Ewert projection through week 5Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 4:08 PM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 3 · Week 5 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 5. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 5. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 4: in Wauwatosa West (44 → 28), McFarland (37 → 29) · out Green Bay West (28 → 33), New London (31 → 35). Biggest climbs: Wauwatosa West ▲16, Baldwin-Woodville ▲12, New Berlin West ▲9. Biggest drops: Portage ▼8, Rhinelander ▼8, Waukesha North ▼8.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ▲1 | Pewaukee check | Pewaukee | Pewaukee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 29.72 | Pewaukee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.00 ÷ 5 = 5.600 | Pewaukee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 67.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.680 | Pewaukee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 12 | 1-C | 1 – · 1-C |
| 2 | ▲1 | Port Washington check | Port Washington | Port Washington · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 25.42 | Port Washington · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 29.00 ÷ 5 = 5.800 | Port Washington · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 54.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.180 | Port Washington · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 1-A | 2 – · 1-A |
| 3 | ▼2 | Reedsburg check | Reedsburg | Reedsburg · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 24.94 | Reedsburg · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 5 = 4.600 | Reedsburg · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 56.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.260 | Reedsburg · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 1-B | 7 ▼4 · 2-C |
| 4 | – | Whitefish Bay check | Whitefish Bay | Whitefish Bay · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 23.68 | Whitefish Bay · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 5 = 4.600 | Whitefish Bay · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 53.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.120 | Whitefish Bay · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 1-D | 5 ▼1 · 2-D |
| 5 | ▲2 | La Crosse Logan check | La Crosse | La Crosse Logan · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 22.34 | La Crosse Logan · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.00 ÷ 5 = 5.600 | La Crosse Logan · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 46.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.860 | La Crosse Logan · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 2-B | 3 ▲2 · 1-B |
| 6 | ▲8 | Milwaukee Bay View check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Bay View · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 21.96 | Milwaukee Bay View · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 29.00 ÷ 5 = 5.800 | Milwaukee Bay View · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 39.50 ÷ opponents’ games 22 = 1.795 | Milwaukee Bay View · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 2-D | Excluded |
| 7 | ▲5 | Medford check | Medford | Medford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 21.58 | Medford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.00 ÷ 5 = 3.400 | Medford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 50.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 2.020 | Medford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 2-C | 8 ▼1 · 2-B |
| 8 | ▼2 | Plymouth check | Plymouth | Plymouth · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 21.26 | Plymouth · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.00 ÷ 5 = 5.600 | Plymouth · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.740 | Plymouth · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 2-A | 10 ▼2 · 3-A |
| 9 | ▲4 | New Berlin Eisenhower check | New Berlin | New Berlin Eisenhower · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 19.96 | New Berlin Eisenhower · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 21.50 ÷ 5 = 4.300 | New Berlin Eisenhower · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.740 | New Berlin Eisenhower · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 3-D | 9 – · 3-C |
| 10 | ▲9 | New Berlin West check | New Berlin | New Berlin West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 19.46 | New Berlin West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 5 = 4.700 | New Berlin West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 41.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.640 | New Berlin West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 3-A | 4 ▲6 · 1-D |
| 11 | ▼2 | Fox Valley Lutheran check | Appleton | Fox Valley Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 17.84 | Fox Valley Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 5 = 2.900 | Fox Valley Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 41.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.660 | Fox Valley Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 3-C | 11 – · 3-B |
| 12 | ▼4 | Winneconne check | Winneconne | Winneconne · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-0 | 16.00 | Winneconne · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.00 ÷ 5 = 5.200 | Winneconne · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 30.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.200 | Winneconne · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 3-B | 6 ▲6 · 2-A |
| 13 | ▼8 | Portage check | Portage | Portage · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 15.52 | Portage · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 5 = 3.100 | Portage · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 34.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.380 | Portage · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 4-A | 18 ▼5 · 5-C |
| 14 | ▼3 | Milwaukee Lutheran check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 15.36 | Milwaukee Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 5 = 3.300 | Milwaukee Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 33.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.340 | Milwaukee Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 4-D | 21 ▼7 · 6-D |
| 15 | ▲8 | Waterford check | Waterford | Waterford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 14.14 | Waterford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 5 = 4.600 | Waterford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 26.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.060 | Waterford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 4-C | 13 ▲2 · 4-C |
| 16 | ▲5 | Mount Horeb/Barneveld check | Mount Horeb/Barneveld · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 12.74 | Mount Horeb/Barneveld · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 5 = 2.300 | Mount Horeb/Barneveld · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 29.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.160 | Mount Horeb/Barneveld · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 4-B | 14 ▲2 · 4-B | |
| 17 | ▲12 | Baldwin-Woodville check | Baldwin | Baldwin-Woodville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 12.54 | Baldwin-Woodville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.50 ÷ 5 = 3.900 | Baldwin-Woodville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.960 | Baldwin-Woodville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 5-B | 17 – · 5-B |
| 18 | ▼8 | Rhinelander check | Rhinelander | Rhinelander · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 12.48 | Rhinelander · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 21.00 ÷ 5 = 4.200 | Rhinelander · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.920 | Rhinelander · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 5-A | 23 ▼5 · 6-B |
| 19 | ▲1 | Kettle Moraine Lutheran check | Jackson | Kettle Moraine Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 12.18 | Kettle Moraine Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 5 = 3.000 | Kettle Moraine Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 1.020 | Kettle Moraine Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 5-C | 22 ▼3 · 6-C |
| 20 | ▼3 | Luxemburg-Casco check | Luxemburg | Luxemburg-Casco · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 11.28 | Luxemburg-Casco · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 5 = 3.000 | Luxemburg-Casco · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.920 | Luxemburg-Casco · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | 5-D | 15 ▲5 · 4-A |
| 21 | ▼5 | Catholic Memorial check | Waukesha | Catholic Memorial · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 11.06 | Catholic Memorial · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 5 = 2.600 | Catholic Memorial · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.940 | Catholic Memorial · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 6-A | 20 ▲1 · 5-D |
| 22 | ▼7 | Sauk Prairie check | Prairie du Sac | Sauk Prairie · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 11.04 | Sauk Prairie · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 5 = 3.300 | Sauk Prairie · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 21.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.860 | Sauk Prairie · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 6-C | 25 ▼3 · 7-C |
| 23 | ▼5 | Wisconsin Lutheran check | Milwaukee | Wisconsin Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 10.58 | Wisconsin Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.50 ÷ 5 = 2.300 | Wisconsin Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.920 | Wisconsin Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 6-D | 12 ▲11 · 3-D |
| 24 | ▲2 | Onalaska check | Onalaska | Onalaska · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 10.30 | Onalaska · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 5 = 2.200 | Onalaska · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 22.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.900 | Onalaska · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | 6-B | 24 – · 6-A |
| 25 | ▲5 | Greendale check | Greendale | Greendale · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 9.44 | Greendale · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 17.50 ÷ 5 = 3.500 | Greendale · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 16.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.660 | Greendale · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-B | 16 ▲9 · 4-D |
| 26 | ▼2 | South Milwaukee check | South Milwaukee | South Milwaukee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 9.18 | South Milwaukee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 5 = 3.600 | South Milwaukee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 15.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.620 | South Milwaukee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-D | 31 ▼5 · 8-A |
| 27 | ▼2 | Pius XI Catholic check | Milwaukee | Pius XI Catholic · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-1 | 8.49 | Pius XI Catholic · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 5 = 3.600 | Pius XI Catholic · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.50 ÷ opponents’ games 23 = 0.543 | Pius XI Catholic · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-A | 32 ▼5 · 8-C |
| 28 | ▲16 | Wauwatosa West check | Wauwatosa | Wauwatosa West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 7.86 | Wauwatosa West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.00 ÷ 5 = 1.200 | Wauwatosa West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.740 | Wauwatosa West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 7-C in | 33 ▼5 · Out projected out |
| 29 | ▲8 | McFarland check | McFarland | McFarland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 7.32 | McFarland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 5 = 2.100 | McFarland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.580 | McFarland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 8-C in | 28 ▲1 · 7-A |
| 30 | ▼8 | Waukesha North check | Waukesha | Waukesha North · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 7.04 | Waukesha North · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 5 = 1.100 | Waukesha North · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 16.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.660 | Waukesha North · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | 8-D | 29 ▲1 · 8-B |
| 31 | ▲1 | Merrill check | Merrill | Merrill · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 6.76 | Merrill · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.00 ÷ 5 = 2.800 | Merrill · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 11.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.440 | Merrill · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-A | 19 ▲12 · 5-A |
| 32 | ▼5 | Sparta check | Sparta | Sparta · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 5.88 | Sparta · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 5 = 3.000 | Sparta · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.320 | Sparta · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | 8-B | 35 ▼3 · Out projected out |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▼5 | Green Bay West checkBelow cut line | Green Bay | Green Bay West · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-2 | 4.90 | Green Bay West · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.50 ÷ 5 = 3.100 | Green Bay West · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.200 | Green Bay West · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 27 ▲6 · 7-B projected in |
| 34 | ▲6 | Martin Luther checkBelow cut line | Greendale | Martin Luther · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 4.26 | Martin Luther · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.50 ÷ 5 = 2.100 | Martin Luther · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.240 | Martin Luther · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 34 – · Out |
| 35 | ▼4 | New London checkBelow cut line | New London | New London · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 4.18 | New London · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 5 = 2.200 | New London · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.220 | New London · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line dropped | 38 ▼3 · Out |
| 36 | ▼2 | Wilmot Union checkBelow cut line | Wilmot | Wilmot Union · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-3 | 3.50 | Wilmot Union · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 5 = 1.700 | Wilmot Union · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.200 | Wilmot Union · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 26 ▲10 · 7-D projected in |
| 37 | ▼4 | Monroe checkBelow cut line | Monroe | Monroe · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 3.44 | Monroe · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 5 = 1.100 | Monroe · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 6.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.260 | Monroe · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 42 ▼5 · Out |
| 38 | ▼3 | Stoughton checkBelow cut line | Stoughton | Stoughton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 3.08 | Stoughton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 5 = 1.100 | Stoughton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.220 | Stoughton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 41 ▼3 · Out |
| 39 | ▼3 | Shawano checkBelow cut line | Shawano | Shawano · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 3.08 | Shawano · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 5 = 1.100 | Shawano · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 5.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.220 | Shawano · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 39 – · Out |
| 40 | ▼2 | Lakeland checkBelow cut line | Minocqua | Lakeland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 2.72 | Lakeland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 5 = 1.100 | Lakeland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.50 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.180 | Lakeland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 36 ▲4 · Out |
| 41 | ▼2 | Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles checkBelow cut line | Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 2.34 | Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 4.50 ÷ 5 = 0.900 | Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 4.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.160 | Hayward/Lac Courte Oreilles · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 1 | Below cut line | 37 ▲4 · Out | |
| 42 | ▼1 | Fort Atkinson checkBelow cut line | Fort Atkinson | Fort Atkinson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.30 | Fort Atkinson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 6.50 ÷ 5 = 1.300 | Fort Atkinson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Fort Atkinson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 43 ▼1 · Out |
| 43 | ▼1 | Baraboo checkBelow cut line | Baraboo | Baraboo · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 1.10 | Baraboo · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 5 = 1.100 | Baraboo · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Baraboo · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 40 ▲3 · Out |
| 44 | ▼1 | Cudahy checkBelow cut line | Cudahy | Cudahy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-4 | 0.70 | Cudahy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 3.50 ÷ 5 = 0.700 | Cudahy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 23 = 0.000 | Cudahy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 44 – · Out |
| 45T | ▼1 | Antigo checkBelow cut line | Antigo | Antigo · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Antigo · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Antigo · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Antigo · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45T – · Out |
| 45T | ▼1 | Milwaukee Vincent checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Vincent · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result No games counted yet. Counted: 0-0 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Vincent · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned No games counted yet. Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 0 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Vincent · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games No games counted yet. Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 0 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Vincent · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45T – · Out |
| 45T | ▼1 | Milwaukee Washington checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Washington · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-3 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Washington · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 3 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Washington · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 10 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Washington · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | Excluded |
| 45T | ▼1 | Tomah checkBelow cut line | Tomah | Tomah · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Tomah · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Tomah · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Tomah · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45T – · Out |
| 45T | ▼1 | Waupaca checkBelow cut line | Waupaca | Waupaca · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Waupaca · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Waupaca · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Waupaca · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45T – · Out |
| 45T | ▼1 | West Bend East checkBelow cut line | West Bend | West Bend East · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | West Bend East · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | West Bend East · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | West Bend East · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 45T – · Out |
| 45T | ▼1 | Whitnall checkBelow cut line | Greenfield | Whitnall · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-5 | 0.00 | Whitnall · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 5 = 0.000 | Whitnall · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 25 = 0.000 | Whitnall · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 30 ▲15 · 8-D projected in |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 5 (games through Saturday 2026-09-19). 32 of 51 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Pewaukee (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Greendale | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 17.50 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Baldwin-Woodville | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 19.50 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-03 | Wauwatosa West | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 6.00 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Wauwatosa East | W | 6 (D2) | 6.00 | 18.50 | 5 | yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Waukesha North | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 5.50 | 5 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 28.00 ÷ 5 = 5.600. Tier 2 points = 17.50 + 19.50 + 6.00 + 18.50 + 5.50 = 67.00; opponents’ games = 5 + 5 + 5 + 5 + 5 = 25; Tier 2 AVG = 67.00 ÷ 25 = 2.680. Total = 5.600 + 9 × 2.680 = 29.72 (Tier 3 tie-break pending verification).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
