Ewert projection through week 5Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Thu, Oct 22 · 4:39 PM CDT
- Final Finished, with the score
- Ewert’s pick A guess, not a set matchup
Division 1 · Week 5 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 5. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 5. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 4: in Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts (35 → 27), Kimberly (36 → 30), Fond du Lac (34 → 32) · out Kenosha Tremper (30 → 37), Brookfield East (31 → 40), Milwaukee Reagan (32 → 33). Biggest climbs: Stevens Point Area Senior High ▲8, Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts ▲8, Verona ▲6. Biggest drops: Madison Memorial ▼7, De Pere ▼6, Hortonville ▼6.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | West De Pere check | De Pere | West De Pere · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 42.58 | West De Pere · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.00 ÷ 5 = 6.400 | West De Pere · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 100.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 4.020 | West De Pere · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 1-D | 1 – · 1-D |
| 2 | – | Bay Port check | Green Bay | Bay Port · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 38.52 | Bay Port · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.50 ÷ 5 = 6.300 | Bay Port · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 89.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 3.580 | Bay Port · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 1-A | 3 ▼1 · 1-A |
| 3 | ▲2 | Hamilton check | Sussex | Hamilton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 33.48 | Hamilton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.50 ÷ 5 = 6.300 | Hamilton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 75.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 3.020 | Hamilton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 12 | 1-B | 2 ▲1 · 1-B |
| 4 | ▲2 | Oconomowoc check | Oconomowoc | Oconomowoc · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 32.18 | Oconomowoc · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 5 = 5.000 | Oconomowoc · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 75.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 3.020 | Oconomowoc · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 12 | 1-C | 11 ▼7 · 3-B |
| 5 | ▼2 | Muskego check | Muskego | Muskego · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 27.40 | Muskego · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 5 = 4.900 | Muskego · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 62.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.500 | Muskego · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 2-B | 4 ▲1 · 1-C |
| 6 | ▼2 | Arrowhead check | Hartland | Arrowhead · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 26.54 | Arrowhead · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.00 ÷ 5 = 6.200 | Arrowhead · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 56.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.260 | Arrowhead · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 2-C | 5 ▲1 · 2-B |
| 7 | – | Appleton North check | Appleton | Appleton North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 25.62 | Appleton North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 5 = 5.100 | Appleton North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 57.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.280 | Appleton North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 2-A | 22 ▼15 · 6-A |
| 8 | ▲1 | Waunakee check | Waunakee | Waunakee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 23.00 | Waunakee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 5 = 5.000 | Waunakee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 50.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.000 | Waunakee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 2-D | 6 ▲2 · 2-A |
| 9 | ▲8 | Stevens Point Area Senior High check | Stevens Point | Stevens Point Area Senior High · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 22.72 | Stevens Point Area Senior High · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 5 = 4.900 | Stevens Point Area Senior High · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 49.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.980 | Stevens Point Area Senior High · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 3-A | 9 – · 3-A |
| 10 | ▲6 | Verona check | Verona | Verona · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 21.04 | Verona · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.00 ÷ 5 = 5.200 | Verona · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 44.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.760 | Verona · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 3-D | 8 ▲2 · 2-D |
| 11 | ▲1 | Racine Case check | Racine | Racine Case · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 20.84 | Racine Case · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 5 = 5.000 | Racine Case · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 44.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.760 | Racine Case · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 3-C | 7 ▲4 · 2-C |
| 12 | ▼4 | Kenosha Bradford check | Kenosha | Kenosha Bradford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 20.76 | Kenosha Bradford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 5 = 5.100 | Kenosha Bradford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.740 | Kenosha Bradford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 3-B | 14 ▼2 · 4-C |
| 13 | ▼3 | Indian Trail High School & Academy check | Kenosha | Indian Trail High School & Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 20.66 | Indian Trail High School & Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 5 = 5.000 | Indian Trail High School & Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.740 | Indian Trail High School & Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 4-C | 12 ▲1 · 3-C |
| 14 | – | Franklin check | Franklin | Franklin · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 19.46 | Franklin · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 5 = 3.800 | Franklin · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.740 | Franklin · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 4-B | 20 ▼6 · 5-C |
| 15 | ▲3 | Marquette check | Milwaukee | Marquette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 17.46 | Marquette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 5 = 3.600 | Marquette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 38.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.540 | Marquette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 4-D | 16 ▼1 · 4-D |
| 16 | ▲3 | Middleton check | Middleton | Middleton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 17.40 | Middleton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.50 ÷ 5 = 3.900 | Middleton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 37.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.500 | Middleton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 4-A | 21 ▼5 · 6-B |
| 17 | ▼6 | De Pere check | De Pere | De Pere · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 17.22 | De Pere · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.50 ÷ 5 = 3.900 | De Pere · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 37.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.480 | De Pere · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 5-B | 18 ▼1 · 5-A |
| 18 | ▲3 | D.C. Everest check | Schofield | D.C. Everest · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 17.02 | D.C. Everest · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 5 = 3.700 | D.C. Everest · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 37.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.480 | D.C. Everest · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 5-D | 28 ▼10 · 7-A |
| 19 | ▼4 | Wausau West check | Wausau | Wausau West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 15.88 | Wausau West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 5 = 4.900 | Wausau West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 30.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.220 | Wausau West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 5-A | 30 ▼11 · 8-A |
| 20 | ▼7 | Madison Memorial check | Madison | Madison Memorial · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 13.64 | Madison Memorial · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 5 = 5.000 | Madison Memorial · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.960 | Madison Memorial · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 5-C | 19 ▲1 · 5-D |
| 21 | ▲4 | Chippewa Falls check | Chippewa Falls | Chippewa Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 12.62 | Chippewa Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 5 = 3.800 | Chippewa Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.980 | Chippewa Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 6-A | 23 ▼2 · 6-D |
| 22 | ▲5 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology check | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 12.54 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 5 = 2.100 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 29.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.160 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 6-B | 32 ▼10 · 8-C | |
| 23 | ▼3 | Sun Prairie East check | Sun Prairie | Sun Prairie East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 12.52 | Sun Prairie East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 5 = 3.700 | Sun Prairie East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.980 | Sun Prairie East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 6-D | 26 ▼3 · 7-D |
| 24 | – | Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate check | Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 12.50 | Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 5 = 3.700 | Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 22.50 ÷ opponents’ games 23 = 0.978 | Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 6-C | 17 ▲7 · 5-B | |
| 25 | ▲4 | Green Bay Preble check | Green Bay | Green Bay Preble · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 12.12 | Green Bay Preble · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 5 = 2.400 | Green Bay Preble · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.080 | Green Bay Preble · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 7-C | 35 ▼10 · Out projected out |
| 26 | ▼4 | Hudson check | Hudson | Hudson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 11.56 | Hudson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 24.50 ÷ 5 = 4.900 | Hudson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.740 | Hudson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-D | 10 ▲16 · 3-D |
| 27 | ▲8 | Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts check | Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 10.66 | Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 5 = 3.500 | Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.50 ÷ opponents’ games 22 = 0.795 | Milwaukee Bradley Tech/Milwaukee Arts · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-B in | 24 ▲3 · 6-C | |
| 28 | ▼2 | Appleton West check | Appleton | Appleton West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 10.26 | Appleton West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 5 = 3.600 | Appleton West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.740 | Appleton West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-A | 41 ▼13 · Out projected out |
| 29 | ▼6 | Hortonville check | Hortonville | Hortonville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 10.24 | Hortonville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 5 = 2.500 | Hortonville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 21.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.860 | Hortonville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 8-A | 33 ▼4 · Out projected out |
| 30 | ▲6 | Kimberly check | Kimberly | Kimberly · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 9.44 | Kimberly · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 5 = 2.600 | Kimberly · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.760 | Kimberly · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 8-D in | 29 ▲1 · 8-D |
| 31 | ▼3 | Janesville Parker check | Janesville | Janesville Parker · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 9.44 | Janesville Parker · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 5 = 2.600 | Janesville Parker · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.760 | Janesville Parker · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 8-C | 31 – · 8-B |
| 32 | ▲2 | Fond du Lac check | Fond du Lac | Fond du Lac · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 8.30 | Fond du Lac · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 5 = 3.800 | Fond du Lac · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.500 | Fond du Lac · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-B in | 36 ▼4 · Out projected out |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▼1 | Milwaukee Reagan checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Reagan · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 7.20 | Milwaukee Reagan · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 5 = 2.500 | Milwaukee Reagan · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 23 = 0.522 | Milwaukee Reagan · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line dropped | 15 ▲18 · 4-B projected in |
| 34 | ▲2 | Neenah checkBelow cut line | Neenah | Neenah · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 7.10 | Neenah · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 5 = 2.600 | Neenah · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.500 | Neenah · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 13 ▲21 · 4-A projected in |
| 35 | ▼2 | Janesville Craig checkBelow cut line | Janesville | Janesville Craig · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 7.00 | Janesville Craig · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 5 = 2.500 | Janesville Craig · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.500 | Janesville Craig · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 34 ▲1 · Out |
| 36 | ▲8 | Sheboygan North checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan | Sheboygan North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 5.84 | Sheboygan North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 5 = 3.500 | Sheboygan North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.260 | Sheboygan North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 45 ▼9 · Out |
| 37 | ▼7 | Kenosha Tremper checkBelow cut line | Kenosha | Kenosha Tremper · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 5.70 | Kenosha Tremper · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 5 = 1.200 | Kenosha Tremper · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.500 | Kenosha Tremper · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line dropped | 47 ▼10 · Out |
| 38 | ▲1 | Appleton East checkBelow cut line | Appleton | Appleton East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 5.62 | Appleton East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 5 = 1.300 | Appleton East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.480 | Appleton East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 46 ▼8 · Out |
| 39 | ▲4 | Oshkosh West checkBelow cut line | Oshkosh | Oshkosh West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 5.52 | Oshkosh West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 5 = 1.200 | Oshkosh West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.480 | Oshkosh West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 27 ▲12 · 7-B projected in |
| 40 | ▼9 | Brookfield East checkBelow cut line | Brookfield | Brookfield East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 5.29 | Brookfield East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 5 = 2.500 | Brookfield East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 21 = 0.310 | Brookfield East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 40 – · Out |
| 41 | ▲1 | Madison West checkBelow cut line | Madison | Madison West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 5.08 | Madison West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 5 = 1.300 | Madison West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.420 | Madison West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 43 ▼2 · Out |
| 42 | ▲4 | Madison La Follette checkBelow cut line | Madison | Madison La Follette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 4.84 | Madison La Follette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 5 = 2.500 | Madison La Follette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.260 | Madison La Follette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 38 ▲4 · Out |
| 43 | ▼2 | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 4.75 | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 5 = 2.400 | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 23 = 0.261 | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 25 ▲18 · 7-C projected in | |
| 44 | ▲2 | Oak Creek checkBelow cut line | Oak Creek | Oak Creek · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 4.74 | Oak Creek · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.00 ÷ 5 = 2.400 | Oak Creek · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.260 | Oak Creek · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 37 ▲7 · Out |
| 45 | ▼7 | Sun Prairie West checkBelow cut line | Sun Prairie | Sun Prairie West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 3.54 | Sun Prairie West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 5 = 1.200 | Sun Prairie West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.260 | Sun Prairie West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 49 ▼4 · Out |
| 46 | ▼6 | Mukwonago checkBelow cut line | Mukwonago | Mukwonago · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 3.46 | Mukwonago · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 5 = 1.300 | Mukwonago · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.240 | Mukwonago · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 48 ▼2 · Out |
| 47 | ▼2 | Eau Claire North checkBelow cut line | Eau Claire | Eau Claire North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.30 | Eau Claire North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 5 = 1.300 | Eau Claire North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Eau Claire North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 39 ▲8 · Out |
| 48 | ▼2 | Badger checkBelow cut line | Lake Geneva | Badger · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.20 | Badger · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 5 = 1.200 | Badger · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Badger · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 42 ▲6 · Out |
| 49T | – | Eau Claire Memorial checkBelow cut line | Eau Claire | Eau Claire Memorial · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Eau Claire Memorial · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Eau Claire Memorial · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Eau Claire Memorial · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 50T ▼1 · Out |
| 49T | – | Madison East checkBelow cut line | Madison | Madison East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Madison East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Madison East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Madison East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 50T ▼1 · Out |
| 49T | – | Manitowoc Lincoln checkBelow cut line | Manitowoc | Manitowoc Lincoln · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Manitowoc Lincoln · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Manitowoc Lincoln · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Manitowoc Lincoln · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 44 ▲5 · Out |
| — | Shorewood check | Shorewood | Shorewood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Shorewood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Shorewood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Shorewood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 5 (games through Saturday 2026-09-19). 32 of 51 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Milwaukee Pulaski/Carmen Southgate (rank 24, seed 6)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Racine Horlick | L | 6 (D2) | 0.00 | — | 5 | yes |
| 2026-08-27 | Milwaukee Washington | W (forfeit) | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 0.00 | 3 | yes. Forfeit win: the loser's full value. |
| 2026-09-04 | Milwaukee Hamilton/Audubon Technology | W | 6.5 (D1) | 6.50 | 10.50 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Milwaukee Riverside/Golda Meir | W | 6.5 (D1) | 6.50 | 12.00 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-17 | Milwaukee Bay View | L | 5.5 (D3) | 0.00 | — | 5 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 5 = 3.700. Tier 2 points = 0.00 + 10.50 + 12.00 = 22.50; opponents’ games = 5 + 3 + 5 + 5 + 5 = 23; Tier 2 AVG = 22.50 ÷ 23 = 0.978. Total = 3.700 + 9 × 0.978 = 12.50 (Tier 3 tie-break pending verification).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Confirmed matchups in the bracket open game pages; team pages are linked in the field table and on each game page.
