Ewert projection through week 4 · Details
- Final Finished, with the score
- Ewert’s pick A guess, not a set matchup
- To be decided Waiting on earlier games
Unresolved ties: Colfax and Johnson Creek (rank 28, seed #7); Brookwood and Manawa and Waterloo (rank 32, seed #8). Tied at rank 28, across the #7/#8 seed line: placement waits for WIAA's tie-break (Tier 3, then its own procedure). Their slots are left empty.
Division 7 · Week 4 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 4. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 4. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 3: in Hillsboro (34 → 25), Johnson Creek (34 → 28) · out Reedsville (32 → 35). Biggest climbs: McDonell Central Catholic ▲11, Roncalli ▲10, Hillsboro ▲9. Biggest drops: Abbotsford ▼8, Black Hawk/Warren, IL ▼7, Cochrane-Fountain City ▼6.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | Shiocton check | Shiocton | Shiocton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 19.59 | Shiocton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 4 = 4.125 | Shiocton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.719 | Shiocton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 1-A | 6 ▼5 · 2-D |
| 2 | ▲2 | Iowa-Grant check | Livingston | Iowa-Grant · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 18.34 | Iowa-Grant · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 4 = 2.875 | Iowa-Grant · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 27.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.719 | Iowa-Grant · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 1-D | 8 ▼6 · 2-C |
| 3 | ▲4 | Glenwood City check | Glenwood City | Glenwood City · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 17.09 | Glenwood City · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 4 = 3.875 | Glenwood City · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.469 | Glenwood City · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 1-C | 4 ▼1 · 1-B |
| 4 | ▲8 | Pepin/Alma check | Pepin/Alma · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 15.31 | Pepin/Alma · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 4 = 3.500 | Pepin/Alma · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 21.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.313 | Pepin/Alma · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 1-B | 9 ▼5 · 3-A | |
| 5 | – | Ithaca/Weston check | Ithaca/Weston · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-0 | 14.00 | Ithaca/Weston · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 3 = 3.500 | Ithaca/Weston · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.00 ÷ opponents’ games 12 = 1.167 | Ithaca/Weston · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 2-A | 2 ▲3 · 1-C | |
| 6 | ▲7 | River Ridge check | Patch Grove | River Ridge · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 13.44 | River Ridge · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 4 = 2.750 | River Ridge · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.188 | River Ridge · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 2-D | 7 ▼1 · 2-A |
| 7 | ▲1 | Webster check | Webster | Webster · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 12.34 | Webster · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 4 = 3.625 | Webster · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.969 | Webster · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 2-C | 16 ▼9 · 4-B |
| 8 | ▼6 | Cochrane-Fountain City check | Fountain City | Cochrane-Fountain City · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 12.22 | Cochrane-Fountain City · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 4 = 3.500 | Cochrane-Fountain City · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.969 | Cochrane-Fountain City · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 2-B | 1 ▲7 · 1-A |
| 9 | ▼6 | Hilbert check | Hilbert | Hilbert · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 11.56 | Hilbert · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 4 = 2.000 | Hilbert · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.063 | Hilbert · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 3-A | 10 ▼1 · 3-B |
| 10 | ▼4 | Coleman check | Coleman | Coleman · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 11.00 | Coleman · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 12.50 ÷ 4 = 3.125 | Coleman · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.875 | Coleman · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 3-B | 3 ▲7 · 1-D |
| 11 | ▲6 | Cashton check | Cashton | Cashton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 10.70 | Cashton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 4 = 3.500 | Cashton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 15 = 0.800 | Cashton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 3-D | 14 ▼3 · 4-C |
| 12 | ▼2 | Spring Valley check | Spring Valley | Spring Valley · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 9.63 | Spring Valley · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 4 = 2.875 | Spring Valley · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.750 | Spring Valley · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 3-C | 11 ▲1 · 3-C |
| 13 | ▼2 | Boyceville check | Boyceville | Boyceville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 9.34 | Boyceville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 4 = 2.875 | Boyceville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.719 | Boyceville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-C | 12 ▲1 · 3-D |
| 14 | ▲6 | Crivitz check | Crivitz | Crivitz · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 9.31 | Crivitz · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 4 = 2.000 | Crivitz · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 13.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.813 | Crivitz · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-A | 13 ▲1 · 4-D |
| 15 | ▼6 | Lourdes Academy check | Oshkosh | Lourdes Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 8.94 | Lourdes Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 4 = 2.750 | Lourdes Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.688 | Lourdes Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-D | 5 ▲10 · 2-B |
| 16 | – | Pacelli check | Stevens Point | Pacelli · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 8.88 | Pacelli · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 4 = 4.375 | Pacelli · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.500 | Pacelli · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 4-B | 20 ▼4 · 5-D |
| 17 | ▲11 | McDonell Central Catholic check | Chippewa Falls | McDonell Central Catholic · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 8.19 | McDonell Central Catholic · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 4 = 2.000 | McDonell Central Catholic · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.688 | McDonell Central Catholic · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-A | 22 ▼5 · 6-D |
| 18 | ▼3 | Elmwood/Plum City check | Elmwood/Plum City · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 7.66 | Elmwood/Plum City · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 4 = 1.750 | Elmwood/Plum City · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.656 | Elmwood/Plum City · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-C | 26 ▼8 · 7-A | |
| 19 | ▼5 | Pecatonica/Argyle check | Pecatonica/Argyle · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 7.42 | Pecatonica/Argyle · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625 | Pecatonica/Argyle · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 15 = 0.533 | Pecatonica/Argyle · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 5-D | 28 ▼9 · 7-B | |
| 20 | ▼1 | Riverdale check | Muscoda | Riverdale · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.25 | Riverdale · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 4 = 1.750 | Riverdale · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 7.00 ÷ opponents’ games 14 = 0.500 | Riverdale · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 5-B | 25 ▼5 · 7-C |
| 21 | ▲2 | Bangor check | Bangor | Bangor · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 5.08 | Bangor · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Bangor · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 7.00 ÷ opponents’ games 15 = 0.467 | Bangor · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-D | 24 ▼3 · 6-A |
| 22 | ▲10 | Roncalli check | Manitowoc | Roncalli · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 5.06 | Roncalli · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 4 = 2.250 | Roncalli · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.313 | Roncalli · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-A | 37 ▼15 · Out projected out |
| 23 | ▼5 | Melrose-Mindoro check | Melrose | Melrose-Mindoro · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 4.59 | Melrose-Mindoro · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625 | Melrose-Mindoro · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Melrose-Mindoro · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-B | 17 ▲6 · 5-B |
| 24 | ▲2 | Whitehall check | Whitehall | Whitehall · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 4.59 | Whitehall · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625 | Whitehall · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Whitehall · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-C | 23 ▲1 · 6-C |
| 25 | ▲9 | Hillsboro check | Hillsboro | Hillsboro · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 4.28 | Hillsboro · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 4 = 1.750 | Hillsboro · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.281 | Hillsboro · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-D in | 30 ▼5 · 8-A |
| 26 | ▼2 | Cadott check | Cadott | Cadott · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 4.25 | Cadott · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 4 = 2.000 | Cadott · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.250 | Cadott · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-B | 15 ▲11 · 4-A |
| 27 | ▼6 | Royall check | Elroy | Royall · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 3.84 | Royall · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.50 ÷ 4 = 1.875 | Royall · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Royall · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-A | 18 ▲9 · 5-A |
| 28T | ▼2 | Colfax check | Colfax | Colfax · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 3.72 | Colfax · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 4 = 1.750 | Colfax · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Colfax · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | #7 | 33 ▼5 · Out projected out |
| 28T | ▲6 | Johnson Creek check | Johnson Creek | Johnson Creek · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 3.72 | Johnson Creek · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 7.00 ÷ 4 = 1.750 | Johnson Creek · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Johnson Creek · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | #7 in | 38 ▼10 · Out projected out |
| 30 | ▼8 | Abbotsford check | Abbotsford | Abbotsford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 3.25 | Abbotsford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 4 = 1.000 | Abbotsford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.250 | Abbotsford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-A | 21 ▲9 · 6-B |
| 31 | ▼7 | Black Hawk/Warren, IL check | Black Hawk/Warren, IL · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 2.00 | Black Hawk/Warren, IL · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 4 = 2.000 | Black Hawk/Warren, IL · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 13 = 0.000 | Black Hawk/Warren, IL · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | 8-D | 19 ▲12 · 5-C | |
| 32T | ▼4 | Brookwood check | Ontario | Brookwood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.13 | Brookwood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 4 = 1.125 | Brookwood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Brookwood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | #8 | 29 ▲3 · 8-B |
| 32T | ▼4 | Manawa check | Manawa | Manawa · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.13 | Manawa · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 4 = 1.125 | Manawa · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Manawa · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | #8 | 31 ▲1 · 8-D |
| 32T | ▼4 | Waterloo check | Waterloo | Waterloo · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.13 | Waterloo · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 4 = 1.125 | Waterloo · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Waterloo · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | #8 | 32 – · 8-C |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 35 | ▼3 | Reedsville checkBelow cut line | Reedsville | Reedsville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.00 | Reedsville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 4 = 1.000 | Reedsville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Reedsville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line dropped | 35 – · Out |
| 36T | ▲2 | Augusta checkBelow cut line | Augusta | Augusta · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | Augusta · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Augusta · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Augusta · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 34 ▲2 · Out |
| 36T | ▼2 | Deerfield checkBelow cut line | Deerfield | Deerfield · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | Deerfield · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Deerfield · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Deerfield · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 43T ▼7 · Out |
| 36T | ▲2 | New Lisbon checkBelow cut line | New Lisbon | New Lisbon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | New Lisbon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | New Lisbon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 15 = 0.000 | New Lisbon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 40 ▼4 · Out |
| 36T | ▼2 | Osseo-Fairchild checkBelow cut line | Osseo | Osseo-Fairchild · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | Osseo-Fairchild · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Osseo-Fairchild · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Osseo-Fairchild · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 27 ▲9 · 7-D projected in |
| 36T | ▲2 | Pittsville checkBelow cut line | Pittsville | Pittsville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | Pittsville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Pittsville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Pittsville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 43T ▼7 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Blair-Taylor checkBelow cut line | Blair | Blair-Taylor · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Blair-Taylor · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Blair-Taylor · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Blair-Taylor · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 43T ▼2 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Boscobel checkBelow cut line | Boscobel | Boscobel · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Boscobel · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Boscobel · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Boscobel · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46T ▼5 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Crandon checkBelow cut line | Crandon | Crandon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Crandon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Crandon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Crandon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 41 – · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Dodgeland checkBelow cut line | Juneau | Dodgeland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Dodgeland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Dodgeland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Dodgeland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46T ▼5 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Eleva-Strum checkBelow cut line | Strum | Eleva-Strum · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Eleva-Strum · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Eleva-Strum · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Eleva-Strum · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 39 ▲2 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Independence/Gilmanton checkBelow cut line | Independence/Gilmanton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Independence/Gilmanton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Independence/Gilmanton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Independence/Gilmanton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46T ▼5 · Out | |
| 41T | ▼3 | Necedah checkBelow cut line | Necedah | Necedah · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Necedah · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Necedah · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Necedah · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 36 ▲5 · Out |
| 41T | ▼3 | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca checkBelow cut line | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 12 = 0.000 | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 42 ▼1 · Out | |
| — | Catholic Central check | Burlington | Catholic Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Catholic Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Catholic Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Catholic Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Iola-Scandinavia check | Iola | 0.00 | Excluded | Excluded | |||||
| — | Kenosha Christian Life check | Kenosha | Kenosha Christian Life · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-2 | 0.00 | Kenosha Christian Life · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 2 = 0.000 | Kenosha Christian Life · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 8 = 0.000 | Kenosha Christian Life · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert projection through week 4Ewert’s picks are waiting: the rated basis is missing or staleField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Fri, Oct 23 · 10:56 PM CDT
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. The rated basis is missing or stale: no model picks are available. Verified playoff results still advance teams.
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 4 (games through Saturday 2026-09-12). 34 of 48 in the field, 29 placed (5 waiting on a tie-break).
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Pecatonica/Argyle (rank 19, seed 5)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Deerfield | W | 3.5 (D7) | 3.50 | 3.50 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Waterloo | W | 3.5 (D7) | 3.50 | 4.50 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Iowa-Grant | L | 3.5 (D7) | 0.00 | — | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-12 | Wauzeka-Steuben/Seneca | W | 3.5 (D7) | 3.50 | 0.00 | 3 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625. Tier 2 points = 3.50 + 4.50 + 0.00 = 8.00; opponents’ games = 4 + 4 + 4 + 3 = 15; Tier 2 AVG = 8.00 ÷ 15 = 0.533. Total = 2.625 + 9 × 0.533 = 7.42.
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Confirmed matchups in the bracket open game pages; team pages are linked in the field table and on each game page.
