Ewert projection through week 4Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Thu, Oct 22 · 6:34 PM CDT
- Final Finished, with the score
- Ewert’s pick A guess, not a set matchup
Division 4 · Week 4 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 4. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 4. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 3: in Lakeside Lutheran (37 → 21), Turner (41 → 28), Xavier (35 → 30), Big Foot (33 → 32) · out Black River Falls (26 → 38), Osceola (30 → 35), Wisconsin Dells (30 → 36), Somerset (30 → 39). Biggest climbs: Evansville ▲22, Lakeside Lutheran ▲16, Shoreland Lutheran ▲13. Biggest drops: Marinette ▼13, Jefferson ▼11, Wrightstown ▼10.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | Freedom check | Freedom | Freedom · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 34.66 | Freedom · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.50 ÷ 4 = 5.125 | Freedom · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 52.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 3.281 | Freedom · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 1-D | 1 – · 1-A |
| 2 | – | Little Chute check | Little Chute | Little Chute · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 24.66 | Little Chute · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 21.00 ÷ 4 = 5.250 | Little Chute · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 34.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.156 | Little Chute · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 1-A | 4 ▼2 · 1-B |
| 3 | ▲1 | Northwestern check | Maple | Northwestern · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 22.88 | Northwestern · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.50 ÷ 4 = 4.875 | Northwestern · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.000 | Northwestern · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 1-B | 6 ▼3 · 2-A |
| 4 | ▼1 | Stratford check | Stratford | Stratford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 22.78 | Stratford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 4 = 4.500 | Stratford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 2.031 | Stratford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 1-C | 7 ▼3 · 2-B |
| 5 | – | West Salem check | West Salem | West Salem · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 22.56 | West Salem · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.50 ÷ 4 = 5.125 | West Salem · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.938 | West Salem · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 2-B | 5 – · 2-C |
| 6 | ▲22 | Evansville check | Evansville | Evansville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-0 | 16.28 | Evansville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 4 = 4.750 | Evansville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 20.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.281 | Evansville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 2-A | 17 ▼11 · 5-B |
| 7 | – | Edgewood check | Madison | Edgewood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 15.81 | Edgewood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 4 = 4.000 | Edgewood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 21.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.313 | Edgewood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 2-C | 8 ▼1 · 2-D |
| 8 | ▲3 | Delavan-Darien check | Delavan | Delavan-Darien · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 14.47 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 4 = 3.500 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 19.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.219 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 2-D | 11 ▼3 · 3-D |
| 9 | ▲3 | Aquinas check | La Crosse | Aquinas · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 13.34 | Aquinas · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 4 = 3.500 | Aquinas · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.094 | Aquinas · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 3-B | 10 ▼1 · 3-C |
| 10 | ▼4 | Kohler check | Kohler | Kohler · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 13.09 | Kohler · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 4 = 3.250 | Kohler · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 17.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.094 | Kohler · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 3-C | 39 ▼29 · Out projected out |
| 11 | ▲13 | Shoreland Lutheran check | Kenosha | Shoreland Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 12.50 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 4 = 2.375 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 1.125 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 3-D | 19 ▼8 · 5-D |
| 12 | ▼4 | Lake Mills check | Lake Mills | Lake Mills · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 12.19 | Lake Mills · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 4 = 3.750 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.938 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 3-A | 2 ▲10 · 1-C |
| 13 | ▲10 | Edgerton check | Edgerton | Edgerton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 11.50 | Edgerton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 4 = 3.625 | Edgerton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.875 | Edgerton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-C | 29 ▼16 · 8-C |
| 14 | ▲7 | Platteville check | Platteville | Platteville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 10.69 | Platteville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.50 ÷ 4 = 3.375 | Platteville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 13.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.813 | Platteville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 4-B | 15 ▼1 · 4-B |
| 15 | ▼1 | Denmark check | Denmark | Denmark · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 10.19 | Denmark · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.00 ÷ 4 = 4.000 | Denmark · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.688 | Denmark · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 4-D | 31 ▼16 · 8-A |
| 16 | ▼6 | Seymour check | Seymour | Seymour · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 9.22 | Seymour · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 4 = 3.875 | Seymour · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 9.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.594 | Seymour · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 4-A | 25 ▼9 · 7-B |
| 17 | ▼2 | Two Rivers check | Two Rivers | Two Rivers · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 8.84 | Two Rivers · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 4 = 1.250 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 13.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.844 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 5-D | 44 ▼27 · Out projected out |
| 18 | ▲1 | Saint Francis check | Saint Francis | Saint Francis · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 8.71 | Saint Francis · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 4 = 3.250 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.50 ÷ opponents’ games 14 = 0.607 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 5-C | 14 ▲4 · 4-D |
| 19 | ▼11 | Jefferson check | Jefferson | Jefferson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 8.25 | Jefferson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625 | Jefferson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.625 | Jefferson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 5-B | 40 ▼21 · Out projected out |
| 20 | ▲2 | Ripon check | Ripon | Ripon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 8.16 | Ripon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.50 ÷ 4 = 3.375 | Ripon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.531 | Ripon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 5-A | 26 ▼6 · 7-D |
| 21 | ▲16 | Lakeside Lutheran check | Lake Mills | Lakeside Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 8.13 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 4 = 2.500 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.625 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-A in | 16 ▲5 · 4-C |
| 22 | ▼2 | Oconto Falls check | Oconto Falls | Oconto Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 7.16 | Oconto Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 4 = 2.375 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.531 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-B | 34 ▼12 · Out projected out |
| 23 | ▼10 | Wrightstown check | Wrightstown | Wrightstown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 6.88 | Wrightstown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 4 = 1.250 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 10.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.625 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 6-C | 23 – · 6-B |
| 24 | ▼8 | Racine St. Catherine's check | Racine | Racine St. Catherine's · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 6.72 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 4 = 3.625 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.344 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 6-D | 3 ▲21 · 1-D |
| 25T | – | Berlin check | Berlin | Berlin · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.63 | Berlin · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 4 = 2.125 | Berlin · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.500 | Berlin · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-A | 18 ▲7 · 5-C |
| 25T | ▲1 | Mauston check | Mauston | Mauston · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 6.63 | Mauston · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 4 = 2.125 | Mauston · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.500 | Mauston · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-C | 20 ▲5 · 5-A |
| 27 | ▼10 | Ashland check | Ashland | Ashland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 6.34 | Ashland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 4 = 3.250 | Ashland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.344 | Ashland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 7-B | 22 ▲5 · 6-A |
| 28 | ▲13 | Turner check | Beloit | Turner · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 6.03 | Turner · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 4 = 1.250 | Turner · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.531 | Turner · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 7-D in | 30 ▼2 · 8-D |
| 29 | – | Lodi check | Lodi | Lodi · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 5.59 | Lodi · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 4 = 2.500 | Lodi · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.344 | Lodi · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-C | 13 ▲16 · 4-A |
| 30 | ▲5 | Xavier check | Appleton | Xavier · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 5.44 | Xavier · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 4 = 2.625 | Xavier · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.313 | Xavier · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-A in | 21 ▲9 · 6-C |
| 31 | ▼13 | Marinette check | Marinette | Marinette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 4.71 | Marinette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 4 = 1.250 | Marinette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 13 = 0.385 | Marinette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-B | 38 ▼7 · Out projected out |
| 32 | ▲1 | Big Foot check | Walworth | Big Foot · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 4.55 | Big Foot · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 4 = 2.125 | Big Foot · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 13 = 0.269 | Big Foot · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | 8-D in | 43 ▼11 · Out projected out |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▲4 | Kewaskum checkBelow cut line | Kewaskum | Kewaskum · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 3.78 | Kewaskum · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 4 = 1.250 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.281 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 33 – · Out |
| 34 | ▲7 | Campbellsport checkBelow cut line | Campbellsport | Campbellsport · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 3.66 | Campbellsport · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 4 = 1.125 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.281 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 24 ▲10 · 6-D projected in |
| 35 | ▼5 | Osceola checkBelow cut line | Osceola | Osceola · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 3.63 | Osceola · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 4 = 3.625 | Osceola · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Osceola · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line dropped | 9 ▲26 · 3-A projected in |
| 36 | ▼6 | Wisconsin Dells checkBelow cut line | Wisconsin Dells | Wisconsin Dells · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-1 | 3.50 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 4 = 3.500 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line dropped | 28 ▲8 · 7-C projected in |
| 37 | ▼3 | Fuller Collegiate Academy checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Fuller Collegiate Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-1 | 3.33 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 3 = 3.333 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 7 = 0.000 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 12 ▲25 · 3-B projected in |
| 38 | ▼12 | Black River Falls checkBelow cut line | Black River Falls | Black River Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 2.97 | Black River Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.00 ÷ 4 = 1.000 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 3.50 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.219 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 32 ▲6 · 8-B projected in |
| 39 | ▼9 | Somerset checkBelow cut line | Somerset | Somerset · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-2 | 2.38 | Somerset · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 4 = 2.375 | Somerset · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Somerset · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line dropped | 27 ▲12 · 7-A projected in |
| 40 | ▼5 | Mosinee checkBelow cut line | Mosinee | Mosinee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.38 | Mosinee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 4 = 1.375 | Mosinee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Mosinee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47 ▼7 · Out |
| 41 | ▼4 | Milwaukee School of Languages checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee School of Languages · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 1.25 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 4 = 1.250 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46 ▼5 · Out |
| 42 | ▼2 | Whitewater checkBelow cut line | Whitewater | Whitewater · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-3 | 0.88 | Whitewater · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 4 = 0.875 | Whitewater · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Whitewater · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45 ▼3 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | Altoona checkBelow cut line | Altoona | Altoona · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Altoona · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Altoona · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Altoona · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 37 ▲6 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | Brown Deer checkBelow cut line | Brown Deer | Brown Deer · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Brown Deer · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 41 ▲2 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | Ellsworth checkBelow cut line | Ellsworth | Ellsworth · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Ellsworth · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼5 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut line | North Fond du Lac | North Fond du Lac · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼5 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut line | Hammond | Saint Croix Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 42 ▲1 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | Saint Thomas More checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Saint Thomas More · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 35 ▲8 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan Falls | Sheboygan Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T ▼5 · Out |
| 43T | ▼2 | Waupun checkBelow cut line | Waupun | Waupun · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Waupun · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Waupun · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 16 = 0.000 | Waupun · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 36 ▲7 · Out |
| — | Milwaukee Madison check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Madison · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result No games counted yet. Counted: 0-0 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned No games counted yet. Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 0 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games No games counted yet. Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 0 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 4 (games through Saturday 2026-09-12). 32 of 50 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Seymour (rank 16, seed 4)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Waupun | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 0.00 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Oconto Falls | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 9.50 | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | Fox Valley Lutheran | L | 5.5 (D3) | 0.00 | — | 4 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Waupaca | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 0.00 | 4 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 4 = 3.875. Tier 2 points = 0.00 + 9.50 + 0.00 = 9.50; opponents’ games = 4 + 4 + 4 + 4 = 16; Tier 2 AVG = 9.50 ÷ 16 = 0.594. Total = 3.875 + 9 × 0.594 = 9.22 (Tier 3 tie-break 1.59).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Confirmed matchups in the bracket open game pages; team pages are linked in the field table and on each game page.
