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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 2 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 3Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/23/26, 5:39 AM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Fri, Oct 23 · 2:59 PM CDT

  • Final Finished, with the score
  • Ewert’s pick A guess, not a set matchup
ES pick: Union Grove, 98.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Union…ES 98%8 Milwaukee Ki…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Greenfield, 95.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Greenf…ES 96%5 Racine Horli…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 Waukesha Sou…ES pick: Homestead, 89.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 Homest…ES 90%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Wauwatosa East, 59.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Wauwat…ES 59%7 Westosha Cen…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Union Grove, 94.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Union…ES 95%4 GreenfieldEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Homestead, 96.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 Homest…ES 96%2 Wauwatosa Ea…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK1 Union GroveES pick: Homestead, 50.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.6 Homest…ES 50%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Holmen, 97.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 HolmenES 98%8 Wisconsin Ra…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Slinger, 79.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 SlingerES 79%5 DeForestEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Beaver Dam, 58.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Beaver…ES 59%6 MarshfieldEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: New Richmond, 98.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 New Ri…ES 99%7 Wausau EastEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Holmen, 75.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 HolmenES 75%4 SlingerEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 Beaver DamES pick: New Richmond, 88.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 New Ri…ES 89%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK1 HolmenES pick: New Richmond, 81.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 New Ri…ES 82%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Burlington, 93.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Burlin…ES 93%8 WatertownEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Brookfield Central, 83.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Brookf…ES 83%5 Waukesha WestEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Monona Grove, 85.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Monona…ES 86%6 La Crosse Ce…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Elkhorn, 87.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 ElkhornES 87%7 OregonEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK1 BurlingtonES pick: Brookfield Central, 84.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Brookf…ES 84%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Monona Grove, 82.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Monona…ES 82%2 ElkhornEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK4 Brookfield C…ES pick: Monona Grove, 84.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Monona…ES 84%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Menomonee Falls, 80.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Menomo…ES 80%8 NicoletEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK4 GraftonES pick: West Bend West, 59.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 West B…ES 60%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Pulaski, 87.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 PulaskiES 87%6 AshwaubenonEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Notre Dame, 88.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Notre…ES 89%7 MenashaEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK1 Menomonee Fa…ES pick: West Bend West, 83.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.5 West B…ES 84%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 PulaskiES pick: Notre Dame, 76.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Notre…ES 76%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK5 West Bend We…ES pick: Notre Dame, 83.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Notre…ES 83%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK6 HomesteadES pick: New Richmond, 62.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: neutral.2 New Ri…ES 63%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState semifinalES pick: Monona Grove, 60.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: neutral.3 Monona…ES 61%2 Notre DameEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState semifinal2 New RichmondES pick: Monona Grove, 50.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-23T10:39:38.405Z; assumed venue: neutral.3 Monona…ES 50%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState final · ES pick: Monona GroveRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Division 2 · Week 3 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 3. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 3. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 2: in Greenfield (36 → 16), West Bend West (36 → 19), DeForest (38 → 20), Menasha (35 → 26) · out Green Bay Southwest (24 → 35), West Allis Central (28 → 33), Superior (29 → 36), Kaukauna (31 → 34), Cedarburg (31 → 38), Germantown (31 → 38). Biggest climbs: Greenfield ▲20, Burlington ▲18, DeForest ▲18. Biggest drops: Watertown ▼19, Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln ▼17, Homestead ▼15.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1▲2Menomonee Falls checkMenomonee Falls29.001-D20 ▼19 · 5-C
2▲8Union Grove checkUnion Grove27.831-A3 ▼1 · 1-D
3▲8Holmen checkHolmen27.501-B9 ▼6 · 3-B
4▲18Burlington checkBurlington27.171-C28 ▼24 · 7-A
5▲3Notre Dame checkGreen Bay25.332-D2 ▲3 · 1-C
6▼1New Richmond checkNew Richmond24.832-B1 ▲5 · 1-B
7▼2Wauwatosa East checkWauwatosa22.672-A17 ▼10 · 5-D
8▼4Elkhorn checkElkhorn19.672-C5 ▲3 · 2-A
9▼4Monona Grove checkMonona18.833-C4 ▲5 · 1-A
10▲16Waukesha South checkWaukesha17.003-A13 ▼3 · 4-D
11▼10Pulaski checkPulaski16.833-D10 ▲1 · 3-C
12▲1Beaver Dam checkBeaver Dam16.833-B7 ▲5 · 2-B
13▼11Brookfield Central checkBrookfield16.674-C26 ▼13 · 7-B
14▲17Slinger checkSlinger16.504-B23 ▼9 · 6-D
15▲1Grafton checkGrafton15.834-D24 ▼9 · 6-A
16▲20Greenfield checkGreenfield15.334-A in12 ▲4 · 3-A
17▼2Waukesha West checkWaukesha14.675-C19 ▼2 · 5-B
18▼1Racine Horlick checkRacine14.175-A35 ▼17 · Out projected out
19▲17West Bend West checkWest Bend13.675-D in11 ▲8 · 3-D
20▲18DeForest checkDeForest13.005-B in32 ▼12 · 8-B
21▲3Marshfield checkMarshfield12.676-B18 ▲3 · 5-A
22▼1La Crosse Central checkLa Crosse12.506-C14 ▲8 · 4-B
23–Ashwaubenon checkAshwaubenon12.336-D22 ▲1 · 6-C
24▼15Homestead checkMequon12.006-A6 ▲18 · 2-D
25▼7Westosha Central checkSalem9.507-A27 ▼2 · 7-D
26T▲9Menasha checkMenasha9.177-D in15 ▲11 · 4-C
26T–Oregon checkOregon9.177-C33 ▼7 · Out projected out
28▼10Wausau East checkWausau8.837-B16 ▲12 · 4-A
29–Milwaukee King checkMilwaukee8.678-A30 ▼1 · 8-D
30▼19Watertown checkWatertown8.678-C43 ▼13 · Out projected out
31▼17Wisconsin Rapids Lincoln checkWisconsin Rapids8.508-B39 ▼8 · Out projected out
32▼12Nicolet checkGlendale7.338-D36 ▼4 · Out projected out
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼5West Allis Central checkBelow cut lineWest Allis7.00Below cut line dropped42 ▼9 · Out
34▼3Kaukauna checkBelow cut lineKaukauna4.17Below cut line dropped8 ▲26 · 2-C projected in
35▼11Green Bay Southwest checkBelow cut lineGreen Bay4.00Below cut line dropped41 ▼6 · Out
36T▲2River Falls checkBelow cut lineRiver Falls2.17Below cut line21 ▲15 · 6-B projected in
36T▼7Superior checkBelow cut lineSuperior2.17Below cut line dropped37 ▼1 · Out
38T▼7Cedarburg checkBelow cut lineCedarburg2.00Below cut line dropped45 ▼7 · Out
38T▼7Germantown checkBelow cut lineGermantown2.00Below cut line dropped29 ▲9 · 8-C projected in
40T▼2Beloit Memorial checkBelow cut lineBeloit0.00Below cut line47T ▼7 · Out
40T▼2Green Bay East checkBelow cut lineGreen Bay0.00Below cut line47T ▼7 · Out
40T▼2Hartford Union checkBelow cut lineHartford0.00Below cut line38 ▲2 · Out
40T▼2Kettle Moraine checkBelow cut lineWales0.00Below cut line47T ▼7 · Out
40T▼2Menomonie checkBelow cut lineMenomonie0.00Below cut line34 ▲6 · Out
40T▼2Milton checkBelow cut lineMilton0.00Below cut line31 ▲9 · 8-A projected in
40T▼2Milwaukee Marshall checkBelow cut lineMilwaukee0.00Below cut lineExcluded
40T▼2Oshkosh North checkBelow cut lineOshkosh0.00Below cut line25 ▲15 · 7-C projected in
40T▼2Racine Park checkBelow cut lineRacine0.00Below cut line47T ▼7 · Out
40T▼2Rice Lake checkBelow cut lineRice Lake0.00Below cut line44 ▼4 · Out
40T▼2Sheboygan South checkBelow cut lineSheboygan0.00Below cut line40 – · Out
40T▼2West Allis Hale checkBelow cut lineWest Allis0.00Below cut line46 ▼6 · Out
—Milwaukee South checkMilwaukee0.00ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/23/26, 5:39 AM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 3 (games through Saturday 2026-09-05). 32 of 51 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Oshkosh North (rank 40T, seed out)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21AshwaubenonL6 (D2)0.00—3yes
2026-08-28Oshkosh WestL6.5 (D1)0.00—3yes
2026-09-04MenashaL6 (D2)0.00—3yes

Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000. Tier 2 points = 0 = 0.00; opponents’ games = 3 + 3 + 3 = 9; Tier 2 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 9 = 0.000. Total = 0.000 + 9 × 0.000 = 0.00.

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Confirmed matchups in the bracket open game pages; team pages are linked in the field table and on each game page.

WIAA Football Playoff Brackets: Official and Projected | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports