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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 7 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 6Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 7:50 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

ES pick: Shiocton, 95.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 ShioctonES 95%8 Roncalli4 CrivitzES pick: Coleman, 74.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 ColemanES 75%ES pick: Hilbert, 95.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 HilbertES 95%6 RiverdaleES pick: Pepin/Alma, 98.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Pepin/AlmaES 98%7 Elmwood/Plum City1 ShioctonES pick: Coleman, 77.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 ColemanES 77%3 HilbertES pick: Pepin/Alma, 69.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Pepin/AlmaES 70%ES pick: Coleman, 52.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 ColemanES 52%2 Pepin/AlmaES pick: Glenwood City, 81.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Glenwood CityES 82%8 WhitehallES pick: Cadott, 71.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 CadottES 72%5 Spring ValleyES pick: Boyceville, 92.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 BoycevilleES 93%6 Osseo-FairchildES pick: Webster, 90.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 WebsterES 91%7 ColfaxES pick: Glenwood City, 60.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Glenwood CityES 61%4 CadottES pick: Boyceville, 69.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 BoycevilleES 69%2 WebsterES pick: Glenwood City, 60.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Glenwood CityES 60%3 BoycevilleES pick: River Ridge, 99.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 River RidgeES 100%8 Johnson CreekES pick: Cashton, 92.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 CashtonES 92%5 Royall3 Lourdes Acad.ES pick: Black Hawk/Warren, IL, 59.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 Black Hawk/W…ES 59%ES pick: Iowa-Grant, 96.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Iowa-GrantES 96%7 Pecatonica/ArgyleES pick: River Ridge, 88.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 River RidgeES 89%4 Cashton6 Black Hawk/Warren, ILES pick: Iowa-Grant, 70.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Iowa-GrantES 71%ES pick: River Ridge, 65.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 River RidgeES 66%2 Iowa-GrantES pick: Ithaca/Weston, 92.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Ithaca/WestonES 93%8 ReedsvilleES pick: Abbotsford, 53.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 AbbotsfordES 53%5 PacelliES pick: Melrose-Mindoro, 70.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Melrose-Mind…ES 70%6 BangorES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 96.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Cochrane-Fou…ES 97%7 McDonell Central Cath…ES pick: Ithaca/Weston, 82.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Ithaca/WestonES 82%4 Abbotsford3 Melrose-MindoroES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 91.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Cochrane-Fou…ES 92%1 Ithaca/WestonES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 86.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Cochrane-Fou…ES 86%ES pick: Coleman, 68.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.5 ColemanES 68%1 Glenwood CityState semifinal1 River RidgeES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 54.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.2 Cochrane-Fou…ES 54%State semifinal5 ColemanES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 57.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.2 Cochrane-Fou…ES 57%State final · ES pick: Cochrane-Fountain CityRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 7 · Week 6 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 6. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 6. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 5: in Black Hawk/Warren, IL (34 → 23) · out Hillsboro (32 → 33). Biggest climbs: Black Hawk/Warren, IL ▲11, Boyceville ▲9, Hilbert ▲7. Biggest drops: Spring Valley ▼8, Cashton ▼6, Coleman ▼6.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1▲4Ithaca/Weston check18.501-D2 ▼1 · 1-C
2▼1Shiocton checkShiocton18.331-A6 ▼4 · 2-D
3–Glenwood City checkGlenwood City17.251-B4 ▼1 · 1-B
4▲4River Ridge checkPatch Grove16.381-C7 ▼3 · 2-A
5▼1Cochrane-Fountain City checkFountain City16.132-D1 ▲4 · 1-A
6▼4Iowa-Grant checkLivingston14.962-C8 ▼2 · 2-C
7▼1Webster checkWebster13.582-B16 ▼9 · 4-B
8▲2Pepin/Alma check13.422-A9 ▼1 · 3-A
9▼2Lourdes Academy checkOshkosh13.043-C5 ▲4 · 2-B
10▲9Boyceville checkBoyceville11.883-B12 ▼2 · 3-D
11▲7Hilbert checkHilbert10.963-A10 ▲1 · 3-B
12▲3Melrose-Mindoro checkMelrose10.793-D17 ▼5 · 5-B
13▲3Crivitz checkCrivitz10.464-A13 – · 4-D
14▼1Cadott checkCadott10.214-B15 ▼1 · 4-A
15▼6Cashton checkCashton9.804-C14 ▲1 · 4-C
16▼2Abbotsford checkAbbotsford9.084-D21 ▼5 · 6-B
17▼6Coleman checkColeman8.465-A3 ▲14 · 1-D
18▲2Pacelli checkStevens Point8.135-D20 ▼2 · 5-D
19▲3Royall checkElroy7.925-C18 ▲1 · 5-A
20▼8Spring Valley checkSpring Valley7.255-B11 ▲9 · 3-C
21▼4Riverdale checkMuscoda6.976-A25 ▼4 · 7-C
22▲6Osseo-Fairchild checkOsseo6.386-B27 ▼5 · 7-D
23▲11Black Hawk/Warren, IL check5.656-C in19 ▲4 · 5-C
24▲3Bangor checkBangor5.356-D24 – · 6-A
25▼4Elmwood/Plum City check4.677-A26 ▼1 · 7-A
26▼3McDonell Central Catholic checkChippewa Falls4.087-D22 ▲4 · 6-D
27▼2Pecatonica/Argyle check3.817-C28 ▼1 · 7-B
28▼4Colfax checkColfax3.797-B33 ▼5 · Out projected out
29▼3Whitehall checkWhitehall3.508-B23 ▲6 · 6-C
30▲1Reedsville checkReedsville3.338-D35 ▼5 · Out projected out
31▼2Roncalli checkManitowoc2.758-A37 ▼6 · Out projected out
32▼2Johnson Creek checkJohnson Creek2.638-C38 ▼6 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼1Hillsboro checkBelow cut lineHillsboro2.29Below cut line dropped30 ▲3 · 8-A projected in
34▼1Augusta checkBelow cut lineAugusta2.04Below cut line34 – · Out
35▲7Necedah checkBelow cut lineNecedah1.71Below cut line36 ▼1 · Out
36▲2New Lisbon checkBelow cut lineNew Lisbon1.48Below cut line40 ▼4 · Out
37▲1Eleva-Strum checkBelow cut lineStrum1.46Below cut line39 ▼2 · Out
38▼3Manawa checkBelow cut lineManawa1.33Below cut line31 ▲7 · 8-D projected in
39T▼4Brookwood checkBelow cut lineOntario0.75Below cut line29 ▲10 · 8-B projected in
39T▼4Waterloo checkBelow cut lineWaterloo0.75Below cut line32 ▲7 · 8-C projected in
41T▲1Blair-Taylor checkBelow cut lineBlair0.58Below cut line43T ▼2 · Out
41T▼3Deerfield checkBelow cut lineDeerfield0.58Below cut line43T ▼2 · Out
41T▼3Pittsville checkBelow cut linePittsville0.58Below cut line43T ▼2 · Out
44T▼2Boscobel checkBelow cut lineBoscobel0.00Below cut line46T ▼2 · Out
44T▼2Crandon checkBelow cut lineCrandon0.00Below cut line41 ▲3 · Out
44T▼2Dodgeland checkBelow cut lineJuneau0.00Below cut line46T ▼2 · Out
44T▼2Independence/Gilmanton checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line46T ▼2 · Out
44T▼2Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line42 ▲2 · Out
—Catholic Central checkBurlington0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Iola-Scandinavia checkIola0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Kenosha Christian Life checkKenosha0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 6 (games through Saturday 2026-09-26). 32 of 48 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Abbotsford (rank 16, seed 4)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21MarkesanW4 (D6)4.008.006yes
2026-08-28ColbyL4 (D6)0.00—6yes
2026-09-04RegisL4 (D6)0.00—6yes
2026-09-11Loyal/GreenwoodL4 (D6)0.00—6yes
2026-09-17PacelliW3.5 (D7)3.5021.006yes
2026-09-25Iola-ScandinaviaW (forfeit)3.5 (D7)3.500.006yes. Forfeit win: the loser's full value.

Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 6 = 1.833. Tier 2 points = 8.00 + 21.00 + 0.00 = 29.00; opponents’ games = 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 + 6 = 36; Tier 2 AVG = 29.00 ÷ 36 = 0.806. Total = 1.833 + 9 × 0.806 = 9.08 (Tier 3 tie-break 2.42).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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