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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 7 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 7Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 7:51 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

ES pick: Shiocton, 94.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 ShioctonES 94%8 Reedsville4 CrivitzES pick: Hilbert, 54.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 HilbertES 54%ES pick: Coleman, 77.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 ColemanES 78%6 Black Hawk/Warren, ILES pick: Lourdes Academy, 87.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Lourdes Acad.ES 88%7 Manawa1 ShioctonES pick: Hilbert, 57.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 HilbertES 57%ES pick: Coleman, 81.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 ColemanES 81%2 Lourdes Acad.5 HilbertES pick: Coleman, 74.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 ColemanES 75%ES pick: Glenwood City, 97.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Glenwood CityES 97%8 ColfaxES pick: Cadott, 89.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 CadottES 90%5 AbbotsfordES pick: Spring Valley, 92.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Spring ValleyES 93%6 Elmwood/Plum CityES pick: Pepin/Alma, 88.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Pepin/AlmaES 88%7 WhitehallES pick: Glenwood City, 60.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Glenwood CityES 61%4 Cadott3 Spring ValleyES pick: Pepin/Alma, 84.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Pepin/AlmaES 85%1 Glenwood CityES pick: Pepin/Alma, 58.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Pepin/AlmaES 59%ES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 99.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Cochrane-Fou…ES 99%8 HillsboroES pick: Melrose-Mindoro, 77.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Melrose-Mind…ES 77%5 PacelliES pick: Boyceville, 92.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 BoycevilleES 93%6 Osseo-FairchildES pick: River Ridge, 95.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 River RidgeES 95%7 BangorES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 91.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Cochrane-Fou…ES 92%4 Melrose-Mindoro3 BoycevilleES pick: River Ridge, 78.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 River RidgeES 79%ES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 58.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Cochrane-Fou…ES 58%2 River RidgeES pick: Ithaca/Weston, 86.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Ithaca/WestonES 86%8 Pecatonica/ArgyleES pick: Cashton, 92.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 CashtonES 92%5 RoyallES pick: Webster, 75.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 WebsterES 76%6 McDonell Central Cath…ES pick: Iowa-Grant, 97.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Iowa-GrantES 97%7 RiverdaleES pick: Ithaca/Weston, 56.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Ithaca/WestonES 56%4 Cashton3 WebsterES pick: Iowa-Grant, 85.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Iowa-GrantES 86%1 Ithaca/WestonES pick: Iowa-Grant, 76.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Iowa-GrantES 76%ES pick: Coleman, 56.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.3 ColemanES 56%2 Pepin/AlmaState semifinalES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 65.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 Cochrane-Fou…ES 66%2 Iowa-GrantState semifinal3 ColemanES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 57.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 Cochrane-Fou…ES 57%State final · ES pick: Cochrane-Fountain CityRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 7 · Week 7 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 7. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 7. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 6: in Manawa (38 → 28), Hillsboro (33 → 32) · out Roncalli (31 → 33), Johnson Creek (32 → 34). Biggest climbs: Manawa ▲10, Spring Valley ▲9, Coleman ▲8. Biggest drops: Hilbert ▼6, Abbotsford ▼4, Riverdale ▼4.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Ithaca/Weston check17.211-D2 ▼1 · 1-C
2–Shiocton checkShiocton16.271-A6 ▼4 · 2-D
3–Glenwood City checkGlenwood City15.151-B4 ▼1 · 1-B
4▲1Cochrane-Fountain City checkFountain City14.701-C1 ▲3 · 1-A
5▼1River Ridge checkPatch Grove13.762-C7 ▼2 · 2-A
6▲2Pepin/Alma check13.292-B9 ▼3 · 3-A
7▼1Iowa-Grant checkLivingston13.092-D8 ▼1 · 2-C
8▲1Lourdes Academy checkOshkosh12.492-A5 ▲3 · 2-B
9▲8Coleman checkColeman12.393-A3 ▲6 · 1-D
10▼3Webster checkWebster11.663-D16 ▼6 · 4-B
11▲9Spring Valley checkSpring Valley11.643-B11 – · 3-C
12▼2Boyceville checkBoyceville11.463-C12 – · 3-D
13▲1Cadott checkCadott10.594-B15 ▼2 · 4-A
14▼1Crivitz checkCrivitz10.184-A13 ▲1 · 4-D
15▼3Melrose-Mindoro checkMelrose10.074-C17 ▼2 · 5-B
16▼1Cashton checkCashton9.994-D14 ▲2 · 4-C
17▼6Hilbert checkHilbert9.015-A10 ▲7 · 3-B
18▲1Royall checkElroy8.545-D18 – · 5-A
19▼1Pacelli checkStevens Point8.515-C20 ▼1 · 5-D
20▼4Abbotsford checkAbbotsford7.635-B21 ▼1 · 6-B
21▲2Black Hawk/Warren, IL check7.246-A19 ▲2 · 5-C
22▲4McDonell Central Catholic checkChippewa Falls6.586-D22 – · 6-D
23▲2Elmwood/Plum City check6.006-B26 ▼3 · 7-A
24▼2Osseo-Fairchild checkOsseo5.636-C27 ▼3 · 7-D
25▼4Riverdale checkMuscoda5.357-D25 – · 7-C
26▲3Whitehall checkWhitehall4.577-B23 ▲3 · 6-C
27▼3Bangor checkBangor4.137-C24 ▲3 · 6-A
28▲10Manawa checkManawa3.907-A in31 ▼3 · 8-D
29▼2Pecatonica/Argyle check3.008-D28 ▲1 · 7-B
30▼2Colfax checkColfax2.938-B33 ▼3 · Out projected out
31▼1Reedsville checkReedsville2.618-A35 ▼4 · Out projected out
32▲1Hillsboro checkHillsboro2.508-C in30 ▲2 · 8-A
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼2Roncalli checkBelow cut lineManitowoc2.20Below cut line dropped37 ▼4 · Out
34▼2Johnson Creek checkBelow cut lineJohnson Creek2.14Below cut line dropped38 ▼4 · Out
35–Necedah checkBelow cut lineNecedah1.97Below cut line36 ▼1 · Out
36▲3Brookwood checkBelow cut lineOntario1.80Below cut line29 ▲7 · 8-B projected in
37▼3Augusta checkBelow cut lineAugusta1.64Below cut line34 ▲3 · Out
38▼2New Lisbon checkBelow cut lineNew Lisbon1.16Below cut line40 ▼2 · Out
39▼2Eleva-Strum checkBelow cut lineStrum1.14Below cut line39 – · Out
40▼1Waterloo checkBelow cut lineWaterloo0.64Below cut line32 ▲8 · 8-C projected in
41T–Blair-Taylor checkBelow cut lineBlair0.50Below cut line43T ▼2 · Out
41T–Deerfield checkBelow cut lineDeerfield0.50Below cut line43T ▼2 · Out
41T–Pittsville checkBelow cut linePittsville0.50Below cut line43T ▼2 · Out
44T–Boscobel checkBelow cut lineBoscobel0.00Below cut line46T ▼2 · Out
44T–Crandon checkBelow cut lineCrandon0.00Below cut line41 ▲3 · Out
44T–Dodgeland checkBelow cut lineJuneau0.00Below cut line46T ▼2 · Out
44T–Independence/Gilmanton checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line46T ▼2 · Out
44T–Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line42 ▲2 · Out
—Catholic Central checkBurlington0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Iola-Scandinavia checkIola0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Kenosha Christian Life checkKenosha0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 7 (games through Saturday 2026-10-03). 32 of 48 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Abbotsford (rank 20, seed 5)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21MarkesanW4 (D6)4.0012.007yes
2026-08-28ColbyL4 (D6)0.00—7yes
2026-09-04RegisL4 (D6)0.00—7yes
2026-09-11Loyal/GreenwoodL4 (D6)0.00—7yes
2026-09-17PacelliW3.5 (D7)3.5021.007yes
2026-09-25Iola-ScandinaviaW (forfeit)3.5 (D7)3.500.007yes. Forfeit win: the loser's full value.
2026-10-02AuburndaleL4 (D6)0.00—7yes

Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 7 = 1.571. Tier 2 points = 12.00 + 21.00 + 0.00 = 33.00; opponents’ games = 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 = 49; Tier 2 AVG = 33.00 ÷ 49 = 0.673. Total = 1.571 + 9 × 0.673 = 7.63 (Tier 3 tie-break 3.70).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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