Menu

Playoff Bracket · Football Division 6 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 3Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 2:34 PM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

Unresolved tie: Benton and Cameron and Cumberland (rank 31, seed #8). Tied at rank 31, on the cut line: WIAA breaks the tie by Tier 3 and then its own procedure, so neither team is placed here. Their slots are left empty.

1 Bonduel8 tie unresolved4 PardeevilleES pick: Edgar, 90.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 EdgarES 90%ES pick: Saint Mary Catholic, 64.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Saint Mary C…ES 65%6 MarathonES pick: Weyauwega-Fremont, 63.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Weyauwega-Fr…ES 64%7 ColbyTBD5 EdgarES pick: Saint Mary Catholic, 69.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Saint Mary C…ES 70%2 Weyauwega-FremontTBD3 Saint Mary CatholicES pick: Mondovi, 93.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MondoviES 94%8 Fall CreekES pick: Fennimore, 90.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 FennimoreES 91%5 Chetek-Weyerhaeuser3 Potosi/CassvilleES pick: Belleville, 62.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 BellevilleES 63%ES pick: Mineral Point, 52.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Mineral PointES 52%7 Prairie du ChienES pick: Mondovi, 97.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MondoviES 97%4 FennimoreES pick: Belleville, 57.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 BellevilleES 57%2 Mineral PointES pick: Mondovi, 87.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MondoviES 87%6 BellevilleES pick: Randolph/Cambria-Friesland, 85.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Randolph/Cam…ES 86%8 LaconiaES pick: Cuba City, 94.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Cuba CityES 95%5 MarshallES pick: Regis, 72.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 RegisES 72%6 Luther2 PoynetteES pick: Cambridge, 91.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.7 CambridgeES 91%1 Randolph/Cambria-Frie…ES pick: Cuba City, 68.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Cuba CityES 68%ES pick: Regis, 73.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 RegisES 73%7 Cambridge4 Cuba CityES pick: Regis, 71.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 RegisES 71%1 Manitowoc Lutheran8 tie unresolvedES pick: Lomira, 68.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 LomiraES 69%5 Cedar Grove-BelgiumES pick: Kewaunee, 75.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 KewauneeES 75%6 Kenosha St. Joseph Ca…ES pick: Saint Mary's Springs, 97.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Saint Mary's…ES 97%7 Southern DoorTBD4 LomiraES pick: Kewaunee, 76.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 KewauneeES 76%2 Saint Mary's SpringsTBD3 KewauneeTBD1 MondoviState semifinal3 RegisTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState finalRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 6 · Week 3 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 3. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 3. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 2: in Saint Mary Catholic (34 → 11), Southern Door (38 → 26), Benton (34 → 31) · out Fall River/Rio (27 → 34), Howards Grove (27 → 34), Oconto (27 → 34). Biggest climbs: Saint Mary Catholic ▲23, Weyauwega-Fremont ▲15, Southern Door ▲12. Biggest drops: Colby ▼14, Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic ▼10, Lomira ▼9.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1▲3Randolph/Cambria-Friesland check23.831-C15 ▼14 · 4-D
2▼1Bonduel checkBonduel23.001-A2 – · 1-A
3▲4Mondovi checkMondovi23.001-B1 ▲2 · 1-C
4▼1Manitowoc Lutheran checkManitowoc20.501-D4 – · 1-D
5▲15Weyauwega-Fremont checkWeyauwega17.172-A18 ▼13 · 5-D
6▼4Poynette checkPoynette17.002-C28 ▼22 · 7-C
7▼1Mineral Point checkMineral Point16.672-B13 ▼6 · 4-C
8▲6Saint Mary's Springs checkFond du Lac16.502-D19 ▼11 · 5-B
9▲7Potosi/Cassville check14.673-B17 ▼8 · 5-C
10▼2Regis checkEau Claire12.503-C11 ▼1 · 3-A
11▲23Saint Mary Catholic checkNeenah12.333-A in7 ▲4 · 2-A
12▼2Kewaunee checkKewaunee11.833-D8 ▲4 · 2-D
13▼2Fennimore checkFennimore11.834-B36 ▼23 · Out projected out
14▼9Lomira checkLomira11.504-D5 ▲9 · 2-B
15▲6Pardeeville checkPardeeville11.334-A16 ▼1 · 4-A
16▼7Cuba City checkCuba City10.674-C12 ▲4 · 3-C
17▼5Cedar Grove-Belgium checkCedar Grove10.335-D10 ▲7 · 3-D
18▲1Edgar checkEdgar10.335-A3 ▲15 · 1-B
19T▼2Marshall checkMarshall9.335-C37 ▼18 · Out projected out
19T▼1Chetek-Weyerhaeuser checkChetek9.335-B45 ▼26 · Out projected out
21▲2Marathon checkMarathon7.836-A22 ▼1 · 6-A
22▲5Belleville checkBelleville7.676-B14 ▲8 · 4-B
23–Luther checkOnalaska7.676-C21 ▲2 · 6-B
24▼10Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic checkKenosha7.506-D6 ▲18 · 2-C
25▲1Prairie du Chien checkPrairie du Chien7.507-B30 ▼5 · 8-B
26▲12Southern Door checkBrussels6.677-D in40 ▼14 · Out projected out
27▼14Colby checkColby6.507-A33 ▼6 · Out projected out
28▼3Cambridge checkCambridge5.677-C9 ▲19 · 3-B
29▼2Laconia checkRosendale5.338-C38 ▼9 · Out projected out
30▼9Fall Creek checkFall Creek3.008-B27 ▲3 · 7-A
31T▲3Benton checkBenton2.67#8 in24 ▲7 · 6-C
31T▼4Cameron checkCameron2.67#844 ▼13 · Out projected out
31T▼4Cumberland checkCumberland2.67#847 ▼16 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
34T▼7Fall River/Rio checkBelow cut line1.33Below cut line dropped25 ▲9 · 7-B projected in
34T▼7Howards Grove checkBelow cut lineHowards Grove1.33Below cut line dropped43 ▼9 · Out
34T▲4Loyal/Greenwood checkBelow cut line1.33Below cut line26 ▲8 · 7-D projected in
34T▲4Markesan checkBelow cut lineMarkesan1.33Below cut line34 – · Out
34T▼7Oconto checkBelow cut lineOconto1.33Below cut line dropped35 ▼1 · Out
39T▼5Nekoosa checkBelow cut lineNekoosa1.17Below cut line20 ▲19 · 5-A projected in
39T▼5Westby checkBelow cut lineWestby1.17Below cut line49 ▼10 · Out
41T▼3Auburndale checkBelow cut lineAuburndale0.00Below cut line41 – · Out
41T▼3Barron checkBelow cut lineBarron0.00Below cut line48 ▼7 · Out
41T▼3Clinton checkBelow cut lineClinton0.00Below cut line42 ▼1 · Out
41T▼3Horicon/Hustisford checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line46 ▼5 · Out
41T▼3Ladysmith checkBelow cut lineLadysmith0.00Below cut line50T ▼9 · Out
41T▼3Lancaster checkBelow cut lineLancaster0.00Below cut line31 ▲10 · 8-A projected in
41T▼3Living Word Lutheran checkBelow cut lineJackson0.00Below cut line32 ▲9 · 8-D projected in
41T▼3Mishicot checkBelow cut lineMishicot0.00Below cut line50T ▼9 · Out
41T▼3Stanley-Boyd checkBelow cut lineStanley0.00Below cut line39 ▲2 · Out
41T▼3Unity checkBelow cut lineBalsam Lake0.00Below cut line29 ▲12 · 8-C projected in
41T▼3Valders checkBelow cut lineValders0.00Below cut line23 ▲18 · 6-D projected in
—Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life checkBurlington9.17ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 3 (games through Saturday 2026-09-05). 33 of 51 in the field, 30 placed (3 waiting on a tie-break).

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Edgar (rank 18, seed 5)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21CadottW3.5 (D7)3.508.003yes
2026-08-28StratfordL5 (D4)0.00—3yes
2026-09-04PittsvilleW3.5 (D7)3.500.003yes

Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 3 = 2.333. Tier 2 points = 8.00 + 0.00 = 8.00; opponents’ games = 3 + 3 + 3 = 9; Tier 2 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 9 = 0.889. Total = 2.333 + 9 × 0.889 = 10.33.

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

WIAA Football Playoff Brackets: Official and Projected | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports