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Playoff Bracket · Football Division 6 UNOFFICIAL

Ewert projection through week 7Ewert’s picks: week 9 ratings, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM CentralField table · How it works

Bracket and table computed Thu, Oct 22 · 5:53 PM CDT

  • Final Finished, with the score
  • Ewert’s pick A guess, not a set matchup
ES pick: Bonduel, 97.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 BonduelES 97%8 OcontoEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Saint Mary Catholic, 75.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Saint…ES 76%5 Weyauwega-Fr…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Randolph/Cambria-Friesland, 85.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Randol…ES 86%6 PoynetteEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic, 56.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Kenosh…ES 57%7 Prairie du C…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Bonduel, 79.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 BonduelES 80%4 Saint Mary C…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 Randolph/Cam…ES pick: Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic, 78.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Kenosh…ES 78%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Bonduel, 80.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 BonduelES 80%2 Kenosha St.…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Mondovi, 94.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MondoviES 94%8 Loyal/Greenw…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Mineral Point, 66.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Minera…ES 66%5 BentonEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Cuba City, 59.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Cuba C…ES 59%6 Potosi/Cassv…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Belleville, 71.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Bellev…ES 72%7 Fall CreekEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Mondovi, 91.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MondoviES 91%4 Mineral PointEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 Cuba CityES pick: Belleville, 65.4% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Bellev…ES 65%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Mondovi, 87.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 MondoviES 87%2 BellevilleEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Edgar, 98.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 EdgarES 99%8 MarkesanEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Cambridge, 67.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Cambri…ES 68%5 PardeevilleEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Regis, 72.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 RegisES 72%6 LutherEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Lomira, 90.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 LomiraES 91%7 ColbyEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Edgar, 87.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 EdgarES 88%4 CambridgeEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK3 RegisES pick: Lomira, 58.6% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 LomiraES 59%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Edgar, 72.2% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 EdgarES 72%2 LomiraEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Manitowoc Lutheran, 99.8% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Manit…ES 100%8 Living Word…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Saint Mary's Springs, 83.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.4 Saint…ES 83%5 ValdersEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Kewaunee, 96.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Kewaun…ES 96%6 Fall River/R…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Cedar Grove-Belgium, 67.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.2 Cedar…ES 67%7 MarathonEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Manitowoc Lutheran, 82.1% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Manito…ES 82%4 Saint Mary's…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Kewaunee, 66.5% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.3 Kewaun…ES 66%2 Cedar Grove-…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKES pick: Manitowoc Lutheran, 54.7% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: higher-seed home.1 Manito…ES 55%3 KewauneeEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICK1 BonduelES pick: Mondovi, 68.9% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 MondoviES 69%EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState semifinalES pick: Edgar, 63.3% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 EdgarES 63%1 Manitowoc Lu…EWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState semifinalES pick: Mondovi, 62.0% win chance. Ratings calculated 2026-10-22T10:39:07.507Z; assumed venue: neutral.1 MondoviES 62%1 EdgarEWERT’S PICKEWERT’S PICKState final · ES pick: MondoviRegion ARegion BRegion CRegion D

Division 6 · Week 7 field and cut line

Table-only view →

The table uses reported results through Week 7. Projected Final shows our latest forecast, based on reported Week 9 results plus the remaining ES picks; arrows compare it with this table. This is today’s forecast, not a saved forecast from Week 7. UNOFFICIAL · partial: unresolved games or opponent data can change these placements.

Since week 6: in Markesan (38 → 29), Loyal/Greenwood (34 → 31) · out Marshall (29 → 36), Fennimore (31 → 33). Biggest climbs: Cambridge ▲10, Markesan ▲9, Cuba City ▲5. Biggest drops: Benton ▼8, Weyauwega-Fremont ▼6, Poynette ▼6.

No future qualifying games remain. This is a comparison of the current qualifying results, not a new forecast; unresolved results or opponent data still affect the comparison.

Rank+/−TeamCityW-LTotalTier 1 AVGTier 2 AVGTier 2 WinsProjected SeedProjected Final Seed
Rank · Seed · Partial
1–Bonduel checkBonduel24.191-A2 ▼1 · 1-A
2–Manitowoc Lutheran checkManitowoc23.171-D4 ▼2 · 1-D
3–Edgar checkEdgar21.851-C3 – · 1-B
4▲4Mondovi checkMondovi19.691-B1 ▲3 · 1-C
5▲4Kenosha St. Joseph Catholic checkKenosha19.082-A6 ▼1 · 2-C
6▼2Cedar Grove-Belgium checkCedar Grove16.892-D10 ▼4 · 3-D
7▲3Belleville checkBelleville16.312-B14 ▼7 · 4-B
8▼2Lomira checkLomira16.212-C5 ▲3 · 2-B
9▼2Regis checkEau Claire15.973-C11 ▼2 · 3-A
10▼5Randolph/Cambria-Friesland check15.963-A15 ▼5 · 4-D
11▲2Kewaunee checkKewaunee15.573-D8 ▲3 · 2-D
12▲5Cuba City checkCuba City15.053-B12 – · 3-C
13▲10Cambridge checkCambridge14.504-C9 ▲4 · 3-B
14▲1Mineral Point checkMineral Point14.354-B13 ▲1 · 4-C
15▼1Saint Mary Catholic checkNeenah14.344-A7 ▲8 · 2-A
16▲3Saint Mary's Springs checkFond du Lac12.474-D19 ▼3 · 5-B
17▼6Weyauwega-Fremont checkWeyauwega12.125-A18 ▼1 · 5-D
18▼2Pardeeville checkPardeeville11.775-C16 ▲2 · 4-A
19▲2Valders checkValders11.465-D23 ▼4 · 6-D
20▼8Benton checkBenton11.105-B24 ▼4 · 6-C
21▲5Potosi/Cassville check10.336-B17 ▲4 · 5-C
22▼2Fall River/Rio check10.306-D25 ▼3 · 7-B
23▼1Luther checkOnalaska10.166-C21 ▲2 · 6-B
24▼6Poynette checkPoynette8.716-A28 ▼4 · 7-C
25–Marathon checkMarathon8.647-D22 ▲3 · 6-A
26▲1Fall Creek checkFall Creek7.927-B27 ▼1 · 7-A
27▲5Colby checkColby7.597-C33 ▼6 · Out projected out
28▼4Prairie du Chien checkPrairie du Chien7.447-A30 ▼2 · 8-B
29▲9Markesan checkMarkesan7.328-C in34 ▼5 · Out projected out
30▼2Oconto checkOconto6.918-A35 ▼5 · Out projected out
31▲3Loyal/Greenwood check6.608-B in26 ▲5 · 7-D
32▼2Living Word Lutheran checkJackson6.388-D32 – · 8-D
Cut line · the top 32 qualify
33▼2Fennimore checkBelow cut lineFennimore5.13Below cut line dropped36 ▼3 · Out
34▼1Laconia checkBelow cut lineRosendale5.05Below cut line38 ▼4 · Out
35▲1Nekoosa checkBelow cut lineNekoosa4.98Below cut line20 ▲15 · 5-A projected in
36▼7Marshall checkBelow cut lineMarshall4.90Below cut line dropped37 ▼1 · Out
37▲6Southern Door checkBelow cut lineBrussels4.02Below cut line40 ▼3 · Out
38▲7Stanley-Boyd checkBelow cut lineStanley3.88Below cut line39 ▼1 · Out
39–Howards Grove checkBelow cut lineHowards Grove3.67Below cut line43 ▼4 · Out
40▲6Auburndale checkBelow cut lineAuburndale3.66Below cut line41 ▼1 · Out
41▼6Unity checkBelow cut lineBalsam Lake3.66Below cut line29 ▲12 · 8-C projected in
42▼1Lancaster checkBelow cut lineLancaster3.58Below cut line31 ▲11 · 8-A projected in
43▼6Cameron checkBelow cut lineCameron3.28Below cut line44 ▼1 · Out
44▲4Horicon/Hustisford checkBelow cut line2.50Below cut line46 ▼2 · Out
45▲3Clinton checkBelow cut lineClinton2.28Below cut line42 ▲3 · Out
46▼6Chetek-Weyerhaeuser checkBelow cut lineChetek2.04Below cut line45 ▲1 · Out
47▼5Cumberland checkBelow cut lineCumberland1.97Below cut line47 – · Out
48▼4Barron checkBelow cut lineBarron1.38Below cut line48 – · Out
49▼2Westby checkBelow cut lineWestby1.14Below cut line49 – · Out
50T▼2Ladysmith checkBelow cut lineLadysmith0.00Below cut line50T – · Out
50T▼2Mishicot checkBelow cut lineMishicot0.00Below cut line50T – · Out
—Catholic Central/Ken Ch Life checkBurlington4.63ExcludedExcluded
—Northwood/Solon Springs checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified
—Winter/Birchwood checkProgram eligibility not verified0-0————UnverifiedUnverified

Wisconsin programs continue below the cut line in the same table. Eligibility notes use the published WIAA record; where it does not identify the reason, we say so. A three-year enrollment average above 200 can have a second-year commitment exception.

About this projection

WIAA has released its bracket for this field. See the official bracket →

Ewert’s picks are guesses. Hypothetical playoff winners use the current ES model and rated snapshots, not seeds. Early rounds assume the higher seed hosts; state semifinals and final assume a neutral site. No new games, results or forecasts are saved. ES basis: week 9, 10/22/26, 5:39 AM Central. Missing or near-even inputs remain TBD.

Unofficial projection. Seeds come from the unofficial playoff matrix above (WIAA’s formula on the results we hold, 2026 regulations). Regions and Level 1 pairings follow the regulations’ travel rules with an approximation: straight-line miles between school ZIP centroids instead of WIAA’s travel distances, so a region letter or a pairing near the margin can differ. Slots: projected from the unofficial matrix; not WIAA's published bracket. Through week 7 (games through Saturday 2026-10-03). 32 of 51 in the field.

How WIAA builds the bracket, and how to check a team

  1. Tier 1 points. Every win earns points set by the team you beat: Division 1 = 6.5, D2 = 6.0, D3 = 5.5, D4 = 5.0, D5 = 4.5, D6 = 4.0, D7 = 3.5. A tie earns half. A loss earns nothing. A forfeit win earns the full value. Tier 1 AVG = Tier 1 points ÷ games played (at most 9).
  2. Tier 2 points. Add up their Tier 1 points for every team you beat (a team you tied is not beaten and adds no points). Opponents’ games = the games played by every team you played, won, lost or tied, added together (each counted up to 9). Tier 2 AVG = Tier 2 points ÷ opponents’ games, and the Tier 2 score is 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s rule: “Divide Tier 2 points by opponents’ games played and multiply by 9 (this is a 100% bonus to the Strength of Victory) to get the Tier 2 score.”
  3. Total (PQS) = Tier 1 AVG + 9 × Tier 2 AVG. WIAA’s own example: Franklin 2024, 56.0 ÷ 9 + 228.5 ÷ 81 × 9 = 31.61. Ties in Total are broken by Tier 3, the average of the Tier 2 scores of the teams you beat.
  4. Replacement games. If a team replaced a forfeit win with a new game that week, the forfeit counts when the replacement was lost; when it was won, whichever is worth more counts (regulations 3h). WIAA prints such games as “Seeding Only”. When you beat a team in its replacement game, your Tier 2 points count that team’s Tier 1 points without the forfeit win it kept that week.
  5. Field and seeds. Teams are ranked inside their division by Total. The top 32 qualify after Week 9. Ranks 1–4 are the #1 seeds, 5–8 the #2 seeds, and so on to #8. The four #1 seeds anchor four regions: the #1- and #4-ranked go to one half of the state bracket, #2 and #3 to the other. #2 seeds join the nearest #1 seed, #3 and #4 seeds their likely second-round opponents, and #5–#8 are placed by the shortest total travel. Level 1 is #8 at #1, #5 at #4, #7 at #2 and #6 at #3 in each region.

Worked example: Bonduel (rank 1, seed 1)

DateOpponentResultOpponent’s valueTier 1 earnedOpp. Tier 1 pointsOpp. gamesCounts?
2026-08-21Wittenberg-BirnamwoodW4.5 (D5)4.509.007yes
2026-08-27ColemanW3.5 (D7)3.5020.507yes
2026-09-04KewauneeW4 (D6)4.0023.507yes
2026-09-11MarinetteW5 (D4)5.0010.007yes
2026-09-18Oconto FallsW5 (D4)5.0014.007yes
2026-09-25PeshtigoW4.5 (D5)4.5013.507yes
2026-10-02OcontoW4 (D6)4.0017.507yes

Tier 1 AVG = 30.50 ÷ 7 = 4.357. Tier 2 points = 9.00 + 20.50 + 23.50 + 10.00 + 14.00 + 13.50 + 17.50 = 108.00; opponents’ games = 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 + 7 = 49; Tier 2 AVG = 108.00 ÷ 49 = 2.204. Total = 4.357 + 9 × 2.204 = 24.19 (Tier 3 tie-break 6.18).

To check another team’s numbers, open its row’s “check” link in the tables above. Confirmed matchups in the bracket open game pages; team pages are linked in the field table and on each game page.

WIAA Football Playoff Brackets: Official and Projected | Ewert Sports | Ewert Sports