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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 7 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 8Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Thu, Oct 22 · 9:22 AM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

ES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 99.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Cochrane-Fou…ES 99%8 HillsboroES pick: Cadott, 89.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 CadottES 90%5 AbbotsfordES pick: Webster, 57.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 WebsterES 57%6 WhitehallES pick: River Ridge, 96.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 River RidgeES 96%7 McDonell Central Cath…ES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 81.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Cochrane-Fou…ES 82%4 Cadott3 WebsterES pick: River Ridge, 90.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 River RidgeES 91%ES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 58.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Cochrane-Fou…ES 58%2 River RidgeES pick: Glenwood City, 97.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Glenwood CityES 97%8 ColfaxES pick: Boyceville, 75.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 BoycevilleES 76%5 Melrose-MindoroES pick: Spring Valley, 73.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Spring ValleyES 74%6 BangorES pick: Pepin/Alma, 98.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Pepin/AlmaES 98%7 Elmwood/Plum CityES pick: Glenwood City, 60.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Glenwood CityES 60%4 Boyceville3 Spring ValleyES pick: Pepin/Alma, 84.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Pepin/AlmaES 85%1 Glenwood CityES pick: Pepin/Alma, 58.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Pepin/AlmaES 59%ES pick: Ithaca/Weston, 86.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Ithaca/WestonES 86%8 Pecatonica/ArgyleES pick: Cashton, 92.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 CashtonES 92%5 RoyallES pick: Lourdes Academy, 91.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Lourdes Acad.ES 91%6 RiverdaleES pick: Iowa-Grant, 96.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Iowa-GrantES 96%7 Osseo-FairchildES pick: Ithaca/Weston, 56.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Ithaca/WestonES 56%4 Cashton3 Lourdes Acad.ES pick: Iowa-Grant, 80.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Iowa-GrantES 80%1 Ithaca/WestonES pick: Iowa-Grant, 76.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Iowa-GrantES 76%ES pick: Shiocton, 94.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 ShioctonES 94%8 ReedsvilleES pick: Hilbert, 57.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 HilbertES 58%5 Black Hawk/Warren, ILES pick: Crivitz, 87.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 CrivitzES 87%6 PacelliES pick: Coleman, 97.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 ColemanES 97%7 Manawa1 ShioctonES pick: Hilbert, 57.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 HilbertES 57%3 CrivitzES pick: Coleman, 80.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 ColemanES 80%4 HilbertES pick: Coleman, 74.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 ColemanES 75%ES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 63.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 Cochrane-Fou…ES 63%2 Pepin/AlmaState semifinal2 Iowa-GrantES pick: Coleman, 58.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.2 ColemanES 59%State semifinalES pick: Cochrane-Fountain City, 57.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 Cochrane-Fou…ES 57%2 ColemanState final · ES pick: Cochrane-Fountain CityRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 7 · Week 8 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 8. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 8. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 7: the same teams are in the field. Biggest climbs: Crivitz ▲5, Whitehall ▲4, Bangor ▲4. Biggest drops: McDonell Central Catholic ▼3, Elmwood/Plum City ▼3, Osseo-Fairchild ▼3.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Ithaca/Weston check18.371-C2 ▼1 · 1-C
2▲2Cochrane-Fountain City checkFountain City16.021-A1 ▲1 · 1-A
3–Glenwood City checkGlenwood City15.551-B4 ▼1 · 1-B
4▼2Shiocton checkShiocton15.231-D6 ▼2 · 2-D
5▲2Iowa-Grant checkLivingston13.782-C8 ▼3 · 2-C
6▼1River Ridge checkPatch Grove13.772-A7 ▼1 · 2-A
7▲2Coleman checkColeman13.692-D3 ▲4 · 1-D
8▼2Pepin/Alma check13.052-B9 ▼1 · 3-A
9▲5Crivitz checkCrivitz12.203-D13 ▼4 · 4-D
10▼2Lourdes Academy checkOshkosh11.953-C5 ▲5 · 2-B
11▼1Webster checkWebster11.763-A16 ▼5 · 4-B
12▼1Spring Valley checkSpring Valley11.683-B11 ▲1 · 3-C
13▼1Boyceville checkBoyceville11.684-B12 ▲1 · 3-D
14▲3Hilbert checkHilbert10.734-D10 ▲4 · 3-B
15▼2Cadott checkCadott10.034-A15 – · 4-A
16–Cashton checkCashton9.894-C14 ▲2 · 4-C
17▼2Melrose-Mindoro checkMelrose9.165-B17 – · 5-B
18–Royall checkElroy7.895-C18 – · 5-A
19▲2Black Hawk/Warren, IL check6.965-D19 – · 5-C
20–Abbotsford checkAbbotsford6.955-A21 ▼1 · 6-B
21▼2Pacelli checkStevens Point6.846-D20 ▲1 · 5-D
22▲4Whitehall checkWhitehall5.836-A23 ▼1 · 6-C
23▲4Bangor checkBangor5.396-B24 ▼1 · 6-A
24▲1Riverdale checkMuscoda5.316-C25 ▼1 · 7-C
25▼3McDonell Central Catholic checkChippewa Falls5.237-A22 ▲3 · 6-D
26▼3Elmwood/Plum City check4.767-B26 – · 7-A
27▼3Osseo-Fairchild checkOsseo4.487-C27 – · 7-D
28–Manawa checkManawa3.747-D31 ▼3 · 8-D
29–Pecatonica/Argyle check3.538-C28 ▲1 · 7-B
30▲2Hillsboro checkHillsboro2.968-A30 – · 8-A
31▼1Colfax checkColfax2.848-B33 ▼2 · Out projected out
32▼1Reedsville checkReedsville2.138-D35 ▼3 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▲4Augusta checkBelow cut lineAugusta1.86Below cut line34 ▼1 · Out
34▼1Roncalli checkBelow cut lineManitowoc1.84Below cut line37 ▼3 · Out
35▼1Johnson Creek checkBelow cut lineJohnson Creek1.81Below cut line38 ▼3 · Out
36▲4Waterloo checkBelow cut lineWaterloo1.63Below cut line32 ▲4 · 8-C projected in
37▼2Necedah checkBelow cut lineNecedah1.56Below cut line36 ▲1 · Out
38▼2Brookwood checkBelow cut lineOntario1.50Below cut line29 ▲9 · 8-B projected in
39–Eleva-Strum checkBelow cut lineStrum1.37Below cut line39 – · Out
40▼2New Lisbon checkBelow cut lineNew Lisbon0.94Below cut line40 – · Out
41▲3Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca checkBelow cut line0.50Below cut line42 ▼1 · Out
42T▼1Blair-Taylor checkBelow cut lineBlair0.44Below cut line43T ▼1 · Out
42T▼1Deerfield checkBelow cut lineDeerfield0.44Below cut line43T ▼1 · Out
42T▼1Pittsville checkBelow cut linePittsville0.44Below cut line43T ▼1 · Out
45T▼1Boscobel checkBelow cut lineBoscobel0.00Below cut line46T ▼1 · Out
45T▼1Crandon checkBelow cut lineCrandon0.00Below cut line41 ▲4 · Out
45T▼1Dodgeland checkBelow cut lineJuneau0.00Below cut line46T ▼1 · Out
45T▼1Independence/Gilmanton checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line46T ▼1 · Out
—Catholic Central checkBurlington0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Iola-Scandinavia checkIola0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Kenosha Christian Life checkKenosha0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 8 (games through Saturday 2026-10-10). 32 of 48 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Abbotsford (rank 20, seed 5)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21MarkesanW4 (D6)4.0012.008yes
2026-08-28ColbyL4 (D6)0.00—8yes
2026-09-04RegisL4 (D6)0.00—8yes
2026-09-11Loyal/GreenwoodL4 (D6)0.00—8yes
2026-09-17PacelliW3.5 (D7)3.5021.008yes
2026-09-25Iola-ScandinaviaW (forfeit)3.5 (D7)3.500.008yes. Forfeit win: the loser's full value.
2026-10-02AuburndaleL4 (D6)0.00—8yes
2026-10-09PittsvilleW3.5 (D7)3.503.508yes

Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 8 = 1.813. Tier 2 points = 12.00 + 21.00 + 0.00 + 3.50 = 36.50; opponents’ games = 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 = 64; Tier 2 AVG = 36.50 ÷ 64 = 0.570. Total = 1.813 + 9 × 0.570 = 6.95 (Tier 3 tie-break 2.13).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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