0.000 | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 42 ▼1 · Out | |
| — | Catholic Central check | Burlington | Catholic Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Catholic Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Catholic Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Catholic Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Iola-Scandinavia check | Iola | 0.00 | Excluded | Excluded | |||||
| — | Kenosha Christian Life check | Kenosha | Kenosha Christian Life · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-2 | 0.00 | Kenosha Christian Life · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 2 = 0.000 | Kenosha Christian Life · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 8 = 0.000 | Kenosha Christian Life · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 4 (games through Saturday 2026-09-12). 34 of 48 in the field, 29 placed (5 waiting on a tie-break).
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Abbotsford (rank 30, seed 8)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Markesan | W | 4 (D6) | 4.00 | 4.00 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Colby | L | 4 (D6) | 0.00 | — | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Regis | L | 4 (D6) | 0.00 | — | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Loyal/Greenwood | L | 4 (D6) | 0.00 | — | 4 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 4 = 1.000. Tier 2 points = 4.00 = 4.00; opponents’ games = 4 + 4 + 4 + 4 = 16; Tier 2 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 16 = 0.250. Total = 1.000 + 9 × 0.250 = 3.25.
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
