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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 2 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 7Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Thu, Oct 22 · 5:45 PM CDT

  • Final Finished, with the score
  • Ewert’s pick A guess, not a set matchup
ES pick: Notre Dame, 89.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Notre…ES 89%8 GermantownEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Menasha, 73.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 MenashaES 74%5 AshwaubenonEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Pulaski, 77.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 PulaskiES 78%6 River FallsEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Kaukauna, 79.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Kaukau…ES 80%7 Waukesha WestEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Notre Dame, 88.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Notre…ES 89%4 MenashaEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Pulaski, 54.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 PulaskiES 54%2 KaukaunaEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Notre Dame, 76.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Notre…ES 76%3 PulaskiEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: New Richmond, 98.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New Ri…ES 99%8 MenomonieEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Marshfield, 88.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Marshf…ES 88%5 Oshkosh NorthEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 Beaver DamES pick: La Crosse Central, 52.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 La Cro…ES 53%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Holmen, 94.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 HolmenES 94%7 Wausau EastEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: New Richmond, 90.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New Ri…ES 90%4 MarshfieldEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK6 La Crosse Ce…ES pick: Holmen, 52.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 HolmenES 53%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: New Richmond, 86.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 New Ri…ES 86%2 HolmenEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Elkhorn, 88.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 ElkhornES 88%8 MiltonEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Slinger, 60.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 SlingerES 60%5 Waukesha Sou…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 Menomonee Fa…ES pick: Brookfield Central, 88.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 Brookf…ES 88%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Monona Grove, 97.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Monona…ES 97%7 BurlingtonEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Elkhorn, 74.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 ElkhornES 75%4 SlingerEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK6 Brookfield C…ES pick: Monona Grove, 84.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Monona…ES 84%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK1 ElkhornES pick: Monona Grove, 82.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Monona…ES 82%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Union Grove, 99.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Union…ES 100%8 Racine Horli…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK4 Wauwatosa Ea…ES pick: Greenfield, 57.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 Greenf…ES 58%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Homestead, 88.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Homest…ES 89%6 GraftonEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: West Bend West, 91.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 West B…ES 91%7 Westosha Cen…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Union Grove, 94.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Union…ES 95%5 GreenfieldEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Homestead, 76.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Homest…ES 77%2 West Bend We…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK1 Union GroveES pick: Homestead, 50.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Homest…ES 50%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK1 Notre DameES pick: New Richmond, 60.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 New Ri…ES 60%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState semifinalES pick: Monona Grove, 63.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.2 Monona…ES 63%3 HomesteadEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState semifinal1 New RichmondES pick: Monona Grove, 50.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.2 Monona…ES 50%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState final · ES pick: Monona GroveRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Division 2 · Week 7 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 7. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 7. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 6: in Menomonie (37 → 32) · out Oregon (31 → 33). Biggest climbs: Slinger ▲12, West Bend West ▲8, Menomonie ▲5. Biggest drops: River Falls ▼5, Marshfield ▼4, Brookfield Central ▼4.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1▲1Union Grove checkUnion Grove33.431-D3 ▼2 · 1-D
2▼1New Richmond checkNew Richmond31.541-B1 ▲1 · 1-B
3▲4Notre Dame checkGreen Bay28.921-A2 ▲1 · 1-C
4▲1Elkhorn checkElkhorn25.851-C5 ▼1 · 2-A
5▼1Holmen checkHolmen25.522-B9 ▼4 · 3-B
6▼3Monona Grove checkMonona25.482-C4 ▲2 · 1-A
7▲8West Bend West checkWest Bend21.512-D11 ▼4 · 3-D
8▲4Kaukauna checkKaukauna21.012-A8 – · 2-C
9▼3Homestead checkMequon20.593-D6 ▲3 · 2-D
10▼2Pulaski checkPulaski19.383-A10 – · 3-C
11▲2Beaver Dam checkBeaver Dam19.303-B7 ▲4 · 2-B
12▼3Menomonee Falls checkMenomonee Falls19.063-C20 ▼8 · 5-C
13▼2Menasha checkMenasha18.084-A15 ▼2 · 4-C
14▼4Marshfield checkMarshfield18.034-B18 ▼4 · 5-A
15▼1Wauwatosa East checkWauwatosa16.934-D17 ▼2 · 5-D
16▲12Slinger checkSlinger15.554-C23 ▼7 · 6-D
17▲1Greenfield checkGreenfield15.435-D12 ▲5 · 3-A
18▼2Waukesha South checkWaukesha14.425-C13 ▲5 · 4-D
19▲2Ashwaubenon checkAshwaubenon13.585-A22 ▼3 · 6-C
20▲4Oshkosh North checkOshkosh13.325-B25 ▼5 · 7-C
21▼4Brookfield Central checkBrookfield13.026-C26 ▼5 · 7-B
22▲1Grafton checkGrafton12.586-D24 ▼2 · 6-A
23▼3La Crosse Central checkLa Crosse12.216-B14 ▲9 · 4-B
24▼5River Falls checkRiver Falls11.996-A21 ▲3 · 6-B
25▼3Burlington checkBurlington11.957-C28 ▼3 · 7-A
26▼1Wausau East checkWausau11.707-B16 ▲10 · 4-A
27–Waukesha West checkWaukesha10.637-A19 ▲8 · 5-B
28▲2Westosha Central checkSalem9.097-D27 ▲1 · 7-D
29–Milton checkMilton9.078-C31 ▼2 · 8-A
30▼4Germantown checkGermantown8.418-A29 ▲1 · 8-C
31▲1Racine Horlick checkRacine7.308-D35 ▼4 · Out projected out
32▲5Menomonie checkMenomonie7.268-B in34 ▼2 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼2Oregon checkBelow cut lineOregon6.65Below cut line dropped33 – · Out
34▲8Nicolet checkBelow cut lineGlendale6.12Below cut line36 ▼2 · Out
35▲1DeForest checkBelow cut lineDeForest6.03Below cut line32 ▲3 · 8-B projected in
36▼2Milwaukee King checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee6.01Below cut line30 ▲6 · 8-D projected in
37▼4Hartford Union checkBelow cut lineHartford5.17Below cut line38 ▼1 · Out
38▼3Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln checkBelow cut lineWisconsin Rapids4.17Below cut line39 ▼1 · Out
39▼1Green Bay Southwest checkBelow cut lineGreen Bay4.01Below cut line41 ▼2 · Out
40▼1West Allis Central checkBelow cut lineWest Allis3.98Below cut line42 ▼2 · Out
41▼1Superior checkBelow cut lineSuperior3.05Below cut line37 ▲4 · Out
42▲2Sheboygan South checkBelow cut lineSheboygan2.89Below cut line40 ▲2 · Out
43▲2Cedarburg checkBelow cut lineCedarburg2.82Below cut line45 ▼2 · Out
44▼3West Allis Hale checkBelow cut lineWest Allis2.79Below cut line46 ▼2 · Out
45▼2Watertown checkBelow cut lineWatertown2.12Below cut line43 ▲2 · Out
46T–Beloit Memorial checkBelow cut lineBeloit0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T–Green Bay East checkBelow cut lineGreen Bay0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T–Kettle Moraine checkBelow cut lineWales0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T–Milwaukee Marshall checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee0.00Below cut lineExcluded
46T–Racine Park checkBelow cut lineRacine0.00Below cut line47T ▼1 · Out
46T–Rice Lake checkBelow cut lineRice Lake0.00Below cut line44 ▲2 · Out
—Milwaukee South checkMilwaukee0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 7 (games through Saturday 2026-10-03). 32 of 51 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Germantown (rank 30, seed 8)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21HomesteadL6 (D2)0.00—7yes
2026-08-27Hartford UnionW6 (D2)6.006.007yes
2026-09-04FranklinL6.5 (D1)0.00—7yes
2026-09-11MukwonagoW6.5 (D1)6.5012.507yes
2026-09-18Brookfield EastW6.5 (D1)6.5012.507yes
2026-09-25Brookfield CentralL6 (D2)0.00—7yes
2026-10-02MarquetteL6.5 (D1)0.00—7yes

Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 7 = 2.714. Tier 2 points = 6.00 + 12.50 + 12.50 = 31.00; opponents’ games = 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 = 49; Tier 2 AVG = 31.00 ÷ 49 = 0.633. Total = 2.714 + 9 × 0.633 = 8.41 (Tier 3 tie-break 2.94).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Confirmed matchups in the bracket open game pages; team pages are linked in the field table and on each game page.

WIAA Football Playoff Brackets: Official and Projected | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports