Ewert projection through week 8Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM CentralField table · How it works
Bracket and table computed Wed, Oct 21 · 12:37 PM CDT
Green scores or Final/Award labels mark confirmed advancement. Dashed slots are imagined participants. Held, conflicting or incomplete results remain unresolved.
Team labels open team pages. Hover or focus a team to trace its path.
WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →
Division 4 · Week 8 field and cut line
Table-only view →The table uses reported results through Week 8. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 8. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.
Since week 7: in Wrightstown (36 → 24), Kewaskum (40 → 30), Turner (33 → 32) · out Jefferson (29 → 35), Kohler (30 → 36), Saint Thomas More (32 → 34). Biggest climbs: Wrightstown ▲12, Kewaskum ▲10, Mauston ▲7. Biggest drops: Denmark ▼7, Ripon ▼7, Lakeside Lutheran ▼5.
No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.
| Rank | +/− | Team | City | W-L | Total | Tier 1 AVG | Tier 2 AVG | Tier 2 Wins | Projected Seed | Projected Final Seed Rank · Seed · Partial |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | Freedom check | Freedom | Freedom · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-0 | 32.34 | Freedom · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 41.00 ÷ 8 = 5.125 | Freedom · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 193.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 3.023 | Freedom · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 38 | 1-A | 1 – · 1-A |
| 2 | – | Little Chute check | Little Chute | Little Chute · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 23.70 | Little Chute · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 36.00 ÷ 8 = 4.500 | Little Chute · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 136.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 2.133 | Little Chute · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 27 | 1-C | 4 ▼2 · 1-B |
| 3 | ▲4 | Racine St. Catherine's check | Racine | Racine St. Catherine's · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 23.16 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 34.00 ÷ 8 = 4.250 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 134.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 2.102 | Racine St. Catherine's · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 26 | 1-D | 3 – · 1-D |
| 4 | ▲1 | Lake Mills check | Lake Mills | Lake Mills · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 21.81 | Lake Mills · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 35.00 ÷ 8 = 4.375 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 124.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.938 | Lake Mills · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 25 | 1-B | 2 ▲2 · 1-C |
| 5 | ▼2 | West Salem check | West Salem | West Salem · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-0 | 21.76 | West Salem · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 38.50 ÷ 8 = 4.813 | West Salem · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 120.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.883 | West Salem · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 27 | 2-B | 5 – · 2-C |
| 6 | ▼2 | Stratford check | Stratford | Stratford · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 19.71 | Stratford · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 30.00 ÷ 8 = 3.750 | Stratford · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 113.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.773 | Stratford · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 27 | 2-C | 7 ▼1 · 2-B |
| 7 | ▲2 | Northwestern check | Maple | Northwestern · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 8-0 | 19.18 | Northwestern · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 37.00 ÷ 8 = 4.625 | Northwestern · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 103.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.617 | Northwestern · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 23 | 2-A | 6 ▲1 · 2-A |
| 8 | ▼2 | Edgewood check | Madison | Edgewood · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-2 | 19.11 | Edgewood · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 32.50 ÷ 8 = 4.063 | Edgewood · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 107.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.672 | Edgewood · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 20 | 2-D | 8 – · 2-D |
| 9 | ▼1 | Delavan-Darien check | Delavan | Delavan-Darien · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-2 | 16.92 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 28.50 ÷ 8 = 3.563 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 95.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.484 | Delavan-Darien · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 20 | 3-D | 11 ▼2 · 3-D |
| 10 | – | Aquinas check | La Crosse | Aquinas · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 16.03 | Aquinas · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.50 ÷ 8 = 3.938 | Aquinas · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 86.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.344 | Aquinas · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 20 | 3-A | 10 – · 3-C |
| 11 | – | Saint Francis check | Saint Francis | Saint Francis · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 15.90 | Saint Francis · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.00 ÷ 8 = 3.875 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 81.50 ÷ opponents’ games 61 = 1.336 | Saint Francis · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 18 | 3-C | 14 ▼3 · 4-D |
| 12 | ▲3 | Platteville check | Platteville | Platteville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 15.90 | Platteville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.00 ÷ 8 = 3.875 | Platteville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 85.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.336 | Platteville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 19 | 3-B | 15 ▼3 · 4-B |
| 13 | ▲3 | Lodi check | Lodi | Lodi · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 15.00 | Lodi · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.50 ÷ 8 = 3.188 | Lodi · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 84.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.313 | Lodi · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 17 | 4-B | 13 – · 4-A |
| 14 | ▲3 | Osceola check | Osceola | Osceola · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 14.95 | Osceola · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 33.50 ÷ 8 = 4.188 | Osceola · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 76.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.195 | Osceola · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 4-A | 9 ▲5 · 3-A |
| 15 | ▼1 | Berlin check | Berlin | Berlin · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 14.47 | Berlin · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 8 = 2.938 | Berlin · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 82.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.281 | Berlin · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 18 | 4-C | 18 ▼3 · 5-C |
| 16 | ▼3 | Evansville check | Evansville | Evansville · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 7-1 | 13.55 | Evansville · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 33.00 ÷ 8 = 4.125 | Evansville · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 67.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.047 | Evansville · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 4-D | 17 ▼1 · 5-B |
| 17 | ▼5 | Lakeside Lutheran check | Lake Mills | Lakeside Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 13.48 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 8 = 2.938 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 75.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.172 | Lakeside Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 15 | 5-B | 16 ▲1 · 4-C |
| 18 | ▲7 | Mauston check | Mauston | Mauston · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 13.21 | Mauston · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 8 = 2.875 | Mauston · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 73.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.148 | Mauston · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 16 | 5-A | 20 ▼2 · 5-A |
| 19 | ▼1 | Shoreland Lutheran check | Kenosha | Shoreland Lutheran · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 12.69 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 25.00 ÷ 8 = 3.125 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 68.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 1.063 | Shoreland Lutheran · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 14 | 5-D | 19 – · 5-D |
| 20 | ▲2 | Xavier check | Appleton | Xavier · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 12.24 | Xavier · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.50 ÷ 8 = 3.313 | Xavier · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 63.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.992 | Xavier · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 12 | 5-C | 21 ▼1 · 6-C |
| 21 | ▲3 | Fuller Collegiate Academy check | Milwaukee | Fuller Collegiate Academy · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 6-1 | 11.61 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 31.50 ÷ 7 = 4.500 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 30.00 ÷ opponents’ games 38 = 0.789 | Fuller Collegiate Academy · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | 6-C | 12 ▲9 · 3-B |
| 22 | ▲1 | Ashland check | Ashland | Ashland · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 10.19 | Ashland · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.00 ÷ 8 = 2.875 | Ashland · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 52.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.813 | Ashland · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 12 | 6-A | 22 – · 6-A |
| 23 | ▼2 | Edgerton check | Edgerton | Edgerton · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 9.32 | Edgerton · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 20.00 ÷ 8 = 2.500 | Edgerton · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 48.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.758 | Edgerton · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 6-D | 29 ▼6 · 8-C |
| 24 | ▲12 | Wrightstown check | Wrightstown | Wrightstown · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 9.19 | Wrightstown · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 8 = 1.875 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 52.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.813 | Wrightstown · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 6-B in | 23 ▲1 · 6-B |
| 25 | ▲2 | Campbellsport check | Campbellsport | Campbellsport · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 9.06 | Campbellsport · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 8 = 2.313 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 48.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.750 | Campbellsport · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 11 | 7-D | 24 ▲1 · 6-D |
| 26 | ▼7 | Denmark check | Denmark | Denmark · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 9.01 | Denmark · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 26.50 ÷ 8 = 3.313 | Denmark · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 40.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.633 | Denmark · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 8 | 7-A | 31 ▼5 · 8-A |
| 27 | ▼7 | Ripon check | Ripon | Ripon · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 8.78 | Ripon · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 8 = 2.313 | Ripon · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 46.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.719 | Ripon · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 10 | 7-C | 26 ▲1 · 7-D |
| 28 | ▼2 | Wisconsin Dells check | Wisconsin Dells | Wisconsin Dells · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 5-3 | 8.77 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 23.50 ÷ 8 = 2.938 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 41.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.648 | Wisconsin Dells · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 7-B | 28 – · 7-C |
| 29 | ▲2 | Seymour check | Seymour | Seymour · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 8.74 | Seymour · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 21.00 ÷ 8 = 2.625 | Seymour · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 43.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.680 | Seymour · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 9 | 8-A | 25 ▲4 · 7-B |
| 30 | ▲10 | Kewaskum check | Kewaskum | Kewaskum · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 6.98 | Kewaskum · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 16.50 ÷ 8 = 2.063 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 35.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.547 | Kewaskum · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 8-D in | 33 ▼3 · Out projected out |
| 31 | ▼3 | Somerset check | Somerset | Somerset · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 6.88 | Somerset · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 19.00 ÷ 8 = 2.375 | Somerset · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.500 | Somerset · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 8-C | 27 ▲4 · 7-A |
| 32 | ▲1 | Turner check | Beloit | Turner · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 6.81 | Turner · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.50 ÷ 8 = 2.313 | Turner · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 32.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.500 | Turner · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | 8-B in | 30 ▲2 · 8-D |
| Cut line · the top 32 qualify | ||||||||||
| 33 | ▲1 | Oconto Falls checkBelow cut line | Oconto Falls | Oconto Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 4-4 | 6.68 | Oconto Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 18.00 ÷ 8 = 2.250 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.492 | Oconto Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 7 | Below cut line | 34 ▼1 · Out |
| 34 | ▼2 | Saint Thomas More checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Saint Thomas More · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 5.75 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 8 = 1.250 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 31.50 ÷ opponents’ games 63 = 0.500 | Saint Thomas More · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | Below cut line dropped | 35 ▼1 · Out |
| 35 | ▼6 | Jefferson checkBelow cut line | Jefferson | Jefferson · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 5.39 | Jefferson · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 15.00 ÷ 8 = 1.875 | Jefferson · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.391 | Jefferson · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line dropped | 40 ▼5 · Out |
| 36 | ▼6 | Kohler checkBelow cut line | Kohler | Kohler · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 5.14 | Kohler · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 8 = 1.625 | Kohler · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.391 | Kohler · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 6 | Below cut line dropped | 39 ▼3 · Out |
| 37 | – | Marinette checkBelow cut line | Marinette | Marinette · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 4.54 | Marinette · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 10.00 ÷ 8 = 1.250 | Marinette · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 23.00 ÷ opponents’ games 63 = 0.365 | Marinette · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line | 38 ▼1 · Out |
| 38 | ▼3 | Altoona checkBelow cut line | Altoona | Altoona · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 4.50 | Altoona · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 8 = 1.125 | Altoona · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 24.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.375 | Altoona · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line | 37 ▲1 · Out |
| 39 | ▼1 | Brown Deer checkBelow cut line | Brown Deer | Brown Deer · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-7 | 4.27 | Brown Deer · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 8 = 0.625 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 25.50 ÷ opponents’ games 63 = 0.405 | Brown Deer · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 5 | Below cut line | 41 ▼2 · Out |
| 40 | ▲1 | Black River Falls checkBelow cut line | Black River Falls | Black River Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 3.95 | Black River Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 13.00 ÷ 8 = 1.625 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 16.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.258 | Black River Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 32 ▲8 · 8-B projected in |
| 41 | ▲2 | Saint Croix Central checkBelow cut line | Hammond | Saint Croix Central · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 3-5 | 3.78 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 14.50 ÷ 8 = 1.813 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 14.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.219 | Saint Croix Central · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | Below cut line | 42 ▼1 · Out |
| 42 | ▼3 | Two Rivers checkBelow cut line | Two Rivers | Two Rivers · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-7 | 3.27 | Two Rivers · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.00 ÷ 8 = 0.625 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 18.50 ÷ opponents’ games 63 = 0.294 | Two Rivers · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 4 | Below cut line | 44 ▼2 · Out |
| 43 | ▼1 | Big Foot checkBelow cut line | Walworth | Big Foot · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 2.75 | Big Foot · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 8 = 1.063 | Big Foot · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 12.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.188 | Big Foot · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 3 | Below cut line | 43 – · Out |
| 44 | ▲1 | Waupun checkBelow cut line | Waupun | Waupun · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 2.39 | Waupun · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 9.00 ÷ 8 = 1.125 | Waupun · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 9.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.141 | Waupun · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 36 ▲8 · Out |
| 45 | ▼1 | Whitewater checkBelow cut line | Whitewater | Whitewater · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 2.26 | Whitewater · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 8.50 ÷ 8 = 1.063 | Whitewater · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 8.50 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.133 | Whitewater · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 2 | Below cut line | 45 – · Out |
| 46 | ▲1 | Milwaukee School of Languages checkBelow cut line | Milwaukee | Milwaukee School of Languages · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 2-6 | 1.38 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 11.00 ÷ 8 = 1.375 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 62 = 0.000 | Milwaukee School of Languages · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 46 – · Out |
| 47 | ▼1 | Mosinee checkBelow cut line | Mosinee | Mosinee · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 1-7 | 0.69 | Mosinee · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 5.50 ÷ 8 = 0.688 | Mosinee · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.000 | Mosinee · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins
Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 47 – · Out |
| 48T | – | Ellsworth checkBelow cut line | Ellsworth | Ellsworth · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-8 | 0.00 | Ellsworth · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 8 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.000 | Ellsworth · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T – · Out |
| 48T | – | North Fond du Lac checkBelow cut line | North Fond du Lac | North Fond du Lac · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-8 | 0.00 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 8 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.000 | North Fond du Lac · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T – · Out |
| 48T | – | Sheboygan Falls checkBelow cut line | Sheboygan Falls | Sheboygan Falls · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-8 | 0.00 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 8 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 64 = 0.000 | Sheboygan Falls · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Below cut line | 48T – · Out |
| — | Milwaukee Madison check | Milwaukee | Milwaukee Madison · W-L by game Date · Opponent · Result
Counted: 0-4 | 0.00 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 1 points by game Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 1 earned
Tier 1 AVG = 0.00 ÷ 4 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 points and opponents’ games Date · Opponent · Result · Tier 2 points · Opponent’s games
Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points 0.00 ÷ opponents’ games 21 = 0.000 | Milwaukee Madison · Tier 2 Wins by game Date · Opponent · Opponent’s wins No games counted yet. Tier 2 Wins = 0 | Excluded | Excluded | |
| — | Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
| — | Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified | 0-0 | — | — | — | — | Unverified | Unverified | ||
Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/20/26, 11:54 PM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.
Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.
About this projection
Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 8 (games through Saturday 2026-10-10). 32 of 50 in the field.
How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team
- Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
- Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
- Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
- Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
- Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.
Worked example: Freedom (rank 1, seed 1)
| Date | Opponent | Result | Opponent’s value | Tier 1 earned | Opp. Tier 1 points | Opp. games | Counts? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Lake Mills | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 35.00 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-08-28 | Xavier | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 26.50 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-09-04 | New London | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 16.50 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-09-11 | Denmark | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 26.50 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-09-18 | Kohler | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 13.00 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-09-25 | Little Chute | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 36.00 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-10-02 | Wrightstown | W | 5 (D4) | 5.00 | 15.00 | 8 | yes |
| 2026-10-09 | Luxemburg-Casco | W | 5.5 (D3) | 5.50 | 25.00 | 8 | yes |
Tier 1 AVG = 41.00 ÷ 8 = 5.125. Tier 2 points = 35.00 + 26.50 + 16.50 + 26.50 + 13.00 + 36.00 + 15.00 + 25.00 = 193.50; opponents’ games = 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 + 8 = 64; Tier 2 AVG = 193.50 ÷ 64 = 3.023. Total = 5.125 + 9 × 3.023 = 32.34 (Tier 3 tie-break 9.11).
To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Team labels in the bracket open team pages.
