Ewert projection through week 4Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 2:48 PM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 1 · Week 4 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 4. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 4. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 3: in Franklin (34 → 14), D.C. Everest (40 → 21), Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate (36 → 24), Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology (45 → 27) · out Fond du Lac (25 → 34), Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts (26 → 35), Neenah (27 → 36), Sun Prairie West (30 → 38), Appleton East (31 → 39). Biggest climbs: Franklin ▲20, D.C. Everest ▲19, Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology ▲18. Biggest drops: Appleton West ▼19, Brookfield East ▼12, Marquette ▼10.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | West De Pere check | De Pere | West De Pere · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 45.75 | West De Pere · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 4 = 6.375 | West De Pere · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 70.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 4.375 | West De Pere · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 1-A | 1 – · 1-D |
| 2 | ▲3 | Bay Port check | Green Bay | Bay Port · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 34.94 | Bay Port · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 4 = 6.250 | Bay Port · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 51.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 3.188 | Bay Port · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 1-D | 3 ▼1 · 1-A |
| 3 | – | Muskego check | Muskego | Muskego · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 34.53 | Muskego · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 4 = 6.125 | Muskego · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 50.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 3.156 | Muskego · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 1-C | 4 ▼1 · 1-C |
| 4 | ▼2 | Arrowhead check | Hartland | Arrowhead · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 31.28 | Arrowhead · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 4 = 6.250 | Arrowhead · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 44.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.781 | Arrowhead · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 1-B | 5 ▼1 · 2-B |
| 5 | ▼1 | Hamilton check | Sussex | Hamilton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 31.13 | Hamilton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 4 = 6.375 | Hamilton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 44.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.750 | Hamilton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 2-A | 2 ▲3 · 1-B |
| 6 | ▲2 | Oconomowoc check | Oconomowoc | Oconomowoc · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 26.28 | Oconomowoc · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 4 = 4.625 | Oconomowoc · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 38.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.406 | Oconomowoc · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 2-B | 11 ▼5 · 3-B |
| 7 | ▲4 | Appleton North check | Appleton | Appleton North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 22.59 | Appleton North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.50 ÷ 4 = 4.875 | Appleton North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.969 | Appleton North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 2-D | 22 ▼15 · 6-A |
| 8 | ▲2 | Kenosha Bradford check | Kenosha | Kenosha Bradford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 22.47 | Kenosha Bradford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 4 = 4.750 | Kenosha Bradford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.969 | Kenosha Bradford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 2-C | 14 ▼6 · 4-C |
| 9 | ▲7 | Waunakee check | Waunakee | Waunakee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 22.19 | Waunakee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 4 = 4.750 | Waunakee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.938 | Waunakee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 3-B | 6 ▲3 · 2-A |
| 10 | ▼4 | Indian Trail High School & Academy check | Kenosha | Indian Trail High School & Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 22.19 | Indian Trail High School & Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 4 = 4.750 | Indian Trail High School & Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.938 | Indian Trail High School & Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 3-C | 12 ▼2 · 3-C |
| 11 | ▲1 | De Pere check | De Pere | De Pere · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 22.03 | De Pere · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.50 ÷ 4 = 4.875 | De Pere · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 30.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.906 | De Pere · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 3-D | 18 ▼7 · 5-A |
| 12 | ▲2 | Racine Case check | Racine | Racine Case · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 18.81 | Racine Case · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 4 = 4.750 | Racine Case · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.563 | Racine Case · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 3-A | 7 ▲5 · 2-C |
| 13 | ▲4 | Madison Memorial check | Madison | Madison Memorial · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 18.13 | Madison Memorial · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 4 = 4.625 | Madison Memorial · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.500 | Madison Memorial · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 4-A | 19 ▼6 · 5-D |
| 14 | ▲20 | Franklin check | Franklin | Franklin · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 17.19 | Franklin · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Franklin · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.563 | Franklin · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 4-C in | 20 ▼6 · 5-C |
| 15 | ▲7 | Wausau West check | Wausau | Wausau West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 16.25 | Wausau West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 4 = 6.125 | Wausau West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.125 | Wausau West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-D | 30 ▼15 · 8-A |
| 16 | ▼3 | Verona check | Verona | Verona · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 15.28 | Verona · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.50 ÷ 4 = 4.875 | Verona · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.156 | Verona · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-B | 8 ▲8 · 2-D |
| 17 | ▼2 | Stevens Point Area Senior High check | Stevens Point | Stevens Point Area Senior High · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 14.91 | Stevens Point Area Senior High · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 4 = 4.500 | Stevens Point Area Senior High · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.156 | Stevens Point Area Senior High · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-D | 9 ▲8 · 3-A |
| 18 | ▼10 | Marquette check | Milwaukee | Marquette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 13.81 | Marquette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Marquette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.188 | Marquette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-C | 16 ▲2 · 4-D |
| 19 | ▼1 | Middleton check | Middleton | Middleton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 13.66 | Middleton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 4 = 3.250 | Middleton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.156 | Middleton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-A | 21 ▼2 · 6-B |
| 20 | ▲8 | Sun Prairie East check | Sun Prairie | Sun Prairie East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 13.41 | Sun Prairie East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 4 = 3.000 | Sun Prairie East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.156 | Sun Prairie East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-B | 26 ▼6 · 7-D |
| 21 | ▲19 | D.C. Everest check | Schofield | D.C. Everest · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 13.41 | D.C. Everest · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 4 = 3.000 | D.C. Everest · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.156 | D.C. Everest · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 6-D in | 28 ▼7 · 7-A |
| 22 | ▼1 | Hudson check | Hudson | Hudson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 13.16 | Hudson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 4 = 6.125 | Hudson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.781 | Hudson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-B | 10 ▲12 · 3-D |
| 23 | – | Hortonville check | Hortonville | Hortonville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 12.13 | Hortonville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Hortonville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 16.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.000 | Hortonville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 6-C | 33 ▼10 · Out projected out |
| 24 | ▲12 | Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate check | Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 12.02 | Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 4 = 4.625 | Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.50 ÷ opponents’ games 14 = 0.821 | Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-A in | 17 ▲7 · 5-B | |
| 25 | ▼5 | Chippewa Falls check | Chippewa Falls | Chippewa Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 11.50 | Chippewa Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 4 = 4.750 | Chippewa Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.750 | Chippewa Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-D | 23 ▲2 · 6-D |
| 26 | ▼19 | Appleton West check | Appleton | Appleton West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 11.25 | Appleton West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 4 = 4.500 | Appleton West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.750 | Appleton West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-A | 41 ▼15 · Out projected out |
| 27 | ▲18 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology check | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 11.22 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.094 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-C in | 32 ▼5 · 8-C | |
| 28 | ▲4 | Janesville Parker check | Janesville | Janesville Parker · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 10.28 | Janesville Parker · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 4 = 3.250 | Janesville Parker · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.781 | Janesville Parker · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-B | 31 ▼3 · 8-B |
| 29 | ▼5 | Green Bay Preble check | Green Bay | Green Bay Preble · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 9.94 | Green Bay Preble · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Green Bay Preble · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.938 | Green Bay Preble · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 8-D | 35 ▼6 · Out projected out |
| 30 | ▼2 | Kenosha Tremper check | Kenosha | Kenosha Tremper · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 8.53 | Kenosha Tremper · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Kenosha Tremper · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.781 | Kenosha Tremper · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-C | 47 ▼17 · Out projected out |
| 31 | ▼12 | Brookfield East check | Brookfield | Brookfield East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 7.63 | Brookfield East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Brookfield East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 13 = 0.500 | Brookfield East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-A | 40 ▼9 · Out projected out |
| 32 | – | Milwaukee Reagan check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Reagan · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.98 | Milwaukee Reagan · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Milwaukee Reagan · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 14 = 0.429 | Milwaukee Reagan · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-B | 15 ▲17 · 4-B |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▲2 | Janesville Craig checkBelow cut line | Janesville | Janesville Craig · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.78 | Janesville Craig · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Janesville Craig · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.406 | Janesville Craig · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 34 ▼1 · Out |
| 34 | ▼9 | Fond du Lac checkBelow cut line | Fond du Lac | Fond du Lac · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.50 | Fond du Lac · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Fond du Lac · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.375 | Fond du Lac · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 36 ▼2 · Out |
| 35 | ▼9 | Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.21 | Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 4 = 2.750 | Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 13 = 0.385 | Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 24 ▲11 · 6-C projected in | |
| 36T | ▲9 | Kimberly checkBelow cut line | Kimberly | Kimberly · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.28 | Kimberly · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Kimberly · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.406 | Kimberly · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 29 ▲7 · 8-D projected in |
| 36T | ▼9 | Neenah checkBelow cut line | Neenah | Neenah · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.28 | Neenah · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Neenah · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.406 | Neenah · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 13 ▲23 · 4-A projected in |
| 38 | ▼8 | Sun Prairie West checkBelow cut line | Sun Prairie | Sun Prairie West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.16 | Sun Prairie West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Sun Prairie West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.406 | Sun Prairie West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 49 ▼11 · Out |
| 39 | ▼8 | Appleton East checkBelow cut line | Appleton | Appleton East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.00 | Appleton East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Appleton East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.375 | Appleton East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 46 ▼7 · Out |
| 40 | ▼2 | Mukwonago checkBelow cut line | Mukwonago | Mukwonago · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.00 | Mukwonago · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Mukwonago · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.375 | Mukwonago · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 48 ▼8 · Out |
| 41 | ▼1 | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 4.88 | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.375 | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 25 ▲16 · 7-C projected in | |
| 42 | ▼4 | Madison West checkBelow cut line | Madison | Madison West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 4.72 | Madison West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Madison West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.344 | Madison West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 43 ▼1 · Out |
| 43 | ▼3 | Oshkosh West checkBelow cut line | Oshkosh | Oshkosh West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 4.59 | Oshkosh West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Oshkosh West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.344 | Oshkosh West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 27 ▲16 · 7-B projected in |
| 44 | ▼7 | Sheboygan North checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan | Sheboygan North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 4.38 | Sheboygan North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 4 = 4.375 | Sheboygan North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Sheboygan North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45 ▼1 · Out |
| 45 | – | Eau Claire North checkBelow cut line | Eau Claire | Eau Claire North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.63 | Eau Claire North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 4 = 1.625 | Eau Claire North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Eau Claire North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 39 ▲6 · Out |
| 46T | ▼1 | Badger checkBelow cut line | Lake Geneva | Badger · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.50 | Badger · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Badger · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Badger · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 42 ▲4 · Out |
| 46T | ▼6 | Madison La Follette checkBelow cut line | Madison | Madison La Follette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.50 | Madison La Follette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Madison La Follette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Madison La Follette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 38 ▲8 · Out |
| 46T | ▼6 | Oak Creek checkBelow cut line | Oak Creek | Oak Creek · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.50 | Oak Creek · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500 | Oak Creek · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Oak Creek · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 37 ▲9 · Out |
| 49T | ▼4 | Eau Claire Memorial checkBelow cut line | Eau Claire | Eau Claire Memorial · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Eau Claire Memorial · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Eau Claire Memorial · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Eau Claire Memorial · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 50T ▼1 · Out |
| 49T | ▼4 | Madison East checkBelow cut line | Madison | Madison East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Madison East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Madison East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Madison East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 50T ▼1 · Out |
| 49T | ▼4 | Manitowoc Lincoln checkBelow cut line | Manitowoc | Manitowoc Lincoln · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Manitowoc Lincoln · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Manitowoc Lincoln · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Manitowoc Lincoln · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 44 ▲5 · Out |
| — | Shorewood check | Shorewood | Shorewood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Shorewood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Shorewood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Shorewood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 4 (games through Saturday 2026-09-12). 32 of 51 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Madison La Follette (rank 46T, seed out)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Beloit Memorial | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 0.00 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-08-27 | Monona Grove | L | 6 (D2) | 0.00 | — | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Janesville Parker | L | 6.5 (D1) | 0.00 | — | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-10 | Verona | L | 6.5 (D1) | 0.00 | — | 4 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 4 = 1.500. Tier 2 points = 0.00 = 0.00; opponents’ games = 4 + 4 + 4 + 4 = 16; Tier 2 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 16 = 0.000. Total = 1.500 + 9 × 0.000 = 1.50 (Tier 3 tie-break pending verification).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
