Menu

Playoff Bracket · Football Division 1 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 7Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Thu, Oct 22 · 6:39 PM CDT

  • Final Finished, with the score
  • Ewert’s pick A guess, not a set matchup
ES pick: West De Pere, 93.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 West D…ES 93%8 KimberlyEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Middleton, 56.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Middle…ES 57%5 Madison Memo…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Stevens Point Area Senior High, 51.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Steven…ES 52%6 Chippewa Fal…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Oconomowoc, 90.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Oconom…ES 90%7 Sun Prairie…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: West De Pere, 97.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 West D…ES 97%4 MiddletonEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 Stevens Poin…ES pick: Oconomowoc, 80.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Oconom…ES 81%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: West De Pere, 73.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 West D…ES 73%2 OconomowocEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Bay Port, 98.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Bay Po…ES 99%8 HortonvilleEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Hudson, 86.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 HudsonES 86%5 Appleton Nor…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 VeronaES pick: Franklin, 73.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 Frankl…ES 73%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Waunakee, 98.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Waunak…ES 99%7 Wausau WestEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Bay Port, 86.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Bay Po…ES 86%4 HudsonEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK6 FranklinES pick: Waunakee, 63.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Waunak…ES 63%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Bay Port, 62.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Bay Po…ES 62%2 WaunakeeEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Hamilton, 99.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Hamilt…ES 99%8 Oshkosh WestEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Marquette, 62.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Marque…ES 62%5 NeenahEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: De Pere, 84.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 De PereES 84%6 D.C. EverestEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Arrowhead, 99.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Arrow…ES 100%7 Green Bay Pr…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Hamilton, 88.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Hamilt…ES 89%4 MarquetteEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 De PereES pick: Arrowhead, 96.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Arrowh…ES 96%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK1 HamiltonES pick: Arrowhead, 57.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Arrowh…ES 58%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Muskego, 99.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Muske…ES 100%8 Milwaukee Br…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Kenosha Bradford, 99.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Kenos…ES 100%5 Milwaukee Pu…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Indian Trail High School & Academy, 87.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Indian…ES 88%6 Milwaukee Re…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Racine Case, 99.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Racin…ES 100%7 Milwaukee Ri…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Muskego, 94.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MuskegoES 94%4 Kenosha Brad…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 Indian Trail…ES pick: Racine Case, 96.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Racine…ES 96%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Muskego, 86.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MuskegoES 87%2 Racine CaseEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK1 West De PereES pick: Bay Port, 54.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 Bay Po…ES 54%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState semifinal2 ArrowheadES pick: Muskego, 56.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 MuskegoES 56%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState semifinal1 Bay PortES pick: Muskego, 70.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 MuskegoES 71%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState final · ES pick: MuskegoRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Division 1 · Week 7 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 7. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 7. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 6: in Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir (39 → 26), Kimberly (34 → 30), Oshkosh West (36 → 32) · out Janesville Craig (28 → 33), Fond du Lac (30 → 34), Appleton West (32 → 37). Biggest climbs: Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir ▲13, Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate ▲6, Waunakee ▲5. Biggest drops: Appleton North ▼8, Franklin ▼6, Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts ▼5.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–West De Pere checkDe Pere42.081-A1 – · 1-D
2▲2Muskego checkMuskego34.011-D4 ▼2 · 1-C
3–Hamilton checkSussex31.741-C2 ▲1 · 1-B
4▼2Bay Port checkGreen Bay30.961-B3 ▲1 · 1-A
5▲1Oconomowoc checkOconomowoc27.642-A11 ▼6 · 3-B
6▼1Arrowhead checkHartland27.312-C5 ▲1 · 2-B
7▲1Racine Case checkRacine26.002-D7 – · 2-C
8▲5Waunakee checkWaunakee22.072-B6 ▲2 · 2-A
9▲2Stevens Point Area Senior High checkStevens Point21.433-A9 – · 3-A
10–Indian Trail High School & Academy checkKenosha21.363-D12 ▼2 · 3-C
11▼4Verona checkVerona20.823-B8 ▲3 · 2-D
12▲5De Pere checkDe Pere20.463-C18 ▼6 · 5-A
13▼1Kenosha Bradford checkKenosha20.304-D14 ▼1 · 4-C
14▲2Marquette checkMilwaukee19.424-C16 ▼2 · 4-D
15▼1Hudson checkHudson18.974-B10 ▲5 · 3-D
16▲2Middleton checkMiddleton18.874-A21 ▼5 · 6-B
17▼8Appleton North checkAppleton18.805-B22 ▼5 · 6-A
18▲6Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate check18.075-D17 ▲1 · 5-B
19–Madison Memorial checkMadison16.825-A19 – · 5-D
20▲3Neenah checkNeenah16.575-C13 ▲7 · 4-A
21▼6Franklin checkFranklin14.966-B20 ▲1 · 5-C
22▼2Milwaukee Reagan checkMilwaukee14.396-D15 ▲7 · 4-B
23▼2D.C. Everest checkSchofield14.036-C28 ▼5 · 7-A
24▲3Chippewa Falls checkChippewa Falls13.526-A23 ▲1 · 6-D
25▼3Wausau West checkWausau13.437-B30 ▼5 · 8-A
26▲13Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir check13.297-D in25 ▲1 · 7-C
27▲2Green Bay Preble checkGreen Bay13.027-C35 ▼8 · Out projected out
28▲3Sun Prairie East checkSun Prairie12.507-A26 ▲2 · 7-D
29▼4Hortonville checkHortonville12.368-B33 ▼4 · Out projected out
30▲4Kimberly checkKimberly12.158-A in29 ▲1 · 8-D
31▼5Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts check11.298-D24 ▲7 · 6-C
32▲4Oshkosh West checkOshkosh10.808-C in27 ▲5 · 7-B
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼5Janesville Craig checkBelow cut lineJanesville10.62Below cut line dropped34 ▼1 · Out
34▼4Fond du Lac checkBelow cut lineFond du Lac8.50Below cut line dropped36 ▼2 · Out
35▼2Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology checkBelow cut line7.91Below cut line32 ▲3 · 8-C projected in
36▲2Oak Creek checkBelow cut lineOak Creek7.14Below cut line37 ▼1 · Out
37▼5Appleton West checkBelow cut lineAppleton7.07Below cut line dropped41 ▼4 · Out
38▼3Janesville Parker checkBelow cut lineJanesville6.54Below cut line31 ▲7 · 8-B projected in
39▼2Badger checkBelow cut lineLake Geneva6.21Below cut line42 ▼3 · Out
40–Sheboygan North checkBelow cut lineSheboygan4.80Below cut line45 ▼5 · Out
41▲4Appleton East checkBelow cut lineAppleton4.33Below cut line46 ▼5 · Out
42▼1Brookfield East checkBelow cut lineBrookfield4.08Below cut line40 ▲2 · Out
43▲1Kenosha Tremper checkBelow cut lineKenosha4.01Below cut line47 ▼4 · Out
44▼2Mukwonago checkBelow cut lineMukwonago3.99Below cut line48 ▼4 · Out
45▲1Madison West checkBelow cut lineMadison3.96Below cut line43 ▲2 · Out
46▼3Madison La Follette checkBelow cut lineMadison3.91Below cut line38 ▲8 · Out
47–Sun Prairie West checkBelow cut lineSun Prairie2.05Below cut line49 ▼2 · Out
48–Eau Claire North checkBelow cut lineEau Claire0.93Below cut line39 ▲9 · Out
49–Manitowoc Lincoln checkBelow cut lineManitowoc0.86Below cut line44 ▲5 · Out
50T▼1Eau Claire Memorial checkBelow cut lineEau Claire0.00Below cut line50T – · Out
50T▼1Madison East checkBelow cut lineMadison0.00Below cut line50T – · Out
—Shorewood checkShorewood0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 7 (games through Saturday 2026-10-03). 32 of 51 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Bay Port (rank 4, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-20MiddletonW6.5 (D1)6.5026.007yes
2026-08-27KimberlyW6.5 (D1)6.5019.507yes
2026-09-04PulaskiW6 (D2)6.0031.507yes
2026-09-11Green Bay SouthwestW6 (D2)6.0012.007yes
2026-09-17De PereW6.5 (D1)6.5032.007yes
2026-09-25Appleton WestW6.5 (D1)6.5018.007yes
2026-10-02West De PereL6.5 (D1)0.00—7yes

Tier 1 AVG = 38.00 ÷ 7 = 5.429. Tier 2 points = 26.00 + 19.50 + 31.50 + 12.00 + 32.00 + 18.00 = 139.00; opponents’ games = 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 = 49; Tier 2 AVG = 139.00 ÷ 49 = 2.837. Total = 5.429 + 9 × 2.837 = 30.96 (Tier 3 tie-break 10.35).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Confirmed matchups in the bracket open game pages; team pages are linked in the field table and on each game page.

WIAA Football Playoff Brackets: Official and Projected | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports