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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 1 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 2Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 5:36 PM CDT

Full boardRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion DFinal fourEwert’s picks: dashed, italic slots are our prediction model’s guess at who advances. ES percentages label our picked winners. These are guesses; confirmed results take precedence.

Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.

Unresolved ties: Kenosha Bradford and Madison West and Mukwonago and Racine Case and Verona and Waunakee (rank 20, seed #5); Brookfield East and D.C. Everest and Fond du Lac and Janesville Craig and Madison La Follette and Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts and Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir and Oshkosh West and Stevens Point Area Senior High (rank 26, seed #7). Tied at rank 20, across the #5/#6 seed line: placement waits for WIAA's tie-break (Tier 3, then its own procedure). Their slots are left empty.

1 West De PereES pick: Bay Port, 99.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Bay PortES 99%5 Wausau West3 Appleton North2 De Pere7 tie unresolvedTBD4 Bay PortTBDTBDTBDTBD1 Muskego4 Green Bay Preble5 tie unresolved3 Indian Trail & Acad.2 Oconomowoc7 tie unresolvedTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBD1 Arrowhead4 HortonvilleES pick: Madison Memorial, 55.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 Madison Memo…ES 56%3 Sun Prairie East2 Hudson7 tie unresolvedTBD5 Madison MemorialTBDTBDTBDTBD1 Hamilton4 Appleton EastES pick: Appleton West, 50.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-21T04:54:06.012Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 Appleton WestES 51%3 Marquette2 Chippewa Falls7 tie unresolvedTBD5 Appleton WestTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState semifinalTBDTBDState finalRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Division 1 · Week 2 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 2. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 2. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 1: out Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate (24 → 35), Sheboygan North (24 → 35), Badger (24 → 37), Eau Claire Memorial (24 → 37), Eau Claire North (24 → 37), Franklin (24 → 37), Janesville Parker (24 → 37), Kenosha Tremper (24 → 37), Kimberly (24 → 37), Madison East (24 → 37), Manitowoc Lincoln (24 → 37), Middleton (24 → 37), Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology (24 → 37), Milwaukee Reagan (24 → 37), Neenah (24 → 37), Oak Creek (24 → 37), Sun Prairie West (24 → 37). Biggest climbs: Marquette ▲14, Sun Prairie East ▲12, Appleton East ▲11. Biggest drops: Kenosha Bradford ▼19, Madison West ▼19, Racine Case ▼19.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–West De Pere checkDe Pere34.631-A1 – · 1-D
2▼1Arrowhead checkHartland21.131-C5 ▼3 · 2-B
3T▼2Hamilton checkSussex21.131-D2 ▲1 · 1-B
3T▼2Muskego checkMuskego21.131-B4 ▼1 · 1-C
5▲9Oconomowoc checkOconomowoc20.882-B11 ▼6 · 3-B
6T▼5Chippewa Falls checkChippewa Falls20.002-D23 ▼17 · 6-D
6T▼5De Pere checkDe Pere20.002-A18 ▼12 · 5-A
8▲6Hudson checkHudson19.752-C10 ▼2 · 3-D
9▲5Indian Trail High School & Academy checkKenosha18.633-B12 ▼3 · 3-C
10T▼9Appleton North checkAppleton17.883-A22 ▼12 · 6-A
10T▲14Marquette checkMilwaukee17.883-D16 ▼6 · 4-D
12▲12Sun Prairie East checkSun Prairie17.633-C26 ▼14 · 7-D
13▲11Appleton East checkAppleton16.754-D46 ▼33 · Out projected out
14T–Green Bay Preble checkGreen Bay13.134-B35 ▼21 · Out projected out
14T–Hortonville checkHortonville13.134-C33 ▼19 · Out projected out
16▼15Bay Port checkGreen Bay6.504-A3 ▲13 · 1-A
17T▼3Appleton West checkAppleton6.005-D41 ▼24 · Out projected out
17T▼16Madison Memorial checkMadison6.005-C19 ▼2 · 5-D
17T▼3Wausau West checkWausau6.005-A30 ▼13 · 8-A
20T▼19Kenosha Bradford checkKenosha3.25#514 ▲6 · 4-C
20T▼19Madison West checkMadison3.25#543 ▼23 · Out projected out
20T▲4Mukwonago checkMukwonago3.25#548 ▼28 · Out projected out
20T▼19Racine Case checkRacine3.25#57 ▲13 · 2-C
20T▼19Verona checkVerona3.25#58 ▲12 · 2-D
20T▲4Waunakee checkWaunakee3.25#56 ▲14 · 2-A
26T▼2Brookfield East checkBrookfield3.00#740 ▼14 · Out projected out
26T▼2D.C. Everest checkSchofield3.00#728 ▼2 · 7-A
26T▼12Fond du Lac checkFond du Lac3.00#736 ▼10 · Out projected out
26T▼2Janesville Craig checkJanesville3.00#734 ▼8 · Out projected out
26T▼12Madison La Follette checkMadison3.00#738 ▼12 · Out projected out
26T▼2Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts check3.00#724 ▲2 · 6-C
26T▼2Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir check3.00#725 ▲1 · 7-C
26T▼2Oshkosh West checkOshkosh3.00#727 ▼1 · 7-B
26T▼12Stevens Point Area Senior High checkStevens Point3.00#79 ▲17 · 3-A
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
35T▼11Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate checkBelow cut line2.75Below cut line dropped17 ▲18 · 5-B projected in
35T▼11Sheboygan North checkBelow cut lineSheboygan2.75Below cut line dropped45 ▼10 · Out
37T▼13Badger checkBelow cut lineLake Geneva0.00Below cut line dropped42 ▼5 · Out
37T▼13Eau Claire Memorial checkBelow cut lineEau Claire0.00Below cut line dropped50T ▼13 · Out
37T▼13Eau Claire North checkBelow cut lineEau Claire0.00Below cut line dropped39 ▼2 · Out
37T▼13Franklin checkBelow cut lineFranklin0.00Below cut line dropped20 ▲17 · 5-C projected in
37T▼13Janesville Parker checkBelow cut lineJanesville0.00Below cut line dropped31 ▲6 · 8-B projected in
37T▼13Kenosha Tremper checkBelow cut lineKenosha0.00Below cut line dropped47 ▼10 · Out
37T▼13Kimberly checkBelow cut lineKimberly0.00Below cut line dropped29 ▲8 · 8-D projected in
37T▼13Madison East checkBelow cut lineMadison0.00Below cut line dropped50T ▼13 · Out
37T▼13Manitowoc Lincoln checkBelow cut lineManitowoc0.00Below cut line dropped44 ▼7 · Out
37T▼13Middleton checkBelow cut lineMiddleton0.00Below cut line dropped21 ▲16 · 6-B projected in
37T▼13Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology checkBelow cut line0.00Below cut line dropped32 ▲5 · 8-C projected in
37T▼13Milwaukee Reagan checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee0.00Below cut line dropped15 ▲22 · 4-B projected in
37T▼13Neenah checkBelow cut lineNeenah0.00Below cut line dropped13 ▲24 · 4-A projected in
37T▼13Oak Creek checkBelow cut lineOak Creek0.00Below cut line dropped37 – · Out
37T▼13Sun Prairie West checkBelow cut lineSun Prairie0.00Below cut line dropped49 ▼12 · Out
—Shorewood checkShorewood0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 2 (games through Saturday 2026-08-29). 34 of 51 in the field, 19 placed (15 waiting on a tie-break).

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Middleton (rank 37T, seed out)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-20Bay PortL6.5 (D1)0.00—2yes
2026-08-28Indian Trail High School & AcademyL6.5 (D1)0.00—2yes

Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 2 = 0.000. Tier 2 points = 0 = 0.00; opponents’ games = 2 + 2 = 4; Tier 2 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000. Total = 0.000 + 9 × 0.000 = 0.00.

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.

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